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See you for a live chat webinar at 14:30. I will do a review/video at DRT Facebook and return with the stats spreadsheet.

Clive Keeling is inviting you to a scheduled Zoom meeting.

Topic: DRT live chat webinar for 3rd April 2021

Time: Apr 3, 2021 02:30 PM London

Join Zoom Meeting

https://us02web.zoom.us/j/81419417945?pwd=S2pQOVZBREFKYTdCRVVldDFta3JBdz09

Meeting ID: 814 1941 7945

Passcode: 174824


English Premier League

12:30 - Chelsea v West Brom - 1.20 Chelsea

  • Post International Break may impact the likes of Chelsea, Man City, Arsenal and Liverpool.
  • Chelsea are unbeaten since 27th Jan 2021.8 clean sheets in those matches.
  • 5 consecutive home clean sheets.
  • Since 19th Jan, West Brom have won only one match. They failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • Angles. The only weak link for Chelsea will be the fact that nearly all of their players are Internationals and may be jaded post World Cup qualifiers, and African Cup of Nations qualifiers.
  • If all remains as normal, it is win to nil for Chelsea today. But an added spanner in the works is that not only is it Post-International, it is pre-Champions League. This unique weekend has historically been a graveyard for these big names. But hey, West Brom are...West Brom and ill-equipped it seems to take advantage.

15:00 - Leeds v Sheffield Utd - 1.53 Leeds

Leeds - 11th

  • Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Win for Leeds latest.
  • They did fail to score in 3 consecutive matches but won 1-2 v Fulham, another newly promoted side.
  • 6/6 wins home and away v 17th and lower.
  • 13/19 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Sheffield Utd

  • 6 losses and a win v Aston Villa recently.
  • 4 consecutive away defeats.
  • No draw in 15.
  • Conceded last 14 away.
  • Failed to score last 4 away.
  • All defeats bar an away win v Man Utd v the top 9.
  • 0-1 loss last head to head.

Conclusions

  • Sheffield United away from home are just appalling. Leeds recent win over Fulham may augur well here against a Blades side destined for relegation.
  • Sheff Utd have no draw in 15 so lay any late draw.
  • Leeds are strong 2nd half scorers.

17:30 - Leicester v Man City - 1.55 Man City

  • Both sides arguably impacted post International, Man City more so. City play Dortmund in the Champions League on 6th April 2021.
  • 17 wins and a loss v Man Utd for Man City. Obviously no curse of the Champions League there. Leicester have lost only 3 matches since the 6th December 2020 so are in reasonable form.
  • Challenge Table form is interesting. A top 3 clash, Man City are draw, Loss, Loss v the top 3 this season. Leicester have scored 2 goals v 2nd and 4th at home without defeat.

20:00 - Arsenal v Liverpool - 2.15 Liverpool

  • A high profile match so leave alone. Compounded by the fact that Arsenal play in the Europa League 8th April and Liverpool are in the Champions League 6th April. Compounded further by the fact that both sides are chock full of Internationals who were on duty. What a minefield!

Spanish La Liga Primera

13:00 - Granada v Villarreal - 2.15 Villareal

Granada - 8th

  • Win, Draw, Loss, Win, Win at home recently.
  • Scored in their last 7 matches.
  • 2 consecutive home wins.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home, only once at fulltime.
  • Only 1 home loss v 4th and lower.2-2 last head to head.

Villareal - 7th

  • After a run of 8 without a win and 3 losses in 4 recent matches, Villareal have broken the cycle with 2 consecutive wins, conceding in each win.
  • Scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches.
  • Scored and conceded last 4 away.
  • Not beaten a top 9 side home or away, seeing 7 draws, 6 of those were score draws.
  • 16/19 goals scored away came 1st half.

Conclusions

  • 8th April sees Villareal play Dinamo Zagreb - will they be distracted? Was their recent poor run down to Europa League distractions?
  • Villareal anyway are on shaky ground v the top 9 - no win but 7 draws and 6 of those score draws. Villareal will have trouble I think v Granada who have good recent home form. Villareal may be vulnerable if leading, note they score and concede a lot.

15:15 - Real Madrid v Eibar - 1.30 Real Madrid

  • 6th April sees Real Madrid take on Liverpool.
  • Real Madrid will also have been affected post International given the quality of the players so I think standard research is pointless here. In-play stats will determine whether this unique weekend negatively impacts Real Madrid.

17:30 - Osasuna v Getafe - 2.60 Osasuna

  • Leave this to the in-play stats.

