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ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

12:30 - Aston Villa v Wolves - 1.8 Wolves

  • A derby-esque factor which would be multiplied were there a crowd.
  • 3 points for Aston Villa will be priceless. 3 points for Wolves has them vying for 5th in the league and pressurising 4th.
  • There really is nothing in Aston Villa's form to suggest an upset today. Since the comeback we saw 0-0 v Sheff Utd, scoring first v Chelsea but losing, and 1-1 v Newcastle (conceding yet again 2nd half).
  • Villa tend to lose home and away against the top 9 but do score.
  • 6 clean sheets in 7 for Wolves will make them tough to score 2 goals against.
  • 4 wins in 5, and since the comeback, 2 wins to nil.
  • Wolves have a 100% win record v 17th and lower.
  • Angles? On what we know, I can see Villa scoring but without winning. Wolves have really clicked defensively and that should seal it for them.

SPANISH LA LIGA

13:00 - Ath. Bilbao v Mallorca - 1.47 Ath Bilbao

Ath Bilbao - 10th

  • Only 1 loss in 6 matches came away v Barcelona.
  • Win, Draw, Win at home recently.
  • Unbeaten at home v 12th and lower.
  • 0-0 last time these 2 met.

Mallorca - 18th

  • 3 losses and a draw last 4 matches.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Conceded last 7 and last 15 away.
  • All defeats away v the top 14.

Conclusions

  • Mallorca need points, but they mean an Ath Bilbao with only 1 loss in 6 matches away. Mallorca have lost all matches away v the top 14.

16:00 - Celta Vigo v Barcelona - 1.63 Barcelona

Celta Vigo - 16th

  • 6 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 2 consecutive wins.
  • 3 wins in 4 at home.
  • 8 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 3-2-4 goals conceded v the top 2 this season.

Barcelona - 2nd

  • 0-0 last away match.
  • 6 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Unbeaten home and away v 13th and lower.
  • Have lost away to 1st, 8th, 9th, 10th, 12th.
  • 4-1 win v Celta earlier this season.
  • 64% of goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Both sides have 6 clean sheets in 7 matches. Back 0-0 pre-match.....or remember that Celta Vigo have conceded 3-2-4 goals v the top 2.
  • Both sides are in decent nick but I return to those goals Celta keep conceding v the top 2.

18:30 - Osasuna v Leganes - 2.3 Osasuna

  • 11th v 19th here. Osasuna are unbeaten home and away v 12th and lower. 0-1 win last time these 2 met.
  • Crunch time for Leganes who need points.
  • They have only 1 away win.
  • On seasonal form, Osasuna would fancy their chances to end a recent mauling v Atl Madrid and Valencia.

21:00 - Atletico Madrid v Alaves - 1.3 Atl Madrid

Atl Madrid - 3rd

  • A draw and 3 wins post lockdown. Last 2 wins were 1-0.
  • No defeat in 7 at home.
  • Scored in their last 9 matches.
  • Only home loss v 2nd.
  • 1-1 last time these 2 met.
  • 7 of 9 goals conceded at home came 1st half.

Alaves - 13th

  • 3 losses in 4 matches.
  • 3 losses in 4 away matches.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Not beaten the top 11 away.
  • 9/11 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • I expect a patent pending Atl Madrid win to nil. Maybe a 1-0, which they specialise in. They are in good nick and Alaves have not beaten the top 11 away.

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA

14:30 - Augsburg v Leipzig - 1.38 Leipzig

  • Augsburg are in the Bundesliga for another year, by the skin of their teeth. A win guarantees Leipzig's 3rd place. A draw guarantees a top 4 spot for Leipzig.

14:30 - Dortmund v Hoffenheim - 1.7 Dortmund

  • Nothing for Dortmund to play for. They finish 2nd. A Hoffenheim win can potentially get them 6th and, I think, a Europa League spot.

14:30 - Frankfurt v Paderborn - 1.32 Frankfurt

  • A dead rubber.

14:30 - Freiburg v Schalke - 1.83 Freiburg

  • Freiburg cannot break into the top 7. As to Schalke, well they gave up weeks ago! They don't tend to score that 2nd goal.

14:30 - Leverkusen v Mainz - 1.24 Leverkusen

  • Well done Mainz. A series of excellent wins ensures survival. Potential top 4 spot for Leverkusen with a win, dependent on Leipzig and Mgladbach's results.

14:30 - M'gladbach v Hertha Berlin - 1.33 Mgladbach

  • Mid table mediocrity for Hertha Berlin. A win guarantees a top 4 spot for Mgladbach.

14:30 - Union Berlin v Fort. Dusseldorf - 1.91 Dusseldorf

  • Union Berlin are guaranteed Bundesliga football. Dusseldorf with guarantee 3rd bottom with a win.

