Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

See you at 13:30 for a live chat at delayreacttrade.com.

11:00 - Sevilla v Villarreal - 1.67 Sevilla

  • 0-0 the last time these 2 met in the Spanish Primera Liga.
  • Two top 6 teams.

Sevilla 100% stats

  • No draws at home.
  • Scored in every home match.

Sevilla other stats

  • 7 wins in the last 9 matches.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded in 9 of their last 11 matches.
  • Scored in their last 18 matches.
  • Only led in one match at home at halftime.
  • 8 wins and a loss at home.

Villareal 100% stats

  • Not lost at halftime away.
  • Not beaten a top 10 side away (4 matches played).
  • No over 4.5 goals matches at home.
  • Not conceded first half away.

Villareal other stats

  • Only 4 defeats.
  • 2 0-0's in their last 3 away matches.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away.

Conclusions

  • Lay any late draw and hope Sevilla continue to avoid draws at home.
  • Both teams could score today. Note Villareal have not conceded first half yet so if 0-0 at halftime I would still back both teams scoring 2nd half.
  • I would lay Villareal if Villareal score first. They have had trouble scoring 2 goals in an away match v the top 10.

11:30 - Roda JC v Ajax - 1.34 Ajax

  • 2 consecutive 2-2's in head to heads in the Dutch Eredivisie.

Roda 100% stats

  • 2nd bottom plays 2nd top.
  • Not beaten any top 13 team.
  • Failed to score at home v the top 4.
  • No over 4.5 goals at home.

Roda other stats

  • Only 2 wins v the same team - Excelsior.
  • Failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.

Ajax 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • All wins v 12th and lower away, scoring 2/3 goals.

Ajax other stats

  • Only 2 defeats.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away.
  • 14 of 18 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Ajax should win, scoring 2/3 goals today.
  • Roda unlikely to score 2 goals so back Ajax if Roda score first.
  • Ajax have a very strong 2nd half scoring bias away so fear not if they have not scored by halftime.

11:30 - AC Milan v Sampdoria - 1.64 AC Milan

  • 4 consecutive Milan wins in head to heads.2 consecutive 0-1 away wins.

AC Milan 100% stats

  • None.

AC Milan other stats

  • 2 consecutive 2-1 defeats.
  • Failed to score in only 5 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • 45.5% 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Failed to score only twice at home.

Sampdoria 100% stats

  • No away 0-0.
  • Not beaten any top 14 team away.
  • Not scored in both halves away.

Sampdoria other stats

  • Only 1 win in 7 matches, a 3-2 home v Roma.
  • No win in 10 away, conceding in each match.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Scored and conceded in 5 of 6 matches away v teams above them in the league.

Conclusions

  • Milan like playing Sampdoria in head to heads and will feel confident against a team with no win in 10 away matches.
  • I would cautiously lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market (delay entry) given the recent antics v Roma for Samp.
  • Both teams could score with Sampdoria not winning 2-1 appeals if 0-0 for a while.

12:00 - Huddersfield v Leeds - 2.32 Huddersfield

  • The away team has won the last 4 head to heads in this English Championship clash.
  • 2 top 5 teams.

Huddersfield 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • No draw home or away v top 11 teams.
  • No over 4.5 goals matches at home.

Huddersfield other stats

  • 7 wins in 9 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 5 matches.
  • Scored in their last 7 at home.
  • No 0-0.
  • 7 home matches have seen a 2-1 scoreline.
  • Scored first in 10 of 14 at home.

Leeds 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • No draw home and away v top 8 teams.

Leeds other stats

  • 7 wins in 9 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 6 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 4 away matches.
  • 7 0-0's at halftime away.

Conclusions

  • Lay any late 0-0.
  • Too tough to call with both sides with 7 wins in their last 9 matches.
  • Lay any late draw as these 2 tend to avoid the draw v top 8 teams.

12:30 - St Johnstone v Celtic - 1.48 Celtic

  • St Johnstone scored 2 goals in each of the last 2 head to heads at home in the Scottish Premier League.
  • They won 1 and lost 1 of those matches.

St Johnstone 100% stats

  • No home match with exactly 4 goals.

