Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

Throughout the coming days there will be dead rubber matches. Teams playing cannot possibly qualify for the World Cup or have already qualified (Belgium the best example). So stick to motivated teams with something to play for. I will try and tweet throughout the day. The tennis continues to provide the odd profit. Kevin Anderson the most recent example - losing the first set, winning the next. See you on Twitter throughout the day. I will do a shortlist of matches at DRT Facebook.

13:30 - Syria v Australia - 1.88 Australia

  • This is a round 4 2 legged play off. It is the scoreline after 2 matches which determines the result so logically we will be in a better position after this match is played as then we will have a clear picture as to what is required from both sides.
  • Syria's last 3 World Cup qualifiers were punctuated by 4 goals in total on average, and both teams scoring without Syria losing.
  • Syria are unbeaten in 7 home World Cup qualifiers but they have played the likes of Afghanistan and Cambodia!
  • Australia had a fairly good run of it in their group, dominating proceedings along with Japan, who inflicted the only defeat upon the Aussies.
  • Australia have had 3 score draws and a loss away in qualifiers so are questionable travellers.
  • 8 wins and a 1-1 draw with Japan suggests the Aussies will be seeking qualification via the home leg in Sydney.
  • It would not surprise me to see Australia not win today. They may score draw though as that has been a habit of theirs this campaign.

17:00 - Armenia v Poland - 1.26 Poland

  • A very poor 2-1 Polish win in the last head to head saw and own goal and a 90th minute winner for the Poles.
  • Poland top Group E in what is a 3 team group now.
  • Only 3 draws in qualifiers for the Armenians since 2001.
  • 3 consecutive defeats for the Armenians.
  • The Armenians beat Montenegro at home (2nd in the group) so can produce a shock result.
  • 6 wins in 7 for Poland and then a sudden 4-0 spanking by Denmark in the Poles' last away match.
  • The Poles should win but do watch out here as they faltered v the Danes away and Armenia beat Montenegro at home. Lewandowski the likely scorer today.

17:00 - Azerbaijan v Czech Republic - 1.9 Czech Republic

  • Group C is Northern Ireland and Germany. These 2 teams take up 3rd and 4th and as far as I know cannot qualify (unless they have a best 3rd place as well as a best 2nd place).
  • Czech's only defeats have come v 1st and 2nd so I would expect them not to lose, if they are motivated enough of course.
  • It was 0-0 the last time these 2 met.

19:45 - England v Slovenia - 1.36 England

  • 0-0 in the last head to head.
  • England lead Group F by 5 points. Slovenia are 6 points shy of England.
  • England have not lost a world cup qualifier at home since 2012.
  • England have scored 2+ goals in the last 5 qualifiers.
  • 18 wins and a 1-1 draw at home in qualifiers for England.
  • England have scored 2+ goals in each of the last 8 home matches.
  • Slovenia have lost their last 2 away matches 1-0 and are likely to be defensively led today.
  • Scotland's goal was an 88th minute goal. Slovakia's goal was an 81st minute own goal.
  • Watch out for a possible long term 0-0 here, even til halftime. If 0-0 at halftime I would back 1-0 and 2-0 2nd half.

19:45 - Malta v Lithuania - 2.14 Lithuania

  • Lithuania's only win was a 2-0 v Malta.
  • Malta have only scored 2 goals in all defeats.
  • Group F is sown up. The only usefulness these 2 teams have is as a points collecting task for the other sides.

19:45 - Montenegro v Denmark - 2.18 Denmark

  • In contrast with the above match, it is all to play for here in Group E with a stuttering Poland only 3 points ahead of Montenegro and Denmark on equal points.
  • Montenegro beat Denmark 0-1 the last time these 2 teams met.
  • Both sides have lost to Poland and both sides have had 2 defeats only. As mentioned above for Denmark ; Montenegro also lost away to Armenia.
  • Denmark have now scored 3-4-4 goals in 3 matches. They beat Poland comprehensively at home and won 1-3 and 1-4 away v Kazakhstan and Armenia. That is about the same scoreline that Montenegro achieved at home v the same sides.
  • An intriguing match and a feeling, from me, that the Danes may just edge it on their battering of the Poles, albeit with home advantage.
  • This is the determining match for these 2.They have better goal difference to Poland who, if losing, could be enveloped by the winner here. Identical goal difference for these 2 means a score draw won't do. A win secures.
  • Lay any late draw in that case.

