Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

I will do a review/preview video at DRT Facebook. As well as these league matches, the Copa Del Rey is being played today. It has been a minefield, wondering if Primeira Liga teams will play to expectations (or not, see Atletico Madrid, Getafe et al).

PORTUGUESE PRIMEIRA LIGA

18:30 - Nacional v Sporting Lisbon - 1.50 Sporting Lisbon

Nacional - 9th

  • Only 3 wins, one came last match.
  • 3 losses in 4 matches.
  • Scored in their last 4 home matches.
  • Not beaten a top 8 side.
  • 5/8 goals conceded at home came 1st half.

Sporting Lisbon - 1st

  • Unbeaten.
  • All wins away bar a 2-2.
  • 2+ goals scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • Conceded last 2 away.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Scored first all away.
  • Led at halftime 5/6 away.
  • 10/14 goals scored away came 1st half.

Conclusions

  • Sporting should remain unbeaten and in scoring their likely 2 goals have a great chance of the win.
  • Based on Sporting, lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

21:00 - Braga v Maritimo - 1.33 Braga

Braga - 4th

  • No draw.
  • 3/4 defeats came away.
  • 4 consecutive home wins.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • 3 consecutive home clean sheets.

Maritimo - 7th

  • 2 wins and a draw last 3 matches.
  • 0-0 last match.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Only 2 away wins v 2nd and 16th.
  • 2 goals conceded in all bar 1 away match.

Conclusions

  • Despite winning their last match away, Maritimo tend to concede 2 goals away from home and that should seal their fate.
  • Lay any late 0-0. Will Maritimo really have a 2nd consecutive 0-0?

GREEK SUPER LEAGUE

15:15 - Aris Thessaloniki v Volos - 1.5 Aris

Aris Thessaloniki - 2nd

  • Only 2 losses - one came last match.
  • Only 1 home loss came v 1st in the league.
  • 8 clean sheets this season.
  • Scored in their last 6 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • v the top 8, all 5 wins were 1-0.
  • 7/9 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • 4/5 goals conceded at home came 1st half.

Volos - 6th

  • Only 3 defeats.
  • 3 draws and a win last 4 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 9 matches came last home match 1-0.
  • 4 score draws and a loss last 5 away matches.
  • Scored and conceded last 6 away matches.
  • Not beaten the top 9 home or away but did score and conceded away v the top 8.
  • 6 goals scored away last 15 minutes of matches.

Conclusions

  • We have Aris beating the top 8 1-0 and playing a 6th placed side today scoring and conceding without beating the top 8 away. Conflicting form.
  • Do we lay Aris if they lead? It could be a bet to nothing of we cover the 1-0 by laying over 1.5 goals.

15:15 - OFI Crete v Lamia - 1.60 OFI Crete

OFI Crete - 9th

  • 3 losses in 4 matches.
  • Loss, Win, Loss, Loss at home recently.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Conceded last 7 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Beaten the bottom 2 away.
  • 5 of 7 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Lamia - 14th

  • Only 1 win came last match.
  • 3 away losses.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in 5 of their last 7 matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.

Conclusions

  • OFI Crete are in decent nick v the bottom 1/3rd sides and with 2 wins already AWAY v the bottom 2, this could be replicated with home advantage.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

17:30 - Atromitos v PAOK - 1.70 PAOK

Atromitos - 10th

  • 3 draws and 2 losses last 5 matches.
  • Loss, Draw, Draw at home.
  • 2-2 v 2nd at home, 1-0 win v 4th at home.
  • 6/8 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

PAOK - 3rd

  • Only 1 win came away.
  • Loss, draw last 2 away.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • 3-3-2-1 goals scored away v 8th and lower. 1-1 last head to head.
  • 6 goals scored away came 76th-90th minute.

Conclusions

  • I expect PAOK not to lose. They do concede but a score draw is worst case for PAOK.

TURKISH SUPER LEAGUE

16:00 - Fenerbahce v Alanyaspor - 2.14 Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce - 5th

  • 2 consecutive wins, scoring 7 goals.
  • 3 consecutive home losses ended last match.
  • No draw in 12.
  • Conceded last 6 at home.
  • Opponents scored first in 5/7 home matches.
  • Lost to 1st and 2nd this season, conceding 3 goals.
  • 9/12 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Alanyaspor - 3rd

  • Only 2 wins in 7 matches.
  • 4 consecutive away defeats.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Beat 2nd at home, 4th away and 6th at home.
  • 6/9 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Alanyaspor are suddenly on a 4 match away losing run. A perfect time for Fenerbahce to catch them, seeing as they have scored 7 goals in 2 matches. A far cry from the usual 3 goals they concede v the top 2 (playing 3rd today).
  • Fenerbahce are strong 2nd half scorers.
  • Alanyaspor have failed to score in only 2 matches so may score today. What are you with? The recent form (Fener) or seasonal form? (Alayaspor wins v 2nd, 4th and 6th).