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All odds below have been taken from www.williamhill.com to enable me to start research early. No Betfair coupons available pretty much until the night before. Busy day today, Telegram will start with the German Bundesliga at 14:30. I have done a DRT review/preview video at DRT Facebook. Do watch it. How did you get on, on your own last night?


English Premier League

12:30 - Liverpool v Burnley - 1.18 Liverpool

  • -2.5 goals: There have been -2.5 goals in 7/8 Liverpool home matches against bottom-six teams and in 10/17 Burnley away matches. Burnley have scored first in 8/12 away matches against top-six teams.
  • 0-3 for Liverpool and 1-2 loss v Brighton for Burnley, saw Brighton come from behind. Both matches saw a goal before halftime.

15:00 - Aston Villa v Newcastle - 1.80 Aston Villa

  • -2.5 goals: There have been -2.5 goals in 8/11 Aston Villa home matches against middle-third teams and in 9/11 Newcastle away matches against middle-third teams. Newcastle have drawn the first half in 5/8 away matches against middle-third teams.
  • 3-2 loss for Villa v Watford and 2-4 loss for Newcastle v West Ham. Both matches saw both teams score and concede 2 goals at least. West Ham were 2-1 down at halftime.

15:00 - Crystal Palace v Brentford - 2.62 Crystal Palace

  • Match outcome: C Palace have won 5/8 home matches against promoted teams while promoted teams have lost 60% of away matches against middle-third teams since 2016-17. Promoted teams have conceded first in 62% of away matches against middle-third teams since 2016-17.
  • Newly promoted Brentford. London Derby. New Crystal Palace manager. 2.62 the favourite. I'll get me coat as they say on the Fast Show.

15:00 - Leeds v Everton - 2.25 Leeds

  • 1st goal: Leeds have conceded first in 5/9 home matches against middle-third teams while Everton have won 8/13 away matches. Everton have drawn the first half in 5/8 away matches against middle-third teams.
  • 5-1 loss v Man Utd for Leeds - typical all or nothing Bielsa. 3-1 win from behind for Rafa Benitez's Everton. Fascinating managerial battle.

15:00 - Man City v Norwich - 1.10 Man City

  • Match outcome: Man City have won 8/10 home matches against promoted teams while promoted teams have lost 60% of away matches against top-six teams since 2016-17. Man City have won by two or more goals in 8/10 home matches against promoted teams.
  • The simple fact that Man City lost their opening match suggests the Canaries are going to look like Dead Parrots.
  • Only once last season did Man City not follow up a defeat with a win. That exception was a draw. Emphatic loss for Norwich v Liverpool in their opener saw them fail to score and Liverpool lead by halftime which is the expectation today from a 1.10 shot.

17:30 - Brighton v Watford - 1.75 Brighton

  • 1st goal: Brighton have scored first in 7/11 home matches against promoted teams while promoted teams have conceded first in 62% of away matches against bottom-six teams since 2016-17. Promoted teams have lost 60% of away matches against bottom-six teams since 2016-17.
  • Both sides won, despite conceding, in their opening matches. Brighton conceded first.

Scottish Premiership

15:00 - Celtic v St Mirren - 1.35 Celtic

  • HT/FT: Celtic have had W/W double results in 11/14 home matches against bottom-six teams while St Mirren have conceded first in 6/11 away matches. Celtic have won 16/18 home matches against bottom-six teams.
  • Loss and Win for Celtic in their 2 matches. No 0-0 at halftime.
  • 2-2 and 1-2 loss for St Mirren in their 2 matches, worryingly conceding 2 goals. No 0-0 at halftime in their 2 matches.

15:00 - Livingston v Motherwell - 2.20 Livingston

  • Asian handicap: Livingston have won by two or more goals in 6/10 home matches against middle-third teams while Motherwell have conceded first in 5/8 away matches against bottom-six teams. Livingston have won 8/11 home matches against middle-third teams.
  • 2 losses for Livingston in their opening 2 matches v Rangers and Aberdeen, so tough openers.
  • Loss, Draw for Motherwell saw both teams score.
  • Neither side has had a 0-0 at halftime yet.

French Ligue 1

16:00 - Monaco v Lens - 1.70 Monaco

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 8/9 Monaco home matches against top-half teams and in 6/10 RC Lens away matches. RC Lens have conceded first in 4/6 away matches against middle-third teams.
  • 1-1 and 1-0 loss for Monaco this season. All goals came first half.
  • 1-1 and 2-2 for Lens. Both matches were 1-1 at halftime.

