Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

Where I mention BANKER below, this signifies those matches where I think the favourites should win. These matches I would personally prioritise as regards DRT.

Remember the strategies:

Lay the 0-0 halftime score in certain signalled matches

Lay the 0-0 2nd half in matches where goals were expected but have not yet materialised

Lay the 2-2 scoreline, especially early on in matches. 2-2 shows us that teams are scoring and conceding.

Lay the away team leading 0-2 before halftime, especially if they are not the pre-market favourites. The home team is usually galvanised by the halftime team talk.

Lay the underdog if they score first in certain matches (especially BANKER matches where I would back the BANKERS if they conceded first at enhanced odds).

Lay the underdog scoring early in the first half, in the HALF TIME market, especially in BANKER matches.

Do note matches where one team is red carded. The opponents do tend to score next more often than not.

2pm - AIK v Helsingborgs  - 1.66 home

Standout Stats

  • Both teams have scored in the last 5 head to heads. 4 2-1 scorelines and a 3-1 scoreline.
  • 4 AIK wins and a 3-1 for Helsingborgs in the last 5 matches.
  • This is 7th v 8th in the Swedish Allsvenskan after 10 matches.

AIK

  • No defeat in 5 at home.
  • Did score in those 5.
  • 4 wins and a 2-2 in the last 5 home matches.
  • Scored 2/3 goals at home.
  • 2 2-2 scorelines in their last 3 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Scored first in 4 of 5 home matches.

Helsingborgs

  • Scored and conceded in their last 4 away matches.
  • 3 match losing streak away
  • Scored and conceded in all 4 defeats . Lost 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime in their last 8 matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Both teams to score looks likely. Lay any team leading 2-0 then.
  • AIK are likely to score first today, albeit only 5 home matches to work from.
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score.
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3pm - Silkeborg v AaB  - 1.74 away

Standout Stats

  • 4 AaB wins and a 2-2 in the last 5 head to heads. They scored 2 goals in their last 3 matches.
  • This is 12th of 12 v 5th in Denmark.
  • 2 matches remain this season. Silkeborg are relegated even if they win the 2 remaining matches.

Silkeborg

  • Only 2 wins this season.
  • No win in 10 and in 15 at home.
  • Conceded in their last 27 matches.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 home matchs.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Conceded 14 first half and 15 2nd half goals.

AaB

  • Only 1 win in 6 away
  • 13 of 15 goals scored away came 2nd half

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Dead rubber I think. If 0-0 at halftime, lay 0-0 2nd half as AaB overwhelmingly score 2nd half.
  • Silkeborg are highly likely to concede so lay them if they lead.
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3pm - Motherwell v Rangers  - 2.64 away

Standout Stats

  • Rangers are in trouble here in this 2nd leg play-off. They are 1-3 down from the first leg. If the away goal rule stands, then Rangers need to win 0-3 to win. Motherwell simply need an engineered 0-2 defeat and if away goals count, they go through.
  • It seems that Rangers time in the Championship has bluntened their competitive edge.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • There you have it. Rangers need a 0-3 win. Motherwell will tolerate a 0-2 loss .
  • Expect goals today? I would go for over 2.5 goals here.
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score? Rangers need to score and first, and quickly.
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3:30pm - Sturm Graz v SV Ried - 1.66 home

Standout Stats

  • 4 consecutive Sturm Graz wins in head to heads. they have won the last 3 home matches 2-0, 2-1 and 3-1
  • This is 3rd v 6th in the Austrian Bundesliga.

Sturm Graz

  • This is the last match of the season and a dead rubber it seems so a fleeting look.
  • No defeat in 9 at home.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Only 1 loss in 10 matches.
  • 71% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • Both teams have scored in 71% of home matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.

