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ITALIAN SERIA A

16:15 - Brescia v Parma - 2.12 Parma

Brescia - 19th

  • All must wins for Brescia as has been for a while.
  • Draw, Win, Loss, Win last 4 at home so giving it a good go.
  • Only 1 win home and away v the top 12. 1-1 v Parma earlier. 2-0 home win v 9th and 0-0 v 11th.
  • Scored 2 goals only once v the top 11 at home.
  • 20 of 31 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Parma - 10th

  • Only 1 win in 8 matches came last match at home v Napoli.
  • Scored and conceded last 10 matches.
  • 3 consecutive away losses.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime in their last 16 matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • v 15th and lower, Parma have only lost v SPAL home and away.

Conclusions

  • Brescia have been solid recently at home but Parma have only lost v SPAL when playing 15th and lower home and away.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market based on Parma.

18:30 - Genoa v Inter - 1.68 Inter

Genoa - 17th

  • 3 wins in 4 matches. 4 consecutive home losses ended with 2 consecutive home wins.
  • No draw in 14 at home.
  • Scored in their last 9 at home.
  • Not beaten a top 5 side home or away, all losses at home v the top 7, scoring and conceding.
  • 4-0 loss to Inter last head to head.
  • 19 of 28 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Inter Milan - 3rd

  • A bit wobbly of late with 3 draws and 2 wins last 5 matches. 0-0 last match.
  • 2-2-4-2 goals scored away recently.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • 12 wins and a 1-1 last 13 matches v 14th and lower.
  • 14 of 19 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Inter must get back to winning ways after dropping 4 points from a possible 6 last 2 matches. They play a Genoa side yet to win v the top 5 so that's a plus, as is Inter's unbeaten run, tending to be a winning run, v 14th and lower.
  • Will Inter score 2 goals at home again?

20:45 - Napoli v Sassuolo - 1.59 Napoli

Napoli - 7th

  • Only 3 losses since 26th January 2020.
  • Win, Win, Win, Draw , Win at home recently.
  • Scored and conceded last 6 and last 7 at home.
  • 2+ goals scored last 7 at home.
  • 1-2 win v Sassuolo last head to head.
  • 2+ goals scored in all bar 1 home match v the top 9.

Sassuolo - 8th

  • Only 1 loss in 9 came v AC Milan latest.
  • Scored and conceded last 10 and last 7 away.
  • Only 2 wins home and away v the top 7.

Conclusions

  • Sassuolo are in great form but were undone by AC Milan latest.
  • Both teams to score has a shout here today. Will Napoli score 2 goals again as they have done v the top 9 at home?

PORTUGUESE PRIMEIRA LIGA

19:00 - Maritimo v Famalicao - 2.04 Famalicao

  • Nothing for either side to play for in the last match of the season. Only 1 loss for Famalicao since 3rd March 2020.
  • Maritimo have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.

19:00 - Boavista v Rio Ave - 1.76 Rio Ave

  • Another dead rubber. Rio Ave are odds on favourites.
  • Rio Ave are unbeaten away v 10th and lower and play 11th today.

21:15 - Braga v Porto - 2.48 Porto

  • Braga are guaranteed 3rd or 4th spot.
  • Porto are Champions.

21:15 - Benfica v Sporting Lisbon - 1.99 Benfica

  • Benfica are guaranteed 2nd place. Sporting Lisbon will fight it out with Sporting Braga for 4th spot.

BELARUSSIAN PREMIER LEAGUE

14:30 - Isloch v Dinamo Brest - 2.5 Dinamo Brest

  • You know my feelings about 2.5 the favourite!
  • Isloch have scored in their last 9 at home.
  • Isloch lost 3-1 to Dinamo Brest earlier this season.
  • 2 losses at home for Isloch v 5th and 12th. They play 8th today.
  • Both teams scored in all bar 1 match at home for Isloch v 5th and lower.
  • Dinamo Brest have only 1 loss in 11 matches v 6th and lower.
  • 5 of Brest's 6 defeats this season came v the top 5. Isloch are 10th.
  • Angles? Remember 2.5 the favourite suggests the market hasn't got a scooby-doo. On seasonal form, Dinamo Brest have the best form, losses tending to congregate v the top 5.On that basis alone, I would tend towards Dinamo Brest.

16:30 - Belshina Bobruisk v Neman Grodno - 1.95 Neman Grodno

Belshina - 16TH

  • Only 2 wins.
  • Won last home match.
  • Conceded 2+ goals in 10 of their last 13 matches.
  • Conceded last 9 at home.
  • 1-1 last head to head.

Neman Grodno - 3rd

  • Unbeaten in 9 matches. 7 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • 2 consecutive 0-0's.
  • Neman have won the 3 matches played away v 11th and lower.

