DRT Daily Research Bulletin, January 7, 2021

I will do a review/preview video at DRT Facebook. As well as these league matches, the Copa Del Rey is being played today. It has been a minefield, wondering if Primeira Liga teams will play to expectations (or not, see Atletico Madrid, Getafe et al).
PORTUGUESE PRIMEIRA LIGA
18:30 - Nacional v Sporting Lisbon - 1.50 Sporting Lisbon
Nacional - 9th
- Only 3 wins, one came last match.
- 3 losses in 4 matches.
- Scored in their last 4 home matches.
- Not beaten a top 8 side.
- 5/8 goals conceded at home came 1st half.
Sporting Lisbon - 1st
- Unbeaten.
- All wins away bar a 2-2.
- 2+ goals scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- Conceded last 2 away.
- No 0-0 at halftime away.
- Scored first all away.
- Led at halftime 5/6 away.
- 10/14 goals scored away came 1st half.
Conclusions
- Sporting should remain unbeaten and in scoring their likely 2 goals have a great chance of the win.
- Based on Sporting, lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
21:00 - Braga v Maritimo - 1.33 Braga
Braga - 4th
- No draw.
- 3/4 defeats came away.
- 4 consecutive home wins.
- Failed to score in only 2 matches.
- 3 consecutive home clean sheets.
Maritimo - 7th
- 2 wins and a draw last 3 matches.
- 0-0 last match.
- Scored and conceded last 5 away.
- Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
- Only 2 away wins v 2nd and 16th.
- 2 goals conceded in all bar 1 away match.
Conclusions
- Despite winning their last match away, Maritimo tend to concede 2 goals away from home and that should seal their fate.
- Lay any late 0-0. Will Maritimo really have a 2nd consecutive 0-0?
GREEK SUPER LEAGUE
15:15 - Aris Thessaloniki v Volos - 1.5 Aris
Aris Thessaloniki - 2nd
- Only 2 losses - one came last match.
- Only 1 home loss came v 1st in the league.
- 8 clean sheets this season.
- Scored in their last 6 at home.
- Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
- v the top 8, all 5 wins were 1-0.
- 7/9 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
- 4/5 goals conceded at home came 1st half.
Volos - 6th
- Only 3 defeats.
- 3 draws and a win last 4 matches.
- Only 1 win in 9 matches came last home match 1-0.
- 4 score draws and a loss last 5 away matches.
- Scored and conceded last 6 away matches.
- Not beaten the top 9 home or away but did score and conceded away v the top 8.
- 6 goals scored away last 15 minutes of matches.
Conclusions
- We have Aris beating the top 8 1-0 and playing a 6th placed side today scoring and conceding without beating the top 8 away. Conflicting form.
- Do we lay Aris if they lead? It could be a bet to nothing of we cover the 1-0 by laying over 1.5 goals.
15:15 - OFI Crete v Lamia - 1.60 OFI Crete
OFI Crete - 9th
- 3 losses in 4 matches.
- Loss, Win, Loss, Loss at home recently.
- Only 1 clean sheet.
- Conceded last 7 at home.
- Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
- Beaten the bottom 2 away.
- 5 of 7 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
Lamia - 14th
- Only 1 win came last match.
- 3 away losses.
- Only 2 clean sheets.
- Failed to score in 5 of their last 7 matches.
- No 0-0 at halftime away.
Conclusions
- OFI Crete are in decent nick v the bottom 1/3rd sides and with 2 wins already AWAY v the bottom 2, this could be replicated with home advantage.
- Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
17:30 - Atromitos v PAOK - 1.70 PAOK
Atromitos - 10th
- 3 draws and 2 losses last 5 matches.
- Loss, Draw, Draw at home.
- 2-2 v 2nd at home, 1-0 win v 4th at home.
- 6/8 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.
PAOK - 3rd
- Only 1 win came away.
- Loss, draw last 2 away.
- Failed to score in only 2 matches.
- 3-3-2-1 goals scored away v 8th and lower. 1-1 last head to head.
- 6 goals scored away came 76th-90th minute.
Conclusions
- I expect PAOK not to lose. They do concede but a score draw is worst case for PAOK.
TURKISH SUPER LEAGUE
16:00 - Fenerbahce v Alanyaspor - 2.14 Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce - 5th
- 2 consecutive wins, scoring 7 goals.
- 3 consecutive home losses ended last match.
- No draw in 12.
- Conceded last 6 at home.
- Opponents scored first in 5/7 home matches.
- Lost to 1st and 2nd this season, conceding 3 goals.
- 9/12 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
Alanyaspor - 3rd
- Only 2 wins in 7 matches.
- 4 consecutive away defeats.
- Failed to score in only 2 matches.
- Beat 2nd at home, 4th away and 6th at home.
- 6/9 goals scored away came 2nd half.
Conclusions
- Alanyaspor are suddenly on a 4 match away losing run. A perfect time for Fenerbahce to catch them, seeing as they have scored 7 goals in 2 matches. A far cry from the usual 3 goals they concede v the top 2 (playing 3rd today).
- Fenerbahce are strong 2nd half scorers.
- Alanyaspor have failed to score in only 2 matches so may score today. What are you with? The recent form (Fener) or seasonal form? (Alayaspor wins v 2nd, 4th and 6th).