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I will do a review/preview video at DRT Facebook. I am going to attempt a Zoom live chat webinar 14:15 which will be simultaneously broadcast on DRT Facebook. This is the Zoom information I have been given. Please don't ask me what to do! I am a Zoom virgin. I presume you will need to download Zoom, then click on the link, or use the meeting ID and passcode. If it does not work, I always have Telegram as back up. The information is below. 14:15 so we can make sure it works for 14:30 Bundesliga.

Clive Keeling is inviting you to a scheduled Zoom meeting.
Join Zoom Meeting https://us02web.zoom.us/j/85900311797?pwd=Vmh2L05WdTBReEszd0FVenpFTVE4Zz09
Meeting ID: 859 0031 1797 - this is the information you need to access the meeting at Zoom website Passcode: 748649

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

20:00 - Aston Villa v Newcastle - 1.61 Aston Villa

Aston Villa - 11th

  • A draw and 2 consecutive defeats which came away v the Manchester sides.
  • 0-0 and 3-0 at home last 2 matches.
  • Only 1 loss v 13th and lower. All other matches saw Villa clean sheets.
  • 10/15 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Newcastle - 15th

  • 5 losses and 2 draws last 7 matches.
  • 5 losses in 6 away.
  • Failed to score last 3 away.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away, none at fulltime.
  • 7/8 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Newcastle are poor away from home, having trouble scoring and meet a Villa tending towards clean sheets v 13th and lower. If these patterns continue, will Newcastle really register 2 goals today? You'd have to fancy Villa, particularly if they show up as they did v Crystal Palace at home latest.

SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIP

15:00 - Aberdeen v Motherwell - 1.91 Aberdeen

  • New manager for Motherwell means that we cannot rely on earlier form as an accurate representation of Motherwell's chances.
  • 2 consecutive defeats for Aberdeen came v Rangers and Ross County. The latter was a big surprise as the loss (4-1) was so emphatic.
  • 0-3 loss and 0-0 for Aberdeen in head to heads this season.
  • 2 consecutive 1-1 draws for Motherwell under the new manager. In both cases Motherwell scored first.
  • Angles? It is always tough to read newly managed sides so leave this to the in-play stats.

15:00 - Rangers v Ross County - 1.14 Rangers

  • I doubt that we will see a 4-1 win for Ross County again today.
  • Rangers are unbeaten.2-0 and 0-4 wins v Ross already this season.
  • Rangers have conceded only one goal at home.
  • Ross County recently have beaten 3rd away and 4th at home, smashing goal patterns by scoring 2 and 4 goals. These were both coupon busting wins. Surely not today???
  • 11 consecutive home wins Rangers. No draw in 10 away for Ross County.
  • Rangers tend to score first at home so it is unlikely we will get a trade unless...they fail to score in the first 20 minutes, then head off to the halftime market for a 1-0, 2-0, any unquoted trade.

SPANISH LA LIGA

13:00 - Huesca v Villarreal - 1.83 Villareal

Huesca - 20th

  • 5 losses and a draw last 6 matches. The Big Time is starting to bite.
  • Only 1 win all season came at home.
  • 6 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches at home.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home, only once at fulltime.
  • Very tight v the top sides at home. 0-0 v 1st, 0-3 v 3rd and 0-5 v 5th. The problem? Failed to score in all home matches v the top 9.
  • 4 goals conceded at home last 15 minutes of home matches.

Villareal - 4th

  • Only 2 defeats came away v Barcelona and Sevilla.
  • 2 wins and a 2-2 latest.
  • All wins this season have come v 10th and lower home and away.
  • 10 goals scored away 1st half, 6 within the first 15 mins of away matches.

Conclusions

  • If Huesca continue to fail to score v the top 9 at home, then 0-0 is their best case scenario today. They have been very tight in defeat v the top 5, 0-1, but Villareal have threatened 3+ goals on 3 occasions away v bottom half sides and this could see a contrasting scoreline today. Either a tight 0-1 or an emphatic 3/4 goal Villareal performance.
  • Whatever the outcome we must be with Villareal throughout here. Villareal are emphatic first half goalscorers away.

15:15 - Sevilla v Cadiz - 1.50 Sevilla

Sevilla - 4th

  • Only 2 losses in 12 matches came v the Madrid sides.
  • 2+ goals scored last 2 home matches.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home, none at fulltime.
  • 2 losses at home were 0-1 only.
  • 1-3 win v Cadiz earlier this season.
  • 5/7 goals conceded at home came 1st half.

Cadiz - 8th

  • 3 draws and a win last 4 matches.
  • 0-1-0-0-1 goals scored away recently.
  • Conceded in their last 5 away.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime away, none at fulltime.
  • Did beat Real Madrid 0-1 away but not played 3rd-7th away.