20:00 - St. Etienne v Lille - 2.30 Lille

  • 1st goal: Saint-Etienne have conceded first in 8/11 home matches while Lille have won 7/9 away matches against middle-third teams. Lille have had W/W double results in 9/14 away matches.
  • 1-1 and 2-2 for St Etienne in their 2 matches. 3-3 draw and 0-4 loss for Lille. Not quite the form of Champions conceding 7 goals in 2 matches.

Spanish La Liga Primera

16:00 - Alaves v Mallorca - 2.40 Alaves

  • -2.5 goals: There have been -2.5 goals in 7/8 Alaves home matches against promoted teams and they have drawn the first half in 10/14 such matches. Promoted teams have conceded first in 63% of away matches against bottom-six teams since 2016-17.
  • 1-4 loss v Real Madrid for Alaves. 1-1 draw for Mallorca v Betis saw Mallorca, newly promoted, score first.

18:30 - Espanyol v Villarreal - 2.40 Villareal

  • -2.5 goals: Promoted teams have had -2.5 goals in 54% of home matches against top-half teams since 2016-17. Villarreal have drawn 6/9 away matches against promoted teams.
  • Both sides 0-0'd in their opening matches. Villareal held on after a red card scare at home v Granada. They would have won I think with 11 v 11 for 90 minutes.

18:30 - Granada v Valencia - 2.50 Granada

  • Match outcome: Valencia have lost 7/10 away matches and they have conceded first in 7/9 away matches against middle-third teams. There have been +2.5 goals in 9/15 Granada CF home matches.
  • 0-0 for newly promoted Granada away at Villareal. 1-0 win for Valencia v Getafe.

21:00 - Athletic Bilbao v Barcelona - 1.91 Barcelona

  • Match outcome: Ath. Bilbao have lost 6/9 home matches against top-six teams while Barcelona have had W/W double results in 6/10 away matches against middle-third teams. Barcelona have won 9/11 away matches against middle-third teams.
  • Barcelona's new look side really excelled at home with a quick 3-0 lead v Sociedad. They looked like the Barcelona of old with quick pass and move and clinical finishing. Leo who?
  • 0-0 for Bilbao away v Elche.

German Bundesliga

14:30 - Bochum v Mainz - 2.60 Bochum

  • +2.5 goals: Promoted teams have had +2.5 goals in 53% of home matches against middle-third teams since 2016-17. There have been +2.5 goals in 11/17 FSV Mainz 05 away matches. FSV Mainz 05 have drawn the first half in 6/10 away matches against promoted teams.
  • 1-0 loss and 1-0 win for both sides in their openers.

14:30 - Frankfurt v Augsburg - 1.57 Frankfurt

  • Match outcome: E. Frankfurt have won 9/11 home matches while Augsburg have lost by two or more goals in 6/8 trips to top-six teams. Augsburg have lost 7/8 away matches against top-six teams.
  • 5-2 loss v Dortmund for Frank and 0-4 loss to the Hoff for Augsburg in their openers.

14:30 - Freiburg v Dortmund - 1.50 Dortmund

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 6/8 SC Freiburg home matches against top-six teams and in 9/10 B. Dortmund away matches against middle-third teams. There have been +3.5 goals in 11/16 B. Dortmund away matches against middle-third teams.
  • 0-0 for Freiburg in their opener. 5-2 home win v Frankfurt for Dortmund.

14:30 - Greuther Furth v Arminia Bielefeld - 2.50 Greuther Furth

  • 1st goal: Promoted teams have scored first in 55% of home matches against bottom-six teams since 2016-17 while A Bielefeld have conceded first in 9/16 away matches. A Bielefeld have drawn the first half in 8/12 away matches.
  • 5-1 loss to Stuttgart for newly promoted Greuther Furth. 0-0 for Bielefeld in their opener.

14:30 - Hertha Berlin v Wolfsburg - 2.37 Wolfsburg

  • Match outcome: Wolfsburg have won 7/9 away matches against bottom-six teams and they have won by two or more goals in 5/9 such matches. There have been +2.5 goals in 8/11 Hertha Berlin home matches.
  • 3-1 loss for Hertha v Koln and 1-0 win for Wolf v Bochum in their openers.

