Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

Where I mention BANKER below, this signifies those matches where I think the favourites should win. These matches I would personally prioritise as regards DRT.

Remember the strategies:

  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score in certain signalled matches

  • Lay the 0-0 2nd half in matches where goals were expected but have not yet materialised

  • Lay the 2-2 scoreline, especially early on in matches. 2-2 shows us that teams are scoring and conceding.

  • Lay the away team leading 0-2 before halftime, especially if they are favourites. The home team is usually galvanised by the halftime team talk.

  • Lay the underdog if they score first in certain matches (especially BANKER matches where I would back the BANKERS if they conceded first at enhanced odds)

  • Lay the underdog  scoring early in the first half, in the HALF TIME market , especially in BANKER matches.

11:30 UK Feyenoord v Go Ahead Eagles - 1.12 home BANKER

Standout Stats

  • 5-0 and 4-0 for Feyenoord in the last 2 league wins.
  • This is 3rd v 17th in the Eredivisie. Feyenoord are 8 points shy of 2nd . Go ahead are 2nd bottom and are 5 points shy of 4th bottom


  • 6 match home winning streak.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 4 matches
  • No defeat in 11 at home.
  • Won 10 of their last 11 at home.
  • Scored 2+ goals in 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • 3 losses at home v 2nd, 10th and 13th.
  • v 7th and lower at home, 9 wins and 2 1-2 losses.
  • No 0-0 at home
  • 21 of 30 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Go Ahead Eagles

  • 7 match losing streak.
  • Last 2 away losses were 1-0.
  • Failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Only 2 wins in 17 matches
  • Not beaten any top 6 sides home or away. conceded at least 2 goals in each match.
  • Only 2 wins away
  • No 0-0 away
  • 19 of 29 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Head to heads have been emphatic. The odds back that up today.Go ahead need points but are spiralling down. They tend to concede 2 goals at least and that is expected.
  • 1.12 odds suggests 4+ goals and a possible goal before halftime, so factor that in.

12:15 UK Inverness CT v Celtic- 1.4 away

Standout Stats

  • This is the Scottish Cup semi final
  • 1-0 Inverness, 1-0 Celtic, 1-1 in the last 3 head to heads.
  • Another high profile match which is tough to research so I will leave it alone.

13:00 UK Sivasspor v Balikesirspor - 1.57 home

Standout Stats

  • 1-3 to Sivasspor in the last head to head this year.
  • This is 12th v 18th ( bottom ) in Turkey


  • No draw in 6 at home
  • Scored and conceded in their last 3 matches.
  • 2 match winning streak
  • Inconsistent at home.Wins v 4th , 8th, 11th and 16th at home.
  • Unbeaten home and away v bottom 4
  • Only 1 0-0 at home


  • No win in 5 away
  • Scored in their last 5 and conceded in their last 11 matches
  • Scored and conceded in their last 4 away
  • Scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • Heavy concessions lately away , conceding 2-3-2-4
  • 4-4-6-5-4 total goals in their last 5 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets
  • Only 4 wins all season, only 1 away v 3rd bottom
  • 4 2-2's away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • This could be an entertaining match with both teams scoring. Over 3.5 goals is a recent trend in Balik matches and came in , in the head to heads.
  • I will back 2-2 pre-match. Balik have 4 2-2's away

13:30 UK Man City v West Ham - 1.28 home

Standout Stats

  • After 5 consecutive head to head wins for Man City, West Ham won 2-1 at home last time out.
  • This is 4th v 9th in the Premiership. Man City are now 4 points shy of 3rd place with Liverpool 4 points behind City.

