
See you at 14:30 today for the German Bundesliga. Live chat at delayreacttrade.com. There is no Premiership football today as the Cup takes over.
12:00 - Sporting Gijon v Atletico Madrid - 1.54 Atl Madrid
- Gijon are unbeaten in the last 3 home head to heads so note that in Spanish Primera Liga.
Sporting Gijon 100% stats
- No home 0-0.
- Not beaten any top 7 side (Atl are 4th).
- 100% over 1.5 goals at home.
Sporting Gijon other stats
- Only 4 wins.
- Only 4 clean sheets.
- Last 5 home matches were over 3.5 goals.
- Scored and conceded in their last 7 home matches.
- No home 0-0.
- Conceded 3 goals v 5th, 6th and 7th at home and play 4th today.
- Both teams have scored in 90% of home matches.
Atl Madrid 100% stats
- Unbeaten in all matches v 7th and lower - Gijon are 3rd bottom.
- All clean sheets away v 10th and lower.
Atl Madrid other stats
- Only 2 wins in their last 7 away matches.
- 7 0-0's at halftime away.
- 11 of 14 goals scored away came 2nd half.
Conclusions
- Champions League match for Madrid on 21st February might be a distraction.
- If not, they are likely to win to nil today.
- Note Madrid's strong 2nd half scoring trend if 0-0 at halftime. You have a correct score option 2nd half in this case.
- Sporting Gijon do have a very strong both teams to score trend at home which is contrary to the above Madrid clean sheet stat v 10th and lower.
- If Gijon score first, Madrid could still win.
14:30 - Dortmund v Wolfsburg - 1.46 Dortmund
- 2 consecutive Dortmund 5-1 wins in head to heads in the German Bundesliga.
Dortmund 100% stats
- Not conceded 2 goals in a home match.
- Unbeaten at home.
- Not lost to nil at home.
- Not conceded an equaliser at home.
Dortmund other stats
- Only 4 clean sheets and failed to score in only 3 matches - lends itself to both teams scoring?
- Scored in their last 11 matches.
- Over 1/2 of halftime scores were 1-0.
Wolfsburg 100% stats
- Only 4 draws all season, 3 were 0-0.
- No draw in 8 matches.
- 88% of halftime scores either 1-0/0-1 or 0-0.
- Failed to score away in the 3 matches played v top 7 teams.
Conclusions
- Lay Wolfsburg if Wolf score first as Dortmund have not conceded 2 goals at home neither have they lost at home.
- Halftime score highly likely to be a 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 and with over half of Dortmund's home matches 1-0, that looks the most obvious choice.
- Expect a Dortmund goal if losing or if 0-0 for a while.
14:30 - Hertha Berlin v Bayern Munich - 1.43 Bayern
- 2-0 and 3-0 Bayern in the last 2 head to heads.
- Bayern are fresh from spanking Arsenal in the Champions League and may either be renewed or fatigued. We shall see!
Hertha Berlin 100% stats
- No draw at home.
- Not met the top 5 at home yet but not beaten any of them away.
- No over 3.5 goals matches at home.
- Not conceded in both halves at home.
- Vast majority of home goals scored 61st minute+.
Hertha Berlin other stats
- 5 defeats in their last 7 matches.
- All wins bar a 0-1 loss to Werder at home.
Bayern Munich 100% stats
- Unbeaten home and away v teams 5th and lower in the league.
- No 0-0.
- No over 4.5 goals matches away.
Bayern Munich other stats
- Only 1 loss.
- That was the only match they failed to score in.
- 5 consecutive away wins.
- All wins away outside the top 4.
- 7 goals scored away last 15 mins.
Conclusions
- We assume Bayern are not fatigued from their excellent mid week match v Arsenal.
- An element of the unknown as Hertha are yet to meet the top 5 at home and against all others they have largely won. No draws for Hertha at home - lay the late draw?