17:30 - Leverkusen v M'gladbach - 2.30 Leverkusen

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 8/10 Leverkusen home matches and +3.5 goals in 12/16 B. M'gladbach away matches. There have been +3.5 goals in 6/11 Leverkusen home matches against top-half teams.
  • Both sides had 1-1 draws in their seasonal openers.

Italian Serie A

  • Opening matches of the season

17:30 - Inter Milan v Genoa - 1.35 Inter Milan

  • Match outcome: Inter Milan have won 8/8 home matches against middle-third teams while Genoa have lost 6/8 away matches against top-six teams. Inter Milan have had W/W double results in 8/9 home matches against middle-third teams.
  • Lukaku is the major transfer out for Inter Milan as well as Hakimi and Politano.
  • Dumfries is in from PSV, Calhanoglu from Milan, Nainggolan from Cagliari, and Darmian from Parma are the notable additions.
  • Let's not forget Eden Dzeko! An able replacement for Lukaku?

17:30 - Verona v Sassuolo - 2.60 Sassuolo

  • 1st goal: Verona have conceded first in 8/9 home matches against top-half teams while Sassuolo have scored first in 7/11 away matches against middle-third teams. Verona have lost 6/8 home matches against top-half teams.
  • 10th v 8th from last season.
  • 0-2 loss and 3-2 loss for Verona v Sassuolo last season.
  • 4 of Sassuolo's 6 away defeats came v the top 6 last season.

19:45 - Empoli v Lazio - 1.80 Lazio

  • 1st goal: Promoted teams have conceded first in 53% of home matches against top-six teams since 2016-17 while Lazio have won 10/12 away matches against promoted teams. Lazio have scored first in 10/12 away matches against promoted teams.
  • Newly promoted v 6th from last season.
  • 9 away defeats for Lazio last season came v the top 14.

19:45 - Torino v Atalanta - 1.55 Atalanta

  • Match outcome: Torino FC have lost 8/9 home matches against top-six teams while Atalanta have won 8/10 away matches against bottom-six teams. Torino FC have conceded first in 8/10 home matches against top-six teams.
  • 17th v 3rd from last season.
  • 2-4 loss and 3-3 for Torino v Atalanta last season. Torino failed to beat the top 6 last season.
  • Only 2 away losses for Atalanta last season came v the top 5.

Portuguese Primeira Liga

18:00 - Gil Vicente v Benfica - 1.50 Benfica

  • Match outcome: Benfica have won 14/18 away matches against top-six teams and they have won by two or more goals in 7/10 away matches. Gil Vicente have lost 6/8 home matches against top-six teams.
  • Both sides have won their opening 2 matches. Gil Vicente are yet to concede but yet to meet a top 5 side.
  • Benfica have scored 2 goals in their 2 matches.

20:30 - Sporting Lisbon v Belenenses - 1.20 Sporting Lisbon

  • -2.5 goals: There have been -2.5 goals in 8/10 Sporting CP home matches against bottom-six teams and in 16/20 Belenenses away matches. Belenenses have lost the first half in 5/8 away matches against top-six teams.
  • 2 wins for Sporting saw them score 5 goals. 2/2 losses for Belenenses conceding 2 goals.

Dutch Eredivisie

17:45 - Heerenveen v RKC Waalwijk - 1.85 Heerenveen

  • Asian handicap: Waalwijk have lost by two or more goals in 11/20 away matches and they have lost 13/20 away matches. There have been +2.5 goals in 9/15 Heerenveen home matches.
  • Both sides won their openers 1-0.

19:00 - PSV Eindhoven v Cambuur - 1.25 PSV

  • 1st goal: PSV have scored first in 7/8 home matches against promoted teams while promoted teams have conceded first in 67% of away matches against Big Two teams since 2016-17. PSV have won 7/8 home matches against promoted teams.
  • 0-2 win for PSV and 1-2 loss for Cambuur in their openers.

19:00 - Sparta Rotterdam v Heracles - 2.20 Sparta

  • 1st goal: H Almelo have conceded first in 12/20 away matches and they have lost 11/20 away matches. There have been +2.5 goals in 12/20 Sparta R'dam home matches.
  • 4-0 loss v Utrecht for Sparta. 0-2 loss at home to PSV for Heracles.

