
7:45pm - Atl Madrid v Leverkusen - 1.74 home
Standout Stats
1-0 to Leverkusen in February in their previous Champions League ( CL) meeting.
Atl Madrid
- 3 consecutive draws saw 2 0-0's
- Only Barcelona have beaten them at home in their last 9 matches.
- No win in their last 4 matches.
- Only 2 defeats at home since February 2014.
- Failed to score in their last 2 CL matches, a 0-0 away at Juve and 1-0 away at Leverkusen.
- 5 clean sheets in the CL until the 1-0 last time out.
- 9 wins and a 0-0 draw with Chelsea in their last 10 home CL matches includes 1-0 wins v Juventus and Barcelona.
- 5 consecutive home cl clean sheets. They must not let Leverkusen score first, if at all.
Leverkusen
- Unbeaten in 6 in all competitions.
- 5 consecutive clean sheets includes the one against Ath. Madrid.
- 0-0-0-0-2-2-0 conceded in recent away matches. The teams they kept clean sheets against, on the whole, are not to the standard of 3rd in La Liga.
- Only 2 defeats in 9 matches were 1-0 v Monaco and 0-1 v Monaco .
- Leverkusen have been really tight in the CL, recently conceding 0-1-1-0-1-1-0-0. If they do that tonight, they will push the game into extra time worse case.
- Atl Madrid are the most high profile side Bayer will have played away lately, wins were v Copenhagen and Zenit
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Leverkusen did not concede an away goal so this is great platform for them today. if they score, Madrid need 3 to win.
- Madrid are really good at home, Leverkusen are not conceding more than 1 recently away. This should be a very tight match.
- Tough to figure out how the match will be played as the first goal is critical.
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7:45pm - Bristol City v Crewe - 1.38 home
Standout Stats
- 1-0 Crewe, 0-0, 1-0 Crewe in the last 3 League One head to heads.
- this is 1st v 19th and I guess the onus is with Crewe to get the 3 points.
- 11 points is the gap at the top, and complacency is a concern for City , and I hope they take a leaf out of NEC's book yesterday - they battered their opponents despite having a solid lead in their title race.
Bristol City
- No defeat in 6 overall and in 3 at home
- 3 consecutive home clean sheets.
- Only losses at home v 2nd and 5th
- 7 clean sheets in 9 matches at home to 13th and lower
- 5 clean sheets in 7 home matches.
- 7 wins in their last 9 home matches.
- 6 0-0's at halftime at home
- Scored 13 first half and 19 2nd half goals at home.
- Scored first in 14 of 18 matches at home
Crewe
- No draw in 10 away matches
- Conceded in their last 5 away matches.
- 4 match losing streak away
- Have lost away to all top 10 sides.
- Have only scored more than 1 goal in a single away match on 2 occasions.
- Failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- No 0-0 away
- 6 0-0's at halftime away
- 27 of 40 goals conceded away have come in the 2nd half.
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- This could be a 2nd half match so no surprises if 0-0 at halftime. Crewe overwhelmingly concede 2nd half away from home.
- When we hit March and your Bristol's, Juventus's and NEC's have built up a solid lead at the top of their respective leagues, the C word does come into play - complacency .
- With Bristol City keeping clean sheets, a hope they simply out-score Crewe . Crewe have lost away to top 10 sides and don't tend to score more than 1 goal away. So if they lead, I would lay them in the expectation that the next goal scored ( if any) comes from Bristol City.
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7:45pm - Monaco v Arsenal - 2.32 away
Standout Stats
- 1-3 to Monaco in the first leg means Arsenal must win 0-2 tonight to go through in the most straightforward way possible.
- Monaco need a 0-0 to go through this Champions League tie and a 1-0 should make Arsenal's task too difficult.
Monaco
- Breached at last! A team has scored more than 1 goal against Monaco, that team was PSV. Monaco have conceded 0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-1-1-0-1-0-2-1-0. The 2 was v PSG in the Coupe de france
- Still it's a mighty impreesive defensive display in all competitions.
- Monaco are tough cookies to break down at home, conceding 0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-1-0-0 in recent home matches.
