
Please Note: Prices are taken from www.willhill.com as the Betfair in-play coupon is not up as I write. Odds will be different and usually better at www.betfair.com
Where I mention BANKER below, this signifies those matches where I think the favourites should win. These matches I would personally prioritise as regards DRT.
Remember the strategies:
Lay the 0-0 halftime score in certain signalled matches
Lay the 0-0 2nd half in matches where goals were expected but have not yet materialised
Lay the 2-2 scoreline, especially early on in matches. 2-2 shows us that teams are scoring and conceding.
Lay the away team leading 0-2 before halftime, especially if they are favourites. The home team is usually galvanised by the halftime team talk.
Lay the underdog if they score first in certain matches (especially BANKER matches where I would back the BANKERS if they conceded first at enhanced odds)
Lay the underdog scoring early in the first half, in the HALF TIME market , especially in BANKER matches.
11:30 UK Willem II v Feyenoord - 1.73 away
Standout Stats
- Feyenoord usually win head to heads, but Willem II won the last one 1-2
- This is 9th v 3rd in the Eredivisie. 2nd place is still up for grabs
Willem II
- No defeat in 6 at home
- Scored in their last 6 at home and conceded in their last 3 at home.
- Only 1 loss in 9 home matches.
- All losses at home v top 6
- No 0-0 at home
Feyenoord
- 4 match winning streak
- Scored and conceded in their last 3 matches.
- 5 wins in their last 6 matches.
- Losses away v 1st , 7th and 15th.
- 4 0-0's away
- Clean sheets away v 8th-13th inclusive
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Willem II are in good form at home but all losses at home have come v top 6 sides so they are vulnerable.
- Feyenoord have been keeping clean sheets v mid table sides away and I think they will not lose today. That will be my angle today. 0-0 cannot be discounted but I would lay the 0-0 very very late indeed if 0-0 late on.
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12:15 UK Kilmarnock v Aberdeen - 1.75 away
Standout Stats
- 6 consecutive wins for Aberdeen in head to heads.
- This is 8th v 2nd in the Scottish Premier League. Only 2 matches remain in this league so Aberdeen will finish 2nd.
- This is a dead rubber for Aberdeen but a match I think Kilmarnock will want to win. With that in mind, It's a match not to research. I think the bottom 4 in the SPL may enter some kind of a play-off so Killy, meeting Aberdeen and Celtic can only hope that these 2 have their summer holidays in mind as the season is over for them.
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13:00 UK St Etienne v Nantes - 1.75 home
Standout Stats
- 3 St Etienne wins and a 0-0 in the last 4 head to heads.
- This is 5th v 10th in French Ligue 1.3rd place is available for St Etienne.
St Etienne
- 2 match winning streak at home
- No defeat in 6 matches.
- 2 consecutive clean sheets at home
- Only 2 home defeats were 0-1 v 1st and 18th.
- 7 clean sheets in 10 home matches v 8th and lower .
- 3-0-3-2-2-2 scored in their last 6 home matches.
- Only 1 0-0 at home.
- 8 0-0's at halftime at home ( 53% )
- 17 of 23 home goals scored 2nd half.
Nantes
- No win in 6 away matches.
- Only 2 wins in 12 matches.
- Failed to score in 5 of their last 6 away matches.
- All losses away v top 8 failing to score in all bar 1 of those matches.
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Less than a 1/3rd of these 2's home /away matches are over 2.5 goals suggesting a tight match today. With Nantes unable to score really against the top 9 away, it is advantage St Etienne. If Nantes continue to fail to score , then 1-0, 2-0 looks the obvious play of St Etienne.
- You may want to back 0-0 pre match in the hope this will be as tight as the form suggests?
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13:30 UK QPR v Chelsea - 1.36 away
Standout Stats
- 2-1 to Chelsea earlier this season care of a late penalty winner.
