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See you for a live chat at 14:30 to cover the German Bundesliga. We have 'double trouble' to contend with today. Some teams will have players returning from International Duty as well as upcoming Champions League matches. Teams such as Bayern and even Man Utd have faltered pre-Champions League so this 'double trouble' has to be in thoughts today. The English Championship generally sees the shortest priced favourite at 2.00 or thereabouts. It makes for a tough old coupon today and one I will only look at via the in-play stats.


12:30 - Liverpool v Man Utd - 2.76 Man Utd - both sides have upcoming Champions League match

  • This is too high profile a match in which to be confident about any angles.
  • No surprise that the last 3 head to heads have been 1-1, 0-0, 1-1.
  • Liverpool are 7 points off the pace.


  • Failed to score only away v Man City.
  • 1-4-1 scored at home. only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • 3-0-2-2-2-3-2 goals in total before halftime this season.
  • Yet to meet the top 4 at home.

Man Utd

  • Scored in every match.
  • 6 clean sheets. 2-2 v Stoke was a pre Champions League match.
  • Yet to meet a Chelsea, Arsenal, Man City, Liverpool this season.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • Yet to meet a current top 11 side home or away so form may be flattered somewhat by an apparent easy start to the season.


  • A very definite watching brief here today. I would be keener to lay Liverpool if Liverpool scored first.
  • Do note that Man Utd have yet to meet a current top 11 side so their form needs that context.
  • On season form, we could see a goal before halftime.

15:00 - Burnley v West Ham - 2.7 Burnley

  • The market cannot split these 2 sides.
  • 4 consecutive Premiership wins for West Ham in head to heads. 1-0 and 1-2 most recently.
  • This is 6th v 15th after 7 matches.


  • Are above Liverpool currently and riding on the mistakes of others. Chelsea - 9 men; Tottenham - 90th minute blunder; Liverpool - Liverpool being Liverpool.
  • With 3 clean sheets in 4 matches, it is clear where Burnley's strengths lay.
  • 0-1-0 scored at home is the worry and a reasoning behind a solid defence.
  • 0-1-1-1-0-1 scored recently is a concern and will be a concern against proven goal scorers.

West Ham

  • 0-2-0-0 scored away by West Ham. When they did score 2, they lost.
  • 3 clean sheets in 4 matches mirrors Burnley. 2-3 v Tottenham broke that sequence and was typical of a London Derby.


  • West Ham tend to concede heavily away from home but meet a Burnley failing to score that 2nd goal, unless it is v 9 men.
  • This is a match I am not too keen on. On form, this could be a 0-0 for a while with both sides keeping 3 clean sheets in 4 matches.
  • On head to heads, West Ham would be favoured.

15:00 - C Palace v Chelsea - 1.42 Chelsea - Post International Break and Pre Champions League Chelsea

  • A London derby and a Palace win the last time these 2 met.


  • Failed to score in all defeats.
  • 4 and 5 conceded against the 2 Manchesters. This is something Chelsea ordinarily should be capable of.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.


  • Post International Break and pre-Champions League affected.
  • 4 wins and a draw sandwiched between 2 losses.
  • 3 wins away, 2 were 1-2.
  • Failed to score only in their last 2 home matches.
  • Chelsea have scored 1 goal at least before halftime in their 3 aways.


  • Double trouble for Chelsea and their ilk. Possible post International Break fatigue and pre Champions League caution.
  • Palace will score at some point this season and the longer the scoreless sequence the nearer they are to scoring. With the above 'double trouble' we might see a surprise.
  • Strictly on form, Chelsea will score 2 goals at least and maybe manage to replicate the 2 Manchester clubs' 4+ goals.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

15:00 - Man City v Stoke - 1.18 Man City - post International and pre Champions League Man City

  • 2 wins and a 0-0 last 3 head to heads.

Man City

  • All wins bar a 1-1. 4 consecutive clean sheets.
  • Scored in every match.
  • 2 consecutive 5-0 wins at home.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 5 goals scored at home in the last 15 mins of matches.


  • Stoke kept Man Utd to 2-2, a Man Utd playing pre-Champions League so Stoke are capable if City are distracted and/or fatigued.
  • only 2 wins came at home
  • only 1 clean sheet
  • 2-2-4-1 conceded in their last 4 matches


  • Stoke upset the Manchester United record pre Champions League. Can they do the same with City? City will have players coming back from Internationals, and players with a mind to the Champions League and this presents an ideal recipe for an upset.
  • Strictly on form, City will score 2/3 or more goals today.
  • Note City's late scoring record at home in case it is a draw or an away lead coming into the 75th minute.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market albeit based on only a few matches.