- Bayern tend to win away outside the top 5 - expect that today in the expectation that Hertha's poor away performances v top 5 signals struggles at home v top 5 (where we have no current info).
- Watch out for goals 61st+ minute if 0-0 or a small lead coming to the hour mark. This is where Hertha and Bayern tend to score the majority of their goals.
- I would naturally have to side with Bayern today.
14:30 - Mainz v Werder Bremen - 2 Mainz
- Both teams have scored in the last 3 head to heads with Mainz not losing the last 2 in the German Bundesliga.
Mainz 100% stats
- Unbeaten v teams below them in the league (Mainz are 12th and Werder are 16th).
- Beaten all teams below them in the league, scoring 2 goals at least.
- Not lost to nil at home.
- No 1-0 or 0-1 at home.
Mainz other stats
- Only 4 clean sheets.
- Only Bayern have beaten them at home since 2nd October 2016.
Werder Bremen 100% stats
- No 0-0.
- No 0-0 at halftime away.
- Scored and conceded - conceding 2-4 goals in all away matches v 10th and lower - failing to win any of them.
- Scored and conceded all matches home and away v 11th and lower.
Werder Bremen other stats
- Failed to score and concede last match - big shock!
- Only 1 clean sheet and failed to score only once tells you both teams scoring is a high probability.
- Scored in their last 8 away.
Conclusions
- I would have to favour Mainz who, despite poorish season long form, emphatically beat teams below them in the league, scoring 2 goals at least.
- Werder owe us nothing, having profited plenty times with a goal before halftime and both teams to score. The latter did not come off last match but Werder have scored and conceded in all matches v 10th and lower, conceding 2 goals at least.
- Let 2 goals for Mainz be in your thought processes regarding this match.
- Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score.
- I would suggest Mainz not to lose today but we are entering panic stations for Werder who desparately need points.
14:30 - Eintracht Frankfurt v Ingolstadt - 2.12 Eintracht
- 0-2 Frankfurt in the previous German Bundesliga head to head.
Frankfurt 100% stats
- 3rd in the Bundesliga.
- Unbeaten at home and at halftime at home.
Frankfurt other stats
- 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
- No defeat in 9 at home.
- 3 consecutive home clean sheets.
- Scored 6 home goals in the last 15 mins.
Ingolstadt 100% stats
- No 0-0.
- No draw away v top 12 sides.
- All defeats this season by 1 or 2 goals.
Ingolstadt other stats
- Only 3 draws.
- 4 defeats in their last 5 matches.
- Only 2 clean sheets.
- Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
- No draw in 9 away matches.
- 6 losses and a win away v top 12 sides.
Conclusions
- Lay any late 0-0.
- Lay any late draw. Ingolstadt were heading for a draw v Bayern Munich, until they conceded 2 late goals.
- I would have to favour Frankfurt today on their home form. Lay Ingolstadt if Ingolstadt score first.
14:30 - Hoffenheim v SV Darmstadt - 1.49 Hoff
Hoffenheim 100% stats
- Unbeaten at home.
- Unbeaten at halftime at home.
- Draws at home v 14th, 15th and 16th - Darmstadt are bottom.
- No over 4.5 goals at home.
Hoffenheim other stats
- Only 2 defeats came in their last 2 matches away.
- Failed to score in only 2 matches.
- Only 2 0-0's at halftime in their last 16 matches.
- No defeat in 10 at home.
- Scored in their last 8 at home.
- Failed to score in only 1 match at home.
Darmstadt 100% stats
- 100% of points earned at home.
- Lost all away matches of course.
- Not led at halftime away.
Darmstadt other stats
- Only 2 clean sheets.
- 17 of 22 goals conceded away came 2nd half.
- Opponents have scored first in 8/9 away.
Conclusions
- Hoff are likely to remain unbeaten at home. They have drawn v bottom 1/3rd sides so watch out for potential struggles.
- Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
- If Darmstadt lead, they must be layed.