St Johnstone other stats

  • Failed to score in only 5 matches.
  • Lost 1-0 to Celtic as recently as 25th January this year.
  • Scored in their last 7 at home.
  • 13 of 16 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • Not beaten a top 3 side home or away.

Celtic 100% stats

  • Unbeaten.
  • 1-0 and 2-4 wins for Celtic v St Johnstone this season.

Celtic other stats

  • 18 consecutive wins.
  • Led at halftime in 7/11 away.

Conclusions

  • St Johnstone scored 2 goals in 2 consecutive home matches v Celtic, winning only one. I hope St J score again and lead 2-0 so we can lay them.
  • Celtic remain unbeaten and have beaten St J twice this season already. Remember, Celtic tend to score so if 0-0 for a while, keep the faith.
  • If you want to, back Celtic in the halftime market as they have led in 7/11 away at halftime.

13:30 - Twente v Feyenoord - 1.72 Feyenoord

  • Feyenoord have won the last 4 head to heads.

Twente 100% stats

  • Scored in all home matches v top 16 teams.
  • Not lost to nil at home.

Twente other stats

  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Only 5 clean sheets.

Feyenoord 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • Unbeaten home and away v top 17 teams.

Feyenoord other stats

  • Failed to score only once and that was the only defeat.
  • 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
  • 6 consecutive wins.
  • 8 goals scored last 15 mins of away matches.

Conclusions

  • Both teams could score today. Note Twente beat Ajax 1-0 (2nd in league) so could be up for this one v first in the league.
  • Feyenoord have a good scoring record v teams around Twente and could score 2.
  • If Feyenoord are losing or drawing coming into 75th min, take a chance and hope for a Feyenoord goal as they tend to score very late away.
  • Lay any late 0-0.

13:30 - Man City v Swansea - 1.23 Man City

  • City back to their best against West Ham mid week. Swansea will also be happy with their mid week performance.

Man City 100% stats

  • Scored in all home matches.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals at home.
  • Not conceded in both halves at home.
  • No 0-0.

Man City other stats

  • 4 consecutive home matches scoring 2 goals.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 9 of their 11 home matches.
  • 10 of 12 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Swansea 100% stats

  • No away 0-0.
  • 5 goals in total away v 2nd, 3rd, 4th and play 5th today.
  • All away wins by 1 goal.

Swansea other stats

  • 3 wins in 4 matches now.
  • 5-3-3-1-2 goals conceded in the last 5 away.
  • Conceded in their last 10 away.
  • Conceded 2 goals at least in all matches v top 6 teams.

Conclusions

  • No doubting that Swansea are in a mini-revival but it remains that they have conceded 2+ regularly v the top 6 teams and City showed mid week that they have that capability having scored 2 goals at least in their last 4 home matches.
  • That is the expectation. City are conceding though so mark that if Swansea score first. Swansea are unlikely to be keeping a clean sheet.

14:00 - Empoli v Torino - 2.22 Torino

  • Empoli are unbeaten in 6 matches. A 0-0 last head to head in the Italian Seria A.

Empoli 100% stats

  • Not beaten a top 9 team and Torino are 9th.
  • Failed to score 2 goals home and away v top 13 teams.

Empoli other stats

  • 5 clean sheets in their last 7 matches.
  • 3 consecutive home wins to nil.
  • Failed to score in 12 of 15 matches played home and away v top 13 teams.

Torino 100% stats

  • Not beaten a top 16 team away (Empoli are 17th).
  • Unbeaten home and away v 14th and lower.
  • No 1-0 and 0-1 away.

Torino other stats

  • Only 1 win in 8 matches.
  • Only 5 clean sheets and failed to score in only 5 matches.
  • 11 of 15 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Strictly speaking, Torino have a good record v bottom sides. Empoli have a strong recent clean sheet record which might scupper thingsbut, contrarily, Empoli have failed to score in 12 of 15 matches v top 13 teams!!
  • Another match where I cannot make a strong case of either side so will sit this one out!

14:00 - Genoa v Sassuolo - 2.12 Genoa

  • 2 Genoa wins ended with a Sassuolo win in the last head to head.

Genoa 100% stats

  • Not beaten a bottom 4 side at home, and playing 5th bottom today.

Genoa other stats

  • Only 6 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 win in 9 matches.
  • Only 2 defeats at home.

