Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

The big wins from the live chat yesterday (25/1 and 9/1) came from matches which were not mentioned in the DRT Bulletin. That is the power of in-play stats which should be a key ingredient in your trading. The ideal? Marry the pre-match stats with the in-play stats. Elsewhere I was delighted to see Torino's 2-2 after being 0-2 down (as per the research). Another big odds winner.
It's another quiet Monday but 2 interesting major league matches.

18:00 - Galatasary v Adanaspor - 1.39 Gala

  • 0-1 to Galatasary in the only recent relevant head to head.
  • This is 4th v 17th in the Turkish Super Lig.

Galatasary 100% stats

  • No home draw.
  • All wins v bottom 3 at home.
  • No 0-0.

Galatasary other stats

  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • 2 defeats in their last 3 home matches.
  • Conceded 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches, winning 2 of those matches.
  • No draw in 12 at home.
  • 8 wins and a loss at home v teams 6th and lower.
  • 11 goals scored at home last 15 mins.

Adanaspor 100% stats

  • Not beaten a top 7 side home or away.
  • No away 0-0.

Adanaspor other stats

  • 5 losses in their last 6 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 away win.


  • Adanaspor have had a few 1-0 defeats so note that. Only 1 win away for Adanaspor suggests they are opposable if scoring first. Indeed Galatasary have a strong tendency to equalise if conceding first.
  • If Galatasary concede 2 goals (as is a recent habit), I would still keep faith in them coming through.

19:30 - Frosinone v Avellino - 1.64 Frosinone

  • 0-0, 3-0 Avellino and 0-1 Frosinone in the last 3 head to heads.
  • This is 1st v 13th in Italian Seria B.

Frosinone 100% stats

  • Unbeaten at halftime at home.
  • Unbeaten at home v 12th and lower.
  • Not lost to nil at home.

Frosinone other stats

  • Only 1 loss in 11 was a 1-0 away loss.
  • Scored in their last 13 home matches.
  • 16 of 27 goals scored at home came 1st half.
  • 11 of 15 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Avellino 100% stats

  • All losses away v top 4 conceding 3 goals in each.

Avellino other stats

  • Only 1 win in 6 matches.
  • Only 1 away win v top 16 teams.


  • Frosinone should score first and could lead 1-0 at halftime. We are unlikely to see a trade therefore if this occurs.
  • If 0-0 at halftime you might want to back 3-0, 3-1 and any other home score given Avellino's record away v top 4 teams.
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score likely to come in given Frosinone's record.

19:45 - Inter v Sampdoria - 1.37 Inter

  • A 1-0 Sampdoria win in the last head to head.
  • This is 6th v 9th in Italian Seria A.

Inter 100% stats

  • Scored in all home matches.
  • Scored and conceded at home v 5th - 15th inclusive at home.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals at home.
  • No 0-0.

Inter other stats

  • 5-7-2 goals scored in recent matches.
  • 9 wins in their last 10 matches at home.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • No draw in 11 at home.
  • Scored in their last 14 home matches.

Sampdoria 100% stats

  • All defeats v top 5 away.
  • No draw v top 7 teams.
  • Not scored in both halves away.
  • No 0-0 away.

Sampdoria other stats

  • 5 wins, 2 draws and a loss to Juve in their last 8 matches. Good form.
  • Not scored a 2nd goal away in their last 11 matches.
  • Only 1 away win v top 14 teams.


  • With Sampdoria failing to score that 2nd goal away from home, this tells us to lay Samp if Samp score first.
  • If Inter Milan continue to score as per the 14 goals in their last 3, they will simply outscore Sampdoria.
  • Lay any late draw as Inter keep avoiding the draws.

19:45 - Celta Vigo v Las Palmas - 1.98 Celta

  • At least one team has scored 2+ goals in each of the last 7 head to heads.
  • 2 3-3 draws in the last 3 head to heads.
  • This is 11th v 12th in Spanish La Liga.

Celta Vigo 100% stats

  • Not conceded in both halves at home.
  • No 0-0 at home.

Celta Vigo other stats

  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 home draw was a 2-2.
  • All defeats bar 1 came v top 8 teams.
  • All wins bar 1 at home v teams 10th and lower.
  • Only 1 defeat home and away v teams below them in the league.
  • 14 of 19 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Las Palmas 100% stats

  • Conceded in all away matches.
  • Not beaten any team above them in the league away from home.

Las Palmas other stats

  • 3 goals scored in each of their last 2 away matches...without winning.
  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • No win in 12 away.
  • Conceded in their last 13 away.
  • Conceded 2+ goals in 10 away matches.


  • Las Palmas scored 3-5-3 -1 goals in their last 4 matches so could go to town. Interestingly they scored 3 goals in each of their last 2 aways without winning.
  • Celta are solid at home v teams below them in the league but if Las Palmas are on song, they may get away with outscoring Celta.
  • To that end, I will back 3-3 pre-match and hope Las Palmas score 3 again and do not win. Celta have 2 goals in them at least v teams below them in the league. A 3-3 is eminently tradable if we see goals from both sides as expected.