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SPANISH LA LIGA

15:00 - Real Valladolid v Real Sociedad - 2.5 Sociedad

  • 13th v 6th from last season.
  • Valladolid did not beat any side in the top 12 home and away last season.
  • 0-0 and 1-0 loss v Sociedad in head to heads last season.
  • No strong patterns for Sociedad away last season.

17:30 - Villareal v Huesca - 1.57 Villareal

  • 5th last season v newly promoted. No wonder the market fancies the established Villareal side but there is always that element of the unknown (the Sheffield United factor!) with newly promoted sides.
  • Villareal last season did lost at home to 3 of the bottom 4....

20:00 - Valencia v Levante - 2.00 Valencia

  • 9th v 12th from last season.
  • Valencia only lost one home match last season.
  • 1-1 and 2-4 win v Levante last season.
  • Levante only beat 2 teams away in the top 16.

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

14:00 - West Brom v Leicester - 1.95 Leicester

  • 4 points off a top 4 spot for Leicester last season.
  • 8 losses away for Leicester last season.
  • Boing Boing. West Brom are back in the Premier League so little to read into yet another Premier League debut for them.

16:30 - Tottenham v Everton - 1.83 Tottenham

  • 6th v 12th from last season. New managers for both sides getting a full season.
  • 1-0 win and 1-1 draw for Spurs in the head to heads last season.
  • v 8th and lower at home, Tottenham lost only 1 match.
  • Everton failed to beat any top 8 side away from home last season.

FRENCH LIGUE 1

12:00 - Lille v Metz - 1.5 Lille

  • 4th v 15th from last season.
  • At home last season, Lille lost only to the top 2.
  • 0-0 v Metz last season.
  • Only 1 away win for Metz v the top 16 last season.
  • 1-1 and 0-1 win for Lille so far.
  • Metz lost 0-1 v Monaco in their opener.

14:00

Angers v Reims - 2.3 Angers

  • 11th v 6th from last season.
  • Angers failed to beat any top 6 side home or away last season.
  • 1-4 loss and 0-0.
  • Only 2 wins away for Reims v 5th and lower last season.
  • 0-1 win and 0-2 loss for Angers in their opening 2 matches. 2-2 draw v Monaco and 0-1 loss v Lille for Reims. Reims did lead 0-2 v Monaco.

Dijon v Brest - 2.35 Dijon

  • 16th v 14th from last season.
  • Only 2 home losses for Dijon last season, v 12th and 17th.
  • 3-0 win and 2-0 loss for Dijon in head to heads last season.
  • Only 2 away wins for Brest last season, one came v bottom of the league.
  • Both sides have lost their opening 2 matches. Brest conceded 7 goals in 2 matches.

Lorient v Lens - 2.1 Lorient

  • Newly promoted both sides.

Nimes v Rennes - 2.25 Rennes

  • 18th v 3rd from last season.
  • 0-1 loss and 2-1 loss last season for Nimes v Rennes.
  • 100% wins for Rennes v 17th and lower home and away.
  • 4-0 home wins and 2-1 loss v Nantes for Nimes.
  • 1-1 draw and 2-1 win for Rennes so far. Good start.
  • Both teams have seen goals before halftime so far this season.

16:00 - Monaco v Nantes - 1.91 Monaco

  • 9th v 13th from last season.
  • 0-1 win for Monaco v Nantes last season.
  • Monaco were unbeaten at home v 11th and lower.
  • Only 2 wins for Nantes away v the top 16 last season.
  • 2-2 draw and 0-1 win for Monaco this season. 0-0 and 2-1 win for Nantes this season. Good starts for both sides.

DUTCH EREDIVISIE

11:15 - Emmen v Venlo - 1.88 Emmen

  • 12th v 13th from last season.
  • 3-0 win and 2-0 loss for Emmen this season.
  • 9 wins and 2 losses for Emmen v 5th and lower last season at home.
  • Only 3 wins away last season for Venlo.

13:30 - Heracles v Den Haag - 1.78 Heracles

  • 8th v 17th from last season.
  • 100% wins at home v 12th and lower last season for Heracles.
  • 4-0 and 0-0 v Den Haag last season.
  • Only 2 away wins for Den Haag last season.

13:30 - Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax - 1.25 Ajax

  • 11th v 1st from last season.
  • 1-4 and 2-1 losses for Sparta v Ajax last season.
  • 100% wins home and away for Ajax v 10th and lower last season.

15:45 - Groningen v PSV Eindhoven - 2.1 PSV

  • 9th v 4th from last season.
  • 0-1 and 3-1 losses for Groningen v PSV last season.
  • They did beat 1st, 5th and 7th at home last season.
  • PSV were unbeaten home and away v the top 7 last season.

15:45 - RKC Waalwijk v Vitesse - 1.63 Vitesse

  • 18th v 7th from last season.
  • 1-2 loss for RKC at home v Vitesse last season.
  • Only 4 wins all season last season for RKC. 3 of those wins came at home.
  • Only 1 loss away for Vitesse v 13th and lower last season saw 4 wins, a loss and a draw.

