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11:00 - Sevilla v Villarreal - 1.67 Sevilla

• 0-0 the last time these 2 met in the Spanish Primera Liga.
• Two top 6 teams.

Sevilla 100% stats

• No draws at home.
• Scored in every home match.

Sevilla other stats

• 7 wins in the last 9 matches.
• Failed to score only once.
• Only 4 clean sheets.
• Scored and conceded in 9 of their last 11 matches.
• Scored in their last 18 matches.
• Only led in one match at home at halftime.
• 8 wins and a loss at home.

Villareal 100% stats

• Not lost at halftime away.
• Not beaten a top 10 side away (4 matches played).
• No over 4.5 goals matches at home.
• Not conceded first half away.

Villareal other stats

• Only 4 defeats.
• 2 0-0's in their last 3 away matches.
• 5 0-0's at halftime away.

Conclusions

• Lay any late draw and hope Sevilla continue to avoid draws at home.
• Both teams could score today. Note Villareal have not conceded first half yet so if 0-0 at halftime I would still back both teams scoring 2nd half.
• I would lay Villareal if Villareal score first. They have had trouble scoring 2 goals in an away match v the top 10.

11:30 - Roda JC v Ajax - 1.34 Ajax

• 2 consecutive 2-2's in head to heads in the Dutch Eredivisie.

Roda 100% stats

• 2nd bottom plays 2nd top.
• Not beaten any top 13 team.
• Failed to score at home v the top 4.
• No over 4.5 goals at home.

Roda other stats

• Only 2 wins v the same team - Excelsior.
• Failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.

Ajax 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• All wins v 12th and lower away, scoring 2/3 goals.

Ajax other stats

• Only 2 defeats.
• Failed to score only once.
• 6 0-0's at halftime away.
• 14 of 18 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

• Ajax should win, scoring 2/3 goals today.
• Roda unlikely to score 2 goals so back Ajax if Roda score first.
• Ajax have a very strong 2nd half scoring bias away so fear not if they have not scored by halftime.

11:30 - AC Milan v Sampdoria - 1.64 AC Milan

• 4 consecutive Milan wins in head to heads.2 consecutive 0-1 away wins.

AC Milan 100% stats

• None.

AC Milan other stats

• 2 consecutive 2-1 defeats.
• Failed to score in only 5 matches.
• Only 1 0-0 at home.
• 45.5% 0-0's at halftime at home.
• Failed to score only twice at home.

Sampdoria 100% stats

• No away 0-0.
• Not beaten any top 14 team away.
• Not scored in both halves away.

Sampdoria other stats

• Only 1 win in 7 matches, a 3-2 home v Roma.
• No win in 10 away, conceding in each match.
• Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
• Scored and conceded in 5 of 6 matches away v teams above them in the league.

Conclusions

• Milan like playing Sampdoria in head to heads and will feel confident against a team with no win in 10 away matches.
• I would cautiously lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market (delay entry) given the recent antics v Roma for Samp.
• Both teams could score with Sampdoria not winning 2-1 appeals if 0-0 for a while.

12:00 - Huddersfield v Leeds - 2.32 Huddersfield

• The away team has won the last 4 head to heads in this English Championship clash.
• 2 top 5 teams.

Huddersfield 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• No draw home or away v top 11 teams.
• No over 4.5 goals matches at home.

Huddersfield other stats

• 7 wins in 9 matches.
• Failed to score in only 5 matches.
• Scored in their last 7 at home.
• No 0-0.
• 7 home matches have seen a 2-1 scoreline.
• Scored first in 10 of 14 at home.

Leeds 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• No draw home and away v top 8 teams.

Leeds other stats

• 7 wins in 9 matches.
• Failed to score in only 6 matches.
• Scored and conceded in their last 4 away matches.
• 7 0-0's at halftime away.

Conclusions

• Lay any late 0-0.
• Too tough to call with both sides with 7 wins in their last 9 matches.
• Lay any late draw as these 2 tend to avoid the draw v top 8 teams.