Sassuolo 100% stats

  • No 0-0 away.
  • Not beaten any top 14 teams away and play 15th today.
  • Scored in all away matches.

Sassuolo other stats

  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded last 10 away.

Conclusions

  • Lay any late 0-0.
  • On form Genoa should not lose and both teams should score.

14:00 - Atalanta v Cagliari - 1.52 Atalanta

  • 3-0 Cagliari win in the last head to head in Italian Seria A.

Atalanta 100% stats

  • No home draws.
  • No home match with exactly 2 goals.

Atalanta other stats

  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • Scored in their last 7 at home.
  • 13 of 17 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Cagliari 100% stats

  • Conceded in all away matches.
  • Not scored in both halves away.

Cagliari other stats

  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Failed to score in 4 of their last 7 matches.
  • Failed to score in 4 of their last 5 away matches.
  • Conceded in their last 11 away matches and last 18 matches.
  • No win in 7 away matches.
  • All defeats bar 2 away.

Conclusions

  • Atalanta are highly likely to score today so note that if 0-0 or 0-1.
  • Cagliari should not be winning this match.
  • Lay any late draw and hope Atalanta avoid the draw again.

14:00 - Chievo v Udinese - 2.42 Chievo

  • 11th v 10th in Italian Seria A - a tight match expected?

Chievo 100% stats

  • Not scored in both halves at home.

Chievo other stats

  • 4 defeats in their last 5 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • All defeats bar 1 came v top 9 teams...playing 10th today.

Udinese 100% stats

  • No over 4.5 goals matches away.

Udinese other stats

  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • 3 losses in 4 matches.
  • Wins away v 6th 8th and 19th but 5 matches without a win away v teams below them in the league.

Conclusions

  • Udinese's away form is all over the shop so on that basis they are unreadable.
  • The only stat? I don't think there'll be a 0-0, so mark that in-play.
  • Research is as much about finding which matches to avoid as much as about finding strong trading candidates!

14:00 - Pescara v Lazio - 1.63 Lazio

Pescara 100% stats

  • Not won a home match.
  • No over 4.5 goaIs at home.

Pescara other stats

  • OnIy 2 cIean sheets.
  • Concede in their Iast 8 home matches.

Lazio 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • OnIy pIayed one of the bottom 7 and won 0-1. Have beaten aII of the bottom 7 they have pIayed at home (Pescara are bottom).

ConcIusions

  • Pescara done tremendous and gave 110% in taking a 1-0 Iead at home to Fiorentina before eventuaIIy Iosing 1-2. We profited on that mid week. Same again today foIks if Pescara Iead.
  • No form reaIIy to gauge Lazio away to the bottom 7 so faith in their 100% home record as suggesting they shouId be too good for Pescara today.
  • We shouId not see a 0-0.

14:30 - Augsburg v Werder Bremen - 2.2 Augsburg

Augsburg 100% stats

  • Wins come v teams below them in the league.
  • Not scored more than 1 goal in a home game.
  • Not lead at halftime at home.
  • Not scored in both halves at home.

Augsburg other stats

  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 5 of 6 home goals scored 2nd half.

Werder Bremen 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Scored and conceded in every match v teams 7th and lower (Augsburg are 12th).
  • Not scored in both halves away.

Werder Bremen other stats

  • Only one clean sheet and failed to score only once.
  • Only one 0-0 at halftime.

ConcIusions

  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime market as per usuaI. Both teams tend to score too in Werder matches. Werder might have a sneaky chance here today if Augsburg cannot score that 2nd goaI in a home match.

15:00 - Brentford v Brighton - 2.48 Brighton

Brentford 100% stats

  • None.

Brentford other stats

  • Beat Brighton 0-2 earlier this season.

Brighton 100% stats

  • None.

Brighton other stats

  • Only 4 defeats.
  • Failed to score in only 5 matches.
  • Lost their last 2 away matches.
  • 7 0-0's at halftime away.
  • The loss at home to Brentford was the only loss home and away v teams 12th and lower.

Conclusions

  • There is little to work with here. The fact that Brighton have only 4 defeats, tend to score and only lost to Brentford, of teams 12th and lower, suggests to me that we lay Brentford if Brentford scores first.