Conclusions

  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0.
  • I wold have to favour Sevilla today. Cadiz are having trouble scoring in recent away matches. Sevilla have only lost to the 2 big Madrid sides recently. Cadiz are nowhere near that level.

17:30 - Real Sociedad v Real Betis - 1.83 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad - 6th

  • Only 1 win in 9 matches.
  • Conceded in their last 4 at home. 5 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches.
  • 0-3 win v Sociedad earlier this season.
  • Not played 8th-12th at home.
  • 5/7 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Real Betis - 10th

  • 3 wins in their last 7 matches.
  • 5 losses and 2 wins last 7 away matches.
  • No draw in 10 away matches.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime away, none at fulltime.
  • 100% defeats away v the top 13 - 2+ goals conceded in all of those matches.
  • 9/12 goals scored away came 2nd half. 7 goals scored away last 15 minutes.

Conclusions

  • It stands out. Betis have 100% defeats away v the top 13, conceding 2+ goals.
  • Sociedad are poor though. Only 1 win in 9 matches.

20:00 - Alaves v Real Madrid - 1.44 Real Madrid

Alaves - 17th

  • A draw and 3 consecutive defeats.
  • 1-2 at home recent losses v Atletico Madrid and Sevilla suggests Real Madrid may not run away with this one.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 5 matches.
  • Beat Real Madrid 1-2 earlier this season, the only win v the top 12 home and away.
  • 6/8 goals scored at home came 1st half.

Real Madrid - 2nd

  • Only 3 defeats.
  • 2 consecutive away draws.
  • 3 clean sheets in 4 matches.
  • No defeat in 8 and in 5 away.
  • Have draws away v 18th and 19th.

Conclusions

  • Alaves have been tight in defeat to 2 very strong sides but 1-2 has been the final result. Coincidentally that was the scoreline for Alaves when they last met Real Madrid, but this is arguably an improved Real Madrid who are not currently distracted by the Champions League as they were when Alaves beat them. Unbeaten in 8 and in 5 away, Real Madrid may find Alaves competitive but without Alaves getting the win. That is how I will approach the match.
  • Note Alaves tend to score at home first half so may surprise with a halftime lead but eventually capitulate.

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA

14:30 - Arminia Bielefeld v Frankfurt - 1.70 Frankfurt

Bielefeld - 15th

  • Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Win at home.
  • 4 clean sheets in 5 matches recently.
  • 3 consecutive clean sheets.
  • No draw in 9 at home.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home, none at fulltime.
  • No win home or away v the top 9, 1-1 last time these 2 met.
  • 6/9 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Frankfurt - 8th

  • Excellent season. Only 2 losses came away v Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg.
  • 4 wins and a 2-2 last 5 matches.
  • Failed to score in only one match.
  • 2+ goals scored last 6 matches and last 3 away.
  • Scored in their last 12 and last 6 away.
  • Unbeaten home and away v teams below them in the league. Scored 2+ goals in all bar 1 of those matches.

Conclusions

  • Bielefeld, newly promoted, are keeping it tight at home with 4 clean sheets in 5 matches but notably have no win home or away v the top 9. So despite impressing, they may fall foul of 8th in the league who are scoring 2+ goals regularly v teams below them in the league away from home.

14:30 - Augsburg v Union Berlin - 2.10 Union Berlin

Augsburg - 12th

  • 4 losses and a win last 5 matches.
  • 2 draws and 3 losses last 5 home matches.
  • Conceded last 8 at home.
  • Only 1 home win v top 10 came v 4th, (Dortmund) 2-0.
  • 1-3 win last head to head.
  • 11/16 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.
  • 6/9 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Union Berlin - 6th

  • Only 3 defeats.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime away, none at fulltime.
  • 2 away losses v 2nd and 14th (Derby).
  • All away wins have come v 11th and lower.
  • 9/10 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • I favour Union Berlin here given their only 2 losses away came v solid Leipzig and in the Berlin derby v Hertha. The latter can be excused.
  • All away wins for Union Berlin came v 11th and lower.

14:30 - Freiburg v Stuttgart - 2.50 Stuttgart

  • 5 wins, a loss v Bayern and a draw v Frankfurt for Freiburg recently.
  • A draw, 3 wins and a draw in their last 5 home matches for Freiburg.
  • Freiburg failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Freiburg have scored 2+ goals in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Freiburg are unbeaten home and away v 5th-16th. 2-3 win v Stuttgart last time these 2 met.
  • Only 1 win in 6 matches for Stuttgart.
  • Stuttgart's last 3 losses saw them fail to score.
  • Stuttgart conceded last 13 matches.
  • Angles? Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • No strong pre match angles for me.

