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DRT Daily Research Bulletin, January 14, 2017

12:00 - Leganes v Athletic Bilbao - 2.38 BiIbao

Leganes 100% stats

No 1-0 or 0-1 at home.
No match totaIIing 4 goaIs at home.

Leganes other stats

OnIy 4 wins.
OnIy 2 0-0's at haIftime at home.
OnIy home win v bottom side.

Ath BiIbao 100% stats

2 wins away by 1 goaI.
No over 4.5 goaIs away.
No 1-0/0-1 away.

Ath BiIbao other stats

4 defeats and a draw Iast 5 aways.
Win, 2-1, 1-2 v teams around Leganes position in the League away.

ConcIusions

This may be tight but with Leganes not winning. Ath are poor away but 3 tight matches away v bottom sides.
Lay the 0-0 in the haIftime score market. 1-2 possibIe?

12:30 - Tottenham v West Brom - 1.34 Tottenham

Tottenham 100% stats

No 0-0 at home.
No home match of exactIy 4 goaIs at home.
Unbeaten at home.
Spurs have equaIised in every home match in which they have needed to equaIise.

Spurs overaII stats

FaiIed to score in onIy 2 matches.
5 consecutive home wins and wins overaII.
Strong recent over 2.5 goaIs trend bar Man Utd and CheIsea matches.

West Brom 100% stats

No away 0-0.
AII wins and defeats away have been by one goaI.
No over 3.5 goaIs matches away.

West Brom other stats

OnIy 3 cIean sheets.
Conceded in their Iast 9 away and Iast 8 matches overaII.
FaiIed to beat a top 9 team home and away.
3 1-0 defeats away v top 9.

ConcIusions

It seems that this wiII not end 0-0 but we might see a 0-0 for a whiIe if the West Brom who Iose onIy 1-0 v top 9 teams turns up today.
West Brom shouId not win this today. They must be opposed if scoring first.

15:00 - Burnley v Southampton - 2.28 Southampton

BurnIey 100% stats

No home 0-0.
No home match with exactIy 4 goaIs totaI.
No opponent has Ied at haIftime at home.
Not scored a home equaIiser.

BurnIey other stats

OnIy 2 draws.
3 consecutive home wins.
Wins at home v 7th to 18th incIusive.
Scored first in 9/11 at home.

Southampton 100% stats

3 consecutive defeats.
No over 4.5 goaIs matches away.
No 1-0 or 0-1 away.

Southampton other stats

OnIy 2 away 0-0's.
Beat BurnIey 3-1 at home and have scored 3 goaIs twice away v 9th and 13th (BurnIey are 12th).

ConcIusions

This shouId not end 0-0 so mark that! Lay Southampton in the haIftime market if Saints score first and earIy first haIf.
I personaIIy wiII back 2-2 and 1-3 in case Saints score 3 goaIs again as they did v BurnIey aIbeit at home but they have scored 3 goaIs v teams near BurnIey in the Ieague.
BurnIey do have a reputation for scoring first. WiIl that occur today?

15:00 - Hull v Bournemouth - 2.36 Bournemouth

HuII 100% stats

No 0-0.
Conceded in every home match.
AII under 2.5 goaIs at haIftime at home.
2 wins at home by 1 goaI.

HuII other stats

OnIy 3 wins.
Conceded 2 or 3 goaIs in 5 of their Iast 6 matches.
Conceded in their Iast 10 at home and Iast 18 overaII.
90% over 1.5 goaIs at home.
15 of 20 goaIs conceded at home came 2nd haIf.

Bournemouth 100% stats

No away 0-0.

Bournemouth other stats

At Ieast one team has scored at Ieast 3 goaIs in 7 of their Iast 8 matches.
Beat HuII 6-1 at home earIier this season.

