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English Premier League

14:00 - Brighton v Liverpool - 2.10 Liverpool

  • 5 wins and 2 losses for Brighton. Losses came v West Ham and Aston Villa.
  • Win, Loss, Win, Win at home for Brighton. 4-1, 1-3, 3-1, 3-1 at home.
  • 100% over 2.5 goals for Brighton.
  • Draw, 5 wins and a 2-1 loss v Tottenham. Clearly Liverpool are attracting red cards. Arguably that is down to the aggressive win-back-the-ball tactics. 2 red cards v Tottenham saw the 2-1 defeat, care of an own goal.
  • 1-2, 1-3, 2-1 away.
  • Both teams to score an obvious starting point. Over 2.5 goals and one of these 2 scoring 2 goals at least for the win.
  • Expect at least a goal before halftime.

14:00 - West Ham v Newcastle - 2.15 Newcastle

  • West Ham Losses have come v Liverpool and Man City, 3-1. Win, Loss, Win at home for West Ham.
  • West Ham have scored in all matches.
  • West Ham had only 1 0-0 at halftime, first match of the season.
  • Only Man City, Liverpool and Brighton have beaten Newcastle. Like West Ham, it takes a big gun to beat them.
  • 3 consecutive Newcastle clean sheets.
  • Angles? as befits 2.15 the favourite, this will be a competitive match between 2 sides who are in excellent season-long form, and only tend to lose to in-form, big-name sides. Both teams to score a possible here but calling the winner...?

14:00 - Wolves v Aston Villa - 2.05 Aston Villa

  • 4 wins for Wolves came within the first 5 matches. New manager syndrome now does mean only the recent matches are to be accounted for. 1-3 loss v Liverpool, 1-1 away v Luton, 2-1 win at home v pre-Champions League Man City. I am not taking that latter result as influenced by new manager. It is more, for me, down to a pre-Champions League-distracted Man City.
  • 5 wins in 6 matches for Aston Villa.  Losses came v Newcastle and Liverpool.
  • Angles? New Manager Syndrome clouds research form lines. Both teams to score a possible. Just check out those Villa stats. Unai 'Dick' Emery has unlocked goals in Aston Villa.

16:30 - Arsenal v Man City - 2.37 Man City

  • A derby-style match if ever there was one. I will leave this to the in-play stats. Remember that you can pick your battles.

German Bundesliga

14:30 - Bayer Leverkusen v Koln - 1.33 Bayer Leverkusen

  • Xavi Alonso as this Bayer Leverkusen full of goals and thriving in the Champions League.
  • What contrasting form. All wins bar a draw for Bayer Leverkusen. All defeats bar a draw for Koln.
  • This looks as obvious as the market suggests. Goals before halftime expected.

16:30 - Bayern Munich v Freiburg - 1.14 Bayern Munich

  • 4 wins and 2 2-2 draws for Bayern Munich.
  • 3 wins for Freiburg v Hoffenheim, Werder Bremen and Augsburg.
  • Bayern came from behind in the Champions League mid week and are reliable enough to get out of trouble here if post-Europa League Freiburg score first. 3+ goals expected of Bayern.

18:30 - Eintracht Frankfurt v Heidenheim - 1.60 Eintracht Frankfurt

  • One of those matches I would characterise as a 'redemption' match for Frankfurt. A win, 4 draws and a loss for Frankfurt. They meet a newly promoted Heidenheim, having beaten newly promoted Darmstadt 1-0 at home.
  • 2-3-2-2-4-0 goals conceded by Heidenheim so they'll give a side a chance but in scoring 0-2-2-2-1-1, Heidenheim may be more competitive than expected.
  • Frankfurt may have to score 2 goals at least for the first time this season as both teams to score could come in a Heidenheim match.

Spanish La Liga Primera

13:00 - Villarreal v Las Palmas - 1.53 Villareal

  • Loss, Loss, Win, Loss at home for Villareal. So why so short? Because Las Palmas are newly promoted. They have failed to score in 5 matches this season but scored 2 goals for the first time last match v Celta Vigo in one of 2 consecutive home wins.
  • They have failed to score in all away matches, all defeats. A couple were 1-0.
  • Las Palmas could keep things tight but eventually capitulate.

15:15 - Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad - 1.80 Atletico Madrid

  • Identical recent form, 4 wins and a loss last 5 matches.
  • Atletico Madrid have scored 3 goals in all 3 home matches, both teams scoring.
  • Sociedad's only loss came away v Real Madrid, a side Atletico beat 3-1 at home.
  • Altetico Madrid have a real goal threat this season and that could be Sociedad's undoing, 0-1-1 goals scored away so far.

