My focus is on World Cup Asia qualifiers and there are some strong angles there. There are some enticing friendlies including Australia v Brazil at 11:05 am, and France v England. I am not getting involved in the France match. Australia though are very limited and should not be winning.
I am working through the tennis. I was a little tentative yesterday. Some of yesterdays researched matches were not played and are being played today so note that. I will be tweeting if there is a very strong tennis angle (e.g. Steve Johnson yesterday).
13:00 - Thailand v UAE - 1.67 UAE
- This is Group B in the World Cup Qualifiers Asia.
- Thailand have only one point from 7 matches. UAE are 4th, 7 points from the top 3.
- 1-2-3-4-2-3-4 goals conceded this campaign by Thailand. Poor stuff. All defeats bar a 2-2 draw v Australia.
- That was the only match in which Thailand scored 2 goals.
- Note Thailand have a new manager so we may see an improvement.
- No draw for UAE. UAE have beaten Japan, Thailand and Iraq... 3-1 UAE win v Thailand.
- UAE have lost away v Saudi Arabia and Australia. 3-0 and 2-0 away.
- Thailand have lost at home to Japan and Saudi Arabia and had the draw 2-2 v Australia.
- Note the new manager for Thailand. I tend to be wary about new managers. Strictly on form, Thailand will have trouble even scoring and should not be winning today. I would look to lay Thailand if Thailand scored first.
13:25 - Iraq v Japan - 1.42 Japan
- Iraq are struggling in Group B and Japan lead Group B in this World Cup Qualifier Asia.
- Japan beat Iraq at home 2-1 care of a 90th minute winner so there is a suggestion from this alone that this match could be a tight one early on.
- Iraq have only beaten Thailand and we see above that Thailand are a poor side.
- Iraq are actually competitive at home. 1-2 loss to Saudi Arabia, 4-0 win over Thailand, 1-1 v Australia. Iraq have scored.
- Japans only loss has come v the UAE.
- Since then, 5 wins and a 1-1 draw v Australia.
- Japan have not conceded 2 goals at least in their last 6 matches.
- Japan have an historically strong record away. 7 clean sheets in 8 aways from 2013, 2015, 2016.
- Iraq may score today so note that.
- I would consider a 1-1 or 1-2 today. Japan are the better side and should not lose so that is another angle into today's match.
14:45 - Syria v China - 2.22 China
- This is Group A in the World Cup qualifiers Asia.
- Iran, Korea and Uzbekistan dominate this Group A. Syria and China are struggling.
- In Syria matches there has not been a match above a 1-0 scoreline. This suggests backing 0-0 pre match and trading out hopefully at 0-0 at halftime.
- 0-0-1-0-0-1-0 scored by Syria in these qualifiers.
- 1-0-0-1-0-0-1 conceded by Syria in their qualifiers.
- 0-0, 0-0, 1-0 for Syria at home.
- China have only 1 win v Korea Republic.
- China have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 qualifiers.
- I think backing 0-0 pre match must have a chance today. That or backing 1-0 and 0-1 and hoping for a goal.
20:00 - Qatar v South Korea - 1.7 South Korea
- South Korea have a great chance of qualifying in 2nd spot in Group A.
- A single win for Qatar was 1-0 v Syria.
- Qatar have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
- No draw for Qatar in 8 home world cup qualifiers.
- 0-1 loss v Uzbekistan, 1-0 win v Syria and 0-1 loss v Iran at home for Qatar.
- Korea have only 2 losses which were 1-0 away v Iran and China.
- 0-0-0 scored by Korea in 3 aways.
- I think Korea are the better side here but they do have trouble scoring away from home. That said, Qatar are poor and South Korea may be able to end that goal-less sequence.
- I would back 0-0 pre match and hope for a long period of 0-0. If this continues to halftime I would trade out, then back 0-1 South Korea for the second half.
I was a bit hesitant yesterday about tennis trading. Steve Johnson though did oblige. Jelena Jankovic was as poor as ever though.
Please look at yesterdays research as some of the matches are being played today. This is a problem with the tennis. The times of matches are not clear.
Basilashvili v Gojowcyk - 1.76 Gojo
- 61st v 139th.
- Gojo won a 2016 head to head in straight sets.
- I mention Basil as I remember him from the French Open. He beat Gilles Simon in 4 sets and beat Troicki in 3 tie breaker sets.
- In Lyon, Basil beat Coric, Seppi and Kicker and lost to Tsonga in the semi-final.
- Gojo has had to go through qualifiers to get to Stuttgart.
- For me, I would lay Gojo if he wins the first set, based on Basils solid enough clay court form, beating solid yardsticks (albeit this is grass today).
Feliciano Lopez v Gilles Simon - 1.53 Lopez
- 40th v 30th. Tight rankings.
