
Apologies that there is no live chat today. I am still away. I will ensure a live chat next weekend.
13:30 UK Chelsea v Southampton - 1.5 home
Standout Stats
- 2 Chelsea wins scoring 3 goals and a 1-1 last time out in the most recent head to heads.
- This is 1st v 7th and we know the struggles Southampton ( Saints) had v top 6 sides earlier this season.
Chelsea
- Only 2 defeats this season came away from home.
- Scored in their last 13 home matches and last 14 overall.
- Scored 2+ goals in 10 home matches.
- 2 1-1's in their last 3 home matches.
- 1-2-1-1-1 scored in recent matches.
- Only failed to score in 1 match.
- Only 1 0-0
- 2 0-0's at halftime at home. 7 1-0 halftime scorelines.
- Scored 13 first half and 14 second half goals at home
- Scored first in 12 of 13 home matches.
- No opponent has led at halftime at Chelsea.
Southampton
- No draw in 7 away matches.
- Against teams above them, home and away, they have lost 6 , drawn 1 and won 2.
- 4 consecutive away wins ended with a 1-0 loss to West brom
- Failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
- No 0-0 away
- 5 0-0's at halftime away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- The stats point to Saints being less likely to win today. Chelsea have had trouble scoring more than 2 goals of late in recent matches. They may need 2 today, although Saints have suddenly failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
- Lay the 0-0 halftime score as late as you can. 53% of Chelsea home matches end 1-0 at halftime.
- Chelsea tend to score first at home so we rely on a concerted 0-0 or Saints to score for our DRT.
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14:00 UK Sassuolo v Parma - 1.57 home
Standout Stats
- 2 Parma head to head wins ended with a 1-3 Sassuolo win last time out.
- This is 13th v bottom in Seria A
Sassuolo
- Conceded in their last 14 matches and last 6 at home
- Unbeaten v teams below them at home. Draws v bottom 4 at home though.
- Failed to score in their last 3 matches.
- Only 2 wins in 13 matches.
- Only 2 0-0's at home
- Have only led at halftime in 1 of 12 matches.
Parma
- No win in 9 away matches
- 2 consecutive clean sheets
- Only 3 wins all season. Only 1 away win v Chievo.
- 2 consecutive 0-0's
- 8 losses and a 0-0 in their last 9 away.
- Only 1 0-0 away
- Only 2 0-0's at halftime away
- Have conceded 13 goals in each half away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- If you can only win 3 matches all season, the probability of you conjuring up another win all of the sudden is low.
- I would lay the late 0-0 . 0-0 sequences tend to be short as teams need goals.
- Sassuolo are on a poorish run at the moment , failing to score in their last 3 ( albeit v top 10 sides), and they have drawn v bottom 4 so may not win. Lay Parma if Parma score first based on Sassuolo's draw sequence.
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14:00 UK Besiktas v Erciyesspor - 1.44 home
Standout Stats
- 2-4Besiktas, 3-2 Besiktas,and 3-2 Kayseri in the last 3 head to heads.
- This is 2nd v 16th.Points required for different reasons. Besiktas are equal with Galatasary and Kayseri are 3rd bottom
Besiktas
- Scored and conceded in their last 3 at home.
- Only lost at home to 1st and 3rd
- Score draws v 15th and 18th at home
- Scored in all home matches v 3rd and lower.
- No 0-0
Kayseri
- No draw in 10 matches and in 5 away
- Conceded in their last 9 away matches.
- 3 match losing streak away
- Only 1 away win v 17th
- Beat Besiktas 3-2 this season
- 8 losses in their last 10 matches.
- Only 4 clean sheets
- 4 losses in their last 5 aways
- Only 1 0-0 away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Lay the late 0-0
- Both teams to score. Lay Keyseri if they score first.
- Back 2-2 pre match - look at the head to heads. Might we get a run for our money? Kayseri though away from home are in poor form although they scored against 1st , 5th , 6th and 7th away
- A must win really for Besiktas being at home and equal on points with Galatasary.
- Let's home they conjure up a 3-2 scoreline or at least allow a score which provides a trading opportunity for the 2-2.
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14:30 UK Wolfsburg v Freiburg - 1.36 home
Standout Stats
- 5-3-2-2 scored by Wolfsburg in recent head to heads.
- This is 2nd v 17th in the Bundesliga. Freiburg will really boost survival hopes with 3 points today.
Wolfsburg
- Lost only 4 matches all season and lost away to Augsburg last match. Will they really lose 2 consecutive matches?
- Unbeaten at home with 4 consecutive wins.
- Failed to score in only 2 matches, and did fail to score in their last match.
- 10 wins in their last 11 home matches.
- No 0-0
- Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home
- Scored 14 first half and 13 2nd half goals at home.