17:30 - Alaves v Real Betis - 2.60 Real Betis

  • Leave this to the in-play stats - early season and 2.60 the favourite.

17:30 - Celta Vigo v Getafe - 2.00 Celta Vigo

  • 3-2-4-2- goals conceded away by Getafe this season. Celta have scored 2 goals twice, albeit away from home.
  • Only 1 win Celta who have 3 defeats and a draw at home, scoring 0-0-0-1 goals.
  • 3-2 goals scored last 2 away by Getafe may see them competitive v a limp Celta Vigo. It will be interesting to view the stats after a Celta Vigo lead.

20:00 - Granada v Barcelona - 1.35 Barcelona

  • 6 wins and 2 draws for Barcelona makes them hard to beat today.
  • 3-2-2-5-4-1-1-3 goals conceded by Granada. Got us a lovely play from 3-0 to 3-3 last weekend but I want to illustrate their consistent conceding of goals. This could be a 3+ goal win Barca. The 3-1 Atletico Madrid win over Granada would be a template for this match.

Italian Serie A

11:30 - Monza v Salernitana - 1.73 Monza

  • Monza lost away to Inter Milan and Atalanta. Win, Draw, Draw at home. 2 consecutive clean sheets and 2 clean sheets in 3 home matches.
  • Salernitana are yet to win, 4 defeats and a draw in 5 matches.
  • Monza may fancy this, if they can keep a clean sheet and score 1 goal as they have done in 3/4 recent matches.

14:00 - Frosinone v Verona - 2.30 Frosinone

  • Leave this to in-play stats.

14:00 - Lazio v Atalanta - 2.60 Lazio

  • This is another of those infamous 'derby-style' matches where, as 2.6 the favourite suggests, anything could happen. Leave to in-play stats or as I tend to do, leave the match alone.

17:00 - Cagliari v Roma - 1.85 Roma

  • 5 losses and 2 draws for Cagliari. They conceded 2 goals at least in all defeats.
  • They have failed to score in 5 matches.
  • Roma are having a poor season. Only 2 wins came at home v Empoli and Frosinone.
  • Loss, Draw, Loss away saw both teams score.
  • It looks an opportunity for Roma, with Cagliari struggling to score, but this is an uncharacteristically untrustworthy Roma at the moment. Make sure the in-play stats speak to Roma this evening.

19:45 - Napoli v Fiorentina - 1.65 Napoli

  • Identical form, 4 wins, a loss and 2 draws.
  • Fiorentina lost 4-0 away v Inter Milan and that is the only Achilles Heel, a potential struggle when playing top 3? Other than that, solid start from both teams and the Viola cannot be readily discounted.
  • Both teams have scored 2 goals + on 5 occasions this season.

Dutch Eredivisie

11:15 - Zwolle v Feyenoord - 1.28 Feyenoord

  • 2 draws and 5 wins Feyenoord. 3+ goals scored last 5 matches. Zwolle have just 2 wins v Almere and Utrecht.
  • Conceding 3 goals v Twente and AZ Alkmaar is a template for potential Feyenoord goals today. We tend to see at least a goal before halftime in Feyenoord matches this season.

13:30 - Ajax v AZ Alkmaar - 2.15 Ajax

  • Ajax have lost the last 2 'derby style' matches v Feyenoord and Twente. This is another 'derby' style match. I cannot predict the result of these matches. I certainly, for instance, didn't expect Ajax to get spanked royally by Feyenoord.

13:30 - Fortuna Sittard v Twente - 1.91 Twente

  • Fortuna's only 2 defeats came last 2 matches, away. 0-0, 2-1, 0-0, 3-1 at home. Which Fortuna turns up today? Both teams to score or 0-0?
  • 6 wins and a loss for Twente who are, naturally, the more consistent performers. The market is lukewarm when we have a 6-win team v a 2-win team. I favour Twente but respect the market. 0-0 might be in play given Sittard's home 0-0's.

15:45 - Sparta Rotterdam v PSV Eindhoven - 1.33 PSV

  • 2 losses for Sparta came last 2 away matches.
  • 2-2, 1-1, 1-0 at home. 2-2 v Feyenoord suggests that Sparta may be more competitive today v another big gun.
  • All wins for PSV who have failed to score 3 goals only once.  5 clean sheets in 7 matches and 3+ goals scored last 6 matches.
  • Odds look spot on for a PSV good at 3/4 goals and winning. Highly likely we see a PSV lead before halftime.