Although I prefer to be a reactive trader, as I think that is where the value lies, I am aware of other football trading methods and markets, and one inparticular can allow us to create a system blueprint to put into practice.
Here are some ideas.
Shortlists of potential selections.
These can be garnered from a number of areas such as :
- Research at the website. Look for Both Teams to Score , goals before halftime, high % of over 2.5 goals ( obviously).
- The stats spreadsheet at DRT Facebook. There I am working back from 1st July 2020 to date to look for a ‘formula’ to shortlist matches, with a particular focus on over 1.5 goals before halftime. Both teams to score, home and away teams high over 2.5 goals % , combined goals scored and conceded averaging above 3.5. I then highlight candidates where the % is above 50% and goals totals above 3.5 and count the number of columns highlighted. Strong candidates will have a high proportion of columns highlighted.
- Specialist websites. There are a wealth of websites who claim to have done the work for you. Here’s a list of some
- footballformlabs.com (paid for) over 2.5 goals game notes
- https://www.fctables.com/england/premier-league/under-over/ by league
For me over 2.5 goals trading must be about a goal at least before halftime. I do acknowledge that some over 2.5 goals teams score more 2nd half so I remain open minded. In the short time I looked at over 2.5 goals in the live chat webinar, I noted that we profit well if
- We can delay entry to get better odds
- We get an early(ish) goal – that impacts markedly on the drop in odds.
- With 1.4 odds or shorter for over 2.5 goals, think perhaps over 1.5 goals in the first half goals market
- If we leave a trade to run until halftime, we will break even if 1 goal only has been scored. We must think about what to do if 0-0 at halftime.
So, over 2.5 goals trading can be as easy or complicated as we would like to make it.
Follow me in the live chat webinars as I try a few out using simulation mode using the shortlist, primarily, from football form labs ( which you will see at the DRT Facebook page).