Apologies that there is no live chat today. I am still away. I will ensure a live chat next weekend.

13:30 UK Chelsea v Southampton - 1.5 home

Standout Stats

• 2 Chelsea wins scoring 3 goals and a 1-1 last time out in the most recent head to heads.
• This is 1st v 7th and we know the struggles Southampton ( Saints) had v top 6 sides earlier this season.

Chelsea

• Only 2 defeats this season came away from home.
• Scored in their last 13 home matches and last 14 overall.
• Scored 2+ goals in 10 home matches.
• 2 1-1's in their last 3 home matches.
• 1-2-1-1-1 scored in recent matches.
• Only failed to score in 1 match.
• Only 1 0-0
• 2 0-0's at halftime at home. 7 1-0 halftime scorelines.
• Scored 13 first half and 14 second half goals at home
• Scored first in 12 of 13 home matches.
• No opponent has led at halftime at Chelsea.

Southampton

• No draw in 7 away matches.
• Against teams above them, home and away, they have lost 6 , drawn 1 and won 2.
• 4 consecutive away wins ended with a 1-0 loss to West brom
• Failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
• No 0-0 away
• 5 0-0's at halftime away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

• The stats point to Saints being less likely to win today. Chelsea have had trouble scoring more than 2 goals of late in recent matches. They may need 2 today, although Saints have suddenly failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
• Lay the 0-0 halftime score as late as you can. 53% of Chelsea home matches end 1-0 at halftime.
• Chelsea tend to score first at home so we rely on a concerted 0-0 or Saints to score for our DRT.

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14:00 UK Sassuolo v Parma - 1.57 home

Standout Stats

• 2 Parma head to head wins ended with a 1-3 Sassuolo win last time out.
• This is 13th v bottom in Seria A

Sassuolo

• Conceded in their last 14 matches and last 6 at home
• Unbeaten v teams below them at home. Draws v bottom 4 at home though.
• Failed to score in their last 3 matches.
• Only 2 wins in 13 matches.
• Only 2 0-0's at home
• Have only led at halftime in 1 of 12 matches.

Parma

• No win in 9 away matches
• 2 consecutive clean sheets
• Only 3 wins all season. Only 1 away win v Chievo.
• 2 consecutive 0-0's
• 8 losses and a 0-0 in their last 9 away.
• Only 1 0-0 away
• Only 2 0-0's at halftime away
• Have conceded 13 goals in each half away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

• If you can only win 3 matches all season, the probability of you conjuring up another win all of the sudden is low.
• I would lay the late 0-0 . 0-0 sequences tend to be short as teams need goals.
• Sassuolo are on a poorish run at the moment , failing to score in their last 3 ( albeit v top 10 sides), and they have drawn v bottom 4 so may not win. Lay Parma if Parma score first based on Sassuolo's draw sequence.

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14:00 UK Besiktas v Erciyesspor - 1.44 home

Standout Stats

• 2-4Besiktas, 3-2 Besiktas,and 3-2 Kayseri in the last 3 head to heads.
• This is 2nd v 16th.Points required for different reasons. Besiktas are equal with Galatasary and Kayseri are 3rd bottom

Besiktas

• Scored and conceded in their last 3 at home.
• Only lost at home to 1st and 3rd
• Score draws v 15th and 18th at home
• Scored in all home  matches v 3rd and lower.
• No 0-0

Kayseri

• No draw in 10 matches and in 5 away
• Conceded in their last 9 away matches.
• 3 match losing streak away
• Only 1 away win v 17th
• Beat Besiktas 3-2 this season
• 8 losses in their last 10 matches.
• Only 4 clean sheets
• 4 losses in their last 5 aways
• Only 1 0-0 away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

• Lay the late 0-0
• Both teams to score. Lay Keyseri if they score first.
• Back 2-2 pre match - look at the head to heads. Might we get a run for our money?   Kayseri though away from home are in poor form although they scored against 1st , 5th , 6th and 7th away
• A must win really for Besiktas being at home and equal on points with Galatasary.
• Let's home they conjure up a 3-2 scoreline or at least allow a score which provides a trading opportunity for the 2-2.

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14:30 UK Wolfsburg v Freiburg - 1.36 home

Standout Stats

• 5-3-2-2 scored by Wolfsburg in recent head to heads.
• This is 2nd v 17th in the Bundesliga. Freiburg will really boost survival hopes with 3 points today.

Wolfsburg

• Lost only 4 matches all season and lost away to Augsburg last match. Will they really lose 2 consecutive matches?
• Unbeaten at home with 4 consecutive wins.
• Failed to score in only 2 matches, and did fail to score in their last match.
• 10 wins in their last 11 home matches.
• No 0-0
• Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home
• Scored 14 first half and 13 2nd half goals at home.
• Scored first in 11 of 12 home matches.