15:00 - Swansea v Huddersfield - 2.22 Swansea


  • Only 1 win came away v a poor Palace.
  • 0-0-1 scored at home. Lost 1-2 to another newly promoted side.


  • Only 2 wins first 2 matches of the season.
  • 3-0-0- scored away.


  • Next please! A poor match.

15:00 - Tottenham v Bournemouth - 1.22 Tottenham - Champions League Spurs

  • Tottenham have enjoyed Bournemouth visits 4-0 and 3-0 last 2 Spurs home head to heads.


  • Only loss v Chelsea.
  • 3 wins in 4 have come away.
  • Have still yet to win at Wemb-er-ley.
  • Failed to score in only one match, a 0-0 last home match.


  • Only 1 win came at home.
  • 3 away losses scoring 0-0-1.
  • Lost to Arsenal and Everton last 2 aways and Tottenham fall into that group.
  • Only 1 clean sheet last home match v Leicester.


  • Beware post International /pre Champions League as Tottenham will be affected by both (Harry 'you're only supposed to blow the bloody doors off' Kane is an obvious example).
  • Tottenham will win at home and on form this presents an excellent opportunity for them given the last 2 home wins, 7 goals scored and none conceded.
  • Spurs are yet to score more than 2 goals in a home match though this season.
  • This match is perfectly set up for a hiccup but on form Tottenham should win. The value is with laying Tottenham and particularly if Tottenham lead. That is only based on possible Internationals' fatigue and pre-Champions League distractions, with a touch of Wembley collywobbles. Our reliance then comes onto Bournemouth with their 0-0-1 goals scored away!!

17:30 - Watford v Arsenal - 1.67 Arsenal - Europa League Arsenal

  • 1-3 Arsenal and 1-2 Watford in the last 2 head to heads.
  • Both top 8 after 7 matches. Elton John will be delighted!


  • Only 1 loss v Manchester City.
  • 2 draws and a loss at home but played Liverpool and Man City at home!
  • 3-2-0-2-0-2-2 scored this season, the wins came away.


  • 4 Arsenal wins have come at home.
  • 1-0, 4-0, 0-0 away though. Arsenal are yet to score away.


  • A very interesting match with Watford drawing and losing v Liverpool and Man City at home. They meet another top top side today.
  • Arsenal should end their away scoreless run today. I think that will happen.
  • If Watford score 2, I can see that Arsenal can reply.
  • So look for that Arsenal scoreless sequence away from home to end. Look too, ideally, for Watford to struggle (not win at least) v another marquee club.
  • Will Arsenal be distracted by the Europa League? I am not so sure. Matches are usually on a Thursday.


12:00 - Athletic Bilbao v Sevilla - 2.64 Ath Bilbao - Champions League for Sevilla and Europa League for Ath Bilbao

  • 2 consecutive 3-1 home wins for Bilbao in head to heads makes this an intriguing match.
  • The market cannot split these 2 sides today.

Ath Bilbao

  • 3 losses in 4 matches.
  • 2-3-3 goals conceded in their last 3 matches.
  • Clean sheets at home v Girona and Getafe.


  • Only 1 away loss was v Atl Madrid who beat Bilbao recently too.
  • 0-1 0-1 away for Sevilla so winning care of clean sheets.
  • 5 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 6 consecutive 0-0's at halftime.


  • Take away the post International and pre Champions League double trouble for Sevilla and I would have them as strong favourites today.
  • Note the 0-0's at halftime for Sevilla have largely not been 0-0 at fulltime.

15:15 - Getafe v Real Madrid - 1.28 Real Madrid - Champions League

  • 7 consecutive Real Madrid wins scoring 3 goals minimum in recent head to heads.


  • Scored and conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches with 3 2-1 scorelines.
  • 0-1 v Sevilla 1-2 v Barcelona at home.
  • 4 of 5 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Real Madrid

  • Only 1 defeat came at home v Betis.
  • 2 consecutive wins now.
  • 3-3-2 goals scored in 3 away wins.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • 6 of 8 away goals scored came 1st half.


  • Real Madrid are one of those teams who could see fatigued players post International duty.
  • On form this season, Real Madrid are better away than at home and could continue scoring 2 goals again.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score if Real Madrid continue to score before halftime away.