20:00 - Groningen v Utrecht - 2.05 Utrecht

  • -2.5 goals: There have been -2.5 goals in 9/10 Groningen home matches against top-six teams and in 7/8 Utrecht away matches against top half non-Big Two teams. There have been -1.5 goals in 11/20 Groningen home matches.
  • Both sides won their openers, scoring 2+ goals.

Danish Super League

17:00 - Odense BK v Brondby - 2.15 Odense

  • 1st goal: Odense have conceded first in 6/10 home matches against bottom-six teams while Brondby have scored first in 6/9 away matches against middle-third teams. Brondby have won 6/10 away matches against middle-third teams.
  • 3 draws and 2 losses for Brondby to date. They scored and conceded in all bar the last match.
  • Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw for Odense. Both teams scored in 4 of Odense's matches. 2 score draws and a loss away for Brondby.
  • Both sides have failed to keep clean sheets.

Finnish Veikkausliiga

13:00 - Inter Turku v Ilves - 1.70 Inter Turku

  • Match outcome: Inter Turku have won 14/19 home matches while Ilves have lost 7/11 away matches against top-half teams. Ilves have conceded first in 9/12 away matches against top-half teams.

Inter Turku - 5th

  • Only 2 wins in 9 matches.
  • Draw, Loss Draw at home.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home, none at fulltime.
  • Only 1 home loss.

Ilves - 7th

  • 2-1 loss to Turku already this season.
  • Only 1 away win v 10th.
  • 3 losses in 4 matches.
  • Conceded last 7 away matches.

Conclusions

  • Ilves away form is poor and Inter have only 1 home loss, despite poor recent form. Favour the home side?

15:00 - KTP Kotka v Seinajoen - 1.57 SJK

  • Match outcome: KooTeePee have lost 5/7 home matches and they have lost by two or more goals in 4/7 home matches. SJK have won 6/8 away matches against bottom-six teams.

KTP - 12th

  • Only 1 win.
  • Failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • No win in 13 and in 7 at home.
  • Not scored first half at home.

SJK - 4th

  • 5 wins, a loss and a draw last 7 matches.
  • 2 consecutive away clean sheets.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime away, only 1 at fulltime.
  • All defeats have come v the top 5.

Conclusions

  • SJK are the form side.
  • No win in 13 for KTP.
  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0.

Norwegian Eliteserien

17:00 - Stabaek v Mjondalen - 2.37 Stabaek

  • Match outcome: Stabaek have won 6/10 home matches against bottom-six teams while Mjondalen have lost 13/19 away matches. Stabaek have won by two or more goals in 5/9 home matches against bottom-six teams.

Stabaek - 15th

  • Only 3 wins but won 2 of their last 3 matches.
  • 4 consecutive home defeats ended with a home win last match.
  • Scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches.
  • Conceded last 12.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 1-2 win last head to head.

Mjondalen - 14th

  • 2 draws and 3 losses last 5 matches.
  • Only away win came 1st match.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 and last 4 away.
  • Scored last 10 matches.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime away.
  • v 10th and lower away, win, 1-1, 1-1.

Conclusions

  • Note where they are in the league. Can they be trusted? Mjondalen have scored last 10 matches and will expect to score v a fellow struggler. Both teams to score is a strong trend for both teams.
  • Argument to lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market but then we are dealing with bottom 4.

19:00 - Stromsgodset v Brann - 2.00 Stromsgodset

  • Match outcome: Stromsgodset have won 5/10 home matches against bottom-six teams while Brann have lost 7/10 away matches. Brann have conceded first in 10/14 away matches.

Stromsgodset - 11th

  • 2 draws, 2 wins, 2 losses recently Inconsistent.
  • Home form though is excellent. Unbeaten.
  • 4 wins in 5 at home.
  • Scored last 7 at home. 2+ goals scored last 2 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 3-0 loss last time these 2 met.

Brann - 16th

  • Only 1 win in 5.
  • 6 losses and a draw away.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 matches.
  • 2 0-0's at halftime away.

Conclusions

  • Stroms are excellent at home, and Brann are losing away. It looks more obvious than 2.00 the home favourite suggests!!

Swedish Allsvenskan

14:00 - Malmo v Degerfors - 1.25 Malmo

  • Match outcome: Malmo FF have won 11/13 home matches against bottom-half teams while Degerfors have lost by two or more goals in 4/8 away matches. Degerfors have lost 5/8 away matches.