Ried

  • 3 match losing streak away
  • No draw in 13 matches and in 10 away
  • Only 2 wins in their last 7 matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Not a match to enthuse about as it is a dead rubber. Sturm Graz tend to win at home in head to heads.
  • Lay any late draw, Ried tend to avoid them.
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3:30pm - Austria Vienna v Red Bull Salzburg  - 1.84 away

Standout Stats

  • This is the last match of the season. Red Bull are Champions. Austria Vienna don't change much with a win.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Both teams have scored in the last 3 head to heads, Red Bull scoring 2-4-3 goals.
  • Enough to hope for same happening today and over 4.5 goals? It's speculative as it is a dead rubber.
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3:45pm - Vitesse v Heerenveen  - 1.61 home

Standout Stats

  • Both teams have scored in their last 12 head to heads. 3 draws in their last 4 matches.
  • This is 5th v 7th in the Dutch Eredivisie.

Vitesse

  • 3-3-0-4-3 scored in their last 5 matches.
  • Consistent scorers at home. 2-2-3-0-1-2-2-3-1-3-3 scored recently at home.
  • Failed to score in only 5 this season.
  • Only 1 loss at home came v 1st.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home
  • 22 of 36 goals scored at home came 1st half.

Heerenveen

  • Scored and conceded in their last 5 matches and in their last 3 at home.
  • Scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches.
  • Only 1 loss in their last 9 home matches.
  • 5 wins and a loss v teams above them at home.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Both teams to score has a great chance. Vitesse are scoring plenty at the moment at home.
  • I think this might be a play-off as these 2 are playing consecutive matches. Expect Vitesse to score 2+ again today.
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4:30pm - Elfsborg v Orebro  - 1.44 home

Standout Stats

  • Orebro have won the last 2 head to heads, one was in the cup.
  • This is 2nd v 14th in the Swedish Allvenskan. Elfsborg could go top with a win.

Elfsborg

  • Only 1 loss this season.
  • DWWDW (D=Draw, W=Win) in home matches.
  • Scored 2+ goals in their last 4 home matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 5 matches at home.

Orebro

  • 4 match losing streak away
  • Conceded in their last 5 away.
  • 4 consecutive clean sheets away
  • 2 consecutive wins, the only 2 this season.
  • Failed to score in their last 4 away matches, all defeats.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Only 1 goal scored away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Interesting head to heads. But this season Orebro have trouble scoring away from home. They have won their last 2 matches but the fact remains they have only scored 1 goal away.
  • Elfsborg could score 2+ goals in recent home matches.
  • Does 2-0 beckon here?
  • Elfsborg though have scored and conceded in their last 5 home matches.
  • Lay Orebro if they score first.
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4:30pm - Malmo FF v Atvidabergs  - 1.22 home

Standout Stats

  • 4 malmo wins and a 2-1 to Atvidabergs in the last 5 head to heads.
  • 4-0 and 3-0 in the last 2 home matches.
  • This is 5th v 16th in the Swedish Allsvenskan

Malmo

  • Lost their last 2 matches. Will they really lose a 3rd consecutive match.
  • 3 consecutive 3-1 wins at home ended with a 0-3 loss at home.
  • 7 consecutive over 2.5 goals matches
  • 80% over 2.5 goals this season

Atvitabergs

  • Scored and conceded in their last 9 matches.
  • 5 match losing streak away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • This looks fairly straightforward. I would not expect Malmo to lose a 3rd consecutive match and v bottom side.
  • Both teams could score. Over 2.5 goals or higher
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score
  • Look for Malmo not to lose.
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5pm - Sporting Gijon v Sabadell  - 1.29 home

Standout Stats

  • 2-0 Sabadell and 2-2 last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 3rd v 21st in the Spanish Segunda Division
  • Plenty to play for for these 2 teams. A chance to go 2nd for Gijon (automatic promotion??) and a chance to salvage a season for Sabadell IF they win their last 2 matches and results go for them

Sporting Gijon

  • Only 2 defeats all season.
  • 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
  • 4 consecutive home wins.
  • 3 clean sheets in their last 4 home matches.
  • 4 match home winning streak.
  • No defeat in 10 at home and 13 overall.
  • Only 1 home loss came v 1st.
  • All draws home and away v bottom 3.