- The impressive defending continues in the CL, conceding 0-0-0-1-0-0-1 since 2014
- 3 consecutive clean sheets at home in the CL
Arsenal
- 12 wins in 14 matches in all competitions, scoring at least 2 in those 12 wins.
- Scored and conceded in their last 5 away matches, with 3 consecutive 1-2 wins. Arsenal must not concede today though
- Have scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 CL matches.
- 1-2 and 1-4 wins in their last 2 away CL matches.
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- The value is in backing Arsenal to qualify here and in a 0-2 scoreline. That is also the optimist's route.
- Quite simply Arsenal must not concede and must score 2 to go through in the simplest way possible.
- Monaco's defence, though, is legendary and they will be very tough to beat. Back 0-0 pre-match and hope for a concerted period of 0-0.
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7:45pm - Raith v Hearts - 1.3 away
Standout Stats
- 0-4 and 1-0 for Hearts in head to heads this season. A lot tighter in the last match.
- This is 6th v 1st in the Scottish Championship
Raith
- Scored and conceded in their last 8 home matches.
- Only 1 win in 6 matches.
- With scoring and conceding being so rife at home, it follows that Raith's recent 2 wins were 2-1
- Let's look at Raith v Hearts, Hibs and Rangers, 0-4 loss, 0-4 loss, 1-1, 6-1 loss, 1-0 loss, 1-3 loss, 1-1, 1-2 loss. These 3 are a good gauge .
- 83% over 2.5 goals.
- Only 2 0-os's
Hearts
- Complacency a problem here. Some 17 points clear at the top.
- 6 match winning streak, 7 away
- No defeat in 13 away matches.
- Scored in their last 22 matches and last 10 away
- Conceded in their last 4 away matches.
- 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches.
- Failed to score in only 1 match.
- Only 1 0-0 came away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- The nearer we get to the end of the season, the more I am concerned with complacency from Hearts, particularly away from home. Such is their lead at the top, they can afford to lose and draw matches.
- But Raith have not beaten Hibs, Hearts and Rangers this season , the last 4 scorelines were 1-0, 1-3, 1-1, 1-2. 3 of those very tight affairs.
- Let's hope Raith score again and first. I would back Hearts if Raith scored first
- Over 2.5 goals is highly likely so back over 2.5 goals if the match happens to be 0-0 at halftime
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7:45pm - Rangers v Alloa - 1.27 home
Standout Stats
- 1-1, 1-1, 0-1 Rangers win in the last 3 Championship head to heads. Alloa have been really good.
- This is 3rd v 10th in the Scottish Championship
Rangers
- With 4th and 5th breathing down Rangers neck in 3rd, Rangers need to win when at home and expected to in order to enter the end of season play-offs.
- 4 consecutive draws, 3 of them were 1-1
- Scored and conceded in their last 2 matches.
- 2 consecutive home 1-1 draws
- Only Hearts and Hibs ( twice) have beaten Rangers at home.
- Both teams have scored in 69% of home matches
- No 0-0 at home
Alloa
- No draw in 5 overall and in 3 away
- Have only beaten Cowdenbeath away from home ( twice)
- Failed to score in 6 of their last 7 away matches.
- Very competitive away from home. Recent scorelines of 2-0, 2-0 ( Hibs and Hearts so no surprise), 1-0, 0-0, 1-0, 0-2, 1-0 so this is in line with head to heads. Interesting though that the big 2 scorelines were 2-0.
- Failed to score in 10 of their last 14 matches.
- Only 1 0-0 away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Alloa make themselves tough to beat yet lack the firepower to take advantage of relatively good defence. They seem " valiant' losers and could see teams taking until the 2nd half to break them down. Yet it seems inevitable.
- I will " do a Roma" today and take a chance on laying the draw with Rangers recently having 4 consecutive draws. At their best, Rangers should match Hibs and Hearts and win 2-0, yet this is not a Rangers at their best.
- 1-0, 2-0 looks the 2 scorelines today. 1-1 hangs over them like Damocles sword but I hope Alloa's inability to score in 10 of their last 14 returns today
- A 0-0 at halftime really would not surprise today .
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