Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

Halmstads the best trade of the day. 0-2 down to 2-2 2nd half. France too was straightforward. 0-1 down when dominant. 1-1 it ended. Brazil, Haugesund and Brann the 2 most readable matches. Ranheim's match looks strong for a lay the 0-0 halftime score market.

15:00 - Austria v Brazil - 1.57 Brazil

  • Austria beat Germany 2-1 in a previous head to head.
  • Austria are not going to Russia.
  • 7 match winning run for Austria includes, as I say, that win v Germany, and Russia, and Uruguay.
  • 2 draws and 5 wins in friendlies for Austria.3 clean sheets in 4 matches.
  • Only 1 loss in friendlies for Brazil since September 2013.
  • 5 clean sheets in 6 matches for Brazil in friendlies.
  • Brazil should have too much to offer v Austria but do not be surprised should Austria put up a decent performance, albeit in defeat.

NORWEGIAN ELITESERIEN

17:00 - Stabaek v Bodo/Glimt - 2.2 Stabaek

  • Last head to heads September 2016.

Stabaek (14th)

  • Only 2 wins.
  • 4 losses in 5 matches, 3 of the losses were 1-0.
  • No clean sheets.
  • Only 1 home loss. 2 wins in 3 at home.
  • Unbeaten at home v 8th and lower.
  • All defeats bar 1 v the top 6.

Bodo/Glimt (11th)

  • Only 3 wins. 2 1-0 defeats in their last 3 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 away win.
  • 1-0, 1-1, 1-0 away v 9th and lower.
  • 5 of 6 goals conceded away came 1st half.

Conclusions

  • No clean sheets v 2 clean sheets. Do not expect a 0-0?
  • Strictly on form, Stabaek should not lose today. There is a small form gap with Bodo though.

17:00 - Sandefjord v Haugesund - 1.85 Haugesund

  • Sandefjord 2-0 and Haugesund 2-0 last 2 head to heads.

Sandefjord (16th)

  • 7 consecutive defeats.failed to score in those defeats.
  • Only 1 win.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • All defeats v the top 9. All defeats at home v top 6.

Haugesund(5th)

  • Only 3 defeats.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • Only 1 loss in 7 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Scored in their last 10 matches.
  • All wins home and away v 8th and lower.

Conclusions

  • I thought Haugesund should be stronger than 1.85 odds favourites. I did get the odds from www.williamhill.com early on due to my trip to Japan.
  • I must be with the away side. Note that they scored and conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches so let's hope Sanefjord score first.
  • An argument for laying the 0-0 in the halftime score market based on Sandefjord.

17:00 - Start v Stromsgodset - 1.91 Stroms

  • 2 consecutive score draws in head to heads albeit from 2016.

Start (15th)

  • Only 2 wins.
  • Won their last home match 1-0.
  • Only 1 clean sheet came in that match.
  • 2 wins this season have came v 8th and 11th at home.
  • 10 of 13 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Stromgodset (12th)

  • 5 losses and a  2-2 ended last match with a win.
  • Only 3 wins this season.
  • 4 losses and a 2-2 last 5 away matches.
  • In 4 of their last 5 away matches, they conceded 2 goals away at least.
  • Not played the bottom 4 away; beat 14th and 16th 2-2 and 2-0 at home.

Conclusions

  • Only 2 wins plays only 3 wins. Can we really rely on these 2?
  • No strong angle I'm afraid. I would take on any 0-0 I see at halftime.

17:00 - Lillestrom v Odd BK - 2.05 Lillestrom

  • Odd have won the last 4 head to heads, the last 2 were 1-0 wins.

Lillestrom (13th)

  • Only 3 wins this season.
  • Win, Loss, Win, Draw last 4 at home scoring 1-0-1-1 goals.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Not played 5th-14th inclusive at home.

Odd (9th)

  • 3 losses in 4 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in those 3 defeats.
  • 4 losses in 5 away matches.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • Lost away to 12th and 14th and meet 13th today.
  • 8 of 10 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • A big gap in form for Lillestrom suggests a question mark over their readability.
  • If they continue to score 1 goal max at home they will be vulnerable if scoring first given Odd have scored and conceded in 3 of their last 4 matches....but then those were defeats.
  • Odd too have lost to 12th and 14th away and play 13th today.
  • Muddied waters = no play for me.

17:00 - Ranheim v Sarpsborg - 2.5 Sarpsborg

  • 3rd and 4th meet. No wonder the market has priced it up as 2.5 the favourite.
  • These 2 last met in 2013 so no recent relevant head to heads.

Ranheim (3rd)

  • Only 3 defeats but did lose last match.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win at home. Scored 2-4 goals in 5 home matches.
  • Only 2 under 2.5 goals matches this season.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Only home loss v 1st.

Sarpsborg (4th)

  • 2 draws and 4 consecutive wins.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Not played top 3 away. Scored and conceded in all bar 1 match away.

Conclusions

  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Do expect Sarpsborg to score on form. These 2 are too well matched for me to pick a favourite. They have good form and good goalscoring records.
  • You might want to take 2-2 as a trading angle given the home side tend towards 2 goals and indeed over 2.5 goals. Saprsborg themselves have failed to score in only one match.

19:00 - Brann v Valerenga - 1.67 Brann

  • The home side tend to perform well in head to heads.
  • Brann are top of the league.

Brann

  • Unbeaten. 2 1-1 draws though in their last 2 matches.
  • Scored in every match.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime but not at fulltime.
  • 4 clean sheets in 5 matches at home.

Valerenga (6th)

  • Only 3 defeats.
  • Did lose last away.
  • 3 wins in 4 matches.
  • Only 1 loss in 8 matches.
  • Have not beaten the top 8 home or away.

Conclusions

  • On form Valerenga simply struggle v the top 8. They even concede 2/3 goals away v the top sides which should put this firmly in Brann's court today.
  • Do note 6 0-0's at halftime for Brann but none at fulltime so lay the 0-0 in the 2nd half.
  • We should really expect a 2+ goal win for Brann today.

SWEDISH SUPERETTAN

14:00 - Falkenbergs v Gefle - 1.5 Falkenbergs

  • 2-4 Falkenberg and 0-4 Gefle in the last 2 head to heads.

Falkenbergs (1st)

  • Only 1 loss.
  • 3 wins and 2 draws last 5 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • 3 2-1 leads at halftime in their last 5 matches.
  • 3-2 at home v 13th and 3-1 at home v 15th.
  • 7 of 8 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Gefle (14th)

  • Scored and conceded in their last 6 matches without winning.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Not beaten the top 10.
  • 5 of 6 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market if Felkenbergs continue their superb scoring before halftime.
  • We should expect a Falkenbergs win today scoring 2+ goals and they could even concede today. Let's hope Gefle concede for a good trading angle into this match.

16:30 - Helsingborgs v Degerfors - 1.8 Helsingborgs

  • 1-1 last head to head.

Helsingborgs (4th)

  • Only 1 loss.
  • 4 wins in 5 at home.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches.
  • 6 of 8 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Degerfors (6th)

  • A win, 2 2-2 draws and 2 wins last 5 matches.
  • Only 1 away defeat.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime away but no 0-0's at fulltime.
  • 3/3 defeats v the top 5 teams they have played this season.

Conclusions

  • We have to side with Helsingborgs on form today. Degerfors have been losing to top 5 teams.
  • Watch out if 0-0 at halftime. We should expect goals fulltime.