- This is 18th v 1st. Chelsea have a game in hand over Arsenal as well as 7 points. Not necessarily a must win. QPR must win as a win will bring in Sunderland, Aston Villa and Hull City into the relegation equation.
QPR
- 5 match home losing streak
- Scored and conceded in their last 7 matches.
- 3 consecutive 1-2 defeats at home so just being outscored and against sides like Everton and Arsenal, remaining competitive.
- Only 2 losses in 15 matches.
- Have not beaten any side home and away 13th and higher in the league.
- Only 1 0-0 at home
- 7 0-0's at halftime ( 43%)
Chelsea
- 4 match winning streak away
- No defeat in 10 matches.
- Scored in their last 17 matches and last 8 away
- Only 2 defeats all season
- Scored and conceded in 6 of their last 8 matches.
- Last 8 matches have been a maximum of " one goal in it" matches.
- Failed to score in only 1 match.
- Only 1 0-0 at halftime in their last 14 matches.
- Against bottom 3 home and away, Chelsea are unbeaten but have scored and conceded in 4 of 5 matches.
- Only 1 0-0 away
- 18 goals scored away first half and 15 scored second half away.
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- This will be a very competitive match. Remember at home, Chelsea needed a penalty to get the winner. You feel that both teams will score again today . Chelsea seem to score and concede v bottom 3. QPR have scored and conceded in their last 7 matches and been very competitive albeit in defeat v the likes of Everton and Arsenal.
- Lay the first goal scorer today in anticipation of a competitive both teams to score match?
- Lay any late draw. A draw does not suit QPR and this may open up the late game to a winner - for either side!
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13:30 UK Go Ahead Eagles v Twente - 1.8 away
Standout Stats
- Go ahead eagles won 1-0 in the last head to head at home, but that is against the norm
- This is 17th v 10th in the Eredivisie. Go ahead eagles can save themselves but will need wins.
Go ahead eagles
- 6 match losing streak, 4 at home
- Scored and conceded in their last 4 matches.
- Failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
- 12 defeats in their last 15 matches. 2 wins were only 1-0.
- Failed to score in 4 of their last 5 home matches.
- 2 0-0's at home
Twente
- No win in 7 away matches. scored in their last 3 away and conceded in their last 8 away
- Only 1 win in 9 matches.
- Have worryingly conceded 2-2-3-2-4-2-2 in recent away matches.
- 2 consecutive 2-2 away draws.
- Unbeaten home and away v bottom 4 so some solace?
- Only 1 0-0
- No 0-0 at halftime away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Twente have been dire defensively away , conceding 2 goals with ease but luckily they may be given a way out as they play a bottom 4 sides and have not lost v bottom 4 home and away this season.
- Their recent 2-2 draws away suggest that if Go ahead eagles lead, Twente should be able to equalise.
- Lay the 0-0 halftime score.
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13:45 UK Plzen v FC Brno - 1.25 home BANKER
Standout Stats
- 1-3, 1-3, 1-1, 2-3 in favour of Plzen in head to heads.
- This is 1st v 9th in the Czech top flight league.
Plzen
- Only 2 losses all season.
- 14 wins in their last 15 matches.
- 3 consecutive clean sheets.
- Failed to score in only 1 match.
- In 7 of their last 8 matches, Plzen have scored 2+ goals.
- 10 match home winning streak
- Scored in their last 17 matches.
- 3 consecutive home clean sheets.
- 7 clean sheets at home
Brno
- No draw in 4 away
- 2 wins in their last 3 away matches.
- 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches.
- Losses at home to 1st, 2nd and away to 3rd , 4th amongst top 4.
- Only 1 win home and away v teams above them.
- Only 1 0-0 away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Plzen tend to score 3 goals against Brno in recent head to heads, and they have scored 2+ goals recently.
- I do expect an easy home win which makes this a good DRT match as Brno should not lead at any stage or win.
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14:00 UK Lazio v Empoli - 1.5 home
Standout Stats
- 2-1 to Empoli in the last head to head.
