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16:00 - Mexico v Russia - 2.44 Mexico

  • Another confederations cup match which is tough to predict.
  • 2-2 and 2-1 for Mexico to date. They are scoring 2 goals at least.
  • Russia showed v Portugal their ultra defensive bent. That said, head to heads between Russia and Portugal had always been tight.
  • 2-0 v New Zealand and 0-1 loss to Portugal for Russia.
  • I would actually favour Mexico today. Russia for me look rather limited and I would lay Russia if Russia score first. Mexico look like they have goals in them.

16:00 - New Zealand v Portugal - 1.13 Portugal

  • 3 of the 4 goals conceded by New Zealand so far have come away. Note that Mexico were 1.16 odds and only scored 2 goals 2nd half.
  • So, despite the 1.13 odds suggesting 3/4 goals from Portugal, do not be surprised with a huff-and-puff 0-2 2nd half goals Portugeuse win.
  • That said, Ronaldo will teach New Zealand a thing or two.

17:00 - Valerenga v Lillestrom - 2.3 Valerenga

  • 1-1 the last time these 2 met.
  • This is 7th v 10th in the Norwegian Eliteserien.


  • Only 1 loss in 7 matches.
  • Failed to score only twice.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime.
  • Scored in their last 7 at home.
  • Only 1 home loss.
  • No 0-0.


  • 3 consecutive wins and a 1-1 draw with league leaders. Good stuff.
  • 5 consecutive matches with both teams scoring ended last match.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • All defeats have come v the top 7 this season home and away.
  • No 0-0.
  • 8 of 9 goals scored away came 2nd half.


  • Lay the late 0-0.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market based on Valerenga.
  • Both teams could score today. I would actually side with Valerenga given that Lillestrom keep losing to top 8 sides.
  • I would expect a goal from Valerenga more confidently than one from Lillestrom.
  • If Lillestrom have not scored first half, they have a high probability of scoring 2nd half.
  • I would take a chance and lay Lillestrom if Lillestrom score first.

18:30 - Limerick v St Pat's - 2.18 Limerick

  • 0-2 Limerick last head to head.
  • This is 7th v 12th in the Irish Premier Division.


  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • 3 goals conceded in each of their last 2 home matches.
  • Conceded in their last 10 matches.
  • No 0-0.
  • 2 of 3 losses came v the big 2 at home.
  • Unbeaten at home v teams below them in the league.

St Pat's

  • Only 1 win in 11 matches.
  • All draws this season were score draws so no 0-0.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Both teams scored in the last 5 aways.
  • No win in 5 away.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals.
  • Only 3 defeats away v 2nd, 8th and 10th.


  • I would not discount a 1-1 today
  • I would expect 2 goals at least as had occured in all St Pats matches.
  • Lay St Pats if St Pats score first.

19:45 - Czech u21 v Denmark u21 - 1.73 Czech u21

  • 1-2 Denmark the last time these 2 met.
  • Since June 2015, only Belgium u21 and Germany u21 have beaten the Czechs.
  • Recent Czech form is questionable, albeit winning form. Playing the likes of Moldova, Latvia, Malta, Montenegro, the Czechs are expected to win those.
  • 2 consecutive defeats for Denmark u21 were v Italy u21 and Germany u21.
  • The Danes also had a solid winning run v the likes of Romania, Bulgaria, Luxembourg, Wales.
  • Tough to call this one. The winning form for both sides, while it impresses on paper, is inconsequential given the opponents the teams have played.
  • No trading angles for me.

19:45 - Italy u21 v Germany u21 - 2.4 Germany u21

  • Like the Mexico v Russia match the odds are tight here.
  • Germany u21 have been as consistent as ever. Italy u21 have lost recently to Spain u21 and Czechs u21. They did score in defeat.
  • We could see both teams score today and I feel Italy u21 not win. That would be my angle.



