Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

It is a relatively quiet day today. I will be around at about 17:30 on Telegram. I have done a review/preview video at DRT Facebook. I thought there were some good calls on Telegram yesterday.

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

20:00 - Arsenal v Crystal Palace - 1.53 Arsenal

  • London derby.

Arsenal - 11th

  • 3 consecutive wins, the last 2 to nil.
  • And I think this is how we judge Arsenal, as this puts to bed that woeful run.
  • 2 of the wins to nil came away from home.
  • Arsenal have conceded in their last 8 home matches.

Crystal Palace - 14th

  • Only 2 losses in 7 matches came v Liverpool and Aston Villa, to attack minded sides.
  • Wins recently have come v West Brom and Sheffield United.
  • Conceded last 8 away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • v 8th-16th away, 4 losses to nil and a draw.
  • 2 draws and a loss v other London sides.
  • 5 goals conceded away last 15 minutes of matches.

Conclusions

  • Arsenal's revival looks under way, with 3 wins, the last 2 to nil. This is a London derby. There is nothing in Palace's recent form (wins v strugglers) to suggest they can dampen this revival from Arsenal.

DUTCH EREDIVISIE

17:45 - Heerenveen v Waalwijk - 1.57 Heerenveen

Heerenveen - 8th

  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • 4 score draws and 3 losses last 7 matches.
  • Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss at home.
  • Scored and conceded last 3 at home.
  • Conceded last 9 matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • All wins at home came v 15th and lower.
  • 1-1 last head to head.
  • 7/11 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • 5 goals scored at home 61st-75th minute.

RKC Waalwijk - 14th

  • 2 wins and 4 consecutive defeats last 6 matches.
  • 3 losses and a win last 4 away matches.
  • No draw in 7 away matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • 5 losses and 2 wins last 7 away matches.
  • 4/5 goals scored away came 1st half.

Conclusions

  • Heerenveen were terrible in their 1-3 defeat v Fortuna Sittard but play a Waalwijk side with 5 losses and 2 wins away from home. RKC are on a run of 4 consecutive away defeats.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • I am not sure whether I can trust Heerenveen so watching brief.

19:00 - Twente v Ajax - 1.33 Ajax

Twente - 6th

  • A draw and 3 consecutive losses came at home.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Conceded in their last 10 and last 7 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Scored and conceded v the top 3, with 2 1-1 draws. 1-2 win v Ajax earlier this season.

Ajax - 1st

  • 2 consecutive score draws.
  • 4 wins and a draw last 5 away matches.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • No defeat in 5 away matches.
  • Scored in their last 11 and last 5 away.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Scored first in 6/7 away matches.
  • Led at halftime in 5/7 away matches.
  • All 4 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Twente have scored and conceded v the top 3 and beat Ajax 1-2 earlier this season. Twente have conceded in their last 7 at home.
  • I would favour Ajax here today despite this being an age-old rivalry.

20:00 - Willem II v Groningen - 2.25 Groningen

Willem II - 17th

  • Only 2 wins came at home.
  • 5 losses and a draw last 6 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • Scored and conceded last 4 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Not beaten the top 12.
  • 8 losses and a draw home and away v the top 9.

Groningen - 7th

  • Loss, draw last 2 matches. That ended a run of 4 consecutive wins.
  • Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw away.
  • Conceded in their last 6 away.
  • 2+ goals scored in their last 3 away matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • 4/4 wins v 14th and lower. Unbeaten away v 9th and lower.

Conclusions

  • Luke Warm market favourite Groningen look good based on seasonal form, 4/4 wins v 14th and lower, unbeaten away v 9th and lower.
  • Willem II have scored and conceded recently and on form should not win if their poor form v the top 9 remains.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

GREEK SUPER LEAGUE

15:15 - Atromitos v Lamia - 1.57 Atromitos

Atromitos - 9th

  • Only 1 win in 7 matches at home 3-2 v PAOK.
  • 3 draws last 4 home matches.
  • 2-0 at home v 12th, 0-0 away v 13th.
  • Only 1 win home and away v 6th and lower.
  • 7/10 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Lamia - bottom

  • Only 1 win came at home.
  • 4/4 defeats away.
  • Failed to score in 7 of their last 9 matches.
  • 7/10 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Are Lamia automatically opposable as they are bottom of the league?
  • Atromitos are poor though, only 1 win home and away v 6th and lower.
  • In-play stats for me.

17:30 - Aris v AEK Athens - 2.50 AEK

  • 2 losses v 3 losses this season. These 2 are in good form.
  • Aris have had 10 clean sheets this season.
  • AEK Athens have had 2 consecutive 1-0 wins.
  • Aris have scored in their last 7 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home v only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • 2nd v 4th.
  • Aris have only lost to the 1st in the league at home.
  • AEK have yet to beat the top 5 home and away.
  • Angles? In-play stats here. These 2 are in great form. Slight concern with AEK Athens home form (2 draws and a loss) v the top 5. Playing 2nd today.