- This is 3rd v 14th in Seria A. 2nd place is really up for grabs between the Roman sides.
Lazio
- 7 match winning streak and 3 at home
- No draw in 14 home matches and 11 overall
- 2 consecutive clean sheets at home
- Scored 2+ goals in their last 6 matches
- Losses at home v 1st, 6th, 10th, and 13th. 3 of the losses were 0-1
- 66% of all matches over 2.5 goals this season
- Only 1 0-0
- Only 1 0-0 at home
- 29 goals scored at home, pretty well spread between each half.
Empoli
- No win in 8 away
- Only 3 wins in 17 matches came at home.
- 6 draws in their last 8 away matches.
- Only 1 win away v bottom side. But they have drawn 2nd, 4th, 6th, 8th,10th, 11th, 16th, 18th and 19th.
- Only 1 0-0 away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Lay Empoli if they score first. The amount of score draws they have makes this logical. Empoli should not be winning today especially when Lazio are on such a strong run of wins.
- Both teams could score today given 2/3rd of Lazio matches this season have been over 2.5 goals.
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14:00 UK Napoli v Fiorentina - 2.05 home
Standout Stats
- 0-1 Fiorentina and 0-1 Napoli in the last 2 head to heads.
- This is 6th v 4th in Seria A. Napoli could go top 4 with a win today
Napoli
- Scored in their last 13 home matches.
- No defeat in 5 at home
- Conceded in their last 5 matches overall
- No win in 5 matches.
- 2 consecutive home score draws.
- Only Juventus have beaten them at home since 24th September 2014.
- Only 2 home losses v 1st and 16th. Scored 2+ goals in all home matches v 2nd-16th inclusive
- No 0-0 this season
Fiorentina
- No win in 2 away
- Only 2 losses in 18 matches came away
- Scored 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- Losses away v 2nd, 3rd, 5th and 20th.
- No 0-0 away
- 16 of 23 goals scored came away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- For all their recent defeats, Napoli are still ok at home,scoring in their last 13 home matches and undefeated in their last 5 at home. Only Juve have beaten them recently at home and they play a Fiorentina side who have lost to top 5 away
- I do expect Napoli not to lose today. They have conceded in their last 5 and Fiorentina may score and if scoring first, lay them, although they did win 1-0 in a head to head.
- Lay any late 0-0
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14:00 UK Atalanta v Sassuolo - 2.2 home
Standout Stats
- 0-2 Sassuolo and 0-0 last 2 head to heads.
- This is 17th v 12th. Although not mathematically safe, you feel Sassuolo are safe now . Atalanta could yet be dragged into the relegation zone
Atalanta
- No win in 4 at home and 8 overall.
- Only 5 wins all season.
- Have not beaten at team at home above them in the league.
- All wins bar one all season have come against teams below them in the league.
Sassuolo
- 3 match losing streak away
- No win in 6 away matches.
- Conceded in their last 9 away matches.
- The last 3 wins came at home
- Only 1 win in 9 away matches.
- Only 1 clean sheet in 17 matches.
- Only 2 wins for Atalanta away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Another match I'm afraid I won't trade this weekend. There are a lot of these matches. Atalanta are ok at home recently and Sassuolo have won only 2 away matches so they are clearly vulnerable, but these are 2 teams I don't trust.
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14:00 UK Torino v Roma - 2.45 away
Standout Stats
- 5 Roma wins and a draw in the last 6 head to heads.
- This is 7th v 2nd in Seria A. Roma are 14 points shy of Juve at the top. Torino are 6 points shy of a top 5 spot
Torino
- 9 matches left this season and plenty for Torino to play for.
- Only 2 losses in 16 matches
- 3 losses at home were v 3rd, 12th and 15th, 2 were 0-1 and a 0-2 v 3rd.
- 4 losses in 4 matches v top 3 home and away.