Gilles Muller v Marin Cilic - 1.55 Cilic

  • 28th v 8th in the rankings.
  • In 2016's head to head, Cilic won in 2 tie breakers.
  • Muller is in excellent pre-Wimbledon grass court form, winning in 's-Hertogenbosch and beating the likes of Tsonga and Querrey at Queens - solid enough yardsticks on grass.
  • Quarter, Quarter, Semi-final, Quarters for Cilic in his recent tournaments. He is very consistent.
  • Cilic is solid on grass. Semis then quarter finals at Wimbledon last year.
  • Recent collateral form - Cilic was beaten by karlovic. Karlovic was beaten by Muller in the Final last tournament.
  • Cilic could win in 2 tie breakers. There is always a risk of that. This match looks ideally placed for laying the first set winner.

Grigor Dimitrov v Feliciano Lopez - 1.88 Dimitrov

  • As we do more tennis we get to know players. Clearly Jennifer Lopez is superb on grass.
  • 12th v 40th. I would not take the rankings to heart here on this surface.
  • These 2 met on Grass in 2014 and it was a 3 setter with 3 tie breakers. In 2016, Dimotrov won on hard, in 3 sets.
  • Lopez was a Finalist at Stuttgart and in this tournament the players has has beaten impress - Stan Wawrinka, Chardy and Berdych.
  • Dimitrov looks to have had an easier run v 3 lower ranked players.
  • I am with Lopez and hope that Dimitrov wins the first set as we get better Lopez odds. I hoped for that in his last match but he won the first set.
  • There is yet another argument for laying the first set winner given Dimi's head to heads and the frequency of tie breakers.


Roger Federer v Karen Khachanov - 1.09 Roger

  • 4th v 56th.
  • No head to heads.
  • 2 3 setters and a retirement for Karen suggests he is opposable with a first set win.
  • Roger is in fine fettle. A lay of him at these odds yesterday did not come off.
  • Karen has been losing in straight sets to top 10 and even just outside top 10.
  • I do advocate laying 1.09 shots just as habit but foresee a 2-0 Fed win.

Alex Zverev v Richard Gasquet - 1.42 Alex

  • 21st v 23rd. A feeling Alex is moving up the rankings.
  • A recent Alex win 2017 in 2 sets, the first a tie breaker may see that pattern repeat here.
  • An almighty battle with Agut saw 2 tie breakers, won by each player.
  • 46th and 41st beaten by Gasquet this tournament. His win over Monfils I would discount as Monfils retired the match before - possible niggle?
  • In head to heads I would look to lay Gasquet if Gasquet wins the first set.


Lucia Safarova v Petra Kvitova - 1.33 Kvitova

  • 28th v 15th.
  • 9-0 Kvitova in head to heads.
  • The very fact Lucie has had 2 3 setters this tournament suggests laying Lucia if she wins the first set (quite apart from the compelling head to heads indicating opposing her!).
  • Final, Quarters, Final, Final for Petra prior to a French Open flop suggests, as I said yesterday, she is used to these matches.
  • Mladenovic has been a decent yardstick but was beaten in 2 sets.
  • I will with Petra and would like to back her at 1.6 or higher today.

Garbine Muguruza v Ashleigh Barty - 1.66 Garbine

  • 6th v 85th.
  • No head to heads.
  • Both players were advantaged last round by retirements so form is garbled.
  • Finalist 2014 Garbine but poor last year on grass.
  • Quarter finalist Notts and failed to get past qualifiers Wimbledon for Barty last year.
  • I note Garbine has had some battles where she looked like losing so will side with her not to lose 2-0 today.

Mallorca Open

Julia Goerges v Catherine Bellis - 1.89 Bellis

  • 45th v 58th.
  • No head to heads.
  • All straight sets wins for Julia.
  • Bellis has dropped just the one set.
  • Not much to get our teeth into. A slight nod towards Julia who, if she can maintain what must be a good service game, should not lose 2-0.
  • Do remember folks that you do not have to play in every match!

Caroline Garcia v Anastasija Sevastova - 1.76 Garcia

  • 24th v 26th so rankings suggest a 3 setter.
  • In the Final here last year, these 2 met and Garcia won in straight sets priced 1.4.
  • Sevastova has had 3 3 setters to reach here so in an ideal world we want Ana to win the first set as the probability of a 3 setter increases in her case.