Sabadell

  • No win in 16 away
  • Scored and conceded in their last 3 matches.
  • 4 losses in their last 5 matches.
  • Only 1 win away
  • Failed to score away v top 5.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • In matches where both teams need the win, sometimes we see surprises, but it would take a leap of faith to side with Sabadell given they are yet to score away v top 5. Also, only 1 loss at home v only 1 win away suggests we side with the market today, despite head to heads again pointing to Sabadell potential.
  • I would lay Sabadell if they lead. I want to go full tilt on Sporting Gijon but as I say these must wins for both sides can produce strange results.
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5pm - Bodo Glimt v Mjondalen  - 2.22 home

Standout Stats

  • Mjondalen are a team I want to follow. Some extraordinary results have seen them come from 2-0 down twice and win!
  • This is 16th (bottom) v 11th in the Norwegian Eliteserien
  • No recent relevant head to heads.

Bodo Glimt

  • Only 1 win this season.
  • 4 losses and a win at home in their home matchs this season.
  • Scored and conceded in the first 4 home matches.
  • Only 1 clean sheet
  • 80% over 2.5 goals at home

Mjondalen

  • 2 match losing streak, and 2 away
  • Conceded in their last 9 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 7 of their last 9 matches
  • Conceded 2-4-1-3-2-4-3 in recent matches.3 of the scorelines were 4-3 win, 3-2 win, 4-2 loss.
  • Only 1 clean sheet

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • I could see a real goal fest here. Over 5.5 goals - back it if 0-0 for a while.
  • I do though expect goals so lay the 0-0 halftime score.
  • Both teams to score.
  • Lay any side 2-0 up.
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5pm - Lech Poznan v Pogon Szczecin  - 1.34 home

Standout Stats

  • 2nd v 7th in the Polish league. Lech Poznan go 1st with a win.
  • 5 consecutive draws in head to heads, 2 0-0's and 3 1-1's

Lech Poznan

  • Only 1 loss at home.
  • 2 consecutive 1-1's this season v Pogon. Is the season over? Are we in a play-off?
  • Only 1 loss in 14 matches.
  • 6 wins and a draw in their last 7 home matches.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • No 0-0 at home

Pogon

  • No draw in 9 matches.
  • 3 wins in their last 4 matches.
  • No win away v teams above them in the league included 4 1-1 draws.
  • Only 1 win in 9 away matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • This may be a European cup play-off as I think the season is over.
  • 2 consecutive 1-1 draws home and away between these 2 suggests we lay Pogon if they score first.
  • Poznan are likely to score so factor that in.
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5:15pm - Sp Lisbon v Braga  - 2.02 home

Standout Stats

  • This is the Taca de Portugal.
  • 4 consecutive Sporting wins in head to heads.
  • 5 wins and a draw for Sporting in their last 6 Cup matches.
  • 5 wins and a draw for Braga in their last 6 Cup matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • With so many Cup Finals this weekend, I am assuming that this is a Cup Final. On form, Sporting Lisbon keep beating Braga.
  • Identical recent cup records don't help us much.
  • I would lay Braga if they scored first, based on head to heads.
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7pm - Rosenborg v Tromso  - 1.22 home

Standout Stats

  • No recent relevant head to heads. The last was in 2013.
  • This is 1st v 15th of 16 in the Norwegian Eliteserien

Rosenborg

  • 8 wins, a draw and a loss this season.
  • The loss was a 3-2 v Rosenborg.
  • 5-1-3-3-5 scored in recent home matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches
  • Scored in all matches.
  • All matches have seen at least 1 goal before halftime.
  • 5 goals scored at home v 13th and 14th and playing 15th today.

Tromso

  • 5 losses and a draw in their last 6 matches.
  • 4 losses and a win in their last 5 away matches.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • On form, Rosenborg are likely to score 3+ goals .
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score.
  • Try backing over 1.5 goals first half.
  • Both teams could score today.
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7:45pm - Fiorentina v Chievo  - 1.4 home

Standout Stats

  • 3-1 fiorentina, 1-2 Fiorentina in the last 2 head to heads.
  • I think Fiorentina would want a win here because Genoa could nick their European place if Genoa win and Fior lose. A draw should be enough for Fior today given their superior goal difference.
  • Chievo are safe.