15:15 - Sporting Gijon v Alaves - 2.22 Sporting

Sporting Gijon 100% stats

  • All wins came at home.
  • Scored and conceded in all home matches v teams 3rd and lower.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals at home.

Sporting Gijon other stats

  • Only 1 win in 17 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 6 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.

Alaves 100% stats

  • No over 3.5 goals away.

Alaves other stats

  • 5 draws in their last 7 matches.
  • 0-0, 0-0, 1-0 in the last 3 away matches.
  • Failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Unbeaten v 16th and lower.
  • 8 of 10 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • If Gijon have only 1 win in 17 matches it follows that they are layable if leading today. Alaves have not lost away v teams 16th and lower.
  • Not a match which greatly appeals.

15:45 - Utrecht v Heerenveen - 1.99 Utrecht

  • Utrecht are unbeaten in the last 3 matches, with a 2-2 last time in the Dutch Eredivisie.
  • Two top 7 teams.

Utrecht 100% stats

  • No 0-0 at home.
  • Not won v top 10 teams.
  • No home match with exactly 4 goals.

Utrecht other stats

  • Only 1 loss in their last 12 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • 50% of halftime scores 1-0 at home.
  • Scored and conceded in 9/10 matches at home v the top 10.
  • Conceded 8 goals in the last 15 mins of home matches.

Heerenveen 100% stats

  • All over 2.5 goals away.
  • Not beaten at top 7 team home or away.

Heerenveen other stats

  • Failed to score only once - last match.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 5 away matches.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of 7 matches away v top 13 teams.

Conclusions

  • Lay any late 0-0.
  • We should see goals here. Look at the both teams to score stats and the over 2.5 goals bias away for Heerenveen.
  • I will back my old buddy 2-2 here given the above.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market in the expectation for goals.

16:00 - Leicester v Man Utd - 1.74 Man Utd

Leicester 100% stats

  • No opponent has scored an equaliser in a Leicester home match.

Leicester other stats

  • Failed to score last 4 matches.
  • Conceded 2 goals at least at home v 4 of the 5 teams in the top 8.
  • Solid outside of the top 10 at home.
  • 11 of 13 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Man Utd 100% stats

  • No over 4.5 goals matches away.

Man Utd other stats

  • All wins away v 14th and lower.

Conclusions

  • This is obviously not the Leicester of last year. Having trouble scoring now and tend to be solid at home outside the top 10. Expect struggles today.
  • Man Utd are on another draw sequence - this is 3 - the last was 3 and ended with a run of 6 wins. I would lay the late draw today as you can bet United will be going for the win.
  • Leicester tend to concede 2 goals v top 8 teams so if united can find their attacking flair, that is a figure to bear in mind.

16:30 - Eintracht Frankfurt v Darmstadt - 1.62 Frankfurt

Frankfurt 100% stats

  • 3rd in the BundesIiga and having a great season.
  • Unbeaten at home.
  • Yet to meet the bottom 7 at home, Darmstadt are bottom.
  • No opponent has Ied at halftime at home.
  • Have equaIised in aII home matches they have needed to.

Darmstadt 100% stats

  • 100% of points earned at home.
  • Not Ied at halftime away.
  • Not scored in both haIves away.

Darmstadt other stats

  • FaiIed to score in 5 of their Iast 6 matches.
  • 15 of 20 away goaIs conceded came 2nd haIf.

ConcIusions

  • Frankfurt wiII be eyeing a win today. Something of an unknown as they are yet to meet bottom 7 at home but Darmstadt Iook out of their depth and are highIy IikeIy to Iose even if Ieading.
  • Darmstadt have not Ied at halftime so Iet's Iay them if they take an earIy first haIf Iead....in the halftime market.

17:00 - Palermo v Crotone - 2.4 Palermo

  • 1-1 in the recent Seria A head to head.
  • These are 2 bottom 3 sides.

Palermo 100% stats

  • No home wins.
  • Not scored 2 goals in a game at home.
  • No 0-0.

Palermo other stats

  • Only 2 wins.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Conceded last 17 matches.

Crotone 100% stats

  • No away win.
  • Scored and conceded in all matches away v bottom 7 teams.
  • Not scored in both halves away.
  • No 0-0.

Crotone other stats

  • Only 3 wins.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Conceded 2 goals away to 14th, 15th, 16th ,17th and meeting 18th today.