15:00 - Huddersfield v Man City - 1.52 Man City
- A sturdy test likely for Man City today and being the Fa Cup, a cursory look at team news for the Premiership team is recommended. We have seen a pattern this season of consistently picking weakened sides for the FA Cup. I would expect this in the League Cup but not necessarily in the FA Cup.
Huddersfield overall form
- 12 wins, a draw and a loss in their last 14 matches. Solid form.
- 6 wins and a 1-1 draw in their last 7 home matches in all competitions.
Huddersfield Fa Cup form
- 2 consecutive 4-0 wins in 2017 v Port Vale and Rochdale.
- Last met an established Premiership side in 2011, that was a 2-1 loss.
Man City overall form
- 4 consecutive wins.
- Scored 2 goals at least in 10 of their last 12 matches, only the 2 Merseyside sides stopped that.
- 3 consecutive wins away from home to nil.
Man City FA Cup form
- Only 1 Fa Cup draw since January 2011.
- 4 wins to nil in their last 5 matches, the only exception a loss to Chelsea.
- The away loss the Chelsea the only away loss in the FA Cup since 2011.
- 4 wins to nil surround that Chelsea loss.
Conclusions
- Be prepared for a good old fashioned FA Cup tie here. Man City remember also have a Champions League tie up and coming and Huddersfield are in solid form in the toughest league in Europe to get out of!
- City may be vulnerable with that upcoming Champions League match as I say. We layed them against Swansea at 1.07 and profited as Swansea equalised. Iwould consider the same today, and be more confident with a perceived weakened City FA Cup side.
15:00 - Cardiff v Rotherham - 1.51 Cardiff
Cardiff 100% stats
- No draw at home v 7th and lower in the league - Rotherham are bottom.
- 2 2-1 wins v bottom 2 this season.
- No home match with exactly 4 goals.
Cardiff other stats
- 6 wins and 2 defeats last 9 matches.
- 7 0-0's at halftime at home.
- 8 wins and 12 defeats home and away v teams 16th and lower.
Rotherham 100% stats
- No away win.
- Conceded in every away match.
- Not led at halftime away.
- Have lost away to all top 11 teams and meet 12th today.
Rotherham other stats
- Only 4 wins.
- 8 consecutive away defeats.
- Conceded in their last 12 matches and last 16 away.
- Failed to score in their last 5 away.
Conclusions
- Lay any late draw as Cardiff seem to avoid draws v lower teams. 3/4 of matches v 16th and lower ended in wins.
- Rotherham must be currently opposed given they have no away win and have lost all away v top 11 and meet 12th today.
- Any 0-0 will be an anomoly. Rotherham especially are expected to concede.
15:00 - Burton v Norwich - 2.12 Norwich
Burton 100% stats
- No over 4.5 goals matches at home.
Burton Albion other stats
- No draw in 13 matches saw 4 wins, all of which were 2-1.
- 5 defeats in their last 6 home matches.
- Conceded in their last 15 matches.
- Only 1 win v top 10 teams. Norwich are 7th.
Norwich 100% stats
- All wins have come home and away v 11th and lower in the league.
- Scored and conceded in the 6 matches played v bottom 4 teams, where Burton are.
Norwich other stats
- Only 1 defeat in 9 matches.
- Scored 2 goals at least in 5 of their last 6 matches.
- Scored and conceded in 11 of 12 matches v teams 17th and lower.
- 16 goals conceded away in the last 30 minutes.
Conclusions
- Norwich have the better form. We might see both teams score today and Norwich not lose.
- Lay Burton if Burton score first.
- If Norwich have kept a clean sheet to the 60th minute, take a chance on them conceding late.
15:00 - Blackburn v Man Utd - 1.38 Man Utd
- Blackburn are 23rd in the English Championship.
- Man Utd, under Mourinho seem to be taking all competitions seriously, including the FA Cup and Europa League.
- A highlight for Blackburn this year was beating Newcastle at home 1-0.