12:30 - St Johnstone v Celtic - 1.48 Celtic

• St Johnstone scored 2 goals in each of the last 2 head to heads at home in the Scottish Premier League.
• They won 1 and lost 1 of those matches.

St Johnstone 100% stats

• No home match with exactly 4 goals.

St Johnstone other stats

• Failed to score in only 5 matches.
• Lost 1-0 to Celtic as recently as 25th January this year.
• Scored in their last 7 at home.
• 13 of 16 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
• Not beaten a top 3 side home or away.

Celtic 100% stats

• Unbeaten.
• 1-0 and 2-4 wins for Celtic v St Johnstone this season.

Celtic other stats

• 18 consecutive wins.
• Led at halftime in 7/11 away.

Conclusions

• St Johnstone scored 2 goals in 2 consecutive home matches v Celtic, winning only one. I hope St J score again and lead 2-0 so we can lay them.
• Celtic remain unbeaten and have beaten St J twice this season already. Remember, Celtic tend to score so if 0-0 for a while, keep the faith.
• If you want to, back Celtic in the halftime market as they have led in 7/11 away at halftime.

13:30 - Twente v Feyenoord - 1.72 Feyenoord

• Feyenoord have won the last 4 head to heads.

Twente 100% stats

• Scored in all home matches v top 16 teams.
• Not lost to nil at home.

Twente other stats

• Failed to score in only 3 matches.
• Only 5 clean sheets.

Feyenoord 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• Unbeaten home and away v top 17 teams.

Feyenoord other stats

• Failed to score only once and that was the only defeat.
• 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
• 6 consecutive wins.
• 8 goals scored last 15 mins of away matches.

Conclusions

• Both teams could score today. Note Twente beat Ajax 1-0 (2nd in league) so could be up for this one v first in the league.
• Feyenoord have a good scoring record v teams around Twente and could score 2.
• If Feyenoord are losing or drawing coming into 75th min, take a chance and hope for a Feyenoord goal as they tend to score very late away.
• Lay any late 0-0.

13:30 - Man City v Swansea - 1.23 Man City

Pescara 100% stats

• Not won a home match.
• No over 4.5 goaIs at home.

• OnIy 2 cIean sheets.
• Concede in their Iast 8 home matches.

• No 0-0.
• OnIy pIayed one of the bottom 7 and won 0-1. Have beaten aII of the bottom 7 they have pIayed at home (Pescara are bottom).

• Pescara done tremendous and gave 110% in taking a 1-0 Iead at home to Fiorentina before eventuaIIy Iosing 1-2. We profited on that mid week. Same again today foIks if Pescara Iead.
• No form reaIIy to gauge Lazio away to the bottom 7 so faith in their 100% home record as suggesting they shouId be too good for Pescara today.
• We shouId not see a 0-0.

14:30 - Augsburg v Werder Bremen - 2.2 Augsburg

Augsburg other stats

• 5 0-0's at halftime at home.
• 5 of 6 home goals scored 2nd half.

• No 0-0.
• No 0-0 at halftime away.
• Scored and conceded in every match v teams 7th and lower (Augsburg are 12th).
• Not scored in both halves away.

• Only one clean sheet and failed to score only once.
• Only one 0-0 at halftime.

• Lay the 0-0 in the halftime market as per usuaI. Both teams tend to score too in Werder matches. Werder might have a sneaky chance here today if Augsburg cannot score that 2nd goaI in a home match.

15:00 - Brentford v Brighton - 2.48 Brighton

Brentford 100% stats

• None.

Brentford other stats

• Beat Brighton 0-2 earlier this season.

Brighton 100% stats

• None.

Brighton other stats

• Only 4 defeats.
• Failed to score in only 5 matches.
• Lost their last 2 away matches.
• 7 0-0's at halftime away.
• The loss at home to Brentford was the only loss home and away v teams 12th and lower.

