DRT Daily Tips Bulletin, July 15, 2017

Tennis ends. There are some interesting football matches.
14:30 - Sogndal v Rosenborg - 1.78 Rosenborg
- 2 consecutive 3 goal wins for Rosenborg in head to heads, albeit at home.
- This is 11th v 1st in the Norwegian Eliteserien.
Sogndal
- Only 2 losses in 10 matches.
- Only 1 loss in 5 home matches was a 2-3 v 2nd in the league.
- Only 4 clean sheets.
- Not lost at halftime at home.
- Have lost to the top 3 so far this season, conceding 3 goals in each match.
Rosenborg
- 3-0-3-3-5 goals scored in their last 5 matches.
- Failed to score only 3 times.
- Vulnerable away v 5th, 7th and 8th.
- 3-1-3-3-5-3-3 goals scored home and away v 9th - 14th in the league.
Conclusions
- Could Rosenborg score 3 goals today? 3 , 3, 3 that's all I see above from head to heads, Sogndal v top 3, Rosenborg v 9th-14th.
- I will favour Rosenborg today. I would not expect them to lose. I will back 3-2 / 2-3 in case Sogndal are as solid (in defeat) as they were in the 2-3 v Brann.
15:00 - FC Copenhagen v AaB - 1.45 FC Copenhagen
- Copenhagen tend to win head to heads but it was 1-1 last time AaB visited.
- This is the start of a new season in the Danish Superliga.
- Copenhagen won the title last year.
- Copenhagen was unbeaten last season.
- 1-2-1-1 goals conceded by AaB away last year v top 4 so this might be tight today.
- I do not expect FC Copenhagen to lose.
15:00 - Malmo FF v Sirius - 1.6 Malmo
- No league head to heads.
- This is 1st v 3rd in the Swedish Allsvenskan.
Malmo
- Only 1 defeat.
- Failed to score only once.
- 4 consecutive wins.
- Scored and conceded last 5 at home.
- All wins at home bar the loss v 2nd.
- 10 of 13 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
Sirius
- 3 consecutive wins.
- Failed to score in only 3 matches.
- Did beat 2nd away 0-2.
- Only 3 losses away.
- Clean sheets away v 2nd, 5th and 6th.
- All 9 goals scored away came 2nd half.
Conclusions
- This could be a tight match. If there is a team to lead at halftime, it should be Malmo as Sirius tend to score all away goals 2nd half.
- If 0-0 at halftime, I would expect a 2nd half goal or 2. I would back 1-1 and 2-1 2nd half if 0-0 at halftime.
17:00 - Lillestrom v Stabaek - 1.92 Lillestrom
- 1-2 and 2-4 Lillestrom in the last 2 head to heads.
- This is 10th v 5th in the Norwegian Eliteserien.
Lillestrom
- Only 1 loss in 7 matches.
- 3 consecutive home wins.
- Only 3 clean sheets.
- No draw in 8 at home.
- Only 1 win v teams above them at home.
- 0-1-0-0 scored at home v teams above them in the league.
- No 0-0.
- 7 of 10 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
Stabaek
- Only 3 wins in 11 matches, 2 came last 2 matches.
- Failed to score only 3 times.
- Not beaten a top 11 side away from home.
- 100% over 1.5 goals away.
Conclusions
- Tough to call this match as both sides tend to win v the bottom 1/3rd sides.
- I would lay the late 0-0 here. Expect at least 2 goals.
17:30 - Sonderjyske v Randers - 2.6 Sonder
- Only 1 defeat at home for Sonder last year v teams below them in the league.
- A 1-0 win v Randers at home last year for Sonder.
- 3 losses at home for Sonder last year came v 2nd, 3rd and 12th.
- Last year Sonder did not score that 3rd goal at home.
- 3 wins away last year for Randers.
- They scored 2 goals away v 2nd, 3rd and 5th last year and Sonder were 4th last year.
- The market cannot split the sides at the beginning of this Danish season. I would lay Sonder if Sonder lead 1-0 late on or even 2-0 late on in the hope Randers can score 2 goals away.
18:00 - Dinamo Zagreb v Istra 1961 - 1.15 Dinamo
- Dinamo Zagreb have won the last 4 head to heads. 1-1 and 2-1 last 2 home matches.
- This is 2nd v 4th in the Croatian HNL league.
Dinamo Zagreb
- The start of a new season.
- 1-1 and 2-1 v Dinamo Zagreb at home last year for Istra.
- Dinamo Zagreb lost 2 home matches last season which were the first 2 matches lost at home in the league since August 2010.
Istra 1961
- Last year away from home, Istra 1961 all bar 2 matches v top 7 teams.
Conclusions
- Expect a home win. Dinamo Zagreb could concede but not lose.
19:45 - Sligo Rovers v Drogheda - 1.68 Sligo
- 1-1 the last time these 2 met.
- This is 10th v 12th in the Irish Premier Division.
Sligo Rovers
- Only 2 wins in 13 matches. Only 4 wins all season.
- Only 4 clean sheets.
- In the last 9 matches, Sligo only scored 2 goals once.
- Only 2 losses at home v 1st and 2nd.
- All draws home and away v 9th and lower were all 1-1.
Drogheda
- Only 4 wins.
- 4 consecutive defeats.
- Failed to score in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- No win in 11 away.
- Unbeaten v 10th and lower with 2 draws.
Conclusions
- I would back 1-1 and 2-2 today as trading angles here as Drogheda, despite being very poor, are unbeaten v the bottom 3 sides. And despite Drogheda failing to score in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Sligo keep drawing 1-1 v 9th and lower. Now you could go against this sequence if you wanted to and lay any late 1-1?
20:00 Rijeka v Slaven - 1.29 Rijeka
- 3-2 and 0-2 Rijeka last year in head to heads.
- Rijeka were unbeaten at home last year and won all matches bar a 1-1 draw with Dinamo Zagreb.
- Last year Slaven lost 6 matches and drew 2 away v top 4 teams.
- Expect a home win today albeit it's a guessing game as the new season begins. I suspect the title will be between Rijeka and Dinamo Zagreb.