- 8 0-0's at halftime at home ( 57% )
Roma
- No defeat in 9 away from home
- 2 match winning streak
- 2 consecutive clean sheets.
- Only 3 losses all season. So why are they do far behind Juventus? DRAWS 8 draws in their last 12 matches is waving goodbye to 2 points per drawn match.
- 4 draws and a 0-1 in their last 5 away matches.
- Not scored more than 1 goal in their last 7 away matches.
- No win v top 6 away
- 11 of 15 goals scored 1st half away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Roma have the best of it in head to heads and their title hopes are mathematically still alive.
- Torino are in good form but their loss at home to Lazio Roma suggests struggles v Roma today.
- Torino have lost all v top 3. Any reason for this to change, v a Roma with only 3 losses all season?
- I would have to lay Torino if they scored first.
- Incongruous halftime stats.
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14:15 UK Hibernian v Hearts - 2.4 home
Standout Stats
- The top 2 clash today in the Scottish Championship and it could go either way so I won't be researching this one.
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14:30 UK FC Koln v Hoffenheim - 2.45 home
Standout Stats
- Both teams have scored in 5 of their last 6 head to heads.
- 3-4 to Koln last time these 2 met.
- This is 13th v 7th in the Bundesliga.Koln are 5 points from the drop zone.
Koln
- No defeat in 6 at home
- Scored and conceded in their last 3 at home
- Only 3 wins in 16 matches.
- Failed to score in 2 of their last 3 matches.
- 5 draws in their last 6 home matches.
- Only 2 over 2.5 goals matches in their last 10.
- Only played 3 of the top 7 at home and lost 2 and a 0-0.
- 5 0-0's at home
- 6 0-0's at halftime at home ( 46% of matches)
Hoffenheim
- 5 without a win away
- 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches contrasts with 3 and 4 goals conceded in the other 2 matches. Welcome to the world of the Hoff!
- Unbeaten away to 11th and lower sees 4 draws and 2 wins. 4 clean sheets there too.
- 2 0-0's away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- It was a humdinger last time out when these 2 met. With Koln drawing so many matches at home, lay them if they score first here today.
- This is perhaps not a match I would focus on. With the Hoff, as you know, we can try and lay the 0-0 halftime score and lay any team 2-0/0-2 up
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15:00 UK Rangers v Raith Rovers - 1.36 home
Standout Stats
- Rangers have been winning the Championship head to heads. 0-4, 6-1 and 1-2.
- This is 2nd v 6th in the Championship.
- 2nd is the best that Rangers can hope for.
Rangers
- I am researching this early, before the Queen of the South match on 9th April .
- Rangers have scored and conceded in their last 5 matches at home.
- At this time, they won their last 3 matches and last 2 at home
- 2-4-2 scored in their last 3 home matches. Rangers under McCall are scoring more readily.
- Scored and conceded in 7 of their last 9 matches.
- Only 1 0-0
Raith Rovers
- No draw in 9 matches.
- Conceded in their last 2 away.
- 2 match losing streak away
- Scored and conceded in 8 of their last 11 matches.
- Only 1 0-0 away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- I am researching this before the Queen of the South result is known on the 9th April, but what is clear is that Rangers have re-found their scoring form and beat the big 2 recently which is excellent return to form.
- I don't think Raith Rovers can replicate their cup win against this renewed Rangers.
- There is a chance that both teams could score so I would definitely lay Raith if they opened up the scoring.
- Lay any late 0-0
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16:00 UK Man Utd v Man City - 2.5 home
Standout Stats
- 4 consecutive wins for City in head to heads is a surprise.
- A possible 2nd place is up for grabs, and if Chelsea do not win, the title is tantalisingly close.
- I cannot really research these big derby matches as it is typically the best on the day who prevails.
- On form, City struggle away to top 5 with 2 draws and a defeat.
- United's losses at home came against 7th and 8th.