RUSSIAN PREMIER LEAGUE

14:30 - Dinamo Moscow v Rubin Kazan - 2.05 Dinamo Moscow

Dinamo Moscow - 4th

  • Only 1 loss came away.
  • 4 clean sheets.
  • 3 home clean sheets includes an impressive 1-0 win over Zenit.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • No over 2.5 goals matches.
  • Gap in form. Only played 1 team at home v 7th and lower.

Rubin Kazan - 10th

  • 2-2-3-2 goals scored this season last 4 matches.
  • 3-2, 1-2 away from home.
  • Scored last 5 matches.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • Scored 2 goals away v 3rd and 5th.

Conclusions

  • Defence v Attack today and a gap in form for Dinamo Moscow makes this tough to read. Rubin's 2+ goals last 4 matches will test clean sheeted Dinamo Moscow. Fascinating match but a puzzle pre match, so in-play stats for me.

17:00 - CSKA Moscow v Spartak Moscow - 2.35 CSKA

  • Bit too near to 2.4 the favourite for me to research with only 5 matches played.

17:00 - Rotor Volgograd v Krasnador - 1.47 Krasnador

  • Newly promoted Rotor look up against it v a solid looking Krasnador who only lost 1-0 to Ural because they were red carded.
  • No win yet for Rotor in this better quality league. 0-2, 1-2, 0-1 at home. 3/3 defeats.
  • Only 1 clean sheet came in an impressive 0-0 away at decent Dinamo Moscow.
  • Krasnador will seek to end a poor run of 2 1-0 defeats. 2 consecutive 1-1's all suggests that should Rotor score first, they are to be layed with a perhaps cautionary cover of the 1-0. I expect a return to form for Krasnador though with a potential for 2 goals as they scored v Ufa and Arsenal Tula. Red cards notwithstanding, a Krasnador defeat today would be a major surprise.

BELGIAN JULIPER LEAGUE

12:30 - Anderlecht v Cercle Brugge - 1.47 Anderlecht

Anderlecht

  • Unbeaten albeit 3 score draws and a win.
  • Both teams scored in all matches.
  • 3-1 and 1-1 at home.

Cercle Brugge

  • 2 wins saw both teams score. 2 losses were 1-0.
  • No clean sheets.

Angles

  • Too small a sample for all Belgian matches. Strong both teams to score and score draw trend for Anderlecht may suggest an ability to equalise if conceding first?

15:00 - Sint Truiden v Antwerp - 1.83 Antwerp

  • Win, Loss, Draw, Draw for St Truiden this season. 2-1-0-1 goals scored.
  • Draw, Loss, Win, Loss for Antwerp. 1-1-1-0 goals scored.
  • Few patterns.

17:15 - Zulte-Waregem v Charleroi - 2.00 Charleroi

  • 2 draws and 2 wins for Zulte this season. Scored in every match.
  • All wins for Charleroi. They kept 3 clean sheets in 4 matches.

19:45 - Kortrijk v Mouscron - 1.85 Kortrijk

  • Loss, win, draw, win for Kortrijk.
  • No win for Mouscron.1-0-1-0 goals scored. Favour Kortrijk not to lose on that evidence?

SWEDISH ALLSVENSKAN

13:30 - Falkenberg v IFK Goteborg - 2.1 Goteborg

Falkenberg - 13th

  • Only 2 wins.
  • 4 losses and a draw last 5 matches.
  • 3 draws in 4 at home.
  • No win in 8 at home.
  • Conceded last 16 matches.
  • 2-2 last head to head.
  • 10/13 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Goteborg - 16th

  • Only 2 wins.
  • 9 draws last 12 matches.
  • No defeat in 6 away.
  • Only 1 loss away but 7 draws.

Conclusions

  • These 2 find wins difficult. But Goteborg love their draws and that suggests an ability to equalise if conceding first?

13:30 - Hammarby v Helsingborg - 1.47 Hammarby

Hammarby

  • Only 1 loss in 9 matches.
  • 5 draws and a win last 6 at home.
  • 10 consecutive matches without a 0-0 at halftime.
  • No defeat 7 at home.
  • 3/3 score draws at home v the bottom 4.

Helsingborgs

  • Only 3 wins.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches since 6th July 2020.
  • 3 consecutive away losses.
  • No win in 9 away.
  • Conceded last 8 matches.
  • 1-1 last head to head.
  • 11/19 goals conceded away came 1st half.

Conclusions

  • Take a chance and lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • No win in 9 away for Helsingborgs suggests we are with the home side to, at least, not lose.

16:30 - Malmo v AIK - 1.55 Malmo

Malmo - 1st

  • 2 losses came away from home.
  • 5 wins and a draw last 6 at home.
  • Only failed to score in one match.
  • Only 0-0 at halftime came first match of the season.
  • Scored last 13 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 2-2 last head to head.
  • 2+ goals scored at home v 7th and lower.

AIK  -12th

  • Only 4 wins.
  • No win in 7 away.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away - 56%.
  • 5 goals conceded last 15 mins of away matches.