- Scored first in 11 of 12 home matches.
Freiburg
- No draw in 4 away
- 2-0, 1-0, 1-0 losses away to top 4 so really tight.
- Only 2 wins in 14 matches.
- Actually played 3 of the top 4 away in their last 4 away matches.
- No 0-0 away
- Only 1 0-0 at halftime away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Lay the 0-0 halftime score.
- I normally expect loads of goals in Wolfsburg matches but look at Freiburg's very very recent form v top 4 away, 2-0, 1-0, 1-0 losses. So this may not be the spanking 1.36 suggests
- 2-0 looks like a scoreline worth backing for me today , on the basis that Freiburg continue to find it hard to score v top 4 away.
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15:00 UK Dundee Utd v Celtic - 1.44 away
Standout Stats
- The Scottish Cup match a few days ago was fractious with the pivotal moment being Dundee United's 2 red cards which let Celtic equalise. Dundee opened the scoring there with a penalty after Celtic were red carded.
- This match today is a League cup match and with Dundee United unbeaten in the last 2 head to heads, they must be confident with home advantage.
- I cannot fathom any strong angle in. The Scottish Cup match was a great DRT match for us laying Dundee United at nice short odds 2 men down and a goal up. More of the same today please!
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15:30 UK Salzburg v Sturm Graz - 1.33 home
Standout Stats
- Both teams have scored and conceded in the last 4 head to heads and Sturm have won 2 of the last 3.Bogey team? That'snot what the market is telling us though
- This is 1st v 4th in the Austrian Bundesliga.
Salzburg
- Conceded in their last 4 at home
- WDWWL ( W=Win, D=Draw,L=Loss) since the Winter Break saw Salzburg scoring 2-2-3-4-0. Yes a sudden 0-1 shocker.
- Failed to score in only 2 matches.
- Only 2 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- Scored and conceded in 8 of their last 10 matches.
- 75% of home matches have been over 3.5 goals.
- No 0-0
Sturm Graz
- No draw in 6 away matches.
- 3 match winning streak
- 2 consecutive clean sheets.
- Scored 2 in each of their last 3 matches, all wins.
- Only 1 0-0
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Red Bull I don't think will be getting any of my money at 1.33 odds. If they score first I think I will lay them. Why? Sturm have won 2 of the last 3 head to heads. Sturm are also on a 3 match winning streak and scored 2 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches.
- Both teams to score has a great chance.
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15:45 UK Dordrecht v Feyenoord - 1.3 away
Standout Stats
- Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last 7 head to heads. 3-0 and 2-0 home wins in the last 2 head to heads.
- This is 18th v 3rd in the Dutch Eredivisie
Dordrecht
- Only 3 wins all season.
- No defeat in 5 at home
- Wins at home v 13th and 15th.
- Conceded 3-3-2-6- at home to top 6 and did score in these matches.
- 1-0-0-0-1 conceded in their last 5 home matches.
- Only 4 clean sheets all season.
- Failed to score in 6 of their last 9 matches.
- Only 2 0-0's at home
- Conceded 16 first half and scored only 2 first half at home
Feyenoord
- No win in 4 away
- Failed to score in their last 2 away
- v 13th and lower away, Feyenoord won 4 and lost 2-0 v 16th placed Heracles.
- Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 aways.
- 4 0-0's away
- 5 0-0's at halftime away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Feyenoord have not been strong of late away from home and this may be more of a tussle than the 1.3 odds suggests. They have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches.
- But a Dordrecht team with only 4 clean sheets is likely to concede at some stage.
- If Dordrecht score early first half,lay them in the first half market
- Dordrecht tend to concede 3+ goals v top sides at home so factor that in if the match is 0-0 for a while.
- Lay the 0-0 halftime score if you think the above is most likely today.
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16:00 UK Man Utd v Tottenham - 1.8 home
Standout Stats
- Spurs are unbeaten in the last 5 head to heads.
- This is 4th v 6th in the Premier League
Man Utd
- 3 match home winning streak
- No draw in 9 at home
- Only lost at home to Southampton and Swansea.
- 8 wins in their last 9 home matches.
- Failed to score in only 4 matches.
- No 0-0 at home
- 4 0-0's at halftime at home
- 30 goals scored at home, 18 in the first half.
- Scored first in 11 of 14 home matches.
Spurs
- No draw in 10 away matches.
- Scored and conceded in their last 5 matches.
- Have not beaten any team above them away from home, 3 losses and a draw.
- Scored and conceded v Man City, Arsenal and Liverpool.
- Scored and conceded in 11 of their last 13 matches.
- 9 consecutive over 2.5 goals matches.
- No 0-0 away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Both teams to score has a chance today.It's an unwelcome habit for Spurs. I would lay Spurs if they score first. They have yet to beat a team above them in the league away from home.