19:45 - Northern Ireland v Germany - 1.32 Germany

  • 0-1 and 2-0 Germany in the last 2 head to heads.
  • 2nd v 1st in Group C, these 2 cannot be caught at the top of the group.
  • Northern Ireland are guaranteed 2nd spot and are unlikely really to topple Germany and automatically qualify. They are banking on best 2nd spot.
  • 5 consecutive clean sheets for NI is hugely impressive. Germany at home did score 2 goals within 20 minutes v NI.
  • Germany have not conceded 2 goals yet in the qualifiers and have a 100% record.
  • An intriguing match. A must win for Northern Ireland.
  • Note that in ALL Germany matches, the first goal has come within 20 minutes.

19:45 - Romania v Kazakhstan - 1.24 Romania

  • This is effectively a dead rubber in Group E, with Poland, Denmark and Montenegro the 3 playing for qualification.
  • No win yet for Borat's boys. It is not 'sexy time' for the Kazaks. 0-0 the last time these 2 met though.
  • Romania's sole wins have come v Armenia.
  • The Kazaks failed to score in 3 of their last 4 aways.
  • 1-0-0-1 scored by Romania.
  • 0-0 looks backable here pre match and a hope these two teams' spluttering attack keeps spluttering.
  • Romania's odds are terribly short for a team with such a poor record.

19:45 - San Marino v Norway - 1.06 Norway

  • Little to get excited about here as neither team are heading to the World Cup.

19:45 - Scotland v Slovakia - 2.52 Scotland

  • 4th and 2nd in Group F and England can be caught, highly unlikely as they play Lithuanis.
  • This is a must win match with 2nd, 3rd and 4th within a point of each other.
  • 3 wins and a 2-2 v England sees Scotland in the Braveheart zone.
  • Slovakia worryingly did beat Scotland 3-0 away earlier in the campaign and that was the same scoreline England inflicted on the Scots.
  • Well the Scots nearly beat England in the return fixture so there is hope there today with home advantage.
  • Slovakia have only lost to England (1-0 and 1-2) and Slovenia (1-0) So are a tough nut to crack.
  • They have not had a draw this season and that may be an angle.
  • Too tough to call. I do love what Scotland did at home v England to avoid the double defeat to them. But then we had the history between the sides.
  • Slovakia do look a little more clinical here.

21:00 - Bolivia v Brazil - 1.97 Brazil

  • Ordinarily Brazil are warm order but Bolivia is 12, 000 feet above sea level. The advantage can be telling.
  • A dead rubber for a Brazil side who cannot be caught at the top of the group.
  • Bolivia cannot move from their current position even if winning the 2 remaining group fixtures.
  • This match is therefore a dead rubber and best left alone.
  • Brazil did spank Bolivia 5-0 at home but Bolivia have won their last 3 at home without conceding, including beating the likes of Argentina and Chile.

22:00 - Venezuela v Uruguay - 1.72 Uruguay

  • Venezuela have had an horrific World Cup qualifying campaign.Uruguay are 2nd in the group to Brazil.
  • Only 1 win in 16 for Venezuela.
  • Only 1 loss at home for Venezuela was v Brazil. They drew at home 2-2 v Argentina, and Peru.
  • Venezuela are competitive at home.
  • Chile, Brazil and Peru have beaten Uruguay recently. Uruguay have scored and conceded in 6 of 7 aways and only won 1.
  • An interesting match with desire firmly on the side of a faltering away side.