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Honourable mentions for the teams in the friendlies. The Danish Superliga is scheduled to start soon and we see them stretching their legs today. 10am, 12pm, 2pm and 5pm if you are interested. 2 of the big boys are out, at home, and odds on favourites (Brondby at 12pm and Copenhagen at 2pm). Those are the 2 matches I would favour. I will do a DRT Facebook review/preview video. Do you want a live chat webinar this evening? Let me know. Great to see the Germans out.

SOUTH KOREA K LEAGUE 2

11am

Bucheon FC 1995 v Jeju Utd - 2.38 Bucheon

  • No head to heads.
  • 3 matches played this season. Bucheon have 3/3 wins, 2 wins to nil away. 2-1 win at home.
  • 1-1, 1-0 loss away, 2-3 loss at home for Jeju.
  • The market cannot split these sides. There is no history that I can find head to head wise so this is up in the air. Clearly Bucheon are in great winning form in 3 matches.

Daejeon Citizen v Ansan Greeners FC - 1.82 Daejeon Citizen

  • 1-2 Daejeon, 0-2, Daejeon, 0-0, last 3 head to heads.
  • Daejon have won twice away with a 2-2 draw at home. They have scored 2 goals at least in all 3 matches and, coupled with good head to heads, deserve odds on status here.
  • A win and 2 defeats for Ansan Greeners sees them score 1-0-0 goals.
  • Clearly on what we have, the home side has the head to heads and current form.

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA

17:30 - Dortmund v Bayern Munich - 1.92 Bayern Munich

Dortmund - 2nd

  • 9 wins in 10 matches.
  • 6 clean sheets last 8 matches.
  • 6 consecutive wins, 5 at home.
  • 4 consecutive home clean sheets.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Unbeaten at home.
  • Lost 4-0 to Bayern earlier this season.
  • 30 of 45 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Bayern Munich - 1st

  • 6 consecutive wins, and 6 consecutive away wins.
  • No defeat in 13 and in 6 away.
  • Scored last 13 away.
  • 2+ goals scored last 6 and last 6 away.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime away.
  • v top 5 away, 1-1 v 3rd and 2-1 loss away v 5th.
  • Scored 12 goals away first 15 mins of matches.

Conclusions

  • This is a must win for Dortmund who are 4 points shy of Bayern at the top. Crucial match.
  • Do please remember the top 2 clash in Bundesliga 2 at the weekend. That ended 0-0. 0-0 is always there when we have top 2 clashes at this stage of the season where the win could literally secure, or eliminate interest in, the title.
  • That caveat in place, here's what the form suggests.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • If 0-0 at halftime, lay it 2nd half.
  • Bayern have wobbled away from home v the top 5, draw and a loss and on that basis, I think I would nod towards Dortmund today, unbeaten at home.

19:30 - Werder Bremen v Mgladbach - 1.83 Mgladbach

Werder Bremen - 17th

  • This is a match of context. It is quite simply all must wins from hereon in for Werder Bremen this season.
  • 0-1 win v Freiburg last match was much needed and thanks go to VAR for scratching off a Freiburg late equaliser.
  • 7 consecutive home defeats.
  • No win in 10 at home.
  • Conceded in their last 12 at home.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home, none at fulltime.
  • Only 1 home win.
  • 0-0-1 goals scored v top 4 at home.
  • 3-1 loss to Mgladbach earlier this season.

Mgladbach - 5th

  • Lost to Leverkusen latest, not wholly unexpected.
  • 3 consecutive away wins.
  • Scored and conceded last 9 matches and last 4 away.
  • 2+ goals scored in each of their last 4 away.
  • 100% wins home and away v 14th and lower.
  • 10 of 15 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Context - must win for Werder Bremen might see an unexpected improvement and result. So please have that in mind when looking at this match. Let's get to what the form suggests.
  • The form suggests Werder will struggle to score 2 goals today and are more likely to lose as they have done on 3 occasions v the top 4 at home. Further. Mgladbach have an ominous 100% win record v 14th and lower.
  • Both sides have only had 4 0-0's at halftime this season. Again it might lean me towards lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market but we must remember Werder must win and we might see the unexpected.

