Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

7:45pm - B Munich v Porto  - 1.37 home

Standout Stats

  • 3-1 to Porto in the first leg, the first goal a penalty so perhaps flattering the scoreline.
  • The match was 2-1 at halftime.
  • 17 wins in 19 matches at home for Bayern in all competitions.
  • Bayern had kept 3 clean sheets prior to the 1st leg match with Porto.
  • 4 consecutive home wins to nil in the Champions League (CL) and another is required today.
  • Bayern require a 2-0 win to go through in the easiest way possible.
  • Porto are now unbeaten in 11 CL matches.Porto are unbeaten in 5 aways v Lille, Shakhtar Donetsk, Ath Bilbao, BATE and Basel. Not the kinds of teams you can really compare with Bayern Munich.
  • Only 4 teams have scored at least 2 goals against Porto in their last 10 away CL matches, PSG, Malaga, Atl Madrid, Shakhtar

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • It's clear. 2-0 to Bayern and they are through. Porto were flattered by an opening penalty making it 3-1 instead of 2-1. 2-1 sounds less emphatic. The away goal is a boon for Bayern. They must keep a clean sheet today otherwise their job gets so much more difficult.
  • Porto remain unbeaten in recent away CL matches but questionable quality of opponents when compared with Bayern Munich.
  • If Porto score, it's 4-1 on aggregate, and Bayern need a 3-1 to make the aggregate 4-4 and then another goal to win. 2-0 is achievable, 3 goals if Porto score ...less so.
  • A correct score win to nil is

7:45pm - Barcelona v Paris St-G  - 1.41 home

Standout Stats

  • 2 consecutive Barcelona 3-1 wins in CL head to heads.
  • Barca even scored the PSG goal when away to them
  • This should be game over. A 0-0 does Barcelona just fine today. A 0-1 is tolerable although very risky although at 3-3 aggregate, Barca go through on away goals.
  • It is clear that PSG are far poorer away from home in the CL.In their last 5 away, they have only beaten APOEL 0-1.
  • PSG have conceded 3 and 2 in their last 2 away CL matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • I can't quite see a PSG 0-3 as that is the only scoreline that will take them through in the easiest way. Angles in? Over 2.5 goals seems to be a good punt today but there is little value today unless PSG score first. Then Barcelona will HAVE to respond.

7:45pm - MK Dons v Doncaster - 1.51 home

Standout Stats

  • 2 0-0's in the last 3 head to heads and MK won the other 3-0.
  • This is 3rd v 13th in League One.A win takes MK Dons into the automatic promotion spot - 2nd.

MK Dons

  • 3 match winning streak at home
  • 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
  • 4-2-6 goals scored in their last 3 at home
  • 3-4-3-2-0-3-6 scored in recent matches.
  • 4 losses at home v 2nd, 6th, 12th and 15th.
  • 2 0-0's at home
  • 7 0-0's at halftime at home (33%)
  • 52 goals scored at home, 30 2nd half.


  • Scored in their last 5 away
  • Only 3 wins in their last 10 away matches.
  • 2 consecutive clean sheets.
  • Conceded 3 and 2 away to 1st and 2nd. Did beat 4th 0-1
  • 67% over 2.5 goals away
  • Only 1 0-0 away
  • 23 of 33 goals scored away 2nd half.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • 0-0 is in play here given the head to heads.
  • These 2 have a strong 2nd half goal scoring record so I'd expect away goals if the halftime scoreline is tight.
  • Nearly 2/3rd of matches over 2.5 goals for both teams could suggest there may not be a 0-0. I'll back 0-0 pre-match though.
  • MK Dons have the clear motivation for going 2nd and scoring readily so really this should not end 0-0.

7:45pm - Notts Co v Preston  - 1.67 away

Standout Stats

  • Preston are unbeaten in the last 7 League head to heads.
  • They have all been under 2.5 goals and Preston have kept 7 clean sheets in 7 League One matches.
  • This is 22nd v 2nd in League One. Notts county could go out of the relegation zone with a win. Preston stay 2nd with a win .

Notts County

  • No win in 10 and in 9 at home.
  • 4 draws in their last 5 home matches.
  • 5 draws in their last 6 matches.
  • Only 1 win at home v 18th and higher was against 9th 1-0.
  • Lost all home matches v top 8
  • Have only scored a maximum of one goal at home v 16th and higher.
  • Only 2 0-0's at home


  • No defeat in 16 matches and in 7 away
  • Scored in their last 27 matches and in 13 away
  • 5 draws in their last 7 matches were all score draws.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Beat 21st and 24th 0-2
  • No 0-0
  • 8 0-0's at halftime away
  • Only conceded 4 goals in the first half away. 33 goals scored away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • County simply can't score against Preston in the league in head to heads. Both sides are drawing too much and it's that part of the season where County will be fighting for his life.
  • Lay Notts county if they score first. They don't tend to score more than a single goal in a match v top teams. Indeed they have lost to all top 8 at home.