Conclusions

  • There is no getting away from Neman's recent form. I would look to lay any late 0-0 given these sequences don't tend to continue for very long.
  • 7 clean sheets in 8 matches for Neman suggests to me to lay Belshina if Belshina score first.

18:30 - Dinamo Minsk v Gorodeya - 1.32 Dinamo Minsk

Dinamo Minsk - 5th

  • Only 2 losses in 10 were 1-0 losses.
  • 6 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 1-0, 0-0, 1-0 at home.
  • 6 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches.
  • v 10th and lower at home, 3 1-0 wins and a 1-2 loss.

Gorodeya - 13th

  • Only 2 wins in 13 matches.
  • 4 losses and a draw last 5 away.
  • Both teams scored last 6 away.
  • Only 2 wins v the top 11. Those wins were 1-0. 1-0 win v Dinamo Minsk earlier this season.

Conclusions

  • Only 2 losses in 10 plays only 2 wins in 13 matches Dinamo Minsk have been keeping clean sheets. If Gorodeya win away, it tends to be 0-1 Lay them if they score first.

TURKISH SUPER LEAGUE

19:00 - Last match of the season


Denizlispor v Ankaragucu - 1.61 Denizilspor

  • Denizilspor can still be caught by the bottom 3 so will be focussed on the win today. Ankaragucu are bottom and will remain bottom 3 regardless of a win or not.
  • This is a match to focus on therefore.

Konyaspor v Alanyaspor - 2.36 Alanyaspor

  • Konyaspor wipe sweat from brow. They cannot be caught by the bottom 3. If Alanyaspor win today, they have an opportunity to go 5th, if Galatasary draw or lose.

Fenerbahce v Rizespor - 2.54 Fenerbahce

  • Fenerbahce will remain 7th. Rizespor are in exactly the same position as Denizilspor and must win.

Goztepe v Sivasspor - 1.82 Sivasspor

  • Sivasspor will be motivated to win.2nd place is a possibility, if Trabzonspor lose. Besiktas too are breathing down Sivasspor's necks and waiting to take 3rd place.
  • Goztepe have nothing to play for.

Malatyaspor v Gaziantep FK - 1.86 Malatyaspor

  • With a positive goal difference v 14th and 15th (bottom 3 are 16th, 17th, 18th - Malatyaspor are 16th), Malatyaspor know what they have to do. WIN!
  • Gaziantep have nothing to play for.

Kayserispor v Trabzonspor - 2.24 Trabzonspor

  • 2nd bottom side Kayserispor have such a bad goal difference v 14th and 15th that even if they can equal 14th and 15th on points with a win, that may not be enough today.
  • Trabzonspor will want to secure 2nd in their battle v Sivasspor.
  • A typical end of season must-win for both sides.

Genclerbirligi v Besiktas - 1.96 Besiktas

  • Genclerbirligi have nothing to play form. A win for Besiktas could get them 3rd place, dependent on Sivasspor's result today.

RUSSIAN CUP

15:00 - Zenit St Petersburg v FC Khimki - 1.28 Zenit

  • Think Norrkoping, think Jeonbuk Motors, think Young Boys (the football team of course). Zenit St Petersburg are one of our 'Old Reliables' who I ignored in their away league match v Rostov recently. 1-0 down, Zenit came back to win 1-2.
  • I will not do any indepth research suffice to say enter this match with the expectation of Zenit being capable enough should they concede first today.

SWISS SUPER LEAGUE

17:15 - Sion v Thun - 2.28 Sion

Sion - 9th

  • Unbeaten in 4 matches.
  • 1-1-1-1-1-0-1-1 goals scored at home recently is a little one-dimensional.
  • 2-1 win at home, 0-1 win away and 2-1 loss away for Sion v Thun this season.
  • They have scored and conceded in all home matches v 6th and lower.

Thun - 8th

  • Unbeaten in 4 with 3 wins coming at home.
  • 4 consecutive away losses ended with a draw last away match.
  • No win in 5 away.
  • 12 of 15 goals scored away came 2nd half.
  • Only 3 away wins v 3rd, 5th and 10th.

Conclusions

  • If Sion cannot score that 2nd goal, then lay them if they score first? Thun do score the vast majority of their goals 2nd half.
  • Not a match chock full of angles.

19:30 - FC Zurich v St Gallen - 1.81 St Gallen

FC Zurich - 6th

  • A draw and 3 losses last 4 matches.
  • 2 wins at home ended with a loss.
  • Failed to score last 3 matches.
  • In 15 of their last 16 matches, only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 2-1, 1-3 and 0-4 wins for FC Zurich v St Gallen this season.

St Gallen - 2nd

  • 2 draws, a win and 2 losses last 5 matches. Be wary, they have not been as reliable as expected, particularly last 2 matches.
  • Draw, Draw, Loss away.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Conceded last 12 and last 16 away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.

Conclusions

  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Do make note of Zurich's consistent ability to beat St Gallen this season, particularly if the latter score first today.