- 3 consecutive away defeats for City also sees only 1 win in 6 away matches so they are struggling away. 5 consecutive home wins for United
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- As I say it's tough to call in these big derbies. Form wise, City are struggling away from home and away v top 5 they score and concede without winning. Does this put the match in United's favour, despite City winning the last 4 head to heads.
- It'll be a cracker but not so much from a trading perspective.
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16:00 UK Nacional (Por) v Gil Vicente - 1.6 home
Standout Stats
- 1-0 Gil Vicente and 0-0 last 2 head to heads. The WilliamHill mid week prices favour the home side here.
- This is 9th v 17th of 18 in the Portugeuse Primera Liga.
Nacional
- Scored in their last 12 matches and last 5 at home
- Scored and conceded in 10 of their last 12 matches.
- 4 wins and a 1-1 v Porto in their last 5 home matches.
- 2 clean sheets only in their last 15 matches.
- All wins at home v 11th and lower.5 clean sheets in 6 matches there.
- 7 0-0's at halftime at home ( 53%)
Gil Vicente
- No win in 6 matches overall
- Conceded in their last 7 away matches.
- 3 match losing streak.
- Only 3 wins all season.
- Only 1 win away v 11th.
- Failed to score in 6 matches away v top 10.
- Only 1 0-0 away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Gil Vicente must be opposed until showing something positive and with only 1 win away, Nacional have a great opportunity to score as they have in their last 12 matches and get another win v 11th and lower at home.
- Unlikely we will see a DRT here as Gil Vicente are in such poor form.
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16:30 UK Stuttgart v Werder Bremen - 2.15 home
Standout Stats
- Werder are unbeaten in 5 head to heads.
- This is bottom v 9th in the Bundesliga. Interestingly the team bottom of the league are marginal favourites ( at least with William Hill's mid-week prices.)
Stuttgart
- Only 5 wins all season.
- Only 1 win in 11 matches was the last home match v Frankfurt.
- 3 of 5 wins this season were v 14th, 15th, 16th in the league. The other 2 wins were home and away v Frankfurt.
- Scored 2 and 3 goals v teams on either side of Werder Bremen at home.
- 6 0-0's at home ( 46% of matches)
- Scored 1 and conceded 14 goals in the first half at home
Werder Bremen
- Scored in their last 6 away matches.
- No defeat in 4 away
- 2 losses in 11 matches came v the first 2 in the league.
- Not played bottom 2 away but beat them easily at home.
- No 0-0 away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Werder's only recent defeats this season have come against the big 2 in the league and that is compelling enough for us to oppose Stuttgart if they score first today. 2 recent score draws for Werder suggest an ability to score from behind.
- Don't worry if this is 0-0 at halftime. I would have faith in a goal before 90th minute.
- Lay Stuttgart in the halftime market if they score first early on.
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17:00 UK Braga v Penafiel - 1.25 home BANKER
Standout Stats
- 3 wins for BRaga in the last 4 head to heads.
- They won 1-6 in November 2014.
- This is 4th v 18th ( bottom) in the Portugeuse Primera Liga.Penafiel are not wholly doomed yet but must now win, win, win!
Braga
- No win in 2 at home.
- Failed to score in their last 2 at home - one was a loss v Porto.
- 2 recent losses were v Benfica and Porto.
- Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
- Home losses were at home v 2nd and 3rd 0-1
- 2-0 wins v bottom 3 at home. 8 clean sheets at home.
- 7 0-0's at halftime at home ( 54% of matches)
- 21 goals scored at home, 14 2nd half.
Penafiel
- No win in 5 matches.
- Scored and conceded in their last 2 matches.
- Only 1 win in 14 matches.2 consecutive draws, score draws.
- Have conceded quite heavily of late - 2-4-0-2-3-2-3-2
- Only 5 clean sheets.
- Have not beaten any team in the top 8 home and away.
- 3-3-4-3-6 conceded home and away v top 4 sides.
