See you at 14:00 today for a live chat at delayreacttrade.com. The highlight yesterday? A 1.06 lay of the draw in the Bayern Munich match. Take a bow Lewandowski! Hoff also delivered my 2-0.

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11:30 - Bologna v Inter - 1.82 Inter

• Head to Heads have been really tight between these 2 in the Italian Seria A with Inter Milan not losing.

Bologna 100% stats

• Not beaten a top 8 side.

Bologna other stats

• 3 consecutive defeats.
• Only 1 0-0.
• 83% of halftime scores either 1-0/0-1 or 0-0.

Inter Milan 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• All wins away v 12th and lower - Bologna are 14th.
• No over 4.5 goals matches away.

Inter Milan other stats

• 8 wins in their last 9 matches. Only Juventus have beaten them.
• Failed to score in only 4 matches.
• No draw in 11 matches.

Conclusions

• Inter Milan look comfortable v bottom half teams, albeit the wins are unspectacular, ranging from 0-1, to 1-2, to 0-2.
• Lay any late 0-0. Lay any late draw too as long as Inter Milan keep avoiding draws.
• Expectation is for a narrow Inter Milan win so lay Bologna if Bologna score first.

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13:30 - Vitesse v Ajax - 1.74 Ajax

• Ajax have won 1-0 in the last 2 head to heads in the Dutch Eredivisie.

Vitesse 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• Lost all 3 matches v top 3.
• Conceded at home in all matches v top 13 teams.
• 100% over 1.5 goals at home.

Vitesse other stats

• Only 2 losses in 10 matches, one was v 1st in the league.
• Conceded in their last 8 home matches.

Ajax 100% stats

• All wins away v 7th and lower - Vitesse are 8th.
• Not conceded 2 goals in those matches.
• No 0-0.

Ajax other stats

• Failed to score only once.
• 5 consecutive wins with 4 consecutive clean sheets.
• 7 0-0's at halftime away.
• 16 of 20 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

• Note the very strong 2nd half scoring bias for Ajax if 0-0 at halftime. We can go correct score 2/3 goals poss from Ajax
• Lay any late 0-0.
• Vitesse have conceded in their last 8 home matches so if they lead and lead late on, lay them.

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14:00 - Fulham v Tottenham - 1.83 Tottenham

• 8th in the Championship plays 3rd in the Premiership in this FA Cup match.
• It is clear from Tottenham's perspective that they have been fielding weakened sides for this competition.

Fulham FA Cup form

• Fulham's 2017 wins were against Cardiff and Hull City seeing both teams score.
• The Hull match was at home and the last home match prior to that was in 2015.

Tottenham FA Cup form

• Tottenham beat Aston Villa and Wycombe Wanderers. The latter match was a trader's dream. Wycombe took a 0-2 lead, Tottenham take it to 2-2, and push on for the win only for Wycombe to take a 2-3 lead and Tottenham win with 2 late goals.

Conclusions

• It seems a unique characteristic for Premiership sides in the FA Cup to actually field weakened sides as if there are other competitions of more importance.
• This will give Fulham a chance today but Tottenham were emphatic in the win against Aston Villa.
• Prepare for surprises and faith in Tottenham to come back from behind?

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14:00 - Pescara v Genoa - 2.28 Genoa

• 1-1 when these 2 met earlier in Italian Seria A.

Pescara 100% stats

• No home win.
• Scored and conceded exactly 3 goals on average at home.
• Not scored in both halves.

Pescara other stats

• Only 2 clean sheets.
• No win in 22 matches.
• Conceded in their last 19 matches.
• 17 goals conceded 2nd half at home.

Genoa 100% stats

• Not led at halftime away.
• Not scored in both halves away.

Genoa other stats

• No win in 8 matches and in 9 away.
• Conceded in their last 8 and last 5 away.
• 8 of 10 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

• Oh boy, these 2 are poor. What I would take from the match? 2nd half goals if 0-0 at halftime.
• Both teams could actually score today but teams in this section of the league are hardly renowned for their consistency and reliability!
• Tread warily here.

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 14:00 - Chievo v Napoli - 1.54 Napoli

• 4 consecutive Napoli wins in Italian Seria A.

Chievo 100% stats

• Lost all 3 matches v top 3 this season.
• Not scored in both halves at home.

Chievo other stats

• 7 0-0's at halftime at home.
• All defeats bar 1 came v top 9 teams - pretty telling.

Napoli 100% stats

• Not lost a match outside the top 6.
• Not conceded in both halves away.

Napoli other stats

• Failed to score in only 2 matches.
• Scored last 17 matches.
• No defeat in 13 matches.
• Scored 2 goals at least in all bar 1 match away v 7th and lower.