Man City

  • 3 consecutive wins at home
  • 3 consecutive clean sheets at home
  • 4 defeats in their last 6 matches has really messed up their season. All losses came away.
  • Home wins against teams they are expected to beat recently - Newcastle, Leicester and West Brom. Is West Ham a team Man City are expected to beat?
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Only 2 losses at home v 2nd and 10th.
  • Have conceded in all bar one match v top 10 sides at home
  • No 0-0
  • 5 0-0's at halftime ( 33%)

West Ham

  • No win in 8 away matches.
  • Only 2 wins in 15 matches came against Sunderland and Hull. How the feck West Ham are still 9th I don't know!!
  • This poor run coincided with a very tough run of away fixtures v Chelsea  - loss, Swansea - draw, Liverpool - loss, Southampton - draw , Tottenham - draw, Arsenal - loss, and erm Leicester - loss.
  • Losses away v all top 5
  • No win away v teams above them.
  • Opponents tend to score first in 10 of 15 matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Man City are on 61 points, 2nd and 3rd have 66 and 65 points. This is a must win really today otherwise 4th place could be in jeopardy. With West Ham waining, this is an ideal match for Man City. City's recent losses have come away.
  • Lay any late 0-0.
  • West Ham are unlikely to win, they have lost away to top 5. Lay them if they score first.

13:30 UK Ajax v NAC Breda - 1.22 home BANKER

Standout Stats

  • 5 wins and a 0-0 for Ajax last 6 head to heads.
  • 5-0 and 4-0 last 2 home head to heads.
  • 2nd v 16th in the Eredivisie. Ajax have a 10 point gap to 1st. Breda are in relegation zone, on 27 points.


  • 3 match winning streak at home
  • No defeat in 9
  • Only 4 losses all season.
  • Last 2 home wins were 1-0
  • 7 wins in 9
  • 2 losses at home v 1st and 5th
  • All wins at home v 8th and lower.
  • 4 matches remain in the league and this is a must win therefore if Ajax want slender hopes of getting the title.
  • 34 goals scored at home and only 4 conceded first half


  • Unbeaten in 4 with 2 draws latest.
  • Only 4 wins in 25 matches, 3 came in last 7 matches
  • No win home or away v top 6, all losses home and away v top 3

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Ajax must win today and hope PSV lose in order to have a mathematical chance at the title although PSV are expected to win.Ajax are likely to finish 2nd at any rate.
  • Breda also need points but win rarely and lost all v top 3 home and away this season. Favour Ajax today.

14:00 UK Empoli v Parma - 1.61 home

Standout Stats

  • 0-2 to Empoli in the sole Seria A head to head.
  • This is 15th v 20th in Seria A.


  • Scored in their last 5 at home
  • 2 consecutive defeats were v top 3 sides.
  • Only 1 loss in 10 home matches.
  • Only 3 wins in 18 matches all came at home in 3 of their last 4 home matches.
  • Failed to score at home v 16th, 17th and 19th.
  • 7 0-0's at halftime at home ( 47%)


  • No win in 12 away matches.
  • Some signs of life with 2 home 1-0 wins v Udinese and a pre-Champions League Juventus.
  • 2 draws in their last 4 away matches
  • Only 1 away win was a 2-3
  • Failed to score in 5 of 7 matches home and away v 15th and lower.
  • Conceded 17 first half and 16 2nd half goals away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Empoli are clearly the form side. Only top 3 sides have beaten them recently. Only 1 loss in 10 matches means it could be another winless day for Parma to add to their last 12 away matches.
  • Empoli have failed to score v 16th and lower at home which is a worry. I cannot see Parma winning and that is my angle in today.

14:00 UK Roma v Atalanta - 1.44 home

Standout Stats

  • 8 matches remain this season and with 16 points shy of Juventus, Roma could still win the title, but it would take a huge swing in Juventus' form and I cannot see that happen. There is a battle with lazio Roma for 2nd spot though and that should keep Roma honest. They have a game in hand .
  • Both teams have scored in their last 4 matches, 2 consecutive wins.


