Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

The return to league football today. I will do a review/preview video at DRT Facebook.

CHINESE SUPER LEAGUE

11am - Guangzhou Evergrande v Shenzhen - 1.33 Evergrande

Guangzhou Evergrande - 1st

  • Only 1 loss.
  • That was the only match they failed to score in.
  • Win, Loss, Win, Win at home.
  • In 8 matches this season, 2+ goals scored.

Shenzhen - 10th

  • Not beaten a top 9 side.
  • 1-3 loss v Evergrande earlier this season.

Conclusions

  • I expect a home win, scoring 2+ goals. Shenzhen have not beaten a top 9 side. Do note soccerstats.com suggests that this match is postponed.

13:00 - Shanghai Shenshua v Shandong Luneng - 1.65 Shandong

Shanghai Shenshua - 9th

  • No win in 4 matches.
  • Draw, Loss, Loss last 3 at home.
  • Scored and conceded last 4 at home.
  • 0-1 win v Luneng away earlier this season.
  • 100% over 3.5 goals at home.

Shandong Luneng - 5th

  • 2 consecutive 0-1 home losses.
  • Win, Draw, Win, Win away.

Conclusions

  • A concern that Luneng have not scored that 2nd goal v the top 9 and that might give Shanghai a chance.
  • Shenshua similarly have not scored that 2nd goal v the top 5.
  • It could be a tight match. Back 0-0 pre match for value seekers, and cash out as late as possible.

SWEDISH ALLSVENSKAN

18:00 - Hacken v Djurgarden - 2.37 Hacken

Hacken - 2nd

  • 5 wins in 6 matches.
  • Only 1 home loss.
  • 3-1 loss v Djurgardens earlier this season.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.

Djurgardens - 4th

  • 2 wins and a loss last 4 away matches.
  • 7 consecutive over 2.5 goals.
  • 2 home losses were 1-2.
  • Scored last 8 matches.
  • Only 3 0-0's at halftime away (33%).

Conclusions

  • Match postponed so says soccerstats.com but it remains on the Betfair coupon.
  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0.
  • No strong angles other than these.

18:00 - Helsingborg v Kalmar - 2.40 Helsingborg

Helsingborg - 14th

  • Only 3 wins all season.
  • 2 wins in their last 3 at home, 3-1-3 goals scored at home.
  • Scored and conceded in 9 of their last 11 matches.
  • Conceded last 7 matches.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 at home.
  • 4-0 loss v Kalmar away earlier this season.

Kalmar - 15th

  • Only 3 wins.
  • Only 1 win in 15 came away.
  • 2-4-3 goals conceded last 3 matches.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime away (22%).
  • 2 wins away v 2nd and 16th (0-2).

Conclusions

  • Both teams to score has a chance here. Both sides have only 3 wins all season so it's very difficult to place faith in any one team.

FINNISH VEIKKASLIIGA

16:30 - Honka v Ilves - 1.95 Honka

Honka - 4th

  • Only loss came mast match.
  • 5 clean sheets last 7 matches.
  • 8 consecutive under 2.5 goals.
  • 5/6 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • Not beaten a top 8 side yet.

Ilves - 6th

  • A draw and 2 wins last 3 matches.
  • No win in 4 away ended v Haka last match.
  • 6/7 goals scored away came 2nd half.
  • 3 losses away v 1st, 2nd, and 7th.

Conclusions

  • If 0-0 at halftime, expect a goal at least 2nd half. My sole angle here really, given Honka have not beaten a top 8 side, yet Ilves have 3 losses away v 1st, 2nd and 7th.

16:30 - Kuopio PS v RoPS - 1.17 Kuopio

Kuopio PS - 3rd

  • Only 1 loss came v HJK Helsinki.
  • 3 consecutive wins.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • Conceded last 7 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 8/11 goals scored at home came 1st half.

RoPS - 12th

  • All defeats bar 2 draws.
  • No clean sheets.
  • 6 consecutive away defeats.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.

Conclusions

  • Another home win expected of Kuopio despite the fact that they may concede.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

16:30 - Mariehamn v Lahti - 2.55 home and away

  • No research for 2.55 the favourite in such a league as Finland's.

16:30 - Seinajoen v Inter Turku - 1.75 Inter Turku

Seinjoen - 9th

  • Only 2 wins came 1st and last match and at home.
  • Conceded in their last 5 at home.
  • 6/7 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.
  • 4/6 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • Not beaten a top 8 side home or away.

Inter Turku - 2nd

  • A loss and a draw last 2 matches.
  • Loss, Win, Loss, Draw away recently.
  • 6/7 goals scored away came 2nd half.
  • Not beaten a top 10 side away.

Conclusions

  • What stands out for me is the lack of a win for Inter Turku away v the top 10, with their opponents 9th in the league.
  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0.

16:30 - Turku PS v Haka - 2.60 Haka

  • I won't research this match. 2.6 the favourite in a Finnish league.