19:30 - Eintracht Frankfurt v Freiburg - 2.1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt - 14th

  • 5 consecutive defeats.
  • 3 consecutive 2-0 losses by halftime.
  • Scored in last 6 at home.
  • Conceded last 5 matches.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 1-0 loss v Freiburg earlier this season.
  • 3 wins and a draw at home v the top 4. Lost to 5th and 6th at home.
  • 19 of 27 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Freiburg - 7th

  • Only 2 wins in 9 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 11 away matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime in 8 matches.
  • Conceded last 6 matches and last 12 away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Only 1 win away v the top 13  but 3 wins and a draw away v 15th and lower .....and they play 14th.

Conclusions

  • Jekyll and Hyde this Frankfurt side. 3 wins and a draw at home v the top 4 this season but 5 consecutive defeats. Which Frankfurt turns up today?
  • Freiburg have conceded in their last 6 and last 12 away and may concede again today. They play 14th. Only 1 win away v top 13 but 3 wins and a draw away v 15th and lower. Which Freiburg turns up v a team in dead man's land. 14th placed.
  • So a little muddled today.

19:30 - Leverkusen v Wolfsburg - 1.79 Leverkusen

Leverkusen - 4th

  • 6 wins and a draw last 7 matches.
  • 4-3-2-1-4-4-3 goals scored recently.
  • No 0-0 at halftime last 10 matches.
  • 4 consecutive home wins scoring 2+ goals.
  • Scored last 11 matches.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home (23%).
  • Only 1 loss at home v the top 9.

Wolfsburg - 6th

  • An unbeaten run of 7 ended with a loss v Dortmund latest. They were defensively strong there at home.
  • 4-3-2-2 goals scored away last 4 matches.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 away matches.
  • Not beaten the top 4 home or away.
  • 12 of 18 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • I think the Wolf may be overwhelmed by a very impressive goal-minded Leverkusen. The Wolf cannot beat the top 4 and away they tend not to score a 2nd goal.
  • Another 3 for Leverkusen today?

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA 2

17:30

  • It looks a really tough coupon this evening 3 favourites at 2.6 or higher odds suggests in-play stats is the best approach.

Jahn Regensburg v Nurnberg - 2.66 Nurnberg

  • 2 consecutive score draws in head to heads.

Jahn Regensburg - 10th

  • 3 losses and 2 draws last 5 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 8 matches.
  • No fulltime 0-0 at home.
  • Only 1 loss at home v 9th and lower came v bottom side.
  • 1-1 the last time these 2 met.
  • 14 of 21 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • 14 of 19 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Nurnberg - 15th

  • 2 losses and a draw last 3 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 away.
  • Only 1 away win v the top 12.
  • 1-1-2-3-3-0-4 goals scored away v the top 9.

Conclusions

  • Please remember what the market thinks - haven't got a scooby doo!
  • I would lay any late 0-0/2nd half 0-0.
  • Watch out for Nurnberg away goals v the top 9 away. They may surprise with 2/3+ goals.

Greuther Furth v VFL Osnabruck - 2.12 Greuther Furth

  • 0-0 in the only recent relevant head to head.

Greuther Furth - 8th

  • Draw, win. draw, draw last 4 matches.
  • 3-3-1-2-2-2 goals scored at home recently so have some kick at home.
  • Scored in their last 11 and last 6 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at fulltime at home.
  • Unbeaten at home v 10th and lower - kept 4 clean sheets.
  • 14 of 21 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • 9 goals scored at home last 15 mins of matches.

Osnabruck - 13th

  • No win in 10 and in 5 away.
  • Scored and conceded last 4 matches and last 8 away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Only 2 away wins.
  • 12 of 15 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • I am with Greuther Furth here on what I see. 2+ goals in them regularly at home may be good enough.
  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0.
  • Osnabruck, if they are to score, are most likely to score 2nd half.
  • Possible late action? Greuther Furth scored 9 goals at home last 15 mins of matches.

Wehen Wiesbaden v SV Sandhausen - 2.6 SV Sandhausen

  • 0-0 in the only recent relevant head to head.