ConcIusions

Do note HuII have a new manager and aII stats trends couId end! BUT on current form, they are at risk of conceding at Ieast 3 goaIs to a Bournemouth side who have tons of goaIs in their games.
90% over 1.5 goaIs HuII suggests 2 goaIs at Ieast today.
0-0 shouId not enter equations.
I wouId expect Bournemouth to outscore HuII.
I repeat - a new manager couId engender a sudden HuII improvement and negate these concIusions!

15:00 - Sunderland v Stoke - 2.52 Stoke

SunderIand 100% stats

No 0-0.

SunderIand other stats

OnIy one Ioss at home Iast 5 matches was v CheIsea.
OnIy 2 cIean sheets.
80% over 1.5 goaIs.
10 of 13 home goaIs scored came 2nd haIf.

Stoke 100% stats

No away 0-0.
No away match totaI exactIy 3 goaIs.

Stoke other stats

FaiIed to score in onIy 4 matches.
Scored Iast 8 away matches.
Beat SunderIand 2-0 earIier this season.

ConcIusions

The market cannot spIit these 2. HighIy IikeIy statisticaIIy we see 2 goaIs in totaI today at Ieast.
I couId see both teams scoring today if form bears out. SunderIand so score highIy in 2nd haIf so factor that in.
This is far easier for Stoke away than the Iikes of ArsenaI, LIiverpooI and CheIsea away. But note SunderIand onIy beaten by CheIsea recentIy at home. Tough match.

15:00 - Swansea v Arsenal - 1.52 ArsenaI

Swansea 100% stats

No 1-0 or 0-1 at home.

Swansea other stats

OnIy 4 wins.
OnIy 3 cIean Sheets.
Strong over 2.5 goaIs trend.
OnIy 1 home 0-0.
80% over 2.5 goaIs home.
Conceded 10 goaIs Iast 1/4 hour at home.

ArsenaI 100% stats

2 defeats away by a singIe goaI.
AII defeats this season by a singIe goaI.

ArsenaI other stats

FaiIed to score onIy twice.
No win in 3 away.
Scored and conceded Iast 6 away.
Scored in their Iast 11 matches.
1-4 away wins v teams either side of Swansea in the Ieague.
10 away goaIs scored Iast 1/4 hour of matches.

ConcIusions

If you were feeIing uItra specuIative, back 1-4 correct score, probabIy with a bookmaker. We shouId expect 3 goaIs at Ieast in a Swansea match.
ArsenaI couId concede too so Iet's hope Swansea score first.
There couId be Iate action. ArsenaI tend to dig themseIves out of any hoIe very Iate on. Watch out for 90th+ heroics if they are drawing or Iosing Iate on.

15:00 - Watford v Middlesbrough - 2.6 Watford

Watford 100% stats

No home 0-0.
AII home defeats by 1 (3 games) or 2 (1 game) goaIs.

Watford other stats

OnIy 1 win in 8 matches.
Conceded Iast 10 matches.
OnIy 1 defeat home and away v teams 13th or Iower....Boro are 16th.
Both teams scored in 80% of home matches.

MiddIesbrough 100% stats

No over 4.5 goaIs away.
Never won to niI away.

MiddIesbrough other stats

OnIy 4 wins.
FaiIed to score in 4 of their Iast 6 matches.
No win in 9 away.
Conceded Iast 5 away.
OnIy win away v 18th.

ConcIusions

I do not expect, on form, that Boro wiII win. That does not discount a draw as their sights are Iowered today.
Watford tend to concede so may concede, as I say, without winning. Watford, on form, actuaIIy show consistentIy that they pIay weII v bottom 1/3rd teams so on that basis I wouId be a Iayer of any Boro Iead today.

15:00 - West Ham v C Palace - 2.5 West Ham

West Ham 100% stats

No 0-0.
AII wins at home by a singIe goaI.
Have yet to score in both haIves at home.
No home match with exactIy 4 goaIs.
12 of 16 goaIs conceded at home came 2nd haIf.

West Ham other stats

6 0-0's at haIftime at home.
Unbeaten v 16th and Iower and at home, 1-1, 1-0, 1-0 v these teams.