17:30 - Alaves v Sociedad - 2.24 Sociedad - Europa League Sociedad


  • All defeats ended with a win last match.
  • Failed to score first 5 matches of the season.
  • Have met Real Madrid and Barcelona at home.
  • No 0-0 at halftime.
  • No 0-0.


  • Started the season with 3 wins, scoring 3-3-4 goals and I thought they could be contenders. But no,3 defeats and a 4-4 now.
  • 2-0-2-3-3-3-4 goals conceded. Is Kevin Keegan managing?
  • No 0-0 at halftime.


  • Sociedad's defence makes Liverpool's look positively water tight. The problem is whether Alaves can exploit this.
  • I would be actually favouring Sociedad today because, despite conceding 2-0-2-3-3-3-4 goals they have scored 3-3-4-1-0-2-4 goals.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

19:45 - Atletico Madrid v Barcelona - 2.68 Barcelona - both Champions League sides.

  • 2 consecutive 1-2 wins for Barca when visiting Madrid.
  • I am not going to research this match as it is post International and pre-Champions League. Atl Madrid have kept 2 clean sheets in matches prior to Champions League. Barcelona have won.
  • Barcelona are unbeaten in 4 head to heads where both teams scored. If you want that as an angle, then great.


14:30 - Bayern Munich v Freiburg - 1.09 Bayern -Champions League

  • Both teams have scored in the last 3 head to heads. Bayern won the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 2nd v 15th.


  • Scored 2 goals at least in all bar 1 match. That one match was a pre-Champions League match. And this is a post International and pre-Champions League match.
  • 2 consecutive 2-2 draws.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.


  • Only 1 win came last match, 3-2 at home v Hoffenheim.
  • 1-0-0 scored in 3 away.


  • Post International football and pre-Champions League could spell 'eye off the ball' for Bayern. Laying at 1.1 would cover any pre Champions League hiccup as occured v Hoffenheim.
  • On form, Bayern should be scoring 2 goals at least today and a goal before halftime.
  • Bayern have not won their last 2 pre-Champions League matches.

14:30 - Hannover v Eintracht Frankfurt - 2.44 Hannover

  • The market gives clues. They cannot split these teams.
  • Frankfurt are unbeaten in the last 4 head to heads.


  • Only 1 loss came last match.
  • 1-0, 2-0, 0-0 at home. Yet to concede at home.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • All goals scored this season came 2nd half.
  • All 0-0's at halftime this season.


  • LWLWLW (L=Loss, W=Win) recently.
  • 0-0, 0-1, 0-1, 2-1 away from home. Leipzig beat them as they were expected to on form.
  • Unlike Hannover, Frankfurt have 6 consecutive 1-0 scorelines at halftime.


  • Tough match to call. I would pin my hopes on 0-0 until halftime. If I see 0-0 at halftime I would expect 2nd half goals.
  • Frankfurt are inconsistent which makes them unreadable.

14:30 - Hertha Berlin v Schalke - 2.58 Hertha Berlin - Europa League Hertha

  • 2 2-0 wins at home for Hertha in head to heads.

Hertha Berlin

  • Unbeaten at home.
  • Conceded in their last 6 matches.
  • Scored in all home matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 3 home matches but scored 2 goals in those.


  • Conceded in their last 6 matches.
  • 2 away losses v current 3rd and 5th.


  • is suddenly down so no detail.
  • It looks to me as if both teams could score today and Hertha Berlin could score 2 goals and thus avoid defeat. They must be happy with that 2-2 v Bayern Munich.

14:30 - Hoffenheim v Augsburg - 1.8 Hoff

  • 0-2 Hoff and 0-0 the last 2 head to heads. A rarity indeed.
  • Hoffenheim are in the Europa League after a failed attempt in the Champions League.


  • Win, Win, Draw, Win at home.
  • Only loss came away 3-2 v Freiburg last match.
  • No 0-0 at halftime in 6 matches. That is usually expected of Hoffenheim.
  • Scored 2 goals at least in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • 3 clean sheets in 4 matches at home.
  • Scored in every match.


  • Losses came v Hamburg and Dortmund.
  • Failed to score in 2 of 3 matches away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • Not met the top 7 away yet.