Fiorentina

  • A run of 4 consecutive wins sees Fiorentina in great end of season form. 2-3-3-3-3 scored in the last 5 matches.
  • 3-2-2-2-3- scored before halftime in recent matches.

Chievo

  • 5 draws in their last 7 matches.
  • 0-1-1-0-0 scored in recent away matches.
  • Did beat 4th and 6th away 0-1 and 0-2 - interesting as they play 5th today.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Another match with little to enthuse about. Although with Fiorentina scoring 2+ goals regularly, is this enough to bank on them performing solidly in the last home match of the season?
  • Lay Chievo if they score first, although perhaps cover the 0-1 incase they perform as they did v 4th and 6th away.
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7:45pm - Inter v Empoli  - 1.57 home

Standout Stats

  • 0-0 the last time these 2 met earlier in the season.
  • Another dead rubber here. Neither side gains much from a win.

Inter

  • Only 2 defeats in 9 matches came in their last 2 matches.
  • Pretty poor record at home v 14th and lower.Only 1 win in 6 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in the last 3 matches.

Empoli

  • Both teams have scored in 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 3 matches. Scored in their last 7 matches.
  • Only 2 wins away from home. 10 draws away, 9 were score draws.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Another dead rubber. I think both teams could score today. I'd lay Empoli if they score first given the number of score draws.
  • Inter are poor v bottom teams so 1.57 would not be odds I would back Inter at.
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7:45pm - Roma v Palermo  - 1.45 home

Standout Stats

  • This is a dead rubber. Roma will remain 2nd regardless of the result. This is their last home match of the season.
  • 4 wins in 5 sees Roma putting the draw hoodoo which cost them the title to bed.
  • A couple of 2-3 losses for Palermo sees them perhaps with shackles off now safe from relegation?
  • With Roma scoring in their last 10, I'd expect a goal at least from them today.
  • Only 1 loss at home and I'd expect them not to lose .Palermo have not beaten any top 8 away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Do remember this is a dead rubber but it all points to Roma scoring and not losing today. With Palermo having 2 2-3's and a 2-2 recently, let's hope Palermo take a 0-2 lead so we can have some trading fun!
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7:45pm - Sampdoria v Parma - 1.38 home

Standout Stats

  • Another dead rubber it seems. Parma are down. Sampdoria will hold on to 7th place if they win. Is this a must-win scenario therefore? Hmm.
  • 0-2 to Samp earlier this year in the league suggests they have the measure of Parma.
  • Parma have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 5 matches so are leaky in defence.They have had 2 2-2 draws in their last 3 matches so another case of "shackles off?"
  • Sampdoria are in really poor recent form. Mid table mediocrity will do that to you.0-0, 1-1, 0-1, 0-1 in their last 4 at home. Only 1 goal scored recently at home.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Will Sampdoria score the 2 goals as they did v Parma earlier in the season? A match making little appeal. The goals are incongruous. Parma matches see 3+ goals. Samp at home are very poor recently with tight under 2.5 goals matches.
  • Form wise, Parma are likely to lose to nil. They have failed to score v top 6 away from home.
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7:45pm - Torino v Cesena  - 1.4 home

Standout Stats

  • 2-3 Torino in the last head to head saw Torino lead 0-2.
  • Cesena's goals there were penalties.
  • Another dead rubber.

Torino

  • Only 2 wins in 8 for Torino have came at home.
  • 3 losses in their last 4 matches.
  • Very tight v 16th and lower at home. 1-0, 0-0, 1-1, 1-0.

Cesena

  • Only 1 win away v 2nd bottom.likely to concede 2/3 goals.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Another dead rubber. Cesena are unlikely to win on form. Torino have been poor at home v 16th and lower,albeit not losing.
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