- 2 0-0's away
- 7 0-0's at halftime away ( 54% of matches)
- 14 goals conceded in the last 1/2 hour of matches away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Braga have the best of it in head to heads. This mat be 0-0 at halftime so fear not.
- Penafiel are not out of salvaging their season but when you've conceded 19 goals in 5 matches v top 4, things don't look too good away to 4th placed today.
- If 0-0 at halftime, perhaps think about laying under 3.5 goals. But given that Penafiel are likely to concede heavily, should we not be laying the 0-0 halftime score.
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18:00 UK Rijeka v NK Zagreb - 1.33 home BANKER
Standout Stats
- 6 consecutive wins for Rijeka in head to heads.4-3-3-2 scored in their last 4 head to heads.
- This is 2nd v 5th in a league of only 10 teams in Croatia. Rijeka look like the 2nd best team and are 14 points shy of Dinamo Zagreb
Rijeka
- No defeat in 9 home matches.
- Scored in their last 13 home matches.
- Only 4 losses came against 2 teams, Lokomotiva and Dinamo Zagreb.
- Failed to score in only 4 matches.
- Only 1 win in 6 matches but only 1 loss in those 6 matches.
- 85% over 2.5 goals at home
- Scored in all home matches.
NK Zagreb
- No draw in 11 matches and in 4 away
- 2 match losing streak away
- 4 losses in their last 5 matches.
- 1-3, 3-0, 1-2, losses against Rijeka already this season.
- No 0-0 away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Zagreb have lost 3 already, conceding 3-3-2 against Rijeka this season . Is there any reason to expect an upset? I think not. This should be a good DRT match as Rijeka are expected to dominate and only lose to top 3 sides. Let's hope Zagreb are up for it and score first.
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19:15 UK Vitoria Setubal v Sporting Lisbon - 1.44 away
Standout Stats
- 3 wins and a 2-2 draw, the wins in favour of Sporting, in the last 4 league head to heads.
- This is 15th v 3rd in the Portugeuse Primera Liga.
Setabul
- No win in 4 home matches
- 3 draws in their last 4 matches
- 3 draws in their last 4 home matches.
- 5 losses at home v 1st, 4th, 5th, 12th, 18th.
- Only 2 0-0;s at home
Sporting
- Scored and conceded in their last 2 matches.
- Only 2 losses all season.
- Failed to score in only 2 matches.
- All wins bar a 1-1 draw home and away v 11th and lower.
- 3-1-2-3-3-4-4 scored v bottom 4 home and away this season.
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Setabul have problems losing to top 5 teams at home. Sporting have no problems scoring around 3 goals v bottom 4 sides. It means advantage the away side today.
- Sporting have failed to score in only 2 matches this season so expect them to score at some stage if 0-0 or conceding first.
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19:45 UK AC Milan v Sampdoria - 2.05 home
Standout Stats
- 2 Milan wins and a 2-2 in the last 3 head to heads.
- This is 8th v 5th in Seria A . Top 3 is not an impossibility for Sampdoria.
Milan
- 2 match winning streak
- Scored and conceded in their last 4 matches.
- Scored at least 2 goals in their last 3 matches.
- 4 losses at home v 1st, 11th, 12th and 17th.
- Not bad v top 6 at home, losing only marginally to Juventus.
- No 0-0 at home
- Scored first in 11 of 15 home matches.
Sampdoria
- No draw in 7 away
- 4 consecutive wins ended with a loss to Fiorentina.
- 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches.
- All losses this season came away v 3rd, 4th, 7th, 9th, and 16th
- Only 1 0-0 away
- 7 0-0's at halftime away
Profitable In-Play Opportunities
- Sampdoria seem vulnerable away to the top 9 and that could given Milan a glimpse today. It will be well contested today as Sampdoria are eyeing top 4 or even top 3 spot. As with a lot of matches at this end of the season, it's another toughie to call. Milan have only lost 1 at home to top 6.
- An argument can be made for either side which suggests we sit this one out.
- Lay any late 0-0.
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