Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

A typical Monday coupon. I will work on the new strategy which served us so well and post it on Facebook DRT page once I have completed the article.

17:00 - Alanyaspor v Besiktas - 1.5 Besiktas

  • 4-1 Besiktas win in the only previous head to head this year.
  • This is the Turkish Super Lig - Besiktas go top with a win.

Alanyaspor 100% stats

  • Never led at halftime at home.
  • No 1-0 or 0-1 at home.
  • No match with exactly 4 goals.

Alanyaspor other stats

  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • In 6 of the last 9 matches at least one team has scored 2 goals before halftime.
  • 4-3-2-0-2 goals scored in recent home matches.
  • Only 1 home 0-0.
  • 5-4-5 goals conceded home and away v the current top 3 teams.
  • 88% over 1.5 goals.
  • 78% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • 15 of 16 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Besiktas 100% stats

  • All away wins by 1 or 2 goals.
  • Never lost to nil.

Besiktas other stats

  • Only 1 loss.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • 6 wins out of 6 home and away v teams 13th and lower in the league.

Conclusions

  • If Alanyaspor are the score it is highly likely to come 2nd half. Speculators might like to back 0-2 Besiktas as a halftime scoreline. It is based on the 2 goals we tend to see a team score in recent Alanyaspor matches before halftime.
  • Besiktas are likely to win but wins tend to be tight v 13th and lower, 0-2, 0-1 1-2 are the scorelines so tight matches.
  • Expect 2 goals at least today in total.
  • At their worst Alanyaspor could concede 4 goals.

17:30 - PAS Giannina v PAOK - 1.7 PAOK

  • This is the Greek Super League.
  • PAS won 0-1 earlier this year.

PAS 100% stats

  • No home matches over 4.5 goals.

PAS other stats

  • Only 1 over 2.5 goal match in the last 9.
  • 6 clean sheets in 8 home matches.

PAOK 100% stats

  • All draws this season 0-0.
  • All defeats this season by a single goal.
  • No away matches of exactly 2 or 4 goals in total.

PAOK other stats

  • 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
  • No draw in 11 matches.
  • All 3 away defeats v top 4 teams only. PAS are 6th.

Conclusions

  • Both teams have a number of clean sheets to their names - PAS 6/8 at home and PAOK 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • Back 0-0 pre match and hope that defences are on top? If 0-0 at halftime, trade out.
  • Apart from this, it is a typical Monday match - one that does not capture the imagination.

19:00 - Jong Ajax v Almere City - 1.84 Jong Ajax

  • This is the Dutch Eerste Divisie.
  • Both teams have scored in the last 5 head to heads.

Jong Ajax 100% stats

  • No home 0-0.

Jong Ajax other stats

  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • 6 wins and 2 draws in their last 8 matches.
  • 3 consecutive home wins.
  • Only home defeat v 1st in the league.
  • Have scored and conceded in all matches v teams 4th to 12th in the league. Almere are 8th.
  • 80% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • Both teams score in 70% of all matches.

Almere City 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • Conceded in all away matches.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals away.

Almere City other stats

  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 7 away matches and last 5 overall.
  • Scored and conceded in 5 of 6 matches v top 5 with Ajax in 2nd.

Conclusions

  • Do not expect a 0-0. In fact we should see at least 2 goals today in total.
  • Both teams to score has a good chance of coming in, with Almere flagged up not to win if scoring. That is a ready angle if Almere score first.
  • Ajax have only lost to 1st in the league. In 7 of 10 matches away, Almere have conceded at least 2 goals and Jong Ajax are more than capable of that.

19:00 - Zimbabwe v Tunisia - 1.76 Tunisia

  • This is the African Cup of Nations and I like Zimbabwe as a trading team.
  • 2-2 v Algeria and 2-0 loss to Senegal for Zimbabwe so far in this Tournament.
  • Tunisia lost 0-2 to Senegal but beat Algeria 1-2.
  • We do have similar form in so far as neither side were beaten by Algeria and both sides were beaten by Senegal.
  • I will side with Tunisia here today not to lose, so must lay Zimbabwe if they lead at any stage.