Freiburg

• No draw in 4 away
• 2-0, 1-0, 1-0 losses away to top 4 so really tight.
• Only 2 wins in 14 matches.
• Actually played 3 of the top 4 away in their last 4 away matches.
• No 0-0 away
• Only 1 0-0 at halftime away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

• Lay the 0-0 halftime score.
• I normally expect loads of goals in Wolfsburg matches but look at Freiburg's very very recent form v top 4 away, 2-0, 1-0, 1-0 losses. So this may not be the spanking 1.36 suggests
• 2-0 looks like a scoreline worth backing for me today , on the basis that Freiburg continue to find it hard to score v top 4 away.

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15:00 UK Dundee Utd v Celtic - 1.44 away

Standout Stats

• The Scottish Cup match a few days ago was fractious with the pivotal moment being Dundee United's 2 red cards which let Celtic equalise. Dundee opened the scoring there with a penalty after Celtic were red carded.
• This match today is a League cup match and with Dundee United unbeaten in the last 2 head to heads, they must be confident with home advantage.
• I cannot fathom any strong angle in. The Scottish Cup match was a great DRT match for us laying Dundee United at nice short odds 2 men down and a goal up. More of the same today please!

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15:30 UK Salzburg v Sturm Graz - 1.33 home

Standout Stats

• Both teams have scored and conceded in the last 4 head to heads and Sturm have won 2 of the last 3.Bogey team? That'snot what the market is telling us though
• This is 1st v 4th in the Austrian Bundesliga.

Salzburg

• Conceded in their last 4 at home
• WDWWL ( W=Win, D=Draw,L=Loss) since the Winter Break saw Salzburg scoring 2-2-3-4-0. Yes a sudden 0-1 shocker.
• Failed to score in only 2 matches.
• Only 2 clean sheets in 18 matches.
• Scored and conceded in 8 of their last 10 matches.
• 75% of home matches have been over 3.5 goals.
• No 0-0

Sturm Graz

• No draw in 6 away matches.
• 3 match winning streak
• 2 consecutive clean sheets.
• Scored 2 in each of their last 3 matches, all wins.
• Only 1 0-0

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

• Red Bull I don't think will be getting any of my money at 1.33 odds. If they score first I think I will lay them. Why? Sturm have won 2 of the last 3 head to heads. Sturm are also on a 3 match winning streak and scored 2 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches.
• Both teams to score has a great chance.

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15:45 UK Dordrecht v Feyenoord - 1.3 away

Standout Stats

• Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last 7 head to heads. 3-0 and 2-0 home wins in the last 2 head to heads.
• This is 18th v 3rd in the Dutch Eredivisie

Dordrecht

• Only 3 wins all season.
• No defeat in 5 at home
• Wins at home v 13th and 15th.
• Conceded 3-3-2-6- at home to top 6 and did score in these matches.
• 1-0-0-0-1 conceded in their last 5 home matches.
• Only 4 clean sheets all season.
• Failed to score in 6 of their last 9 matches.
• Only 2 0-0's at home
• Conceded 16 first half and scored only 2 first half at home

Feyenoord

• No win in 4 away
• Failed to score in their last 2 away
• v 13th and lower away, Feyenoord won 4 and lost 2-0 v 16th placed Heracles.
• Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 aways.
• 4 0-0's away
• 5 0-0's at halftime away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

• Feyenoord have not been strong of late away from home and this may be more of a tussle than the 1.3 odds suggests. They have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches.
• But a Dordrecht team with only 4 clean sheets is likely to concede at some stage.
• If Dordrecht score early first half,lay them in the first half market
• Dordrecht tend to concede 3+ goals v top sides at home so factor that in if the match is 0-0 for a while.
• Lay the 0-0 halftime score if you think the above is most likely today.

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16:00 UK Man Utd v Tottenham - 1.8 home

Standout Stats

• Spurs are unbeaten in the last 5 head to heads.
• This is 4th v 6th in the Premier League

Man Utd

• 3 match home winning streak
• No draw in 9 at home
• Only lost at home to Southampton and Swansea.
• 8 wins in their last 9 home matches.
• Failed to score in only 4 matches.
• No 0-0 at home
• 4 0-0's at halftime at home
• 30 goals scored at home, 18 in the first half.
• Scored first in 11 of 14 home matches.

Spurs

• No draw in 10 away matches.
• Scored and conceded in their last 5 matches.
• Have not beaten any team above them away from home, 3 losses and a draw.
• Scored and conceded v Man City, Arsenal and Liverpool.
• Scored and conceded in 11 of their last 13 matches.
• 9 consecutive over 2.5 goals matches.
• No 0-0 away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

• Both teams to score has a chance today.It's an unwelcome habit for Spurs. I would lay Spurs if they score first. They have yet to beat a team above them in the league away from home.
• Man Utd needed a penalty to open the scoring last week and might find Spurs tougher to score against. They should score eventually though.
• Lay any late draw. Both teams have missed the draws recently.