14:30 - Werder Bremen v Koln - 1.57 Werder Bremen

  • Dead rubber for Koln. The bottom 2 are highlighted in red at soccerstats.com which suggests automatic relegation. Werder Bremen, with a win, could finish 3rd bottom, dependent on how Dusseldorf fare. That 3rd bottom place could be a relegation play-off spot. We would not see odds-on Werder for any other reason.

14:30 - Wolfsburg v Bayern Munich - 1.73 Bayern

  • This is a dead rubber. Bayern are Champions. Wolfsburg will finish either 6th or 7th.

ITALIAN SERIA A

16:15 - Brescia v Genoa - 2.35 Genoa

Brescia - 20th

  • Only 4 wins.
  • No win in 12 and in 6 at home.
  • Conceded last 12.
  • Draw v 15th at home and 3-0 win at home v 18th.
  • 3-1 loss v Genoa earlier this season.

Genoa - 17th

  • 2 losses since 25th January came at home.
  • 2 draws and 2 wins last 4 away matches.
  • 2-3-2 goals scored away last 3.
  • 2 score draws away v the bottom 3.

Conclusions

  • On seasonal form, Genoa's 2 score draws v the bottom 3 suggests they may not win, but may not lose. Genoa have been scoring 2+ goals away recently and that could see Brescia pointless.

18:30 - Cagliari v Torino - 2.5 Cagliari

  • Not liking the 2.5 odds.
  • Both sides came out of a dire recent run of form with a 1-0 win last match.
  • Post-lockdown, Torino are 1-1 and 1-0 win - have they tightened that defence?
  • Cagliari went 12 without a win until that last win.
  • Well, Cagliari have 5/6 wins at home v 11th and lower, scoring 2+ goals! They play 14th today.
  • Torino have not beaten 6th-16th away this season.
  • Leave this to the in-play stats.

20:45 - Lazio v Fiorentina - 1.57 Lazio

Lazio - 2nd

  • Only 1 loss sine 29th September 2019 came last match.
  • No defeat in 14 at home.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Unbeaten at home.
  • 1-2 win v Fiorentina earlier.

Fiorentina - 13th

  • A win and 3 draws last 4 matches.
  • Not beaten the top 5 this season.
  • 11 goals scored last 30th minute away.

Conclusions

  • Fiorentina have to break their inability to beat the top 5 home or away.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

DANISH SUPER LEAGUE

17:00

SonderjyskE v Silkeborg - 1.57 SonderjysKe

  • These 2 recently grappled and a red card allowed us to clean up, in Sonder's favour.
  • That was the last match. Silkeborg took the lead. Sonder, before the red card, suggested an equaliser.
  • Let's hope for a repeat today!!

TURKISH SUPER LIG

16:30 - Fenerbahce v Malatyaspor - 1.6 Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce - 7th

  • Only 1 win in 9 matches came at home.
  • Scored last 9 at home.
  • Scored and conceded last 4 at home.
  • Conceded last 9 matches.
  • 2 0-0's at halftime at home, none at fulltime.
  • 6 wins and a 2-2 at home v 10th and lower - 2+ goals scored.

Malatyaspor - 14th

  • Only 1 win in 13 matches came last match.
  • Only 2 wins since 3rd November 2019.
  • 5 consecutive away defeats.
  • Conceded last 13.
  • Only 1 away win v 13th and higher.
  • 14 of 19 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Fenerbahce have a good record v 10th and lower and if that continues, expect 2+ goals. Malatyaspor have only 1 away win v 13th and higher.

19:00 - Trabzonspor v Ankaragucu - 1.32 Trabzonspor

Trabzonspor - 2nd

  • Unbeaten in 13 and in 6 at home.
  • Scored last 18 and last 9 at home.
  • 100% wins home and away v 14th and lower.

Ankar - 18th

  • Only 1 win in 6 matches.
  • Conceded last 7 matches.
  • Not beaten the top 6. 0-3 loss v Trab earlier this season.
  • 9/12 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Expect a home win. Solid wins v 14th and lower for Trab.

SWISS SUPER LEAGUE

19:30 - Young Boys v Xamax - 1.25 Young Boys

  • With St Gallen losing (again) v Zurich mid week, YB have a great chance to go top.
  • The misbehaving YB turned up last match, a 1-0 loss v Thun - a break even trade if you took insurance out on the 1-0 and backed YB in the +1 market.
  • 8 consecutive home wins should see more of the YB we know and love.
  • No defeat in 12 at home, scoring in those 12 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home for YB.
  • Xamax recently lost 1-2 to a misfiring Basel and that is a template for today's match.
  • That's their 3rd 2-1 results in 4 matches.
  • Xamax have scored and conceded in their last 7 away so we could see a goal from them today.