Wehen Wiesbaden - 17th

  • 2 wins in their last 3 matches includes against Stuttgart at home. Impressive!
  • Last 4 losses were 1-0 only.
  • Conceded last 8 matches.
  • Only 3 home wins.
  • Only 1 win v 7th and lower at home.

Sandhausen - 14th

  • No win in 8 and in 4 away.
  • Conceded last 11 away matches.
  • Only 2 away wins. 2/2 draws against the bottom 2.

Conclusions

  • Not for me this one. In-play stats please! Only 3 home wins plays only 2 away wins.

Erzgebirge v SV Darmstadt - 2.62 Erzgebirge

  • 2 1-0 Darmstadt home wins in the last 2 head to heads.

Erzgebirge - 6th

  • Only 1 loss in 5 matches.
  • Only 1 home loss. So why 2.62 the favourite?
  • 2 consecutive home wins.
  • 9 first half scorelines at home were either 1-0 or 0-0.
  • Only 1 home loss.
  • 0-0, 3-0, 0-0, 1-1, 1-2 at home v the top 7.

Darmstadt - 5th

  • Only 1 loss since 8th December 2019.
  • Lost last away match.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away but only 1 at fulltime.
  • Not beaten a top 8 side away.

Conclusions

  • The uncanny ability of the market to get it right with 2.62 the favourite. There was I purring about Erzgebirge's home form, and then when we delve deeper, we see 3 draws and a loss out of 5 home matches v the top 7. Yes, clean sheets at home v the top 3.
  • Darmstadt have not beaten a top 8 side away from home.
  • What I like is Darmstadt's recent wins, all in a cluster and only 1 loss since 8th December 2019. Will that see them right in a match we remind ourselves is too tough to call, so says the market?

CZECH 2 LIGA

16:00 -

Vitkovice v Zizkov - 1.67 Zizkov

  • 15th v 6th, the higher ranked side is favourite.
  • 2-0 loss for Vitkovice earlier this season in head to heads.
  • Only 2 wins for Vitkovice all season came at home.
  • They kept only 2 clean sheets.
  • They failed to score that 2nd goal in all matches v the top 8.
  • Zizkov generally do their winning at home.But they play 2nd bottom today and have 3/3 wins v 2nd bottom home and away. They are noticeably poor away from home but maybe the low level of opponent might see them right today.

Pardubice v Prostejov - 1.48 Pardibuce

  • A solid season for Pardibuce with only 3 losses, 2 coming away. They did lose their last home match (albeit 23rd November 2019).
  • They failed to score only twice.
  • 5 clean sheets last 8 matches.
  • Pardibuce scored in their last 8 home matches.
  • 100% wins for Pardibuce at home v 4th and lower. Prostejev are 12th and drew 0-0 last time these 2 met.
  • Only 1 away win for Prostejev and 4 losses in 5 away v the top 8 suggests the market is spot on, as long as the form carries over after the break.

Varnsdorf v Hradec Kralove - 2.26 Hradec

  • 13th v 5th.
  • Only 3 wins all season for Varnsdorf.
  • They kept only 2 clean sheets all season.
  • Win, Win, Draw at home last 3 matches for Varnsdorf.
  • Only 1 win home and away for Varnsdorf v the top 12.
  • Hradec have only 4 defeats all season.
  • 8-0 win v Varnsdorf last time these 2 met.
  • Hradec have not conceded a goal in 4 matches v 13th and lower.
  • On that latter basis and head to head basis, Hradec look obvious candidates here?

Sokolov v Vysehrad - 2.58 Sokolov

  • 16th v 11th, Sokolov are bottom of the league.
  • Only 1 win for Sokolov all season.
  • No win in 12 matches. scored and conceded last 6 at home. Conceded last 16 matches overall.
  • 2-1 loss to Vyseh last time these 2 met.
  • Vyseh ended pre-break with 2 consecutive wins.
  • Only 1 clean sheet for Vyseh.
  • They conceded last 12 matches.
  • Vyseh beat all of the bottom 4 at home but lost away to 15th 4-2.
  • Vyseh have only 1 away win.
  • Hence....2.58 the favourite. Vyseh we'd favour but they are poor away.
  • I would certainly lay any 2nd half 0-0.

