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The Champions League last night saw 0-0's at halftime for both matches, based on the fact that the first goal was critical. The Besiktas match reminds me of Man City v Basel. I would not be surprised with a 'tolerable loss' for Bayern this evening. As with Man City when they lost their 2nd leg v Basel, you could lay a Bayern lead at short odds. Elsewhere, PSG look to target 3 points and 2+ goals.
Juventus take on a very solid defensive Atalanta who have beaten AC Milan and Roma way recently. Basel turn up but haven't turned up post Winter Break in Switzerland with 3 defeats in 4 matches. On form, they win scoring 2+ goals. But can they be trusted?

17:00 - Besiktas v Bayern Munich - 1.53 Bayern

  • It's game over. 5-0 Bayern from the first leg of the Champions League. An away goal wraps things up.
  • Remember the Man City v Basel match. City won the first leg and lost the second leg. That is a reminder that this is an aggregate score match. Bayern do not need to win, only avoid a 6-0 defeat!

19:45 - Barcelona v Chelsea - 1.56 Barcelona

  • 1-1from the first leg saw Chelsea score first, Barcelona equalise mid 2nd half.
  • Barcelona have that away goal. This is where Man Utd went wrong. They did not score an away goal.
  • A 0-0 does for Barcelona today. A score draw above 1-1 does for Chelsea.
  • These matches are tough to call.

16:00 - PSG v Angers - 1.09 PSG

  • 5 consecutive PSG wins in head to heads.

PSG (1st)

  • Only 2 losses came away.
  • 17 wins in 19 matches.
  • 8 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • 15 consecutive home wins.
  • Scored 2+ goals in each of their last 15 matches.
  • Unbeaten at halftime.
  • Scored first in 13/15 and led at halftime in 13/15 at home.

Angers (14)

  • 2 wins and a draw last 3 matches.
  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 0-0 away.
  • 1-0, 1-1, 1-1, 1-0, 1-0 away v top 6.

Conclusions

  • A feeling Angers set up ultra defensively v the top 6 -they are yet to concede that 2nd goal.
  • Very much attack v defence today as PSG tend to score 2+ goals at home and win.
  • With 8 clean sheets in 10 matches and 4 consecutive clean sheet wins in head to heads, you might want to risk a correct score to nil. I tend to choose 3 scores. 2-0, 3-0, 5-0 are potentials today. The risk though is that errant Angers goal (remember the 2 1-1's away v top 6)?
  • PSG tend to lead at halftime. I would lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market but try and delay here as Angers may park the bus early.

17:00 - Juventus v Atalanta - 1.46 Juventus

  • 2 consecutive 2-2's in Italian Seria A. 2 consecutive 1-0 Juve's in the Coppa Italia.

Juventus (1st)

  • 11 consecutive wins, 4 at home.
  • 8 consecutive clean sheets, 6 at home.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home (23.1%).
  • 100% wins v 9th and lower.
  • Led at halftime at home in 9/13 matches.

Atalanta (8th)

  • 1-1-0-0-1-1-0 conceded recently.
  • 1-1-0-1-0-1-0 conceded away recently.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Scored in their last 7 away.
  • No 0-0.
  • Recent away wins v Roma and Milan ended a losing run v 2nd, 5th, 7th away.
  • 12 of 16 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Atalanta have been tough to score 2 goals against recently and in their recent good away defensive run, they beat Roma and Milan.
  • Juventus do tend to win v 9th and lower so the expectation is for Juventus to win. I would lay Atalanta if Atalanta score first.
  • Lay any late 0-0.

17:45 - Lausanne v Basel - 1.39 Basel

  • 0-4 and 1-4 Basel in the last 2 head to heads at Lausanne.

Lausanne (8th)

  • 4 defeats and a 0-0 last 5 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 10 at home.
  • No 0-0 at home.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.

Basel (2nd)

  • 3 losses in 4 matches.
  • Failed to score in their last 2 at home.
  • Really poor post-Winter Break form.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime away (33.3%).

Conclusions

  • Basel on form should score 2+ goals and win today but since the Winter Break they have been dire.
  • Lausanne tend to score and concede at home. If that continues today, then take a chance and lay Lausanne if Lausanne scores first.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market based on Lausanne.
  • But......can we trust this Basel side which has simply not turned up post Winter Break?