I will do a review/preview video at DRT Facebook and live chat webinar at DRT Facebook at 14:30 where I will also be telegramming for those who cannot attend. The live chat webinar showcases how I use drtinplaystats.com along with research to make better decisions. See you there at 14:30.

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

12:30 - Wolves v Aston Villa - 2.30 Wolves

Wolves - 10th

• Only 4 losses.
• Win, Draw, Win, Draw at home latest.
• 1-1-1-2-1 goals scored at home.
• 3 0-0's at halftime at home, none at fulltime.
• Not beaten a top 8 side. All wins coming v 11th and lower home and away.
• 4/6 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Aston Villa - 12th

• 4 losses in 5 matches.
• Win, Win, Win, Loss away.
• Failed to score in only 1 match.
• Not played 9th-14th away. 3 away wins saw clean sheets.

Conclusions

• I cannot read Aston Villa whose wheels have fallen off recently with 4 defeats in 5 matches. But 3 wins in 4 matches away for Villa.
• Wolves may feel the pinch if they consistently fail to score that 2nd goal at home, given that Villa on their day have plenty of goals in them.

15:00 - Newcastle v West Brom - 2.20 Newcastle

Newcastle - 13th

• 2 losses in their last 3 matches.
• Only 2 clean sheets came 1st and last match.
• Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Loss  at home.
• 3 consecutive 2-0 scorelines, 2 were defeats.
• Conceded in their last 5 at home.
• Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
• 3/4 defeats came v the top 6.
• Not played the bottom 2 but beat 3rd bottom 3-1 at home.
• 5 goals conceded at home last 15 minutes of matches.

West Brom - 19th

• Only 1 win came last home match.
• 4 losses and a draw away.
• Only 2 clean sheets.
• Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches.
• Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.

Conclusions

• On seasonal form, favour Newcastle. West Brom are having trouble scoring away from home. Newcastle have lost all bar 1 match v the top 6 so should find West Brom to their liking.

17:30 - Man Utd v Man City - 1.75 Man City

• High profile Manchester Derby. I think United wish they were playing away from home where 3 goals comes easily. I won't research just a high profile match.

20:00 - Everton v Chelsea - 1.75 Chelsea

Everton - 9th

• Only 1 win in 7 was a 2-3 v Fulham.
• Draw, Loss, Loss at home recently.
• Only clean sheet came 1st match.
• Conceded in their last 5 at home.
• Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
• 0-1 win away v 1st, 2-2 at home v 2nd, 2-0 loss away v 5th, 1-3 loss at home v 6th.

Chelsea - 3rd

• Only 1 loss came v Liverpool.
• Unbeaten away.
• 4 wins and a draw last 5 matches.
• Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
• Only played one of the top 12 away.
• All wins have come v 11th and lower.
• 8/11 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

• Everton are likely to concede.
• Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
• A slight gap in form shows Chelsea's solid form has mostly come v teams 11th and lower, i.e. outside of the top 10...and they play 9th today. Everton themselves are yet to beat the top 6.
• I favour Chelsea but the niggle here is their consistent play outside of the top 10.

SPANISH LA LIGA

13:00 - Valencia v Athletic Bilbao - 2.45 Athletic Bilbao

Valencia - 13th

• Only 3 wins.
• Win, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss at home.
• Only 2 clean sheets.
• Failed to score in their last 2 matches.
• Conceded in their last 6 home matches.
• Playing 14th today and have a 2-2 at home v 15th, 4-2 at home v 17th and 1-1 at home v 20th.

Athletic Bilbao - 14th

• Only 4 wins.
• Loss, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw away.
• Conceded in their last 6 away.
• 0-2-0-1-0-1 goals scored away.
• 7/8 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

• These 2 are in poor winning form, hence the 2.45 the favourite quote suggesting caution.
• Notably Valencia have been good v 15th and lower, unbeaten at home. Now the question is whether that extends to 14th placed today?
• Athletic Bilbao keep conceding away goals and have scored that 2nd goal away only once so it is hard to make a case for them today unless the win is 0-1!

15:15 - Getafe v Sevilla - 2.10 Sevilla

Getafe - 15th

• Only 1 win in 8 matches came v Barcelona.
• Loss, Loss, Draw at home recently.
• 3/3 defeats v the top 7.
• 4/5 goals conceded at home came 1st half.

Sevilla - 6th

• 3 wins and a loss last 4 matches.
• A draw, 2 losses and a win last 4 away matches.
• 4/4 wins v 16th and lower, 3 came at home. 3 of those wins were 1-0.
• 4/6 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

• On seasonal form, Getafe are not beating the top 7, Sevilla are beating 16th and lower, note the 3 1-0 wins only though, so that Sevilla defence has to click.
• Sevilla are strong 2nd half goal scorers.

17:30 - Huesca v Alaves - 2.25 Huesca

Huesca - 20th

• No win but only 4 defeats. Battling but leaking 2 points with every draw.
• 3 score draws in their last 4 matches.
• Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss at home.
• Conceded last 7 matches and last 3 at home.
• All draws home and away v 7th and lower.

Alaves - 12th

• 4 draws last 5 matches.
• Unbeaten in 6 matches.
• Scored last 5 away matches.
• Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
• All defeats v the top 10.

Conclusions

• The draw is alive here isn't it? Huesca will win a match at some point and are more likely to win v fellow strugglers rather than a side near the top 10 who have, remember, only lost to the top 10 this season.
• Alaves held on for a 0-0 last match v league leaders despite a red card so are sturdy enough defensively. Do we enter this match assuming the draw is best case for Huesca again?

20:00 - Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid - 2.50 Real Madrid

• Will wonders never cease? Real Madrid behaved themselves in the Champions League with a 2-0 win v Mgladbach. A timely return to form. I won't be researching this Attack v Defence Madrid derby.

Freiburg - 14th

• Only 1 win came first match and they still scored 2 goals.
• 3 losses and 2 draws last 5 matches.
• No clean sheets.
• Scored and conceded in 8 matches.
• Scored and conceded last 5 at home.
• No 0-0 at halftime at home.
• 8/11 goals conceded at home came 1st half.

Bielefeld - 16th

• Newly promoted. Only 2 wins. One came last match.
• 4 consecutive away losses.
• Conceded last 8 and last 5 away.
• Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
• Wins came at home v 15th and 17th.
• Not scored a first half goal away.

Conclusions

• There is always that element of the unknown regarding a newly promoted side playing a side in close proximity to them in the league.
• Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
• Freiburg do like scoring and conceding. Will that continue against perceived weaker opponents?

Mgladbach - 7th

• Only 2 defeats came away.
• Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win at home. The culprit? 1-1-1-1-4 goals. Broke loose against Schalke.
• Failed to score only 1st match of the season.
• Only 2 clean sheets.
• Scored and conceded in 8 matches this season.
• 2+ goals tends to be scored v 14th and lower.

Hertha Berlin - 12th

• Only 3 wins.
• Only 1 loss in 5 came v Dortmund.
• No 0-0 at halftime.
• Only 1 win home and away v 9th and higher.

Conclusions

• Mgladbach need to solve their single digit goal scoring at home and only tend to do so v 14th and lower. This may leave them vulnerable as they play 12th today. But Hertha struggle v the top 9 and Mgladbach may get away with it. Do prepare for a possible goal shy Mgladbach. That 4 goal haul was v Schalke and my Sunday league side, down to 7 players because 4 of them are still in the pub, could score 4 goals v Schalke.