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16:00 UK Everton v Newcastle - 1.8 home

Standout Stats

• Everton have scored 3-2-2-3-3-2 in recent head to heads. The last was a 3-2 Newcastle home win.
• This is 14th v 11th in the Premiership

Everton

• No win in 5 at home
• Only 3 wins at home v West Ham, Aston Villa, QPR.
• Only 1 win in 12 matches v Palace.
• 4 consecutive home draws.
• Failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches.
• 3 0-0's at home
• 5 0-0's at halftime at home

Newcastle

• Only 1 loss home and away v teams below them in the league.
• Only 2 wins in 9 matches v Villa and Hull.
• Did beat Everton on 28th December.
• Only 1 0-0 away
• Opponents have scored first in 10 of 14 away matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

• Everton's Europa League distractions might be the reason they are so poor in the Premiership?
• Will Everton score 2 goals as they have done in the last 6 head to heads.
• These are 2 teams in poor form, making this a toughie to call. On bare form, Newcastle are favoured having only lost 1 match to teams below them in the league.
• Lay any team 2-0 up.

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16:00 UK Malaga v Cordoba- 1.57 home

Standout Stats

• Only 1 recent head to head saw Malaga win.
• This is 7th v 20th ( bottom) of La Liga

Malaga

• No draw in 6 overall
• Only 3 defeats at home v 2nd, 9th and 18th
• Only 2 draws in 21 matches.
• Only 2 0-0's at home
• 2 0-0's at halftime at home

Cordoba

• 7 match losing streak
• Have lost all matches home and away v top 7
• Only 3 wins all season, 2 were 0-1 away
• 1-0-1-0-0-0 scored in recent away matches.
• No 0-0 away
• Only 2 0-0's at halftime away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

• Given Cordoba's poor form v top 7 sides, they could lose yet again today, although Malaga are in inconsistent form at home.
• Lay Cordoba if they score first as they rarely score more than 1 goal away from home of late.

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16:00 UK Bordeaux v Paris Saint-Germain - 1.91 away

Standout Stats

• 7 consecutive PSG wins in head to heads.
• 2-2-3-2-3-2 scored in recent head to heads.

Bordeaux

• No defeat in 7 matches
• Scored and conceded in their last 3 matches
• Only 2 losses at home v 1st and 15th
• Only 1 win in 6 home matches. 2 1-1 draws in their last 3 home matches.
• No 0-0 at home
• 14 of 20 home goals were scored in the 2nd half.
• Scored first in 8 of 13 home matches.

PSG

• Buzzing after knocking Chelsea out of the Champions League.
• No defeat in 8 matches and 3 away
• Only 2 defeats all season came away v 10th and 11th. Draws away v 1st, 4th, 8th 9th, 13th, 16th and 18th suggests struggles away
• 3 draws in their last 5 matches.
• DLLWDD ( W-Win, D-Draw, L-Loss) in recent away matches. In one of the losses, PSG were 0-2 up!!
• Failed to score in only 4 matches.
• Only 2 0-0's away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

• PSG have the best of it in head to heads, but factored into their price today is their poor away form  - 7 away draws is 7 too many. Only 1 win in 6 away matches and a post Champions League hangover might all suggest struggles for PSG.
• With PSG drawing, and with 2 Bordeaux 1-1 draws in their last 3 home matches, lay the first goalscorer in the expectation of a 1-1?
• PSG keep scoring 2+ in head to heads. If you think that possible again, definitely lay Bordeaux if they score first.

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17:00 UK Verona v Napoli - 1.8 away

Standout Stats

• 5 consecutive wins for Napoli in the last 5 head to heads.
• 3-3-5-6 scored in their last 4 head to heads.
• This is 15th v 4th in Seria A

Verona

• Scored and conceded in their last 6 matches
• Have not beaten any top 8 sides at home but scored against them all.
• Scored and conceded in 7 of their last 9 home matches.
• Only 5 clean sheets.
• No o-0 at home
• Have not scored in the first 1/2 hour of home matches.

Napoli

• 3 wins and a draw away v 13th and lower
• Conceded in their last 3 away
• Lost their last 2 away
• Failed to score in only 4 matches.
• No 0-0
• 6 0-0's at halftime away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

• Napoli tend to win head to heads and score impressively but have been a bit lackse of late.
• Both teams to score today. Look at Verona's record v top 8. Lay Verona if they score first. Napoli don't tend to lose to teams 13th and lower away from home.