- Last head to head was 2017 Lopez win in 3 sets.
- 5 tie breaker sets in the last 4 head to heads between these 2 teams.
- Lopez beat Simon in Madrid this year in 3 sets as I say above. He lost to Ferrer in Rome and beat Ferrer in the French Open.
- 63rd and 42nd ranked players have been beaten by Simon recently.
- Tough to call this one but for me, Simon has the weaker form. I would lay Simon if Simon wins the first set and with the amount of tie breakers between these 2, it is a possibility.
Baghdatis v Kohlschreiber, Mayer v Chardy and Stephane Robert v Bernard Tomic - see the DRT Bulletin for yesterday.
Pliskova v Kontaveit - 1.58 Konta
- 57th v 73rd in the rankings.
- 1-0 Pliskova in the 2014 head to head.
- Looking at very recent form, Pliskova is poor, and lost in the first leg in the French Open.
- Kontaveit reached the quarter finals on clay in Rome and beat some really solid yard sticks. She lost to Muguruza in the French Open and actually won the first set.
- I must be with Kontaveit on form, and do realise this is grass and not clay. Pliskova tends to perform better on carpet and hard. I would lay Pliskova if Pliskova won the first set.
Dolgopolov v Darcis - 1.73 Dolgo
- 82nd v 53rd.
- No head to heads since 2012.
- Both players had a tough French Open, with Dolgo losing to Wawrinka and Darcis losing to Raonic.
- I would lay Dolgopolov if Dolgo wins the first set. He is talented but very inconsistent. But this is not a top priority match for me.
M Youzhny v Kokkanikis - 1.6 Youzhny
- Kokkanikis is coming back into tennis and on that basis I will argue as I argued when he took on Nishikori. He is an unknown to todays opponent and on that basis Youzhny must be opposed as an odds on favourite in case he cannot figure out Kokkanikis. Kokkanikis did win the first set v Nishikori.
Kiki Bertens v Petkovic - 1.5 Bertens
- 20th v 78th. I guess the market is reluctant to price Bertens shorter because this is a transition from clay to grass.
- Bertens had superb clay form, semi finals in Rome and winner in Nurnberg.
- Petkovics form is poor recently.
- I would lay Petkovic if Petkovic wins the first set. I hope Bertens continues her excellent form.
Witthoeft v Vanderweghe - 1.28 Vander
- 69th v 23rd.
- Witthoeft won in 2015 head to head.
- Witthoeft is a German playing in Germany.
- I dont have any strong form patterns for these 2 so note the odds and have a look if Vanderweghe loses the first set.
Ozaki v Mladenovic - 1.15 Mladenovic
- 70th v 19th.
- no head to heads.
- Ozaki has tended to struggle to even get through qualifiers for WTA events. She has had 3 3 set losses in her last 4 so must be opposed if winning the first set.
- Mladenovic reached the quarter finals in the French Open and should be winning, despite the transition from clay to grass.
Korpatsch v Konjuh - 1.27 Konjuh
- 140th v 35th.
- Korpatsch is German and may play above herself at home.
- Korpatsch got here through qualifiers.
- Konjuhs form is questionable. Losing to Jelena Jankovic who was very poor yesterday suggests possibly vulnerability. I would look to lay Konjuh if she wins the first set.
Barty v maria - 1.29 Barty
- 85th v 103rd.
- No head to heads.
- Both players did not last long in the French Open. Maria reached the final in a Challenger in Marseille on clay.
- For me, 85th in the world at 1.29 is far too short for me. I would lay here in the hope the tightish rankings produce a tight match. Better to lay her if she wins first set as then we have ultra short odds.
Konta v Moore - 1.09 Konta
- 7th v 149th.
- 2 Brits in Nottingham.
- This should be a 2-0 Konta. She did lose to Hsieh in the French Open. Hsieh won easily yesterday on grass so is in good nick.
Yastremska v Rybarikova - 1.21 Rybar
- 420th v 384th.
- Both players played on grass in Surbiton with Yastremska reaching the round of 32 and Rybarikova winning the tournament beating Heather Watson in the Final. She also beat Rodina and Dodin and despite the poor rankings suggesting Rybarikova is untrustworthy, she obviously has some good grass form and should win today in Nottingham. Lay Yastremska if she wins the first set.
Riske v Watson - 1.74 Riske
- 39th v 111th.
- 2-0 to Heather on hard 2013 and 2015.
- Watson is limited but playing at home and could offer some resistance to a Riske losing to Jankovic, Bertens and Strycova recently.
- Watson had a reasonably easy run of it into the Final in Surbiton on Grass.
- Riske should win on rankings and could be layable if she wins first set based on Heather playing at home.