- Man Utd needed a penalty to open the scoring last week and might find Spurs tougher to score against. They should score eventually though.
- Lay any late draw. Both teams have missed the draws recently.
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16:00 UK Everton v Newcastle - 1.8 home
Standout Stats
- Everton have scored 3-2-2-3-3-2 in recent head to heads. The last was a 3-2 Newcastle home win.
- This is 14th v 11th in the Premiership
Everton
- No win in 5 at home
- Only 3 wins at home v West Ham, Aston Villa, QPR.
- Only 1 win in 12 matches v Palace.
- 4 consecutive home draws.
- Failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- 3 0-0's at home
- 5 0-0's at halftime at home
Newcastle
- Only 1 loss home and away v teams below them in the league.
- Only 2 wins in 9 matches v Villa and Hull.
- Did beat Everton on 28th December.
- Only 1 0-0 away
- Opponents have scored first in 10 of 14 away matches.
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Everton's Europa League distractions might be the reason they are so poor in the Premiership?
- Will Everton score 2 goals as they have done in the last 6 head to heads.
- These are 2 teams in poor form, making this a toughie to call. On bare form, Newcastle are favoured having only lost 1 match to teams below them in the league.
- Lay any team 2-0 up.
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16:00 UK Malaga v Cordoba- 1.57 home
Standout Stats
- Only 1 recent head to head saw Malaga win.
- This is 7th v 20th ( bottom) of La Liga
Malaga
- No draw in 6 overall
- Only 3 defeats at home v 2nd, 9th and 18th
- Only 2 draws in 21 matches.
- Only 2 0-0's at home
- 2 0-0's at halftime at home
Cordoba
- 7 match losing streak
- Have lost all matches home and away v top 7
- Only 3 wins all season, 2 were 0-1 away
- 1-0-1-0-0-0 scored in recent away matches.
- No 0-0 away
- Only 2 0-0's at halftime away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Given Cordoba's poor form v top 7 sides, they could lose yet again today, although Malaga are in inconsistent form at home.
- Lay Cordoba if they score first as they rarely score more than 1 goal away from home of late.
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16:00 UK Bordeaux v Paris Saint-Germain - 1.91 away
Standout Stats
- 7 consecutive PSG wins in head to heads.
- 2-2-3-2-3-2 scored in recent head to heads.
Bordeaux
- No defeat in 7 matches
- Scored and conceded in their last 3 matches
- Only 2 losses at home v 1st and 15th
- Only 1 win in 6 home matches. 2 1-1 draws in their last 3 home matches.
- No 0-0 at home
- 14 of 20 home goals were scored in the 2nd half.
- Scored first in 8 of 13 home matches.
PSG
- Buzzing after knocking Chelsea out of the Champions League.
- No defeat in 8 matches and 3 away
- Only 2 defeats all season came away v 10th and 11th. Draws away v 1st, 4th, 8th 9th, 13th, 16th and 18th suggests struggles away
- 3 draws in their last 5 matches.
- DLLWDD ( W-Win, D-Draw, L-Loss) in recent away matches. In one of the losses, PSG were 0-2 up!!
- Failed to score in only 4 matches.
- Only 2 0-0's away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- PSG have the best of it in head to heads, but factored into their price today is their poor away form - 7 away draws is 7 too many. Only 1 win in 6 away matches and a post Champions League hangover might all suggest struggles for PSG.
- With PSG drawing, and with 2 Bordeaux 1-1 draws in their last 3 home matches, lay the first goalscorer in the expectation of a 1-1?
- PSG keep scoring 2+ in head to heads. If you think that possible again, definitely lay Bordeaux if they score first.
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17:00 UK Verona v Napoli - 1.8 away
Standout Stats
- 5 consecutive wins for Napoli in the last 5 head to heads.
- 3-3-5-6 scored in their last 4 head to heads.
- This is 15th v 4th in Seria A
Verona
- Scored and conceded in their last 6 matches
- Have not beaten any top 8 sides at home but scored against them all.
- Scored and conceded in 7 of their last 9 home matches.
- Only 5 clean sheets.
- No o-0 at home
- Have not scored in the first 1/2 hour of home matches.
Napoli
- 3 wins and a draw away v 13th and lower
- Conceded in their last 3 away
- Lost their last 2 away
- Failed to score in only 4 matches.
- No 0-0
- 6 0-0's at halftime away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Napoli tend to win head to heads and score impressively but have been a bit lackse of late.
- Both teams to score today. Look at Verona's record v top 8. Lay Verona if they score first. Napoli don't tend to lose to teams 13th and lower away from home.
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18:00 UK Sevilla v Elche - 1.4 home
Standout Stats
- Sevilla are unbeaten in 7 matches winning their last 2.