- Blackburn's last 2 losses in the FA Cup came v Premiership opponents Liverpool and West Ham. Coincidence or the big teams a step too far?
- Man Utd's only recent loss was against Hull in the League Cup. This is the competition that United don't seem bothered about?
- 5 consecutive clean sheets now for Man Utd in all competitions.
- That loss to Hull was United's only defeat away from home recently.
- United are unbeaten in the last 9 FA Cup matches winning their last 2 matches 4-0.
- United are undefeated in the last 8 away FA Cup matches.
Conclusions
- I like what I see from Man Utd and will trust them today to remain unbeaten. They are back in their 2 goals scoring a game habit - will that emerge now?
15:15 - Real Madrid v Espanyol - 1.22 Real Madrid
- Real came from behind mid week against Napoli in the Champions League and won well.
- Real Madrid tend to win with ease in Spanish La Liga head to heads.
Real Madrid 100% stats
- Scored in every match.
- Unbeaten at home.
- Unbeaten outside the top 4.
- 100% over 1.5 goals.
Real Madrid other stats
- Only 1 loss.
- 7 consecutive home wins.
- Scored and conceded in all home matches v 6th - 16th at home (where Espanyol are positioned).
Espanyol 100% stats
- Conceded 10 goals in 2 matches away v top 3 teams.
- All home wins were by a single goal.
Espanyol other stats
- 3 wins in their last 4 matches - 3-3-1-2 goals before halftime in those matches.
- 5 0-0's at halftime away - 50% of away matches.
Conclusions
- We might see both teams score today so note that, and hope Espanyol score first for trading purposes.
- Real are highly likely to score so keep the faith if 0-0 for a while.
- Note Espanyol's heavy goals concession v top 3 sides. Speculators might want to back over 4.5 or 5.5 goals at enhanced odds if 0-0 after 20 mins or so.
- Big goals before halftime in recent Espanyol matches suggests we should not see a 0-0 at halftime.
17:00 - Atalanta v Crotone - 1.33 Atalanta
- 1-3 Atalanta win the last time these 2 met in the Italian Seria A.
Atalanta 100% stats
Atalanta other stats
- Failed to score in only 4 matches.
- Only 3 defeats in 19 matches.
- Failed to score in only 1 match.
- 10 goals scored at home in the last 1/2 hour.
Crotone 100% stats
- No away win.
- Conceded in all away matches.
- All defeats v top 7 home or away.
- No over 4.5 goals matches away.
Crotone other stats
- Only 1 clean sheet.
- Failed to score in 6 of their last 8 matches.
Conclusions
- Atalanta are highly likely to score and not lose today.
- Crotone tend to concede heavily at the end of first and second halves so watch out for that.
- It looks a straightfoward match.
17:30 - Wolves v Chelsea - 1.4 Chelsea
- Strugglers in the Championship plays First in the Premiership.
Wolves overall stats
- 3 consecutive defeats, the last 2 were 0-1.
- Only 2 wins in 10 home matches.
- Last 3 home matches were 1-0, a win and 2 defeats.
Wolves Fa Cup stats
- 2 consecutive wins v Stoke and Liverpool so they have form in this competition v Premiership teams.
- No win in 4 home FA Cup matches. The last home match was in 2015.
Chelsea overall stats
- Only 1 loss in 18 matches.
- 2 1-1 draws in their last 3 matches came away from home.
- 1-1-0-3-1-1 goals scored in recent away matches - an argument for struggles scoring away?
Chelsea FA Cup form
- No draw in 13 matches saw 9 wins.
- 2 consecutive wins scoring 4 goals.
- Lost 2 of their last 3 away matches 2-0 v Man City and Everton.
Conclusions
- Team news is important for Premiership sides in the Fa Cup.
- No strong angles here. I note Chelsea's inability to score more than 1 goal in 5 of 6 matches away.
- I would lay the late draw given Chelsea tend to avoid the draw.