14:30 - Leverkusen v Wolfsburg - 2.05 Leverkusen

Leverkusen - 3rd

  • Only 3 losses this season but they have all come within the last 5 matches.
  • Only 1 home defeat came v Bayern Munich.
  • Won their last home match very impressively v Dortmund.
  • Scored and conceded last 4 at home.
  • 0-0 last time these 2 met.
  • Have scored and conceded in all home matches v the top 13.
  • 7 goals scored at home first 30 mins of matches.

Wolfsburg - 5th

  • 2 2-2 draws and a 0-2 win last 3 matches.
  • 2-2-2-0 goals conceded recently.
  • Only 2 defeats came away recently v Dortmund and Bayern Munich.
  • Only 2 wins away v 17th and 18th.

Conclusions

  • Despite an excellent season it's a case of score draw-itis for the Wolf away from home and that will be my best case for them today against an equally as solid Leverkusen. Both sides are only losing to the big boys this season (Bayern Munich for both and Bayern and Dortmund for the Wolf).
  • Leverkusen are scoring and conceding so will give the Wolf a look in for another score draw.

14:30 - Mainz v Leipzig - 1.44 Leipzig

Mainz - 17th

  • Only 1 win came away.
  • Failed to score in 5 of their last 7 matches.
  • 4 consecutive home defeats.
  • Conceded last 9 at home.
  • Failed to score last 4 at home.
  • 5 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches at home.
  • All defeats at home v the top 10.
  • 3-1 loss last head to head.
  • 12/17 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.
  • All 6 goals scored at home came 1st half.

Leipzig - 2nd

  • Only 2 defeats.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • No defeat in 5 away, scoring in all of those matches.
  • Not met 13th and lower away.
  • 6/8 goals conceded away came 1st half.

Conclusions

  • Leipzig are yet to meet 13th and lower away but have 3/3 wins v the teams nearest to that group away and also beat Mainz 3-1 earlier this season.
  • We expect the away win. Leipzig have failed to score in only 2 matches.

17:30 - Hertha Berlin v Werder Bremen - 2.10 Hertha Berlin

Hertha Berlin - 14th

  • Only 4 wins.
  • Failed to score in their last 3 matches.
  • Win, Draw, Win, Loss at home.
  • 1-4 win v Werder last time these 2 met.
  • 7/10 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Werder Bremen - 13th

  • Only 4 wins.
  • 2 wins did come last 5 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Not played 10th-16th away.

Conclusions

  • Gaps in form for both teams. Only 4 wins for both teams. Not a match which greatly appeals.

ITALIAN SERIA A

14:00 - Roma v Spezia - 1.33 Roma

  • These 2 met in the cup mid week and Spezia took a lead, 0-2, care of a penalty to start them off. Roma got it back to 1-2 at halftime care of another penalty and equalised 2nd half.
  • Sides meeting each other in consecutive matches can be tough to evaluate. Spezia may pack that defence.
  • I am solidly with Roma as I was in the Italian Cup mid week, even at 0-2 down.

17:00 - AC Milan v Atalanta - 2.25 Atalanta

  • This is a high profile derby and I don't like predicting these as these 2 sides are in decent form, AC Milan only one loss, and Atalanta only 1 loss since 31st October 2020.
  • Form is further muddied by the return of Zlatan Ibrahimovic who heralded his return to league football win 2 goals.
  • 1st v 6th.
  • V the top 7 at home Milan have had a 3-3, 1-3 and 3-2.
  • Atalanta v the top 5 away have seen a 4-1 loss and 1-1 draw.
  • I cannot call this match. In-play stats or not at all!

17:00 - Udinese v Inter Milan - 1.61 Inter

Udinese - 15th

  • Kept Atalanta to 1-1 latest and even scored first. Meet another big gun today.
  • Scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches without winning.
  • All defeats at home v the top 4, but tight, 1-2, 1-2, 0-1

Inter Milan - 2nd

  • 2-1 loss, 2-2 draw last 2 away matches.
  • Scored in their last 18 and last 9 away.
  • 5 consecutive over 2.5 goals matches away.
  • 8 wins and a 2-2 v 11th and lower, scoring and conceding in all bar 1 match.

Conclusions

  • Udinese are 3/3 in tight defeats v the top 4 so that is the expectation today. Inter Milan certainly give teams a goal or two but tend to win, particularly v 11th and lower. So both teams to score is not a surprise today.

19:45 - Fiorentina v Crotone - 1.73 Fiorentina

Fiorentina - 14th

  • Only 4 wins. 2 losses in 3 matches came away.
  • Draw, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win at home, scoring 0-1-1-1-0-1 goals recently at home.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home and only 1 at fulltime.
  • Win, Draw, Win, Win at home v 15th and lower, 1-1, 1-0, 1-0 at home v 16th and lower.