  • Only 1 loss in 20 and title hopes squashed by 9 draws in their last 14 matches
  • The last 2 wins were 1-0
  • Only 1 over 2.5 goals match in 14
  • 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
  • Only 1 loss at home v Sampdoria.
  • All clean sheets at home v 16th and lower. 3 2-0 wins and a 0-0
  • 25 goals scored at home


  • No win in 5 away
  • Scored and conceded in their last 3 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 9 matches came in their last home match
  • Only 1 win in their last 14 matches.
  • No win home or away v top 8
  • All losses v top 3 home and away
  • 7 0-0's at halftime away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

Roma are unlikely to lose today, and could keep another clean sheet with a possible 2-0 win, but they have not been scoring readily. 2-0 also fits in with their current run of under 2.5 goals matches. Fear not if it is 0-0 at halftime.  Nearly half of Atalanta's away matches have seen that scoreline. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

14:00 UK HJK Helsinki v Lahti - 1.3 home

Standout Stats

  • 3 consecutive clean sheets to HJK in head to heads, 2 consecutive 2-0 wins.
  • Only 1 match this season is not enough . A 1-3 HJK win away in their 1st match, and a 1-1 draw for Lahti.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Little to go on bar the head to heads really. HJK are in good nick. This is a league we can focus on over the summer.

15:00 UK Aston Villa v Liverpool - 1.61 away

Standout Stats

  • This is the 2nd FA Cup Semi Final and we saw yesterday that odds on shots are not necessarily trustworthy.
  • Liverpool are the form side here . Liverpool won the last head to head, but a draw and a Villa win in the last 3 head to heads, suggests competitiveness today
  • Aston Villa have beaten Blackpool, Bournemouth, Leicester, and West Brom to be here, scoring 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • Liverpool beat Wimbledon, Bolton, Crystal Palace, and Blackburn . 3 results were 1-2 and a 0-1 so things have been very tight in Liverpool FA Cup matches. Do remember that against Blackburn, Liverpool

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Not for me I'm afraid . It's a case of reacting to what we see, as was the case with Arsenal yesterday,

16:00 UK Newcastle v Tottenham - 2.3 away

Standout Stats

  • These 2 tend to win in turn and if that continues it's Newcastle's turn.
  • This is 14th v 7th in the Premiership
  • Newcastle are 7 points shy of the relegation zone.  Spurs are 7 points shy of a top 4 spot and if Man City lose today, and Spurs win, well...


  • 5 match losing streak
  • No draw in 7 matches.
  • Failed to score in 5 of their last 7 matches.
  • Only 2 wins in 13 matches.
  • No draw v top 7 home or away sees all defeats bar 3 wins.
  • Only 1 0-0
  • 8 0-0's at halftime at home ( 53%)


  • No win in 2 away matches.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Unbeaten away v 13th and lower
  • Scored and conceded v 15th-19th away
  • 75% of matches this season over 2.5 goals.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • With nearly 3/4 of Spurs matches over 2.5 goals , we can hope both teams can score. Tottenham have the form this season against 13th and lower to not lose this match, and in playing a team with a 5 match winning streak, they have as good a chance as any. But this is another team having trouble scoring - yes they have Harry Kane but have not scored in 3 of their last 4. Points are vital for both sides in another match which I am none too confident in.

16:00 UK Sporting Lisbon v Boavista - 1.18 home BANKER

Standout Stats

  • 4 consecutive Sporting wins in head to heads.
  • This is 3rd v 13th in Portugal. Sporting are 8 points from 2nd.


  • Only 2 defeats
  • 3 match winning run at home
  • Undefeated at home, scoring in all
  • 6 wins and a draw with Benfica in their last 7 home matches.
  • Failed to score in only 2 away
  • All wins at home v 11th and lower
  • 6 matches remain this season, that's 18 possible points. SO the title is not out of grasp, just difficult to perceive Sporting getting it.


  • No win in 7 away
  • Only 3 wins in 13 matches.Boavista either win 1-0 or score 3 to win this season!
  • All losses away v top 11 bar a 0-0 with Porto. Failed to score in all bar 2 of those matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • There is still , mathematically, plenty for Sporting to play for. 1.18 as you know suggests 3/4 goals minimum and a possible win to nil,
  • Boavista tend to lose without scoring away to top 11 sides. Will this suddenly change? I think not.
  • As ever with 1.18 shots, expect a goal at halftime at least so lay the 0-0 halftime score.

16:30 UK Wolfsburg v Schalke 04 - 1.7 home

Standout Stats

  • 5 Schalke wins in their last 6 head to heads. A potential bogey team?
  • 4-4-2-3 scored by Schalke in the last 4 head to heads
  • This is 2nd v 6th in the Bundesliga. Wolfsburg are 13 points shy of Bayern Munich.