Trinec v MFK Chrudim - 2.1 Trinec

  • 9th v 10th.
  • A loss and 2 1-1 draws at home for Trinec ended the pre-break set of matches.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Trinec conceded in their last 7 and last 8 at home.
  • 1-0 loss to MFK last time these 2 met.
  • That was the only loss for Trinec v 10th and lower.
  • 3 consecutive defeats and no win in 7 away for MFK ended the pre-Corona set of matches.
  • 100% defeats for MFK v the top 8 and they play 9th today.
  • On what we have, I would favour the home side, if form transfers after the 2 month break.
  • I would lay any 2nd half 0-0.

Lisen v FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim - 1.77 Lisen

  • 8th v 14th.
  • Only 1 loss in 6 for Lisen.
  • They scored in their last 7 and last 5 at home.
  • Lisen are unbeaten home and away v teams below them in the league. 1-2 win v Sellier last time these met.
  • On what we see, both teams could score with Lisen not losing.

CZECH 1 LIGA

17:00 - FK Jablonec v Zlin - 1.54 FK

  • FK Jablonec are unbeaten in the last 11 head to heads.

FK Jablonec - 3rd

  • No win in 3.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • Scored last 6 matches.
  • No 0-0 this season.
  • 2 of 3 home losses came v the top 2.
  • 0-1 win v Zlin last time these 2 met.
  • 100% wins at home v 11th and lower.
  • 18 of 27 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Zlin - 14th

  • Only 3 wins since 24th August 2019.
  • In 5 of the last 6 matches, Zlin conceded 2 goals.
  • No win in 8 away.
  • Not played the top 3 away, but have failed to beat any top 13 side away.

Conclusions

  • Zlin can't buy a win away v the top 13 and that could seal their fate.
  • Lay any late 0-0.
  • We expect a home win.

17:00 - Pribram v Banik Ostrava - 2.34 Banik

  • Only 1 recent head to head was a 3-0 home win for Banik Ostrava.

Pribram - 16th

  • Only 3 wins came before the 24th August 2019.
  • Failed to score in 8 of their last 9 matches.
  • No win in 17 matches.
  • Beat 3rd, 8th and 11th at home but as I say, all prior to 24th August 2019.
  • 3-0 loss to Banik last head to head.

Banik Ostrava - 4th

  • Only 1 loss in 9 matches came last match.
  • 3 consecutive away wins.
  • 3 consecutive away clean sheets.
  • Unbeaten home and away v 13th and lower.
  • 8 of 11 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • We must be with Banik if the home side continue to struggle to win.

17:00 - Slovacko v Sigma Olomouc - 2.32 Slovacko

  • The home team tends to prosper in head to heads.

Slovacko - 6th

  • Only 7 defeats.
  • Only 1 loss last 11 matches at home.
  • 3 consecutive clean sheets.
  • No 0-0 at home.
  • 2-2 last time these 2 met.
  • 2 home losses v 4th and 8th.

Sigma - 10th

  • 5 of 6 losses all season came away from home.
  • Scored last 7 matches.
  • Conceded last 5 away matches.
  • Only 2 wins away v 7th and 12th.
  • 11 of 16 goals scored away came 1st half.

Conclusions

  • Slovacko's home form was very solid before the break and if it continues, I'm with them today not to lose.

19:00 - Mlada Boleslav v Slavia Prague - 1.57 Slavia Prague

  • 8 consecutive Slavia Prague wins in head to heads.

Mlada Boleslav - 5th

  • 2 0-0's and a 2-3 away win ended the pre break set of matches.
  • Only 2 home losses came v 3rd and 7th.
  • Beat 2nd 2-1 at home, lost to 1st 1-0.
  • 2 goals scored in the 3 matches at home v the top 4.
  • 20 of 31 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Slavia Prague - 1st

  • Only 2 losses all season came away from home last 2 matches.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Losses away to 6th and 11th saw Slavia fail to score.
  • In the 5 other matches away v the top 9, Slavia kept clean sheets.

Conclusions

  • The cracks were starting to appear for Slavia Prague with 2 consecutive away losses without scoring so please do factor this into today's matches. Usually Slavia breeze it v the top 9 away, their opponents struggling to even score! Mlada did score 2 goals in matches v the top 4 at home which might lead to a surprise.