That was more like it last night. A good live chat ending with a nice short odds lay of the draw in the Roma match. Gawd Bless Totti and his 95th minute penalty! A 1.1 lay the end the day. Fiorentina also did what Arsenal couldn't - come back from 1-0 to win 1-2. Bit quieter tonight.

19:00 - Moreirense v Feirense - 2.24 Moreirense

• Moreirense have won the last 2 head to heads. This is the Portugeuse Primera Liga.
• Ordinarily I would not focus on these teams but it is a quiet day.

Moreirense 100% stats

• No 0-0.

Moreirense other stats

• Only 2 draws.
• Only 3 clean sheets.
• Failed to score in only 2 of 11 matches.
• No draw in 10 matches.
• Only 1 loss home and away v teams 12th and lower. Feirense are 13th.
• Scored 7 of 8 home goals 2nd half.

Feirense 100% stats

• No away 0-0.

Feirense other stats

• 3 clean sheets last 4 matches.
• 3 consecutive away defeats.
• Conceded in their last 7 away.
• All wins bar 1 came v teams 15th and lower. Moreirense are 14th.

Conclusions

• And this is why I tend to focus on teams I know in these peripheral leagues!
• Lay any late 0-0.
• And that's it!

21:00 - Rio Ave v Braga - 2.58 Rio Ave

• Rio Ave are unbeaten in the last 3 head to heads in the Portugeuse Primera Liga.
• Note the odds. 2.58 for the favourite suggests the market is torn between the 2 teams.

Rio Ave 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• All 3 matches played v top 5 teams saw at least 1 team score 3 goals.
• No over 4.5 goals matches at home.

Rio Ave other stats

• 3 losses and a draw last 4 matches.
• Failed to score in only 3 matches.
• Conceded last 7 home matches.
• Scored and conceded last 4 home matches.
• Only 1 win at home v teams above them. 3-1-3-2-2 goals conceded in those matches.

Sporting Braga 100% stats

• No over 4.5 goals matches away.
• No away matches with exactly 3 or 5+ goals.

Sporting Braga other stats

• 5 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches away.
• 1-0, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0 last 4 away matches.
• 4 clean sheets last 6 matches.
• Failed to score in only 3 matches.
• Unbeaten home and away v 8th and lower (Rio Ave are 10th).

Conclusions

• Rio Ave could score and concede today (despite Braga's poor form last 4 away matches) and not win.
• I would lay Rio Ave if Rio Ave score first as they tend to concede 2 goals v top teams at home.

19:45 - Huddersfield v Brighton - 2.8 Huddersfield

• It seems to be a theme this week. Another match with a big odds favourite suggests the market cannot split these English Championship teams.
• 2 top 5 teams.

Huddersfield 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• Not met top 4 at home.
• All home wins by 1 (8 matches) or 2 (1 match) goals.
• All home losses by 1 goal.
• No over 3.5 goals at home.

Huddersfield other stats

• Only 1 loss in 9 matches.
• Scored last 7 at home.

Brighton 100% stats

• Wins away by 1 goal (6 matches) or 2 goals (1 match).
• No defeats by 1 goal this season.

Brighton other stats

• Only 3 defeats.
• Failed to score in only 5 matches.
• Scored 2 goals away v 3rd and 6th.

Conclusions

• Something of an unknown as Huddersfield have yet to meet the top 4 at home so we have no hint as to how they play the best at home.
• Don't expect a 0-0 today.
• Both sides have a fair proportion of 0-0's at halftime. So expect goals if 0-0 at halftime. Brighton, at their best, could score 2 goals today.
• I re-iterate that the betting market suggests that this is a too-tight-to-call match.

20:00 - Celta Vigo v Alaves - 1.74 Celta Vigo

• A 1-0 Celta win earlier this year in Spanish Primera Liga.
• This is the First Leg of the Copa Del Rey and I am not going to research this match until the second leg when we have a clear indication of what specifically each team needs to do to progress.
• It is but 'halftime' today and therefore not a must win, rather a must-not-lose-by-too-much!