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17:00 start for the World Cup qualifiers today will blend in nicely with the tennis at 16:00. See you on Twitter @drtclub from 16:00.

17:00 - Belarus v Sweden - 1.66 Sweden

  • Belarus are poor. Only 1 win came v Bulgaria, a side beating Sweden last week 3-2. I did mention in research there that Bulgaria were pretty good at home. Sweden I must say were statistically strong in play and should really not have lost this match.
  • 4 wins and 2 defeats for Sweden. Both defeats came 2nd half v France and Bulgaria.
  • It is a tight group A with 6 points betwen 1st and 4th. Belarus are out of it, Sweden really do need to get the win today. I think they should Belarus are not a good side. A 0-0 v France though is a shot across the boughs for the Swedes and us. We may see a defensive set up. Remember Sweden only beat Luxembourg 0-1 away so we may see a tight win for the Swedes.

17:00 - Estonia v Cyprus - 2.5 Estonia

  • Only 1 win for Estonia was v Gibraltar. Estonia failed to score in their last 3 matches with 2 of them 0-0, including the 0-0 v Cyprus.
  • 3 wins and a 0-0 for Cyprus. A thoroughly impressive 3-2 win v strong side Bosnia.
  • On that latter basis, I would side with Cyprus here tonight. Quite surprisingly, Cyprus do have a great chance of qualifying from Group H and a win tonight would be superb.

17:00 - Netherlands v Bulgaria - 1.31 Netherlands

  • Only 1 draw for Netherlands and no draw for Bulgaria in their World Cup qualifiers.
  • Group A has 4 teams alive to qualification.4th and 3rd meet today and it is a must win for these 2 teams.
  • Bulgaria beat Sweden and Netherlands at home, scoring 5 goals. Away from home Bulgaria have lost their 3 away matches v France, Sweden, and even Belarus.
  • Jekyll and Hyde this Bulgaria team home and away. Home unbeatable, away even Belarus beats them.
  • Netherlands tends to win at home. Only France has beaten them in World Cup qualifiers at home and that was only 0-1.
  • Based on form, Bulgaria are poor away. Were this being playing in Bulgaria I would be with the Bulgarians.
  • A superb home record should ensure Netherlands are not unbeaten.

17:00 - Faroe Islands v Andorra - 1.29 Faroes

  • 0-0 when these 2 met earlier. They will not be qualifying for the World Cup.
  • Faroes failed to score in their last 3 home matches, Andorra in their last 8 aways.
  • Faroes do look marginally the better side, particularly at home.

19:45 - Latvia v Switzerland - 1.43 Switzerland

  • A 1-0 Swiss win the last time these 2 met. Latvia's only win was 1-0 v Andorra, followed by 6 defeats.
  • Latvia failed to score in their last 3 home matches.
  • 7 wins out of 7 for Switzerland but let's not get carried away. They have played Andorra twice, Faroe Islands twice and Latvia. It is a weak group.
  • Latvia are as you see dire, but the Swiss have had easy pickings. I expect a win for the Swiss. I would back 0-0 pre match though. it took the Swiss 43 minutes to score against Andorra.

19:45 - France v Luxembourg - 1.01 France

  • 3 or 4 goals expected from France tonight.

19:45 - Hungary v Portugal - 1.41 Portugal

  • 6 consecutive wins for Portugal who beat Hungary 3-0 at home. 5-4-3-3-5 goals scored by Portugal. They should simply outscore Hungary tonight.
  • Hungary have only beaten the 3 really poor teams in Group B.

19:45 - Gibraltar v Bosnia - 1.02 Bosnia

  • Gibraltar are the whipping boys in this group.
  • 5-0 Bosnia in the last head to head. This should be a case of 'how many' for Bosnia.
  • 0-4, 0-6, 0-8 for me correct scores.

19:45 - Greece v Belgium - 1.85 Belgium

  • Both sides are unbeaten.4 consecutive draws and 2 consecutive score draws for Greece though masks problems.
  • 1-1-0-0 goals scored by Greece in those draws.
  • Belgium's sole draw was v Greece 1-1.
  • Defence is Greece's strength.
  • I will back 0-0 in this match. Belgium scored in the 89th minute AT HOME v Greece.


Denis Shapovalov v Pablo Carreno Busta - 1.8 Denis

  • 178th v 20th.
  • No head to heads.
  • Shapalov has had to play 6 matches to get here. He was lucky Edmund retired last match. A win over Tsonga though was impressive.
  • Shapalov has good hard court form with a semi final in the Canadian Masters and that included the scalps of Nadal and Del Potro. Shapalov has been eating his Weetabix.
  • He has carried through solid hard court challenger tour form to the ATP stage.
  • Busta has won in 3 sets so far but against less than spectacular opponents.
  • He bombed out first round in Winston Salem and lasted only 3 round at Cincinnati.
  • Busta is a recent retiree on clay. I note recent retirees has they can be carrying injury.
  • For me Shapalov's form looks head and shoulders above that of Busta. I would be siding with Denis today if Busta leads 1-0 or 2-0.
  • Note the market expects a tight match.

Lucas Pouille v Diego Schwartzman - 1.85 Lucas

  • 14th v 34th.
  • 3-5-4 sets for Pouille so far this US Open. On hard, he has had to battle for his wins. In Washington he lost but one set was a tie breaker, and in Canada it was the same story.
  • Diego took the scalp of top 10 Cilic in 4 sets. Good form. He reached the quarters in Canada and lost to Khachanov in Cincinnati.
  • The market cannot really split these 2. It cannot price them as evens each. It needs one to be odds on, one odds against.
  • Tough to call. Both players recent 4 setters.

Anastasija Sevastova v Maria Sharapova - 1.39 Maria

  • Drug cheat Sharapova is having a fine US Open.
  • No head to heads.
  • Maria began with an impressive 3 set win over Halep, then came from a set down to beat Babos 2-1.
  • It was more routine v Kenin.
  • Straightforward to date from Sevastova.
  • Is Maria reliable if dropping the first set? As reliable as, say, a Pliskova who was backable at 12.5 odds last night!!

Julia Goerges v Sloane Stephens - 1.59 Stephens

  • 45th v 158th.
  • Sloane has won the 2 most recent head to heads.
  • One was a very recent quarter final win in Cincinnati where the 2nd set went to a tie breaker.
  • Sloane is a favourite and a US player so has a lot working for her today.
  • I would take the recent quarter final as a template. If Sloane wins the first set, expect Julia to bed down and fight in the second set. You can have a low odds lay of Sloane and hope for a tie breaker 2nd set.

Carla Suárez Navarro v Venus Williams - 1.48 Venus

  • Navarro is a player who goes through purple patches. When not in a purple patch she is fragile mentally.
  • 25th v 12th.
  • Venus won the last 2 head to heads.
  • 2 3 setters for Navarro now.
  • Against someone like Williams, Navarro is unlikely to win 2-0 if winning the first set.

Paolo Lorenzi v Kevin Anderson - 1.15 Anderson

  • 38th v 66th.
  • 7-5 7-6 the most recent Anderson head to head win.
  • 3 consecutive 3 set wins for Anderson includes Coric, the slayer of Zverev.
  • That was a Zverev Anderson lost to in Canada. He lost to Dolgopolov in Cincinnati and as we see now, that is not bad considering Dolgo is smashing all before him at the moment.
  • 4-4-3 sets for Lorenzi. He will not be winning 3-0 this match.