  • I do not think Hoffenheim will be too distracted by an end-of-the-week Europa League tie.
  • Hoff are more disciplined defensively at home and have scored first in all 4 matches so I expect them to score first and us not to see a trading opportunity.
  • That will come if Augbsurg score first or the match is 0-0 at halftime. I would lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market while these 2 continue to avoid the halftime 0-0.
  • On form Hoffenheim have 2 goals in them at least today.

14:30 - Mainz v Hamburg - 1.69 Mainz

  • A strange pattern, 1-3 Mainz, 0-0, 3-1 Mainz 0-0 in head to heads.


  • Poor season so far. 2 wins have come at home.
  • Conceded heavily v Bayern and Hoffenheim. Easier opponents today.
  • Only 1 clean sheet came last home match, a 1-0 win.
  • Wins at home v 11th and 12th and play current 16th today.


  • 3-0-0 scored away.
  • Failed to score in 5 straight matches now.


  • The market does seem about right here. If Hamburg do not score, they do not win. Mainz have shown an ability to beat lower half teams at home and I hope that form, albeit after only 7 matches, rings true today.

17:30 - Dortmund v RB Leipzig - 1.57 Dortmund - both Champions League teams

  • 1-0 Leipzig and 1-0 Dortmund last 2 head to heads.


  • Unbeaten, all wins and a 0-0.
  • 2-5-6 scored at home. Only 1 goal conceded.
  • Scored 2 goals at least in all matches bar a 0-0 pre Champions League match v Freiburg.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.


  • 2-0, 0-2, 1-0, 1-2 away for Leipzig, 2 wins and 2 defeats.
  • Scored and conceded in 3 of 4 matches. 2 consecutive 2-1 wins.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.


  • Both Champions League sides and Dortmund failed to score v 10 men in their last pre-Champions League match.
  • On form, Dortmund should fancy this match. Leipzig should concede if scoring first. They have scored and conceded in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • On form, lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.


17:00 - Juventus v Lazio - 1.59 Juventus - Europa League for Lazio - Champions League for Juventus

  • Juventus tends to win head to heads. Lazio won the Super Cup match.
  • 2 top 4 teams.


  • All wins bar a 2-2 draw last match.
  • Failed to score 2 goals only once in  a match.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • Not conceded a home goal.


  • Only 1 loss was v Napoli.
  • 5 wins in 6 matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime in the last 6 matches.
  • 2-3-3 goals scored away.
  • 4-3-1-3-6 goals scored in their last 5 matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Lost at home to 1st in the league.


  • Juventus are more likely to be affected by post International Football. Both teams may be distracted by upcoming european competition matches.
  • I continue based on form, knowing the above may have an impact.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Both sides are scoring readily. I would back 2-2 here as a trading angle in the hope that both teams score.

19:45 - Roma v Napoli - 2.48 Napoli - Champions League affected

  • 1-3 Roma and 1-2 Napoli in the last 2 head to heads.
  • Both sides have upcoming Champions League matches. This is rather like the Liverpool v Man Utd match. No one team is advantaged because the other team has Champions League distractions.


  • All wins bar a loss to Inter Milan.
  • 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Not really tested at home beyond Inter Milan.


  • Have scored 3 goals in each of their 3 pre-Champions League matches.
  • Scored in every match.
  • Lazio the biggest test to date. Not met either Milan, or Juventus, or Roma.


  • Neither side has been tested this season properly.
  • A match for the in-play stats as form is similar so far. Head to heads tell us to be with the away team in what could be a both teams to score match.


15:00 - Celtic v Dundee - 1.11 Celtic - Champions League upcoming

  • 4 consecutive Celtic wins in head to heads.


  • Unbeaten. All wins bar a 2-2 draw last match.
  • Scored 2 goals at least in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • Scored in every match.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • 2 draws in 3 home matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.


  • 2 wins in 3 matches were the sole wins this season.
  • No away wins -scored and conceded last 3 away.
  • Scored and conceded in all bar 1 match.
  • Scored in defeat away to Aberdeen and Rangers and that should be a template for today.
  • No 0-0 at halftime.


  • Caveat. Celtic won't be distracted by a very important Champions League match.
  • Based on form, both teams could score and Dundee lose today. Expectation for Celtic to score 2 goals at least.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

15:00 - Hamilton v Motherwell - 2.42 Motherwell

15:00 - Hibernian v Aberdeen - 2.58 Hibernian

  • 2-3 Aberdeen in the most recent head to head.


  • 4 score draws in 5 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in all bar 1 match.
  • Scored in every match.
  • 2-3 win away at Rangers was care of a Rangers red card.