Conclusions

• Chievo lose to top 3 and look likely to lose again conceding at least 2 goals.
• We might see a 0-0 at halftime. Chievo seem adept at that but remember Napoli have scored in their last 17 matches so we should not see a 0-0 full-time.

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14:00 - Bordeaux v Guingamp - 1.97 Bordeaux

• Both teams have scored in 7 of the last 8 head to heads in French Ligue 1 with Bordeaux rarely leaving without points.

Bordeaux 100% stats

• All home wins by a single goal.

Bordeaux other stats

• Only 1 loss in 7 matches was v PSG.
• 0-0-0-1-1-0 goals scored in recent home matches.

Guingamp 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• Conceded away v all top 16 teams and Bordeaux are 7th.

Guingamp other stats

• Only 3 wins in 14 matches came at home.
• Only 5 clean sheets.
• Conceded in their last 11 away matches.
• Only 1 win away v top 10 teams.
• 9 goals conceded away last 15 mins.

Conclusions

• Both teams could score today and Bordeaux not lose. That is my key angle here. I like Bordeaux's recent form. No harm in losing to PSG, after seeing what they did to Barcelona.
• Slight concern with Bordeaux's poor scoring record at home recently but to be fair they were playing top 3 teams and failed to score. Remember Guingamp have conceded in their last 11 away matches.
• Watch out for late action should Guingamp somehow keep it tight coming to the 75th minute. I would lay them at that time if leading.

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14:00 - Sampdoria v Cagliari - 1.77 Sampdoria

• Cagliari are back in Italian Seria A. The home side has tended to win these head to heads historically.

Sampdoria stats

• 3 consecutive wins.
• Only 2 home defeats.
• Only 4 home clean sheets.
• Failed to score in only 3 matches at home.
• Unbeaten v teams below them in the league (where Cagliari are) and scored and conceded in wins there.
• 3 goals scored in their last 2 home matches.
• Half of home matches 0-0 at halftime.
• 9 goals scored in the last 15 mins of home matches.

Cagliari 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• Not scored in both halves away.

Cagliari other stats

• Only 2 wins in 10 matches came at home and saw Cagliari scoring 4 goals in each match.
• Failed to score in 6 of their last 9 matches though.
• Conceded in their last 20 matches.
• All defeats bar 2 away.

Conclusions

• Cagliari should concede today. They beat Inter Milan away but that looks an anomoly. Sampdoria are buzzing at home and have scored 3 goals in each of their last 2 home matches. If you remember, it took them a while to deliver the 3-1 correct score we went for last week so watch out for that.
• I would lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market. If Cagliari have conceded in their last 20 matches then there is a hope they can concede first half.

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14:30 - Mgladbach v RB Leipzig - 2.68 Mgladbach

• 1-1 earlier in the German Bundesliga season.

Mgladbach 100% stats

• Both teams have not scored in a halftime scoreline.
• No win v top 7 home and away. Leipzig are 2nd.
• Not lost to nil at home.
• No home match with exactly 4 goals.

Mgladbach other stats

• 3 consecutive wins.
• 90% of home halftime scores were 1-0, 0-1 or 0-0.
• 6 of 7 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Leipzig 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• Not conceded in both halves away.
• 9 of 11 goals conceded away came 1st half.

Leipzig other stats

• All 4 defeats have come within their last 7 matches.
• They failed to score in those defeats.
• Lost their last 3 away matches.
• No draw in 15 matches.

Conclusions

• Mgladbach are yet to beat the top 7 but then Leipzig's wheels are starting to fall off. 3 consecutive away defeats now.
• If Mgladbach are to score it is highly likely to be first half.
• I would lay any late draw here based on Leipzig avoiding draws.

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15:00 - Blackburn v Man Utd - 1.38 Man Utd

• Where other Premiership teams are sending out a second string side in the FA Cup, Mourinho has consistently sent out a strong side. This should continue today.
• Tellingly, Blackburn's last 2 defeats in the FA Cup were against Liverpool and West Ham, suggesting the Premiership sides may be a stretch too far.
• United are unbeaten in 9 FA Cup matches, with 7 wins. 2 consecutive 4-0 wins over Championship sides augurs well for their simply outscoring Blackburn today.

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15:45 - ADO Den Haag v Feyenoord - 1.3 Feyenoord

• 8 goals scored by Feyenoord in the last 2 head to heads in the Dutch Eredivisie.

ADO 100% stats

• Bottom v top today.
• No 0-0.
• Not scored v top 8 at home.
• No over 3.5 goals at home.

ADO other stats

• 15 defeats, 2 1-0 wins and a draw in their last 18 matches.
• Conceded 2 or 3 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches.
• Only 3 clean sheets.

Feyenoord 100% stats

• No 0-0.