17:30 - Twente v Heerenveen - 2.16 Twente
- The last 4 head to heads in the Dutch Eredivisie have been either 3-1 or 4-1, and 2 to each side!
Twente other stats
- Failed to score in only 4 matches.
- Only 5 clean sheets.
- Only 1 win home or away v top 6 teams, where Heerenveen reside.
- Scored and conceded in all matches home and away v teams 3rd to 9th.
Heerenveen 100% stats
- No away 0-0.
- No 0-0 at halftime away.
- Had to score 3 goals in all away wins.
Heerenveen other stats
- Only 1 win in their last 6 matches.
- Failed to score in only 3 matches.
- 3 consecutive away defeats.
- Conceded in their last 6 away matches.
- Scored and conceded in 8/10 matches v top 8 teams.
Conclusions
- No strong patterns really. There is a both teams to score pattern which I would suggest could continue.
- Speculators might like to chance 3-1/1-3 just for old times sake (check the head to heads).
- Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
18:45 - PSV v NEC Nijmegen - 1.18 PSV
- PSV tend to win head to heads in the Dutch Eredivisie scoring 2 goals at least.
PSV 100% stats
- Undefeated at halftime at home.
PSV other stats
- Lost only 1 match.
- Failed to score in only 4 matches.
- Scored 2 goals at least in their last 5 matches, all wins.
- 5 consecutive home wins.
- 16 without defeat.
- 7 0-0's at halftime at home.
- 12 of 17 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
NEC 100% stats
- No away 0-0.
- All defeats v top 4 teams.
- No away match with exactly 3 goals.
NEC other stats
- 3 consecutive defeats.
- 5 clean sheets only.
Conclusions
- Earlier in the season PSV had real trouble scoring that 2nd goal at home but this seems to have ended. 5 consecutive wins scoring 2 goals at least should continue today.
- 1.18 odds suggests 3/4 goals from PSV and a reminder if 0-0 at halftime, to back 3-0, 3-1 and any other home score ! And with 7 0-0's at halftime, we might get a chance.
19:45 - Empoli v Lazio - 1.79 Lazio
- 2 consecutive 2-0 wins in head to heads for Lazio in Italian Seria A.
Empoli 100% stats
- Not beaten any top 11 team - Lazio are 6th.
- Not scored 2 goals in a match v top 14 teams.
Empoli other stats
- Scored in their last 5 at home.
- Only led in 1 home match at halftime.
- Conceded 8 goals at home in the 61st+ minute.
Lazio 100% stats
- No 0-0.
- All wins v 15th and lower.
Lazio other stats
- Only 1 win in 4 matches.
- 3-2-2 goals conceded in their last 3 away matches.
Conclusions
- Lazio should win today. They have a great record v bottom half sides.
- Lay any late 0-0.
19:45 - Sevilla v Eibar - 1.53 Sevilla
- 1-1, 1-0 Sevilla, 1-1 in the last 3 Spanish Primera Liga head to heads - tighter than today's odds would suggest.
Sevilla 100% stats
- In with a real title shout this year.
- Unbeaten v teams below them in the league at home.
- No home match with exactly 2 and 4 goals in total.
Sevilla other stats
- Only 4 defeats.
- 2 consecutive clean sheets.
- 6 0-0's at halftime at home.
Eibar 100% stats
- No 0-0 away.
- Not beaten a top 4 side or a top 14 side away from home.
Eibar other stats
- 4 wins in their last 5 matches - put into context regarding the above form.
Conclusions
- There is not much we can read into Eibar and it is interesting to note their excellent recent form, scoring 3/4 goals!
- But I note that they have yet to beat top 4 teams (1-1 with Sevilla last time) and not beaten top 14 away so note that if Eibar are on the scoresheet again.
- We might see a 0-0 at halftime.
- Value seekers will note the head to heads and lay Sevilla if Sevilla score first as they are yet to score 2 v Eibar in recent matches.