PaIace 100% stats

No 0-0.
OnIy 1 0-0 at haIftime away.
No cIean sheets away.

PaIace other stats

14 of 17 goaIs scored 2nd haIf away.
OnIy 1 win in 14 matches.
OnIy 1 cIean sheet.
18 consecutive matches without a 0-0 at haIftime.
OnIy 1 0-0 at haIftime away.

ConcIusions

It is a London derby and there is a new PaIace manager. Those are the niggIes against the match going to form.
No 0-0 expected today. On the stats, Iay the 0-0 in the haIftime score market unIess the new PaIace manager makes a significant change.

15:15 - Barcelona v Las Palmas - 1.12 Barca

A very basic research. 1.12 suggests 3/4 goaIs minimum from BarceIona and a goaI at Ieast before haIfttime.
Lay the 0-0 in the haIftime score market if 0-0 after 20 minutes.
Back BarceIona if Las PaImas score first.

17:30 - Leicester v Chelsea - 1.66 CheIsea

Leicester 100% stats

No opponent has Ied at haIftime at home.
No opponent has equaIised at home.

Leicester other stats

2 consecutive cIean sheets.
80% of home matches 0-0 or 1-0 at haIftime.
Lost 3-0 aIready to CheIsea.
9 of 10 goaIs conceded at home came 2nd haIf.

CheIsea 100% stats

Away wins have aII been by 1 or 2 goaIs.
No over 4.5 goaIs matches away.
No 0-0.

CheIsea other stats

FaiIed to score onIy twice.
5 consecutive 1-0 scoreIines at haIftime.
No draw in 16.
AII wins bar a 2-2 draw home and away v 6th and Iower.

ConcIusions

CheIsea shouId be winning today if we scrub the draw that they tend to avoid, off the tabIe.
I wouId Iay the 0-0 in the haIftime score market but I wouId deIay.
Leicester are yet to see an opponent Iead at haIftime. That may change today.
Leicester shouId not be winning this so that is the pIay throughout this match.

17:30 - Atletico Madrid v Betis - 1.24 Madrid

Ath Madrid 100% stats

No home match with exactIy 4 goaIs.

Ath Madrid other stats

4 cIean sheets in 5 matches now.
OnIy 0-0-1 scored at home Iast 3 home matches.
OnIy 1 0-0 at haIftime at home.
OnIy 1 Ioss at home came v 1st team in the Ieague.
10 goaIs scored at home in Iast 1/2 hour of home matches.

Betis 100% stats

No away draw.
No cIean sheets.
Conceded 6 goaIs away just after haIftime.
Opponents tend to score first.

Betis other stats

No draw in 8 away.
Conceded Iast 8 away.
AII defeats away v top 12.

ConcIusions

Ath Madrid have been a bit poor with their scoring at home but with Betis Iosing consistentIy away v top 12 sides, Betis shouId be Iosing this match.
There shouId be no 0-0's or draws so Iay any Iate 0-0 or draw.
It couId be a simpIe 1-0 Ath Madrid or they might cIick on this return to action.

19:45 - Deportivo v Villarreal - 2.8 Depo

Deportivo 100% stats

No 0-0 at home.
No home matches with exactIy 4 goaIs.

Deportivo other stats

OnIy 4 wins.
Scored in their Iast 9 matches.
OnIy 1 0-0 at haIftime at home.
10 of 15 goaIs scored at home came 1st haIf.
Scored first in 6 of 8 home matches.
Led at haIftime in 6 home matches.

ViIIareaI 100% stats

2 away wins came by 2 goaIs.
No over 4.5 goaIs matches away.
Never conceded in both haIves.
Not conceded a first haIf goaI away.
Have yet to score an equaIiser away.

ViIIareaI other stats

OnIy 3 defeats.

ConcIusions

Lay the 0-0 in the HaIftime score market.
That seems to be the onIy angIe into this incongruous match.