- This is 5th v 15th in the Primera Liga.
Sevilla
- No defeat in 13 at home
- 2 consecutive clean sheets at home
- All wins bar 2 at home v teams below them in the league.
- Only 3 wins in their last 8 matches, but 4 losses were away.
- 5 clean sheets in 6 home matches.
- Failed to score in only 4 matches
- Have not lost home or away v 14th and lower.
- Only 2 0-0's at home
- 13 goals scored in the first half at home and 12 scored in the 2nd half at home.
- Have scored first in 9 of 13 home matches.
Elche
- No defeat in 2 away matches.
- Have not beaten any team home or away v 7th and higher.
- Only 3 losses in 10 matches v Barcelona, Real Madrid and Granada
- Only 1 0-0 away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Sevilla have the edge over Elche historically.
- They are in excellent form as well and should be hard to beat. Elche are unlikely to win today but have only gone down to Granada and the big 2 in recent matches.
- Lay any late 0-0
- Lay Elche if they score first.
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19:15 UK Porto v Arouca - 1.1 home
Standout Stats
- 3-4-5 scored by Porto in their last 3 head to heads.
- This is 2nd v 15th.
Porto
- 6 match winning streak, 5 at home.
- 6 consecutive clean sheets, 5 at home
- Only 1 loss at home v Benfica.
- All clean sheets at home bar 2 matches.
- 10 wins in their last 11 matches.
- Failed to score in only 3 matches.
- 8 wins in their last 9 home matches.
- Only 1 0-0 at home
- 19 of 40 home goals scored in the 2nd half.
- Scored first in 10 of 12 home matches.
Arouca
- No win in 9 away matches.
- Conceded in their last 6 away matches.
- Only 1 away win. Lost away to all of the top 4 they have played so far.
- 5 losses and a draw in their last 6 away matches.
- Only 5 clean sheets.
- Only 1 0-0 away
- 14 of 19 goals conceded away came in the 2nd half.
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Arouca have conceded 3/4/5 v Porto and Benfica this season. 1.1 odds suggests another big concession today.
- With 1.1 shots, lay the 0-0 halftime score, particularly if 0-0 for a short period in the first half.
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19:45 UK Inter Milan v Cesena - 1.4 home
Standout Stats
- Inter won 0-1 in 2014
- This is 9th v 19th in Seria A
Inter Milan
- No draw in 4 at home
- 4 losses at home, one was v 18th placed Cagliari. Playing 19th today
- 2 0-1 defeats at home in their last 3 home matches.
- 2-1-2-3-0-3-0 scored at home recently so can really let loose if they want to
- No 0-0 at home
Cesena
- Conceded in their last 12 away matches
- 2 match losing streak away
- Only beaten the team below them away
- Most defeats see 2/3 goals conceded away
- Conceded at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 9 away matches.
- 2 consecutive clean sheets came at home
- Only 1 0-0
- 15 of 25 goals conceded came 2nd half away
- Opponents have scored first in 10 of 12 matches.
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Inter can threaten goals but then turn in 2 fail to scores in 3 home matches. Against Cesena we might see a return to the Inter side who can score 2/3 goals at home. Expect that today therefore
- DRT's may be scarce as Cesena tend to concede first away from home.
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20:00 UK Real Madrid v Levante - 1.07home
Standout Stats
- 5-3-3-5 scored by Real Madrid in recent head to heads. 1.07 suggests 5 at least today.
- 2nd v 17th in La Liga.
Real Madrid
- No defeat in 10 at home.
- Scored in their last 12 at home
- All wins at home v 8th and lower scoring 2 goals minimum.
- Never conceded more than 1 goal in a single match, in those matches.
- 1-1 last time out v Villareal.
- 1-1 draw and 0-1 loss to Bilbao in recent matches.
- Failed to score on only 2 matches.
- No 0-0
- Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home
Levante
- No win in 10 away
- Conceded in their last 8 and last 5 away
- 5 match losing streak away
- Only 1 away win v 19th.
- 5-0 twice v Barcelona and at home v Real Madrid.
- 6 losses in 7 away matches.
- 5 and 4 conceded in their last 2 away matches.
- Only 4 clean sheets.
- Conceded 13 goals in each half away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Real should score 5 goals at least today but are having a terrible time of it in their recent matches. 1-1 v Villareal and 0-1 loss to Ath Bilbao most unlike them. The title is still there but this becomes a must win today.
- Levante have already lost 5-0 twice to Barca and once v Real Madrid. It is difficult to see another 5-0 based on probability.
- As ever with 1.07 shots, lay the 0-0 halftime score.
- Let's hope Levante score first or keep this to a 0-0 for a while. Real have been tough to trust recently. Redemption today?