Malmo - 2nd

  • Only 3 losses.
  • 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • Sole home loss, 2-3, came last match.
  • Colak has 8 goals in 12 matches. If we want Malmo goals, he must play.
  • Scored last 7 at home.
  • Scored 2+ goals last 5 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 0-5 win in head to head this season.

Degerfors - 10th

  • Only 1 away win.
  • 3 consecutive away defeats.
  • No win in 6 away.
  • 2 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Have lost to 3rd, 4th and 5th away.

Conclusions

  • It should be an easy 2+ goal win for Malmo.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

Swiss Super League

17:00 - Zurich v Grasshoppers - 1.95 Zurich

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 8/11 FC Zurich home matches. Middle-third promoted teams have had +2.5 goals in 52% of away matches against top-half teams since 2016-17. FC Zurich have conceded first in 9/15 home matches.
  • 3 consecutive wins for Zurich scoring 2+ goals. 2 consecutive 3-1 wins. 2-4-3 total goals before halftime.
  • Loss, Draw, Win grasshoppers. 0-0 away. Failed to score first 2 matches of the season.
  • Can Zurich continue their excellent goalscoring? Watch out for their in-play stats.

19:30 - St Gallen v Sion - 1.57 St Gallen

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 11/13 Sion away matches against top-half teams and +3.5 goals in 6/10 Sion such matches. St Gallen have won 11/16 home matches against bottom-half teams.
  • Win, Draw, Loss for St Gallen. Both teams scored. Scored 2 goals in first 2 matches. Conceded 2 goals in last 2 matches.
  • Sion - Loss, Loss, 1-0 win v....Young Boys (put into context, this was Young Boys pre Champions League).
  • No 0-0 at halftime either side. Look more at Sion's 1-2 loss and 6-1 loss rather than win v Young Boys as more symptomatic of their form. We may see both teams to score with St Gallen outscoring Sion.

Russian Premier League

14:00 - Arsenal Tula v Spartak Moscow - 1.70 Spartak Moscow

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 7/10 Arsenal Tula home matches. Spartak M. have won 7/9 away matches against bottom-six teams.
  • No draw either side. 3 losses and a win for Tula. 0-1 and 2-1 at home.
  • Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Spartak. 2 1-0 wins, 1-0 loss and 0-1 win away. Loss v Nizhny was down to pre-Champions League changes so not true form. Keeping it tight generally are Spartak.

14:00 - Ufa v Zenit - 1.44 Zenit

  • 1st goal: Ufa have conceded first in 12/20 home matches while Zenit St P have won 8/12 away matches against bottom-six teams. Zenit St P have won the first half in 8/12 away matches against bottom-six teams.
  • Loss, Loss, Draw, Win  for Ufa.2-3 loss and 1-1 draw at home.
  • 3 wins and a 1-1 for Zenit. 0-1 lead when red carded ended 1-1. Scored and conceded in all matches and look capable if conceding first.
  • Dependability for Zenit I feel this season, hard to beat even when down to 10 men!!

16:00 - CSKA Moscow v Akhmat Grozny - 1.65 CSKA Moscow

  • Asian handicap: CSKA M. have won by two or more goals in 5/10 home matches against bottom-half teams while Terek have lost by two or more goals in 5/9 trips to top-half teams. CSKA M. have won 6/10 home matches against bottom-half teams.
  • Identical form, Win, Loss, Loss, Win both sides. 1-2 win and 2-1 loss away for Akhmat. 1-0 win, 1-2 loss CSKA at home.

16:00 - Ural v Dynamo Moscow - 1.85 Dynamo Moscow

  • 1st goal: FC Ural have conceded first in 12/16 home matches against top-six teams while D. Moscow have won 6/9 away matches against bottom-six teams. D. Moscow have scored first in 6/9 away matches against bottom-six teams.
  • 3 losses and a draw for Ural. 0-3 loss and 1-1 at home. 3 wins and a 2-1 away loss for Dinamo Moscow 0-2, 2-3, 2-1 away. Dinamo Moscow have the form in hand, albeit a small sample.

18:00 - Krylya Sovetov v Sochi - 2.50 Sochi

  • -2.5 goals: Bottom-six promoted teams have had -2.5 goals in 60% of home matches against top-six teams since 2016. D St P'burg have drawn the first half in 6/10 away matches. D St P'burg have lost 7/13 away matches.
  • Leave 2.5 the favourite to the in-play stats.