  • Unbeaten.
  • 3 clean sheets in 4 matches.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • 1-2, 3-4, 0-0, 0-1 away. Good form.


  • On form, I would lay any HIbernian lead. Hibs score draws suggest as much, as does Aberdeen's away scorelines.

15:00 - Partick v Kilmarnock - 2.12 Partick

  • 2-2, 0-0, 1-1 last 3 head to heads.


  • No win this season.
  • 3 draws in 4 matches.
  • 2 consecutive home draws.
  • No clean sheets.
  • Scored in 3 of their last 4 at home.
  • Meet bottom of the league today so have a chance of a positive result.


  • No win.
  • No clean sheets.
  • 2 of 3 score draws came at home.


  • If ever these 2 are to get a win, surely it will be against a fellow struggler? Lay any late draw.

15:00 - Ross Co v Hearts - 2.5 Hearts

  • 2-2 and 0-1 Ross in the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 10th v 7th.

Ross County

  • Have lost to all of the current top 6 sides with Hearts intriguingly in 7th position.
  • Scored at home in 3 losses and a draw.
  • Only 1 clean sheet came last match.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.


  • Continue a strong away bias early season.
  • Conceded last 4 aways.
  • Have scored in all bar 1 away.
  • 1-2, 1-1, 0-1 away v 9th and lower suggests we may see a positive result today.


  • I would give a slight nod towards Hearts. Note that Hearts have played all bar 1 match away from home, so their form is not coming from the same context as other sides.
  • Hearts, for me, are worthy of a higher league position and on the basis that Ross are losing to top 6, I am with Hearts today not to lose.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market based on Ross. Ross may yet score today as they have done in 2 defeats and a draw at home but I would lay them if first scorers.


16:00 - Dijon v Paris St-G - 1.19 PSG - post International and pre Champions League affected PSG

  • 3 goals scored by PSG in each of the last 2 head to heads.


  • Scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • Conceded in every match.
  • 1-4 loss at home to Monaco is a template for today.
  • 2 consecutive score draws.
  • Not beaten a top 8 side in 5 attempts this season, conceding 3 goals at least v current 2nd, 3rd and 4th.

Paris St Germain

  • All wins bar a 0-0 which came in a pre-Champions League match.
  • 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Failed to score only in that 0-0.Scored 2 goals at least in all other matches.
  • 7 of 8 away goals scored 2nd half.


  • It was 0-0 the last time PSG had a pre-Champions League match. On form on this occasion they should be scoring 3 goals at least today.
  • If the match is 0-0 at halftime (and 7 of PSG 8 away goals were scored 2nd half), I would load up on 0-3, 1-3 and any other away score.
  • Do look for team news as some of the big guns may be rested. I would exercise caution if Cavani for instance is rested.

19:00 - Lille v ESTAC Troyes - 1.7 Lille

  • These 2 have not met since January 2016.


  • Only won their first match of the season.
  • Failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • Failed to score in their last 3 home matches.
  • Lost to newly promoted Strasbourg away and drew with Angers away.


  • 2 consecutive wins. 3 wins this season includes an eyecatching 2-1 win away at Nice.
  • 1-2, 2-1, 0-1 away sees Troyes competitive. They failed to score only at home.


  • Both sides tend to do their scoring 2nd half so note that if 0-0.
  • I cannot fathom why Lille are 1.7 favourites? Is Helen of Troy playing up front for Troyes with the Wooden Horse in midfield? On form, the newly promoted side Troyes will be competitive. I would actually lay any Lille lead here today.

19:00 - St Etienne v Metz - 1.57 St Etienne

  • 0-0 and 2-2 last 2 head to heads.

St Etienne

  • 2 losses have come away from home, one v PSG.
  • 2 wins and now 2 draws at home.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • No 0-0 this season.
  • 2 goals at least scored at home v 15th and 16th and they play bottom of the league today.


  • 7 defeats and  a 1-0 win.
  • 5 1-0 scorelines in 6 matches.
  • There is an obvious tactic at play here. Strangle the opposition and hope to nick a 1-0. It is not working though!
  • 0-0-1-0- scored away.


  • Metz may offer some defensive resistance. A team with 5 1-0's in 6 matches suggests so.
  • If St Etienne perform as per 15th and 16th, we should see 2 goals from them at least.....eventually.
  • Do not be surprised with a 0-0 at halftime. Do remember this St Etienne last season at least had a strong 2nd half scoring pattern.