Conclusions

  • Bottom 3 sides are, by their very nature, unreliable for trading purposes.
  • Note Crotone tend to score and conceded v bottom teams and that Palermo cannot score than 2nd goal. This suggests we lay Palermo if Palermo score first.

17:30 - Sociedad v Osasuna - 1.35 Sociedad

  • 0-2 Sociedad win last head to head in the Spanish Primera Liga.

Sociedad 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • All home defeats v top 3 only.
  • Not yet met the bottom 5 at home (Osasuna reside there).

Sociedad other stats

  • Only 2 draws.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • 1/2 home matches 0-0 at halftime.

Osasuna 100% stats

  • No away 0-0.
  • All defeats v top 6 teams home and away.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals away.

Osasuna other stats

  • 3 score draws in their last 4 matches.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Conceded in their last 16 matches.

Conclusions

  • On Osasuna's form v top teams home and away, Osasuna should lose today, conceding 2/3 goals at least.
  • Expect 2 goals for sure given Osasuna's 100% over 1.5 goals stats.
  • This SHOULD be a straightforward match.

19:45 - Juventus v Inter MiIan - 1.62 Juventus

  • Inter won the Iast head to head at Inter.

Juventus 100% stats

  • No draw.
  • 100% home wins.
  • Unbeaten at haIftime at home.
  • Not conceded 2 goaIs at home.

Juventus other stats

  • FaiIed to score onIy once.
  • Scored first in 10/11 at home.
  • Lead at haIftime in 9/11.

Inter MiIan 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • Conceded 2 goaIs at Ieast in the away matches v top 8 teams.

Inter MiIan other stats

  • 7 consecutive wins, 3 consecutive away.
  • 5 cIean sheets Iast 7 matches.
  • Lost aII 3 matches pIayed away v top 6 teams.
  • 9 of 12 goaIs scored away came 2nd haIf.

ConcIusions

  • Lay any Iate draw and hope Juventus continue to avoid them. Inter are in exceIIent form but teIIingIy they have conceded 2 goaIs away v top teams and Iost v top 6 teams.
  • 1-1 and 2-1 Iooks an interesting correct score given inter are in enough form to score.
  • WiII Juventus Iead at haIftime at home as they tend to do? I wouId deIay entry here given the fact inter are in reasonabIe nick recentIy.

19:45 - Celta Vigo v Real Madrid - 1.56 Real Madrid

Celta 100% stats

  • No home draw.
  • Unbeaten at halftime at home.
  • Not conceded in both halves at home.
  • No home match with exactly 2 goals.

Celta other stats

  • 3 wins in last 4 matches.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • 1/2 home matches 0-0 at halftime.
  • 3 goals minimum conceded at home v top 4 teams.
  • 14 of 16 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Real Madrid 100% stats

  • Scored in every match.
  • Unbeaten at halftime away.
  • Undefeated outside of the top 3.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals.

Real Madrid other stats

  • Lost their last away match.
  • Scored 2+ goals away v 4th and lower.

Conclusions

  • Both teams are unbeaten at halftime. Will this lead to 0-0 halftime? If it does, expect 2nd half goals and Real Madrid, on form, could score 2/3 goals today.
  • Real Madrid should win today.

20:00 - St Etienne v Lyon - 2.14 Lyon

  • 2 top 5 teams in French Iigue 1. This couId be a tight match.

St Etienne 100% stats

  • Not beaten a top 7 side yet.
  • Not conceded more than 1 goaI a game at home.
  • No over 4.5 goaIs matches at home.
  • Not scored in both haIves at home or conceded in both haIves at home.

St Etienne other stats

  • 6 0-0's at haIftime at home.
  • 10 of 12 goaIs scored at home came 2nd haIf.

Lyon 100% stats

  • No score draw.

Lyon other stats

  • OnIy 1 draw was a 0-0.
  • Scored in their Iast 5 away and Iast 12 overaII.
  • 7 goaIs scored directIy before haIftime away.

ConcIusions

  • Tough to caII. I wouId note St Etienne have a strong 2nd haIf scoring bias so if they have not scored 1st haIf they are highIy IikeIy to 2nd haIf.
  • I wouId Iay any Iate score draw and hope Lyon avoid another draw.