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UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE (CL)

17:55 - Real Madrid v Shakhtar - 1.28 Real Madrid

  • Last head to heads 2015.
  • Both teams scored in the last 4 Real Madrid CL matches, losing twice v Man City.
  • 3 draws and a loss v Atalanta for Shakhtar. Both teams scored in 4 of their last 5 CL matches.

17:55 - Red Bull Salzburg v Lokomotiv - 1.47 Red Bull

  • Lokomotiv Moscow lost their 2019 CL matches v the likes of Juventus, Atl Madrid, and Bayer Leverkusen.
  • 3 wins in 4 in the CL for Red Bull. Both teams scored in the 3 wins.

20:00

Olympiakos v Marseille - 2.48 Marseille

  • The market cannot split these 2. In-play stats for this match.

Midtjylland v Atalanta - 1.59 Atalanta

  • Midtjylland are unbeaten in recent matches but these matches have been largely early stage matches. Still, 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 4 wins and a 1-2 loss v PSG for Atalanta. 2-3-4-4-1 goals scored. Atalanta could simply outscore Midtjylland today.

Man City v Porto - 1.31 Man City

  • Both teams have tended to score in Man City CL matches. They lost v Lyon latest.
  • 3 losses in 4 for Porto, 2 of those losses - possibly significantly - v another Premier League big gun Liverpool.
  • If both teams score, Porto may still not win.

Inter v Mgladbach - 1.65 Inter

  • Inter lost twice v Barcelona and v Dortmund, who they did beat at home.
  • Mgladbach were last in the CL in 2016.

Ajax v Liverpool - 1.76 Liverpool

  • Loss and 4-4 draw v Chelsea, win v Lille and 0-1 loss v Valencia. No real pattern or consistency to Ajax's form in the CL.
  • Liverpool stumbled against Atl Madrid earlier this year in the CL.

Bayern Munich v Atletico Madrid - 1.57 Bayern Munich

  • Attack v defence this match. On CL form during mid-summer, Bayern were irresistible but Hoff's beating of them domestically reminded us that they are beatable.
  • I cannot read this one. It will be a cracker to watch and the in-play stats will confirm whether Bayern are in goal scoring mood.

ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP

19:45

Stoke v Barnsley - 2.04 Stoke

  • Only 1 loss for Stoke, who failed to score in their first 2 matches. Win, Draw, Win last 3 matches, the wins coming away from home.
  • All under 2.5 goals matches so far.
  • Barnsley are yet to win a match, with 3 losses and 2 draws. 2-0 and 2-1 losses away for Barnsley.

Watford v Blackburn - 2.22 Watford

  • All under 1.5 goals matches for Watford this season sees just the one loss, 3 1-0 wins and a 0-0. Will this pattern continue today? 4 clean sheets in 5 for Watford. After 3 opening games for Blackburn featuring 5-5-4 goals they have tidied it up a bit with a 0-0 and a last gasp 0-1 loss last 2 matches.
  • Do we expect under 2.5 goals ? I usually back 0-0 pre match in this case but Watford have had 3 1-0's at halftime. I would certainly lay Blackburn if they scored first. That 2nd goal might be a struggle!

Sheff Wed v Brentford - 2.2 Brentford

  • 2 draws so far for the Owls at home. A sole loss away.2 wins to nil away.
  • Brentford's 2 wins came at home. Last match their in-play stats were superb and they showed in a 2-0 win so watch for the in-play stats for Brentford today.

Cardiff v Bournemouth - 2.5 Bournemouth

  • Not researching this or the QPR match based on the pre-match odds.

QPR v Preston - 2.76 QPD


CHINESE SUPER LEAGUE

12:35 - Guangzhou FC v Hebei CFFC - 1.47 Guangzhou

  • These 2 are yet to meet this season. Guangzhou are 1st and Hebei 7th. Only 2 losses for Guangzhou v top 5.
  • Only 1 home loss was a 0-1.
  • Guangzhou have scored in their last 10 and last 5 at home which they have won.
  • Hebei have lost away to 2nd, 3rd, 6th and 11th, conceding 3+ goals and scoring in 3 of those matches so that is quite a pronounced pattern and could play into the hands of 1st in the league.
  • We'd expect the home win therefore today with the away side being consistently generous defensively. 3/4 goals.

DUTCH EREDIVISIE

16:30 - RKC Waalwijk v PEC Zwolle - 2.22 PEC Zwolle

  • 3 losses and an unexpected win v Heracles for RKC so far this season.
  • Loss, Draw, Win, Loss for PEC Zwolle. These 2 aren't any great shakes so far. I do tend to automatically oppose RKC.

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA 2

17:30 - Hamburg v Erzgebirge - 1.55 Hamburg

  • Just a mention to newly relegated Hamburg. They may be worth targeting in this Bundesliga 2.
  • 3/3 wins for Hamburg and win, draw, win for Erzgebirge. In 2/3 matches for both sides, both teams scored. That might be an angle in, particularly if the away side score first.

SWEDISH SUPERETTAN

18:00

AFC Utd v Trelleborgs - 2.42 AFC

  • In-play stats for a 2.42 favourite in this league.

Vasteras SK v Akropolis IF - 2.18 Vasteras

  • 9th v 5th.
  • Vasteras are yet to beat the top 5 home and away. 2-0 loss v Akropolis earlier.
  • Do note Vasteras have scored 2 goals at least in all home matches v the top 8.
  • Only 2 losses for Akropolis this season.
  • Angles? Even when Vasteras have scored 2 goals v the top 5, they have not won. If that pattern continues, then we take on Vasteras.

Dalkurd FF v Sundsvall - 2.68 Dalkurd

  • Not researching a 2.68 favourite in this league.

Degerfors v Orgryte - 1.3 Degerfors

Degerfors - 1st

  • Only 3 defeats. Shock defeat last match.
  • 3 consecutive home wins.
  • No draw in 11 at home.
  • 2+ goals scored last 3 at home.
  • Conceded last 5 at home.
  • 1-1 last head to head.
  • All wins bar 2 at home.

Orgryte - 10th

  • 5 losses and a draw last 6 matches.
  • No win in 10 away.
  • 3/3 2-0 defeats away v the top 5.

Conclusions

  • I would be surprised if Degerfors lost a 2nd consecutive match. I expect 2+ goals from them today. Orgryte have a strong 2-0 losing habit away v the top 5.

Osters v Umea FC - 1.6 Osters

Osters - 4th

  • 9 wins, a 2-2 and a loss last 11 matches. No wonder they're strong favs today.
  • 4 consecutive wins, 5 at home.
  • Scored last 11 matches.
  • Scored first in 8/11 at home.
  • Unbeaten home and away v 6th and lower.

Umea - 15th

  • 5 losses and a draw last 6 matches.
  • Failed to score in 5 of their last 7 matches.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away.
  • 0-0 last head to head.
  • Only scored 1 goals in the 7 matches played v the top 4.

Conclusions

  • Unlikely we will see a trade here with Osters tending to score first at home. Do note Umea's relatively high % of 0-0's at halftime. Certainly don't expect a 0-0 at fulltime. It should be a comfortable evening for Osters.

Norrby IF v Halmstads - 2.02 Halmstads

  • Soccerstats.com is down at the moment so apologies. I have to look elsewhere.
  • 13th v 2nd here. You'd have thought Halmstads would be a touch of odds-on.
  • Norrby have not beaten the top 6 at home this season. 3-0 loss v Halmstads earlier this season.
  • Halmstads are unbeaten away v 5th and lower.
  • No more indepth research until soccerstats.com returns online. But this glimpse gives you an idea that Halmstads deserve their favouritism.