Conclusions

  • Tempted to keep the lay the 0-0- in the halftime score market based on Malmo. It came in last match but 56% for AIK is high.
  • We expect Malmo not to lose today and they should really have 2 goals in the locker.

16:30 - Mjallby v Varberg - 2.1 Mjallby


DANISH SUPERLIGA

13:00 - Horsens v Randers - 2.4 Randers

  • 7th v 8th from last season.
  • 1-2 loss and 2-1 loss for Horsens v Randers last season.

13:00 - Lyngby v AaB Aalborg - 2.3 AaB

  • 10th v 6th from last season.
  • 2-0 win and 3-0 loss for Lyngby in head to heads last season.
  • 7 wins and a loss for Lyngby at home v 6th and lower.
  • Only 1 loss home and away for AaB v 8th and lower last season.

15:00 - Brondby v Nordsjaelland - 2.00 Brondby

  • 4th v 5th from last season.
  • 4-2 and and 2-2 v Nord last season. Brondby only lost 2 home matches last season, v the top 3.
  • Nord failed to beat any side home or away v the top 4.

17:00 - OB Odense v Copenhagen - 2.00 Copenhagen

  • 9th v 2nd from last season. With Midtjylland (Champions last year) losing their opening match, this is a perfect opportunity for Copenhagen to challenge for the title and get 3 points ahead so early.
  • 2-3 and 2-1 losses for OB v Copenhagen last season.

NORWEGIAN ELITESERIEN

17:00

Aalesund v Sarpsborg - 2.25 Sarpsborg

Aalesund

  • Only 1 win.
  • 4 losses and a draw last 5 matches.
  • No clean sheets.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • Scored and conceded last 8 at home.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 4-0 loss last head to head.

Sarpsborg

  • 3 losses in their last 4 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.

Conclusions

  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Both teams could score today but these are 2 sides struggling this season.

Bodo/Glimt v Odd - 1.5 Bodo

Bodo/Glimt - 1st

  • 7 consecutive home wins.
  • 2+ goals scored in every match.
  • No 0-0 at halftime.
  • 0-4 win v Odd earlier.

Odd - 3rd

  • Only 5 defeats.
  • 6 wins in 7 matches.
  • No draw in 10 and in 7 away.
  • Lost at home v 1st and away v 2nd.
  • 5/6 goals conceded away came 2nd half.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime away (43%).

Conclusions

  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market based on Bodo/Glimt - not happy with the 43% for Odd though.
  • Expect 2 goals again from Bodo?

Mjondalen v Sandefjord - 2.2 Mjondalen

Mjondalen - 15th

  • Only 4 wins.
  • 9 losses and 2 wins last 11 matches.
  • 5 losses and a 1-0 win at home.
  • No draw in 13.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 2 home wins were 1-0.
  • 1-0 loss v Sandefjord.

Sandefjord - 13th

  • 3 consecutive losses.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 away.
  • 2 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Not played 12th or lower away.

Conclusions

  • These 2 are in poor form. If Mjondalen are to win at home, it seems to be 1-0 so lay them if they score first but take insurance out on the 1-0.

Stromsgodset v Rosenborg - 1.95 Rosenborg

Stroms - 11th

  • Only 5 wins.
  • 3 losses in 4 at home.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Conceded last 14 and last 7 at home.
  • 3-0 loss to Rosenborg earlier.
  • Beat 3rd 1-0 and 5th 2-2.
  • 9/12 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Rosenborg - 4th

  • 3 wins and a 2-2 last 4 matches.
  • 2+ goals scored last 4 matches.
  • Only 1 loss home and away v 5th and lower.

Conclusions

  • On seasonal form, Rosenborg should not lose today. Only 1 loss v 5th and lower. Only 1 clean sheet for Stroms so expect them to concede at some point. Rosenborg are on a 2 goal-a-game run so lay Stroms if Stroms score first.

19:30 - Valerenga v Brann - 2.1 Valerenga

Valerenga - 6th

  • All 4 defeats came away.
  • Scored and conceded last 6 matches.
  • 2+ goals scored last 3 at home.
  • 1-2 win v Brann earlier.
  • 6/9 goals conceded at home came 1st half.

Brann

  • 2 consecutive away wins.
  • 4/6 losses came v the top 6.
  • 8/10 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Valerenga like playing at home and scoring 2 goals at home, and I will have that in mind today.

FINNISH VEIKKAUSLIIGA

16:30 - Ilves v HJK Helsinki - 1.91 HJK

Ilves - 6th

  • 2 wins and a 3-2 loss last 3 matches.
  • Unbeaten at home.
  • 2+ goals scored last 3 matches.
  • 7/10 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • Lost 2-0 to HJK earlier this season.

HJK - 1st

  • Unbeaten home and away v 6th and lower.
  • Lost last away match 4-3 but a great trading match. Came from 3-1 down to 3-3.
  • 4 wins and 4-3 away.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • Scored last 11 and last 5 away.
  • 12/17 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • HJK unlikely to lose today given that solid record v 6th and lower this season. They showed their reliability coming from 3-1 to 3-3 last match for a profitable trade.
  • If 0-0 at halftime, expect 2nd half goals.