Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

Not the most exciting coupon in the world today, a precursor I'm sure, to a more exciting weekend. The Europa League dominates throughout the day and I will be monitoring the matches via the in-play stats.

ENGLISH LEAGUE CUP

  • Just note the kick-offs and the odds. We will have to be reactive given it is a competition treated with disdain by some managers.

17:30 - Burnley v Sheff Utd - 2.68 Burnley


19:00 - Wolves v Stoke - 1.66 Wolves


19:45 - Brighton v Portsmouth - 1.73 Brighton


FRENCH LIGUE 1

20:00 - Marseille v St Etienne - 2.06 Marseille

  • Villa Boas is the new manager of Marseille and will have been delighted with the 0-1 win over Paris St Germain recently. It is tough, therefore, to evaluate these sides with new managers.
  • Both sides have started the campaign with 2/2 wins. Marseille's 2 wins came away and St Etienne's 2 wins came at home.

EUROPA LEAGUE QUALIFIERS

  • Take place throughout the day. I will not list or research them. Kick-offs begin at 13:00 and end at 17:00. Rangers kick off away at Lincoln Red Imps at 16:00.
  • Tottenham are away to Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 17:00.
  • These are the standout matches.
  • I will only play via the in-play stats so stay tuned to Telegram.

SWEDISH ALLSVENSKAN

18:00 - Elfsborg v Mjallby - 1.84 Elfsborg

Elfsborg - 3rd

  • Only 2 losses.
  • No win in 3 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches, and in the 2 defeats.
  • 0-5 win last head to head.

Mjallby - 10th

  • Only 2 wins in 12 matches.
  • Both teams scored last 9 matches.
  • Conceded last 13 matches.
  • 56% 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Only win away v the top 12 was 0-1.
  • 10/12 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Mjallby have only 1 win away v the top 12 so on that basis shouldn't really be winning today. Only 2 defeats for Elfsborg suggests we are with them today. Do note that Mjallby tend to concede 2nd half.

18:00 - Falkenbergs v Varbergs BoIS - 2.7 Varbergs

  • I won't research this 2.7 the favourite match.

FINNISH VEIKKAUSLIIGA

16:30 - Lahti v TPS - 1.82 Lahti

Lahti - 8th

  • Only 4 defeats but no win in 5.
  • Conceded 2+ goals in 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • 7 consecutive over 2.5 goals matches.
  • 71% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • 8/10 goals conceded at home came 2nd half, 6 of those goals last 15 mins.
  • 1-3 win v TPS earlier this season.
  • Only home losses v 1st and 2nd.

TPS - 11th

  • Only draw came last match.
  • 3 consecutive away defeats.
  • Conceded last 6 matches.
  • Opponents scored first in 5/6 away.
  • All defeats away bar a win v bottom side.

Conclusions

  • TPS look opposable here on their seasonal form, only beating the bottom side away and still conceding 2 goals.
  • Lahti are drawing a lot at home but their only losses came v 1st and 2nd.