German Bundesliga

14:30 - Augsburg v Hoffenheim - 2.00 Hoffenheim

Augsburg - 13th

  • Only 2 wins in 7 came last 4 matches.
  • Win, Loss, Draw, Win at home recently.
  • Conceded last 12 at home.
  • 3-1 loss last head to head.
  • 67% home goals 2nd half.

Hoffenheim - 11th

  • 2 consecutive losses but all season have never had 3 consecutive losses.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Only 1 away loss v 10th and lower.

Conclusions

  • Will Hoffenheim continue to avoid 3 consecutive defeats? They have the head to head win.

14:30 - Dortmund v Frankfurt - 1.75 Dortmund

  • Dortmund are one of those post International and pre-Champions League sides who might be affected today so just a cursory glance.
  • Dortmund have scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 9 matches. They conceded at least 2 in 5 of those matches.
  • They play a Frankfurt usually scoring 2 goals but who went on a 3 match barren spell and then scored 5 v Union Berlin.
  • 1-1 last head to head.
  • Angles? Frankfurt are having such a good season that they could be competitive here with this post International and Pre-Champions League Dortmund side. Do remember Dortmund tend to score 2nd half goals.
  • I could see both teams score today.

14:30 - Leverkusen v Schalke - 1.22 Leverkusen

  • Only 1 win for Schalke all season.
  • This 2021, Leverkusen have been really poor. Only 3 wins in 14 matches and 3 losses in 4 matches.
  • Not even Leverkusen, at their Arthur Daley worst, can cock this one up.....can they? Leverkusen have conceded in their last 9 at home.
  •  0-3 win v Schalke earlier this season. Schalke have trouble even scoring v the top 7.

14:30 - Mainz v Arminia Bielefeld - 1.91 Mainz

Mainz - 15th

  • Only 2 losses in 9 matches.
  • Win, Win, Loss, Win at home recently.
  • 2 consecutive wins.
  • Have a poor record v 12th and lower. No wins. 3 0-1 losses at home. 2-1 loss last head to head.
  • 9/11 goals scored at home came 1st half.

Arminia Bielefeld - 17th

  • Only 1 win in 9 matches came last away match.
  • Failed to score in 5/6 matches.
  • v 14th and lower at home, 3/3 wins but away, loss v 16th and win v 18th.

Conclusions

  • Tough to evaluate given Mainz, the better form side, are poor v 12th and lower. No strong patterns for me.

14:30 - Wolfsburg v Koln - 1.53 Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg - 3rd

  • Only 3 losses all season.
  • 8 wins last 10 matches.
  • Unbeaten in 12 at home.
  • 2-2 last head to head.
  • Unbeaten home and away v 12th and lower.

Koln

  • No win in 6 but 2 score draws last 2 matches.
  • Conceded last 10 and last 7 away.
  • Only 1 win home and away v the top 9.

Conclusions

  • I must favour Wolfsburg here despite a couple of score draws for Koln, notably v Dortmund. The Wolf are having a rare old season and 8/10 recent wins appeals greatly.

17:30 - Leipzig v Bayern Munich - 2.37 Bayern

  • Both sides I am sure will have been affected by the Internationals. Leipzig are out of the Champions League but Bayern play on the 7th April 2021. A high profile match with its post International/pre Champions League cloud making it a very tough match to read, as befits a 2.37 the favourite quote.

19:30 - M'gladbach v Freiburg - 1.75 Mgladbach

Mgladbach - 10th

  • A run of 7 without a win ended with a rather inevitable win v Schalke.
  • 3 consecutive home losses.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime at home, none at fulltime.
  • Only 1 loss v the top 7 at home. 2-2 last head to head.

Freiburg - 8th

  • 2 losses and a win last 3 matches.
  • Only losses v teams below them in the league came v Mainz.

Conclusions

  • An interesting match given that Freiburg record v teams below them in the league. Only Mainz have beaten them.
  • Will have to watch the stats here given Mgladbach have been poor pre Schalke win.
  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0.

Italian Serie A

11:30 - AC Milan v Sampdoria - 1.53 AC Milan

AC Milan - 2nd

  • Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss at home recently. Inconsistent.
  • Only 1 loss home and away outside of the top 5.
  • 1-2 win last head to head.

