Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

I will do a review/preview video at DRT Facebook and Telegram throughout the day. I really don't want what those Dutch teams were smoking last night!!

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

20:00 - Tottenham v Liverpool - 2.25 Liverpool

  • No indepth research here as 2 top 5 teams clash.
  • Liverpool have no win in 5 matches, failing to score in 4 matches. They did score 2 goals in the FA Cup loss to Man Utd.
  • 5th v 4th. Tottenham beat 1st and 2nd. They lost v 3rd, 4th, 5th. 2-1 loss v Liverpool earlier this season.
  • Liverpool have been poor away from home. Only 2 wins v 9th and 13th away.
  • Angles? Can we trust Liverpool? 2 goals mid week v Man Utd but really poor recently in the Premier League.
  • Tottenham too tend to lose to top 5 sides.

DUTCH EREDIVISIE

17:45 - Sparta Rotterdam v Twente - 2.30 Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam - 10th

  • 3 losses and a win last 4 matches.
  • 3 consecutive home defeats.
  • No draw in 12 and in 6 at home.
  • Conceded in their last 4 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • No win v top 11 at home.
  • 0-2 win v Twente earlier this season is the only win home and away v the top 12.
  • 2+ goals conceded at home v 3rd-9th.
  • 15/19 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Twente - 7th

  • Only 3 wins in 10 matches came away.
  • 4 wins and a 2-2 last 5 away matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded last 6 away.
  • Conceded last 13 matches.
  • 2+ goals scored last 5 away.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Not played 9th-13th away.
  • 8/10 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Sparta are conceding 2 goals at home v 3rd-9th and that is not a good foundation. Twente have only 2 clean sheets so we can infer that both teams may score. Twente are scoring 2 goals away too so may inflict 2 more goals on Sparta.
  • Strong 2nd half scoring.
  • Stats say to Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

20:00 - Ajax v Willem-II - 1.10 Ajax

  • 1st v 17th.
  • Only 2 losses for Ajax.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • Ajax have scored in their last 14 and last 9 at home.
  • No 0-0 at halftime or fulltime at home for Ajax.
  • 1-1 the last time these 2 met.
  • 5-5-4-5-3 goals scored at home by Ajax v 9th and lower.
  • Only 2 losses for Willem II.
  • 7 losses and 2 draws for Willem II recently, scoring and conceding in 8 consecutive matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets for Willem II.
  • 3-5 goals conceded away v the top 4.
  • Angles? The odds suggest annihilation for Willem II, conceding 3+ goals. Remember with 1.10 shots, if 0-0 after 20 minutes, back 1-0, 2-0, any unquoted in the halftime score market.

BELGIAN JULIPER LEAGUE

17:45 - Cercle Brugge v Club Brugge - 1.40 Club Brugge

  • A Brugge derby so that needs to be accounted for.
  • 9 losses, a draw and a win for Cercle Brugge recently. They did win their last match.
  • 7 consecutive home defeats.
  • Cercle have not had a 0-0 this season.
  • 2-1 loss v Club Brugge earlier this season.
  • Club Brugge have 8 wins in 9 matches, 5 consecutive wins.5 wins and a draw last 6 away matches.
  • Club Brugge have scored 2+ goals last 5 matches and last 4 away.
  • Angles. Derby may see a surprise but on seasonal form, Club Brugge will eye the win here, and if they can continue scoring 2 goals, that will be their foundation.

20:00 - Oostende v Standard Liege - 2.60 Oostende

  • Leave this 2.6 the favourite to the in-play stats.

SPANISH COPA DEL REY

18:00 - Navalcarnero v Granada - 1.50 Granada

  • Segunda B v Primeira Liga. These cup matches have been excellent via in-play stats. I note the differences in league.

20:00 - Alcoyano v Athletic Bilbao - 1.75 Athletic Bilbao

  • Segunda B v Primeira Liga again.

COPPA ITALIA

20:00 - Napoli v Spezia - 1.30 Napoli

  • These 2 have recent history. A 1-2 Spezia win on 6th Jan in the league, compounded by the fact that Spezia were down to 10 men!
  • A 3-1 loss v Udinese recently for Napoli saw them perform very poorly with only 2 shots on target all match.
  • In-play stats for sure here but you can bet that Napoli will be doing their best to avoid a 2nd consecutive defeat v the newly promoted Spezia.

PORTUGUESE CUP

21:15 - Benfica v Belenenses - 1.18 Benfica

  • 2 Primeira Liga sides. 4 consecutive wins for Benfica in head to heads. They drew 1-1 with Nacional in the league recently and failed to score their usual 2 goals. Something terminal or a blip? They were similar odds to today's!

SWISS SUPER LEAGUE

19:30 - Sion v Basel - 2.10 Basel

  • 8th v 4th.

Sion - 8th

  • Only 1 home loss.
  • 4-2 loss v Basel earlier.
  • All draws at home v the top 6.
  • Unbeaten in 5 matches, conceding 1-1-0-1-0 goals.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime at home, 2 at fulltime.
  • All 6 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Basel - 4th

  • Only 1 win in 4 matches.
  • 2 consecutive away wins.
  • 2+ goals scored v the bottom 3 home and away.
  • 5/7 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Sion are in good ultra recent form and will test that Basel 2 goal habit.
  • It may be 0-0 at halftime but not necessarily at fulltime.