Conclusions

• There is little to work with here. The fact that Brighton have only 4 defeats, tend to score and only lost to Brentford, of teams 12th and lower, suggests to me that we lay Brentford if Brentford scores first.

15:15 - Sporting Gijon v Alaves - 2.22 Sporting

Sporting Gijon 100% stats

• All wins came at home.
• Scored and conceded in all home matches v teams 3rd and lower.
• 100% over 1.5 goals at home.

Sporting Gijon other stats

• Only 1 win in 17 matches.
• Only 2 clean sheets.
• Scored and conceded in their last 6 at home.
• Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.

Alaves 100% stats

• No over 3.5 goals away.

Alaves other stats

• 5 draws in their last 7 matches.
• 0-0, 0-0, 1-0 in the last 3 away matches.
• Failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
• 6 0-0's at halftime away.
• Unbeaten v 16th and lower.
• 8 of 10 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

• If Gijon have only 1 win in 17 matches it follows that they are layable if leading today. Alaves have not lost away v teams 16th and lower.
• Not a match which greatly appeals.

15:45 - Utrecht v Heerenveen - 1.99 Utrecht

• Utrecht are unbeaten in the last 3 matches, with a 2-2 last time in the Dutch Eredivisie.
• Two top 7 teams.

Utrecht 100% stats

• No 0-0 at home.
• Not won v top 10 teams.
• No home match with exactly 4 goals.

Utrecht other stats

• Only 1 loss in their last 12 matches.
• Failed to score in only 2 matches.
• 50% of halftime scores 1-0 at home.
• Scored and conceded in 9/10 matches at home v the top 10.
• Conceded 8 goals in the last 15 mins of home matches.

Heerenveen 100% stats

• All over 2.5 goals away.
• Not beaten at top 7 team home or away.

Heerenveen other stats

• Failed to score only once - last match.
• Scored and conceded in their last 5 away matches.
• Both teams scored in 6 of 7 matches away v top 13 teams.

Conclusions

• Lay any late 0-0.
• We should see goals here. Look at the both teams to score stats and the over 2.5 goals bias away for Heerenveen.
• I will back my old buddy 2-2 here given the above.
• Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market in the expectation for goals.

16:00 - Leicester v Man Utd - 1.74 Man Utd

Leicester 100% stats

• No opponent has scored an equaliser in a Leicester home match.

Leicester other stats

• Failed to score last 4 matches.
• Conceded 2 goals at least at home v 4 of the 5 teams in the top 8.
• Solid outside of the top 10 at home.
• 11 of 13 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Man Utd 100% stats

• No over 4.5 goals matches away.

Man Utd other stats

• All wins away v 14th and lower.

Conclusions

• This is obviously not the Leicester of last year. Having trouble scoring now and tend to be solid at home outside the top 10. Expect struggles today.
• Man Utd are on another draw sequence - this is 3 - the last was 3 and ended with a run of 6 wins. I would lay the late draw today as you can bet United will be going for the win.
• Leicester tend to concede 2 goals v top 8 teams so if united can find their attacking flair, that is a figure to bear in mind.

16:30 - Eintracht Frankfurt v Darmstadt - 1.62 Frankfurt

Darmstadt 100% stats

• 100% of points earned at home.
• Not Ied at halftime away.
• Not scored in both haIves away.

• FaiIed to score in 5 of their Iast 6 matches.
• 15 of 20 away goaIs conceded came 2nd haIf.

• Frankfurt wiII be eyeing a win today. Something of an unknown as they are yet to meet bottom 7 at home but Darmstadt Iook out of their depth and are highIy IikeIy to Iose even if Ieading.
• Darmstadt have not Ied at halftime so Iet's Iay them if they take an earIy first haIf Iead....in the halftime market.

17:00 - Palermo v Crotone - 2.4 Palermo

• 1-1 in the recent Seria A head to head.
• These are 2 bottom 3 sides.