Feyenoord other stats

• 5 consecutive clean sheets.
• Failed to score only once.
• 8 consecutive wins.
• 9 goals scored last 15 mins of away matches.

Conclusions

• This could be a win to nil fo Feyenoord today, 0-3 and upwards for the speculator. I would always cover the anomolous goal from the underdog though. Note ADO have not scored v top 8 at home so it is up to you!
• Late action from Feyenoord if they are only 0-1 or 0-0 coming to the 75th minute, they could nab one or 2 late goals.

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16:00 - Lyon v Dijon - 1.41 Lyon

• 4-2 to Dijon the last time these 2 French Ligue 1 teams met. Interesting!

Lyon 100% stats

• No draw at home.
• Scored in all home matches.

Lyon other stats

• Only 1 draw all season.
• 4 defeats in their last 6 matches so a little sticky patch. Only 1 of those defeats was at home.
• No 0-0 at halftime at home sees 7 1-0 halftime scorelines.
• 6 wins and a loss at home v 10th and lower - Dijon are 13th.
• Scored 9 goals at home in the 31st-45th min of matches.

Dijon 100% stats

• No win away v top 19 teams.
• Conceded in all away matches v top 18 teams.

Dijon other stats

• Scored and conceded last 6 away matches.
• Only 1 0-0 away.
• 4 0-1 leads at halftime and considering they have won only 1 away match take note!
• In 7 of 9 matches v top 8 teams, Dijon conceded 2-4 goals.
• 15 of 22 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

• The market expects Lyon to avenge the 4-2 defeat earlier in the season and the way Dijon have played away, especially v top sides, they are likely to concede 2-4 goals today.
• Dijon may yet score but be outscored. If Dijon lead at halftime, they must be opposed for the 2nd half.
• I would lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market and wait to the 30th minute as it is there that Lyon tend to start scoring 1st half.

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16:30 - FC Koln v Schalke - 2.54 FC Koln

• The away side has scored 3 goals in each of the last 3 head to heads. Koln was the away side twice.

FC Koln 100% stats

• Undefeated at home and at halftime at home.
• Not conceded 2 goals in a home match.
• No over 3.5 goals matches at home.
• Not conceded in both halves at home.

FC Koln other stats

• Only 4 defeats.
• 0-1-1-1 scored in their last 4 at home.
• Failed to score in only 5 matches.
• Scored first in 7/9 at home.

Schalke 100% stats

• Not led at halftime away.
• Not beaten a top 6 side and play 7th today.
• Not scored 2 goals in an away match.
• Not scored in both halves away.

Schalke other stats

• Only 2 wins in 8 matches.
• Scored and conceded last 3 away matches.

Conclusions

• The odds are strange as I would have thought FC Koln would be strong favourites. They have not conceded 2 goals at home and Schalke have not scored 2 goals in an away match.
• Koln are having trouble scoring at home of late but are unbeaten at home.
• I would expect, if form is upheld, for FC Koln not to lose.

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17:00 - Roma v Torino - 1.48 Roma

• 3-2 Roma and 3-1 Torino in the last 2 Italian Seria A head to heads.

Roma 100% stats

• The nearest challengers to Juventus for the title.
• All wins at home.
• Not conceded in both halves at home.

Roma other stats

• Only 2 draws.
• 9 wins in their last 11 matches.
• Failed to score in only 3 matches.
• Failed to score 2+ goals at home only twice.
• Scored first in 10/11 home matches.

Torino 100% stats

• All defeats away v top 10 teams.
• Not beaten a top 17 side away.
• Conceded 2 goals at least away v top 12 teams.

Torino other stats

• Only 1 loss in 7 matches but also only 2 wins.
• No win in 5 away.
• Scored and conceded in every match home and away v teams above them in the league.

Conclusions

• On form, Torino should be conceding 2 goals again and losing against another top 10 team.
• Both teams could score and if Torino score first, I would consider backing Roma.

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17:30 - Celta Vigo v Osasuna - 1.59 Celta Vigo

• 0-0 in the last head to head in the Spanish La Liga.

Celta Vigo 100% stats

• No home draw.
• Not lost at halftime at home.
• Not conceded in both halves at home.

Celta Vigo other stats

• Only 4 clean sheets.
• 7 wins in their last 8 home matches.
• All defeats bar 1 came v top 8 teams.
• 14 of 16 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Osasuna 100% stats

• No away clean sheet.
• Scored and conceded in all aways played v top 15 teams (Celta are 10th).
• 100% over 1.5 goals away.

Osasuna other stats

• Only 1 win.
• Only 1 clean sheet.
• Conceded 2+ goals in 8 of their last 10 matches.
• Scored and conceded last 6 matches.

