4 International friendlies today make little appeal. At 19:00, we have Luxembourg v Senegal with the Senegalese 1.44 favourites. That would be a shorties match for me. Luxembourg in recent friendlies had a run of 3 wins v Albania, Hungary and Malta.. The last African opponents they played were Nigeria in May 2016 and they lost 1-3.
Senegal are World Cup bound so expect a good performance from them.0-0, 1-1, 0-0 last 3 matches suggests a defensive bent. 3 clean sheets in 4 friendlies suggests same. I would look to Senegal not losing today.
At 19:45 Slovakia take on the Netherlands with the Netherlands at 2.2 favourite. One of these teams did not qualify for the World Cup 2018. The Netherlands! Likely we may see an experimental Netherlands side tonight in a match very hard to call.
Netherlands have been excellent in recent friendlies. With 5 wins and a 0-1 loss to England. 4 clean sheets in 5 matches too so expect them to be tough to score against today?
Slovakia have only 2 losses in friendlies since March 2013. They have even beaten Germany in a friendly in May 2016.
Most recently, 0-0, 0-0, 2-1 loss, 1-0 win. 3 clean sheets in 4 matches.
What chance a back of 0-0 pre match here? I tend to trade out if 0-0 at halftime. If both of these sides bring their defensive strengths to this match, it might have legs.
The other 2 friendlies make little appeal.
The French Open continues today. I am in the rather exciting position of having to queue up for a lifetime for a Visa. Not only that, I also get the chance to hand over my hard-earned to the Government for said visa. I may therefore be unable to trade the French Open tennis today @drtclub. If I can extricate myself from this queue early enough, I will be tweeting @drtclub. Some good calls yesterday I thought despite a limited choice of matches.
I am guessing that www.matchstat.com do not have the rights to follow the French Open because they have no coverage of this Grand Slam at their website. This makes research difficult as I would like French Open form as well as recent clay court form.
Magdalena Rybarikova v Belinda Bencic - 1.56 Rybarikova
- 20th v 98th. The market goes with the rankings.
- The 2 head to heads are 1-1 and 3 setters. Expectation for 3 sets particularly if Bencic wins the first set?
Denis Shapovalov v Maximilian Marterer - 1.38 Shapovalov
- Nice profit already from Denis.
- Denis semis in Madrid on clay and losing to Nadal in Rome. Marterer a semi finalist in Munich.
- Both players 3-0 in their first round. Shapovalov was losing in his first set and actually won the set.
- I would certainly be keener to lay Marterer if Marterer leads 1-0 or 2-0.
Garbiñe Muguruza v Fiona Ferro - 1.07 Muguruza
- 3rd v 257th. It should be as easy as the odds suggest for Mug today.
- Ferro is an ITF player who should not land a blow. So back Mug if she plays like a Mug, at higher odds.
Marin Cilic - Hubert Hurkacz - 1.08 Cilic
- Hubert is predominantly a Challenger tour player. Cilic was a quarter finalist in Monte Carlo and a semi finalist in Rome and should have an easy encounter. As with Muguruza, if Cilic's odds rise significantly in play, back him.
- Usually with the likes of Muguruza, Cilic et al, I tend to lay sub 1.1 shots. I suppose in the men's game it is even more appealing.
Daria Gavrilova v Bernarda Pera - 1.86 Daria
- No strong opinion here suffice to say we should look to lay the first set winner when matches see a near evens favourite.
Heather Watson v Elise Mertens - 1.15 Mertens
- 16th seed Mertens plays Our 'Evver who is unseeded. 3 set Mertens win in 2018 in Hobart might give Guernsey's finest a look in today.She won the 2nd set on that occasion. If you want to lay Elise after she wins the first set, you are guaranteed very short odds and liability.
- Form for these 2 is contrasting. Heather has been on 7 match losing run, Mertens 8 consecutive recent wins.
Jan-Lennard Struff v Steve Johnson - 1.69 Steve
- This is tough to call based on pre-Grand Slam clay court form.
- Quarters for Struff in Budapest and Munich, took Zverev to 3 sets in Monte Carlo. Johnson won the Houston clay court event (admittedly it may have lacked strength in depth).
- Semi Final for Johnson on clay in Geneva.
- Too tough for me to call this one.
Fabio Fognini v Elias Ymer - 1.21 Foggy
- Foggy is continuing the clay court form of his home tournament in Rome.
- 18th v 122nd.
- Foggy won in 3 sets in Stockholm in 2017, losing the 2nd set and winning the 3rd in a tie breaker.
- Could Ymer provide some resistance today on a different surface?
- Quarters in Rome for Foggy, Semis in Geneva. With the momentum I will stick with Foggy today although I know he will not be winning the French Open.
- If you fancy a repeat of Stockholm, lay Foggy if he wins the first set.
Samantha Stosur v Anastasia Pavlyuchenkov - 1.68 Ana
- With Stosur you will always get a fighter, a bit like Ferrer and Schiavone.
- 41st v 15th.
- The last 2 head to heads have been 3 setters won by both players. The last 2 have also seen a tie breaker set so this suggests that we lay the first set winner today as one of these head to heads was in Madrid this year and Stosur won.
Marton Fucsovics v Kyle Edmund - 1.38 Kyle
- It would be disappointing for me if Kyle does not win today.
- 50th v 85th.
- Quarters in Estoril, and Madrid for Edmund beating solid yard sticks Djokovic and Goffin. Good form.
- Fucs won in Geneva.
- No surprise if Fucs takes a set but I think Edmund should be eyeing the win if he can replicate that superb Madrid clay court form.
Malek Jaziri v Richard Gasquet - 1.2 Gasquet
- One of the top French players at home, Gasquet should take this. Malek Jaziri has good form on his day.
- 98th v 31st.
- Jaziri was a finalist on clay in Istanbul beating the likes of Cilic. He took Dimitrov to 3 sets in Barcelona on clay, and Edmund to 3 sets in Rome.
- I feel he could have one or two tight sets today v Gasquet. Lay Gasquet at the off at 1.21 or hope Gasquet wins the first set so you have an even shorter lay? Jaziri may not win the match but may be competitive.
Simona Halep v Taylor Townsend - 1.09 Simona
- 1st v 95th.
- 1-0 Halep head to heads.
- Quarters, Quarters, Finals on clay for Halep in her warm up tournaments. Taylor has only had 2 clay court matches.
- Should be as straightforward as the odds suggest.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich v Kiki Bertens - 1.18 Bertens
- Kiki must be followed while 1) she is on a good run (like last year) and 2) while the market is still sweet on her.
Shuai Peng v Caroline Garcia - 1.18 Garcia
- Despite the surname, Garcia is French so should be boosted by home support.
- 27th v 8th. Peng is short enough ranked to offer some resistance.
- Indeed in the last 2 head to heads on hard, 3 set Garcia win and 2-0 Peng win.
- Semi, Semi, quarters for Garcia on clay pre-Roland Garros sees recent form, on this surface, favouring her.