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18:00 UK Sevilla v Elche - 1.4 home

Standout Stats

• Sevilla are unbeaten in 7 matches winning their last 2.
• This is 5th v 15th in the Primera Liga.

Sevilla

• No defeat in 13 at home
• 2 consecutive clean sheets at home
• All wins bar 2 at home v teams below them in the league.
• Only 3 wins in their last 8 matches, but 4 losses were away.
• 5 clean sheets in 6 home matches.
• Failed to score in only 4 matches
• Have not lost home or away v 14th and lower.
• Only 2 0-0's at home
• 13 goals scored in the first half at home and 12 scored in the 2nd half at home.
• Have scored first in 9 of 13 home matches.

Elche

• No defeat in 2 away matches.
• Have not beaten any team home or away v 7th and higher.
• Only 3 losses in 10 matches v Barcelona, Real Madrid and Granada
• Only 1 0-0 away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

• Sevilla have the edge over Elche historically.
• They are in excellent form as well and should be hard to beat. Elche are unlikely to win today but have only gone down to Granada and the big 2 in recent matches.
• Lay any late 0-0
• Lay Elche if they score first.

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19:15 UK Porto v Arouca - 1.1 home

Standout Stats

• 3-4-5 scored by Porto in their last 3 head to heads.
• This is 2nd v 15th.

Porto

• 6 match winning streak, 5 at home.
• 6 consecutive clean sheets, 5 at home
• Only 1 loss at home v Benfica.
• All clean sheets at home bar 2 matches.
• 10 wins in their last 11 matches.
• Failed to score in only 3 matches.
• 8 wins in their last 9 home matches.
• Only 1 0-0 at home
• 19 of 40 home goals scored in the 2nd half.
• Scored first in 10 of 12 home matches.

Arouca

• No win in 9 away matches.
• Conceded in their last 6 away matches.
• Only 1 away win. Lost away to all of the top 4 they have played so far.
• 5 losses and a draw in their last 6 away matches.
• Only 5 clean sheets.
• Only 1 0-0 away
• 14 of 19 goals conceded away came in the 2nd half.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

• Arouca have conceded 3/4/5 v Porto and Benfica this season. 1.1 odds suggests another big concession today.
• With 1.1 shots, lay the 0-0 halftime score, particularly if 0-0 for a short period in the first half.

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19:45 UK Inter Milan v Cesena - 1.4 home

Standout Stats

• Inter won 0-1 in 2014
• This is 9th v 19th in Seria A

Inter Milan

• No draw in 4 at home
• 4 losses at home, one was v 18th placed Cagliari. Playing 19th today
• 2 0-1 defeats at home in their last 3 home matches.
• 2-1-2-3-0-3-0 scored at home recently so can really let loose if they want to
• No 0-0 at home

Cesena

• Conceded in their last 12 away matches
• 2 match losing streak away
• Only beaten the team below them away
• Most defeats see 2/3 goals conceded away
• Conceded at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 9 away matches.
• 2 consecutive clean sheets came at home
• Only 1 0-0
• 15 of 25 goals conceded came 2nd half away
• Opponents have scored first in 10 of 12 matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

• Inter can threaten goals but then turn in 2 fail to scores in 3 home matches. Against Cesena we might see a return to the Inter side who can score 2/3 goals at home. Expect that today therefore
• DRT's may be scarce as Cesena tend to concede first away from home.

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20:00 UK Real Madrid v Levante - 1.07home

Standout Stats

• 5-3-3-5 scored by Real Madrid in recent head to heads. 1.07 suggests 5 at least today.
• 2nd v 17th in La Liga.

Real Madrid

• No defeat in 10 at home.
• Scored in their last 12 at home
• All wins at home v 8th and lower scoring 2 goals minimum.
• Never conceded more than 1 goal in a single match, in those matches.
• 1-1 last time out v Villareal.
• 1-1 draw and 0-1 loss to Bilbao in recent matches.
• Failed to score on only 2 matches.
• No 0-0
• Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home

Levante

• No win in 10 away
• Conceded in their last 8 and last 5 away
• 5 match losing streak away
• Only 1 away win v 19th.
• 5-0 twice v Barcelona and at home v Real Madrid.
• 6 losses in 7 away matches.
• 5 and 4 conceded in their last 2 away matches.
• Only 4 clean sheets.
• Conceded 13 goals in each half away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

• Real should score 5 goals at least today but are having a terrible time of it in their recent matches. 1-1 v Villareal and 0-1 loss to Ath Bilbao most unlike them. The title is still there but this becomes a must win today.
• Levante have already lost 5-0 twice to Barca and once v Real Madrid.  It is difficult to see another 5-0 based on probability.
• As ever with 1.07 shots, lay the 0-0 halftime score.
• Let's hope Levante score first or keep this to a 0-0 for a while.  Real have been tough to trust recently. Redemption today?