Conclusions

• Lay any late draw as Celta keep avoiding them at home.
• Both teams could score today with Osasuna simply outscored. They have been conceding 2/3 goals of late so are vulnerable if leading.

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19:45 - AC Milan v Fiorentina - 2.28 AC Milan

• 2-0 Milan and 0-0 in the last 2 Italian Seria A matches.

AC Milan other stats

• Only failed to score in 6 matches.
• 6 0-0's at halftime at home.
• Only 1 loss v the top 9 at home is reasonable enough form.

Fiorentina 100% stats

• No draw at halftime away (and remember 0-0 is a draw).
• All defeats away v top 9 teams conceding 2 goals at least.

Fiorentina other stats

• Only 1 loss in 7 matches was v Roma.
• 3-2-3-3-2-0-3 goals scored in recent matches.
• Failed to score in only 4 matches.
• The last 7 halftime scores have been a variant of 1-0/0-1.
• No draw in 10 away.

Conclusions

• I like Fiorentina's recent goal scoring and would expect a goal at least from them today.
• Milan themselves have failed to score in only 6 matches so both teams could score today.
• Fiorentina keep losing to top 9 teams. Will that continue today? Will they concede 2 goals again today?
• Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
• I would back 2-2 pre match simply because of Fiorentina's recent scoring and the fact Fiorentina concede 2 goals v top 9 teams away.

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19:45 - Barcelona v Leganes - 1.1 Barcelona

• 1-5 to Barcelona in the last head to head.

Barcelona 100% stats

• All wins v 15th and lower, home and away (Leganes are 17th).
• Not lost to nil at home.

Barcelona other stats

• Only 2 defeats.
• Failed to score in only one match.
• 4-5-3 goals scored in their last 3 home matches.
• No defeat in 15 matches.
• 15 goals scored either side of halftime at home.

Leganes 100% stats

• No 0-0 away.
• Not won at halftime away.
• Not beaten a top 9 team home or away.

Leganes other stats

• Failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
• 3 consecutive 2-0 defeats.
• 7 of 8 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

• As long as Barcelona are over their tonking by PSG in the Champions League, they should return to winning ways today and score 3+ goals.
• Leganes might offer some competition and have only conceded 2 goals maximum in recent matches.
• Barcelona are a very strong scoring side either side of halftime so come 30th minute at 0-0, I would back Barcelona in the halftime market.

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20:00 - Paris St-G v Toulouse - 1.26 PSG

• Toulouse  won 2-0 in the last head to head in French Ligue 1.
• PSG will be buzzing after giving Barcelona a royal spanking in the Champions League at home.

PSG 100% stats

• Must win their matches in order to keep tabs on Monaco who are unexpected leaders of the league at the moment.
• Undefeated at home.
• All wins v 6th and lower at home (Toulouse are 9th).
• Scored 2 goals at least in those wins.
• Not conceded in both halves at home.
• No 1-0 or 0-1 at home.

PSG other stats

• Only 4 defeats.
• Failed to score in only 3 matches.
• Scored in their last 9 matches and last 7 at home.
• 92% over 1.5 goals at home.
• Scored first in 10/12 at home.

Toulouse 100% stats

• Not beaten a top 14 team away from home.
• Failed to score in the 4 away matches v top 10.
• No over 3.5 goals matches away.

Toulouse other stats

• Only 6 clean sheets.
• No win in 8 away matches.
• Conceded in their last 6 away matches.
• Only score 2 goals once away.

Conclusions

• I hope complacency does not creep in after the performance against Barcelona. On form, PSG should avenge earlier defeat and score 2 goals at least today.
• Toulouse have had trouble even scoring away from home. A simple enough angle although we are unlikely to see a trade.

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20:15 - Braga v Benfica - 1.74 Benfica

• Benfica has won the last 6 head to heads in Portugeuse Primera Liga scoring 3 goals in the last 2 matches.

Braga 100% stats

• 2 top 4 times today. Benfica are 1 point above Porto.
• Scored in every home match.
• Not played a top 4 team yet at home.
• No 0-0 at home.

Braga other stats

• Not won last 4 matches.
• 2 consecutive 1-1 draws.
• Failed to score in only 4 matches.
• Only 1 loss at home.
• 91% over 1.5 goals at home.
• 16 of 24 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Benfica 100% stats

• No 0-0.
• 70% of halftime scores were 0-0 ot 0-1.
• No over 4.5 goals matches away.

Benfica other stats

• Only 2 defeats.
• 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
• Failed to score in only 1 match.
• Losses have come away v top 8 so there may be vulnerability.

Conclusions

• If Benfica are to falter it will be against top teams, and they play a top 4 team today.
• I would expect a goal at least so lay any late 0-0.
• Braga could score today and may not win. They have scored in all home matches.
• Both teams to score and Braga not win.

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