BELARUSSIAN PREMIER LEAGUE

14:00 - FC Minsk v Shakhter Soligorsk - 1.41 Shakhter

FC Minsk - 14th

  • Only 4 wins.
  • 3 consecutive losses.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • 4/4 losses v the top 7.

Shakhter Soligorsk - 2nd

  • Unbeaten in 9 matches.
  • Unbeaten in 6 away.
  • Scored last 6 matches.
  • All clean sheets away v 4th and lower.

Conclusions

  • Shakhter should be hard to even score against. I expect an away win to nil.

16:00 - Neman Grodno v Dinamo Brest - 2.08 Dinamo Brest

Neman Grodno - 6th

  • 5 consecutive wins.
  • 3 wins in 4 matches at home.
  • 3 clean sheets in 4 matches.
  • Scored in their last 8 and last 6 at home.
  • 3/3 wins at home v the top 7.

Dinamo Brest - 4th

  • 4 consecutive wins.
  • 3 wins in 4 matches away.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • No draw in 13 matches.
  • All defeats v the top 5.

Conclusions

  • This could be a tight match. Both sides are in good form. Strictly on seasonal form, Neman have 3/3 wins v the top 7 and play 4th today.
  • Both teams could score.

18:00 - BATE Borisov v Dinamo Minsk - 1.9 BATE Borisov

BATE - 1st

  • Only 2 losses came 1st 2 matches of the season.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • No defeat in 6 at home.
  • Not conceded a 2nd goals at home v 6th and lower.

Dinamo Minsk - 8th

  • 2 wins and a 0-0 last 3 matches.
  • 3 consecutive clean sheets.
  • Not beaten the top 5.

Conclusions

  • I must favour BATE here despite Minsk's recent clean sheets. Minsk have not beaten the top 5. If Minsk score, BATE could keep them to just the single goal.

SWEDISH ALLSVENSKAN

14:00 - Ostersunds FK v Norrkoping - 1.58 Norrkoping

  • 12th v 5th from last year.
  • 2-1 win and 3-0 loss for Ostersunds v Norrkoping last year.
  • That was Ostersunds only win last season v the top 9.
  • 3 losses away for Norrkoping last season v 2nd, 10th and 12th.
  • Ostersunds have failed to score so far this season. Norrkoping have 100% wins this season, scoring 2+ goals.

DANISH FIRST DIVISION

12:00 - Vejle v Fredericia - 1.87 Vejle

Vejle - 1st

  • 0-1 loss and 1-2 win v Fred this season.
  • That was the only loss for Vejle amongst wins v the top 6.
  • Not conceded a 2nd goal at home v the top 6.
  • Only 1 loss since 21st August 2019.
  • Scored last 10 and last 11 at home.
  • 10 of 13 goals conceded at home came 1st half.

Fred - 3rd

  • Only 1 away loss.
  • 3-2-1-2-2 goals scored away recently.
  • Failed to score in only one match.
  • Scored last 9 and last 13 away.

Conclusions

  • If Fred score first, they may not be able to score a 2nd goal as Vejle have kept top 6 sides to a single goal at home.
  • We may see Fred score, they've failed to score in only one match.

13:00 - Viborg v HB Koge - 1.69 Viborg

Viborg - 2nd

  • 0-0 and 2-1 loss v Koge earlier this season.
  • Not beaten a top 7 side at home.
  • 3 wins in 4 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 5 at home.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Conceded last 6 at home.

Koge - 6th

  • Only 1 away win v the top 11.
  • 1-0 loss and 0-0 away v the top 2.
  • 3 score draws and a win last 4 matches.
  • No win in 5 away.

Conclusions

  • Viborg may keep Koge to a single goal. 1-0 loss and 0-0 v the top 2 away this season for Koge.
  • Viborg's form does not look at hot but ultra recent form sees 3 wins in 4 matches and that momentum and Koge's inability to yet score away v the top 2 might see Viborg clear here.

CROATIAN HNL LEAGUE

19:00 - Dinamo Zagreb v Osijek - 1.73 Dinamo Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb - 1st

  • All 4 defeats came away.
  • 8 consecutive home wins.
  • No defeat in 15, scoring in those 15 at home.
  • 2+ goals scored in their last 6 at home.

Osijek - 4th

  • 4 wins and a 0-0 last 5 matches. 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 7 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches away.

Conclusions

  • Dinamo Zagreb at home this season are excellent. They may not lose today but with Osijek's 7 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches away, they may keep Dinamo Zagreb honest.
  • Dinamo Zagreb have scored 2+ goals in each of their last 6 at home.