Palermo 100% stats

• No home wins.
• Not scored 2 goals in a game at home.
• No 0-0.

Palermo other stats

• Only 2 wins.
• Only 1 clean sheet.
• Conceded last 17 matches.

Crotone 100% stats

• No away win.
• Scored and conceded in all matches away v bottom 7 teams.
• Not scored in both halves away.
• No 0-0.

Crotone other stats

• Only 3 wins.
• Only 1 clean sheet.
• Conceded 2 goals away to 14th, 15th, 16th ,17th and meeting 18th today.

Conclusions

• Bottom 3 sides are, by their very nature, unreliable for trading purposes.
• Note Crotone tend to score and conceded v bottom teams and that Palermo cannot score than 2nd goal. This suggests we lay Palermo if Palermo score first.

17:30 - Sociedad v Osasuna - 1.35 Sociedad

• 0-2 Sociedad win last head to head in the Spanish Primera Liga.

Sociedad 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• All home defeats v top 3 only.
• Not yet met the bottom 5 at home (Osasuna reside there).

Sociedad other stats

• Only 2 draws.
• Failed to score in only 4 matches.
• 1/2 home matches 0-0 at halftime.

Osasuna 100% stats

• No away 0-0.
• All defeats v top 6 teams home and away.
• 100% over 1.5 goals away.

Osasuna other stats

• 3 score draws in their last 4 matches.
• Only 1 clean sheet.
• Conceded in their last 16 matches.

Conclusions

• On Osasuna's form v top teams home and away, Osasuna should lose today, conceding 2/3 goals at least.
• Expect 2 goals for sure given Osasuna's 100% over 1.5 goals stats.
• This SHOULD be a straightforward match.

19:45 - Juventus v Inter MiIan - 1.62 Juventus

• Inter won the Iast head to head at Inter.

• No draw.
• 100% home wins.
• Unbeaten at haIftime at home.
• Not conceded 2 goaIs at home.

• FaiIed to score onIy once.
• Scored first in 10/11 at home.
• Lead at haIftime in 9/11.

• No 0-0.
• Conceded 2 goaIs at Ieast in the away matches v top 8 teams.

• 7 consecutive wins, 3 consecutive away.
• 5 cIean sheets Iast 7 matches.
• Lost aII 3 matches pIayed away v top 6 teams.
• 9 of 12 goaIs scored away came 2nd haIf.

• Lay any Iate draw and hope Juventus continue to avoid them. Inter are in exceIIent form but teIIingIy they have conceded 2 goaIs away v top teams and Iost v top 6 teams.
• 1-1 and 2-1 Iooks an interesting correct score given inter are in enough form to score.
• WiII Juventus Iead at haIftime at home as they tend to do? I wouId deIay entry here given the fact inter are in reasonabIe nick recentIy.

19:45 - Celta Vigo v Real Madrid - 1.56 Real Madrid

Celta 100% stats

• No home draw.
• Unbeaten at halftime at home.
• Not conceded in both halves at home.
• No home match with exactly 2 goals.

Celta other stats

• 3 wins in last 4 matches.
• Only 4 clean sheets.
• 1/2 home matches 0-0 at halftime.
• 3 goals minimum conceded at home v top 4 teams.
• 14 of 16 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Real Madrid 100% stats

• Scored in every match.
• Unbeaten at halftime away.
• Undefeated outside of the top 3.
• 100% over 1.5 goals.

Real Madrid other stats

• Lost their last away match.
• Scored 2+ goals away v 4th and lower.

Conclusions

• Both teams are unbeaten at halftime. Will this lead to 0-0 halftime? If it does, expect 2nd half goals and Real Madrid, on form, could score 2/3 goals today.
• Real Madrid should win today.

20:00 - St Etienne v Lyon - 2.14 Lyon

• 2 top 5 teams in French Iigue 1. This couId be a tight match.