  • Only 4 defeats all season.
  • 6 match winning streak at home
  • No defeat in 14 at home
  • Scored in their last 14 at home
  • Only 1 loss in 16 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • All wins at home bar 2 draws.
  • No 0-0 this season
  • Scored 16 first half and 17 second half goals at home.


  • No win in 5 away matches.
  • 2 consecutive 0-0's
  • Failed to score in 3 matches.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches.
  • Only 1 win in 8 matches.
  • Have not beaten the top 9 away
  • 7 0-0's at halftime away ( 54%)

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Wolfsburg are likely to score at some stage so that is a good angle in.
  • Lay any late 0-0
  • Schalke tend to have the best of it in head to heads but have not beaten any top 9 team away, so is it head to heads or recent form?
  • Take a chance on laying 0-0 halftime score given Wolfsburg score equally in each half. It is a risk as half of Schalke's away matches are 0-0 at halftime

18:00 UK Villarreal v Cordoba - 1.3 home BANKER

Standout Stats

  • 0-2 to Villareal recently in head to heads.
  • This is 6th v 20th in La Liga. Tussle with Malaga for 6th spot. Although not mathematically impossible, it is difficult to see Villareal breaking the top 4
  • Cordoba need 12 points, and the rest of the minnows to lose, to get out of trouble.


  • No draw in 15 at home
  • No win in 5
  • 2 consecutive home defeats and have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • All losses at home v 8th and higher.clean sheets v 14th and lower at home,
  • No draw at home
  • 17 of 26 goals scored at home came 2nd half.


  • No win in 13 and in 6 away conceding in all of those matches.
  • 11 losses in their last 12 matches.
  • 5 losses and a draw in their last 6 away matches.
  • All losses home and away v top 7 teams conceding at least 2 goals.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • It all looks rather compelling here. Cordoba have a habit of conceding 2 goals and losing v top 7 and in Villareal we have a team who have failed to score in their last 2 at home but have all wins v 10th and lower at home. Rather like Dortmund yesterday, we need a team to start scoring again against a weaker opponent and I feel Villareal can do this.
  • A win is needed now if only to retain the top 6 spot.
  • If this is a 0-0 at halftime fear not, Villareal score a high proportion of 2nd half goals.
  • This is a risky match as Villareal have not scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, but they perform very well v 14th and lower at home

18:30 UK Steaua Bucharest v Otelul Galati - 1.14 home

Standout Stats

  • 2 draws and a Steaua away win in the last 3 head to heads.
  • This is 1st v 18th .


  • No draw in 8 at home
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • 3 losses at home were 0-1 v 3rd, 15th and 16th
  • Have not conceded more than 1 goal in a match at home.
  • Against 15th, 1-0 win, 16th, 0-1 loss, 17th 0-1 loss at home


  • No win in 11 matches and in 5 away
  • Conceded in their last 4 matches
  • Failed to score in their last 5 matches.
  • Only 2 wins all season
  • Failed to score in 10 matches away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Only 3 0-0's all season for Steaua, and one came in their last match. Unlikely we will see another 0-0 .
  • With Otelul having trouble scoring, we should see a Steaua win. Yesterday, 1.14 shots tended to score before halftime and score 3/4+ goals. That's the usual angle in with these.
  • A slight worry here with Steaua's tight 1-0 matches and 2 0-1 losses v 15th and lower. But a case of Otelul being terrible.
  • The value here is in in laying Steaua but we are unlikely to get much mileage.

19:45 UK Inter Milan v AC Milan - 2.25 home

Standout Stats

  • Not a match I want to research. This is another high profile match, a Milan derby and the head to heads tell you that this could go any way.0-1 Inter, 1-1, 1-0 Inter, 1-0 Milan and 1-1 draw in the last 5 head to heads.
  • A tricky one. AC Milan have not beaten any team above them away and are unbeaten v teams below them away. Inter Milan are 10th to AC MIlan's 9th!

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • This is likely to be a tight match and so I cannot really get a strong angle into this match. A 1-1 pre match correct score might pay off.