Crotone - 20th

  • 3 losses and a win last 4 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches.
  • No win in 9 away.
  • 6/8 goals scored away came 1st half.

Conclusions

  • Fiorentina will fancy their chances today with a solid winning record v 15th and lower at home, and with Crotone not winning away. Concerns surely for Fiorentina that they are scoring 1 goal max recently and in their wins v 15th and lower, 1-1, 1-0, 1-0. That makes them vulnerable, particularly as Crotone have scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches. There is, therefore, an argument to lay Fiorentina if they lead, but cover the 1-0 scoreline.

DUTCH EREDIVISIE

15:30 - Den Haag v Emmen - 2.60 Emmen

  • Leave this to the in-play stats.

17:45 - Vitesse v Groningen - 1.75 Vitesse

Vitesse - 2nd

  • All 3 defeats came away from home.
  • 3 consecutive wins.
  • Scored every match.
  • Scored first all home matches. Led halftime all bar 1 home match.
  • 1-1 last head to head.

Groningen - 6th

  • 2-2, 2-3 win, 2-2 last 3 matches.
  • 2-2-2-3 goals scored away recently in Win, Win, Draw, Win away.
  • Scored 2+ goals in 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • Conceded last 7 away.
  • Not played top 3 away.

Conclusions

  • Groningen are scoring plenty away but have yet to meet the top 3 away so we don't know whether the 2 goal habit will continue v the best.
  • Vitesse at home are brimming. Scoring every match, leading at halftime, scoring first at home. We may not see a trade here if that happens.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market based on that Vitesse habit.

19:00 - PSV Eindhoven v RKC Waalwijk - 1.14 PSV Eindhoven

  • Only 2 losses for PSV Eindhoven.
  • They scored 2+ goals in 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • PSV have scored in every match.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime both sides.
  • 100% wins for PSV v 9th and lower. RKC are 15th. 1-4 win already for PSV in head to head.
  • 7 goals scored by PSV at home last 15 minutes of matches.
  • 4 losses and 2 draws RKC recently.
  • 2 3-0 wins away v 1st and 5th and they play 3rd today.
  • Angles? Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • PSV will score. They have scored in every match and could score 3 goals at their best at least.

20:00 - Heracles v Heerenveen - 2.30 Heracles

Heracles - 12th

  • 3 wins and 2 defeats last 5 matches.
  • Loss, Loss, Loss, Win at home recently.
  • 1-2 win v Heerenveen last time these 2 met.

Heerenveen - 8th

  • 5 score draws and 3 losses last 8 matches.
  • 4 score draws and a loss last 5 away matches.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Conceded last 11 and last 9 away matches.
  • Unbeaten away v teams below them in the league, scoring and conceding in each match.
  • 9/13 goals scored away came 1st half.

Conclusions

  • Heerenveen tend to score and concede v teams below them in the league and not lose. Rely on that or remember that Heracles won, when both teams scored, earlier this season.

SWISS SUPER LEAGUE

17:15 - Lausanne v Sion - 1.91 Lausanne

Lausanne - 6th

  • 2 wins and a 0-0 last 3 matches.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Loss, Win, Loss, Win at home recently.
  • No draw in 7 at home.
  • 8/11 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • 0-0 last head to head but solid unbeaten record v 7th and lower seeing 3 home wins.

Sion - 9th

  • 3 draws and a win last 4 matches.
  • 1-1 and 0-0 last 2 away matches.
  • Only 2 wins.
  • No win in 7 away.

Conclusions

  • On seasonal form, Lausanne will feel confident with a solid win sequence at home v 7th and lower.
  • The concerns? This is only the 2nd match post Christmas break.

19:30 - Basel v Zurich - 1.83 Basel

Basel - 2nd

  • Only 1 loss in 6 matches came v Young Boys but this is the first match back from the Christmas Break so form lines may not continue.
  • Failed to score last 2 matches at home so that is a pattern Basel will be keen to see end.
  • 8/12 goals scored at home came 1st half.
  • 1-0 loss to Zurich last head to head but unbeaten at home.

Zurich - 5th

  • Failed to score last 3 matches pre-Christmas break, including 2 0-0's.
  • 3 clean sheets in 4 matches.
  • 8/11 goals conceded away came 2nd half.
  • 6/9 goals scored away came 2nd half.
  • Lost 2-1 away to 1st.

Conclusions

  • First match post Christmas break so not sure form lines will continue on. Basel are better at home and will be keen to end their run of 2 matches without scoring.