Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

Happy New Year. Some obvious trades yesterday - Liverpool going behind and Juventus going behind. Some 'obvious' matches today in the Premier League. We might get some fun and games if Palace score 2 goals at home yet again! Arsenal, if performing as they did away at Crystal Palace, will be tough to beat against a West Brom side which will be set up to be hard to beat, but which ultimately lacks the firepower, I would suggest, to worry Arsenal.

12:00 - Crystal Palace v Manchester City - 1.29 Man City

Palace (16th)

  • Due to work load, research done before result of Arsenal match known.
  • Continued scoring 2 goals at home - 6 matches now.
  • Unbeaten in 8 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Conceded in their last 9 at home.
  • Only 1 home match v top 8, prior to Arsenal match, was a 2-1 win v Chelsea.
  • 12 of 15 goals scored at home came 1st half.

Man City (1st)

  • Due to work load, research done before result of Newcastle match known.
  • All wins bar the 1-1.
  • 4 goals scored in 3 consecutive matches prior to Newcastle match.

Conclusions

  • Will Palace score 2 goals at home....yet again? If so it should not be enough against a City if they can continue to score 2-4 goals.
  • There is an element of the unknown here as Palace have only played a couple of top 8 teams.

16:30 - West Brom v Arsenal - 1.7 Arsenal

  • The question here is 'which Arsenal away side will turn up?'. If it is the side which played Crystal Palace then it will be a long day for West Brom.
  • New manager for West Brom so head to heads irrelevant.

West Brom (20th)

  • West Brom have still not won since the first 2 matches of the season.
  • 6 matches under Pardew. West Brom failed to score in 4 of those 6 matches. We saw 3 0-0's v Liverpool, Everton and Crystal Palace.
  • West Brom lost 1-2 at home to Man Utd.
  • 0-0-0-1-1-0 goals scored by West Brom under Pardew.

Arsenal (6th)

  • 3 goals scored in each of their last 2 Xmas matches.
  • For all of their apparent woes, Arsenal away have only been beaten by Man City in their last 6 matches.
  • 9 of 12 away goals were scored 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Arsenal are shorter odds than they were in their 2-3 win over Crystal Palace which was more comfortable than the 2-3 scoreline suggests.
  • West Brom look extremely negative under Alan Pardew. They will be looking to secure a clean sheet. Do note if they get to halftime at 0-0, Arsenal have a strong 2nd half scoring record away from home.
  • 0-0 would be in play today but I personally cannot see that first win since August for West Brom IF Arsenal consent to be as effective away as they were v Palace.
  • Do remember, only Man City has beaten Arsenal in their last 6 away matches.