Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

If I am online tonight, I'll follow this small group of English matches via Twitter @drtclub.


19:45 - Swansea v Tottenham - 1.39 Tottenham

  • Tottenham tend to win head to heads but it was 0-0 last match.

Swansea (20th)

  • Won their last match but that was only one of 4 wins this season.
  • Scored 2 goals at home in only 1 match so are vulnerable if they cannot score that 2nd goal v a top team.
  • Only led once at halftime at home.
  • 8 losses and a draw home and away v top 9 teams.
  • 5 of 6 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Tottenham (6th)

  • 4 wins in 5 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 6 matches away.
  • No away 0-0.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Unbeaten home and away v 9th and lower.
  • Draws at home v the bottom 2. Vulnerable today?


  • Swansea are layable if scoring first. They rarely score 2 goals at home.
  • Tottenham ended a poor run away from home with an emphatic win v Burnley and with 4 wins in 5 (only loss v Man City) the odds look right here.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market based on Tottenham.

19:45 - West Ham v West Brom - 2 West Ham

  • New management for both sides makes head to heads irrelevant. Pardew is the link between the 2 clubs.

West Ham (18th)

  • 9 games in for Moyes.
  • Only 2 wins under Moyes at home v Chelsea and away v Stoke.
  • Only 1 home loss under Moyes was a 2-3. They have tended to play top teams at home and were ultra defensive.
  • 3-2-3 goals scored in their last 3 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime under Moyes.
  • Not met 14th-19th at home.

West Brom(19th)

  • 7 games under Pardew. Any patterns?
  • No win under Pardew.
  • 3 0-0's is a high percentage.
  • 0-0-0-1-1-0-1 goals scored by West Brom. Their last goal v Arsenal was care of a very dubious 89th minute penalty.


  • There seems to be a pattern with Moyes. Tight v the big guns, let loose v lesser lights. 3-2-3 goals scored in their last 3 matches for West Ham and that could threaten a West Brom side severely lacking up front.
  • West Brom though have scored 1-1-0-1 in their last 4 matches, albeit their last goal highly dubious.
  • On the form of 7-9 matches (which is too small a sample) I would side with West Ham today but acknowledge that both sides, with sights lowered, will see this as a winnable match.
  • If West Ham's sudden goal flurry continues, that will be too much for West Brom. I would have to lay any West Brom lead.

19:45 - Southampton v C Palace - 2.08 Southampton

Southampton (15th)

  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • Only 4 wins.
  • Unbeaten v 17th and lower home and away.
  • Unbeaten at home v 11th and lower.

C Palace (17th)

  • Only 1 loss in 10 matches was a 2-3 v Arsenal.
  • 3 draws and a win away in the last 4 away matches.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • 1-1-0-0-0-1 goals conceded in recent away matches.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Scored in only 2 away matches.
  • 10 of 14 goals conceded away came 2nd half.


  • 2 teams who could eye a positive result. I cannot get a solid angle into the match. Southampton are unbeaten v teams below them in the league. Palace are going through an unbeaten run away from home.

20:00 - Man City v Watford - 1.18 Man City

Man City (1st)

  • Team changes last match halted the momentum for a 0-0 v Palace.
  • 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 9 consecutive home wins.
  • Scored 2+ goals in each of those 9 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.

Watford (10th)

  • Only 1 win in 8 matches saw 6 defeats.
  • Scored and conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • No 0-0 away.
  • 6-4-4-3 goals conceded v top 4.


  • Teams are vulnerable with the necessary squad rotation spoiling the momentum. Take away that factor, and focus on form only, Watford could be vulnerable to conceding 3/4 + goals today as they have v top 4.
  • A simple angle. We know Watford have goals in them and they did score 2 goals away v Chelsea and Everton. I would still take on Watford even if they lead 0-2.


19:45 - Fulham v Ipswich - 1.57 Fulham

  • 3 consecutive Fulham head to head wins.

Fulham (12th)

  • 3 consecutive home wins.
  • 2-4-2 scored last 3 matches.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • 5 score draws and a loss at home v 13th and higher.

Ipswich (11th)

  • 2 consecutive away defeats.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • 6 1-0 defeats away at halftime.


  • If Ipswich continue to struggle to score, they will lose today against a Fulham side now with 8 goals in 3 matches and 3 consecutive wins. I would lay Ipswich if Ipswich lead because of Fulham's strong scoring and score draw pattern v top teams.

19:45 - Wolves v Brentford - 1.8 Wolves

  • 1-2 Wolves and 0-0 last 2 head to heads.

Wolves (1st)

  • Only 3 defeats, 2 came away.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • No defeat in 11 and in 10 at home.
  • Unbeaten at halftime at home.
  • All wins at home v 5th and lower.
  • 9 of 10 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Brentford (10th)

  • 3 consecutive wins.
  • Scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 8 away matches.
  • Failed to score away v top 7.


  • An interesting match given Brentford are scoring 2 + goals in away matches recently. But they have failed to score v top 7 away.
  • Brentford cannot be immediately dismissed here given their recent scoring especially away from home and given the Xmas period, Wolves cannot keep relying on 1-0 wins as happened in 3 of their last 6 matches.
  • Having scored 2 goals in 2 consecutive away matches, this might change for Wolves today?

20:00 - Reading v Birmingham - 2.08 Reading

  • Reading have won the last 2 head to heads.

Reading (18th)

  • 3 losses in 4 matches.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • Unreadable home form. Wins v 5th, 14th and 19th. Beat Birmingham 0-2 away this season.
  • 8 goals conceded at home came last 15 minutes.

Birmingham (24th)

  • All 5 wins came at home.
  • Conceded in each of their last 12 away matches, failing to win.


  • Not a match which appeals to me. I guess that Birmingham's away form automatically defaults us towards Reading.