Sampdoria - 10th

  • Only 1 win in 6.
  • No win 4 away.
  • Not played top 2 away but beat 3rd away.
  • 71% of goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Some Milan players will have been on International duty but no more Europa League worries.
  • Top 10 clash. Milan favoured as they are unbeaten generally outside the top 5 but have been worryingly inconsistent at home of late.
  • Sampdoria do concede 2nd half a lot

14:00 - Atalanta v Udinese - 1.44 Atalanta

Atalanta - 3rd

  • 7 wins and a loss last 8 matches.
  • 3 consecutive home wins.
  • 2+ goals scored last 4 at home.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 at home.
  • 1-1 last head to head.
  • Unbeaten v 11th and lower.
  • 68% of goals scored at home 2nd half.

Udinese - 12th

  • 3 consecutive away draws.
  • Only 2 defeats since 6th January.
  • 5 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches.
  • Not beaten the top 6.
  • 67% of goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Udinese are in good recent form, losing infrequently but their draws away suggests a draw is best case today. Given their under 2.5 goals bias (remember Nottm Forest?). If Udinese lead, lay them but you MUST take insurance out on the 0-1.
  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0.

14:00 - Benevento v Parma - 2.60 Benevento

  • Leave this to the in-play stats but acknowledge that this Parma side have goals in them (but their defensive coach has committed hari-kari!). Benevento are newly promoted.

14:00 - Cagliari v Verona - 2.62 Cagliari

  • As above, leave to the in-play stats.

14:00 - Genoa v Fiorentina - 2.40 Fiorentina

  • As above.

14:00 - Lazio v Spezia - 1.40 Lazio

Lazio - 7th

  • 3 losses this 2021 came away from home.
  • 7 consecutive home wins.
  • Scored in their last 13 at home.
  • 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 1-2 win last head to head.
  • Unbeaten home and away v 13th and lower.

Spezia - 15th

  • Only 1 win in 6.
  • 4 losses in 5 away.
  • Conceded last 6 and last 5 away.
  • 7 0-0's at halftime away, only once at fulltime.
  • Only 2 wins away v the top 8 were 1-2.
  • 24/28 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • If Spezia win, it is likely to be a 0-1 but they will have to break the confident Lazio 7 match winning streak at home.
  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0.

14:00 - Napoli v Crotone - 1.20 Napoli

Napoli

  • 4 wins and a 3-3 recently.
  • 5 consecutive home wins.
  • Scored in their last 15 and last 10 at home.
  • 0-4 win last head to head.
  • 100% wins v the bottom 3.
  • 9/11 goals conceded at home 2nd half.

Crotone

  • Only 4 wins all season came at home.
  • 8 consecutive away defeats.
  • Conceded last 16.

Conclusions

  • A huge shock were Napoli not to win. They have beaten the bottom 3....away so with home advantage should be doubly as effective, particularly on a 5 match winning run. They may enter the category of a side possibly impacted post International so let the in-play stats reveal their mood.

14:00 - Sassuolo v Roma - 2.00 Roma

Sassuolo - 8th

  • Only 2 wins in 11 matches.
  • Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win at home recently.
  • Scored and conceded last 7 at home.
  • Conceded last 16.
  • Only 1 loss at home v 5th and lower.
  • 0-0 last head to head.
  • 15/21 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Roma - 6th

  • 2 wins and 2 losses last 4 matches.
  • 5 losses and a 3-3 away v the top 9.

Conclusions

  • No gimme for Roma this. Their form away v the top 9 is appalling, couple that with Sassuolo's recent form and their form v 5th and lower at home and Sassuolo will be competitive.
  • Both teams to score has a chance here.

17:00 - Torino v Juventus - 1.44 Juventus

  • Turin derby so just a look at the head to heads.
  • 2015 was the last time Turin won a Turin derby. Ouch!
  • Turin have been more competitive at home. 0-1 defeats last 3 home matches so they may keep Juventus reined in but eventually succumb.

19:45 - Bologna v Inter Milan - 1.40 Inter Milan

Bologna - 11th

  • 2 losses and then 2 wins last 4 matches.
  • Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win at home recently.
  • Scored last 9 at home.
  • Not beaten the top 6.
  • 3-1 loss last head to head.

Inter Milan - 1st

  • 8 consecutive wins.
  • 4 consecutive away wins.
  • No defeat in 11.
  • 2+ goals scored last 4 away.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away, only once at fulltime.
  • Only 1 away loss.
  • 20/29 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Bologna are yet to beat the top 6 and Inter Milan do not tend to let teams win when they are away from home.
  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0.

French Ligue 1

12:00 - Monaco v Metz - 1.44 Monaco

16:00 - PSG v Lille - 1.65 PSG

20:00 - Lens v Lyon - 1.80 Lyon