Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

I will do a review/preview at DRT Facebook.


English Premier League

20:00 - Brighton v Crystal Palace - 1.73 Brighton

  • A good recent run for Brighton sees them unbeaten in 6, keeping 5 clean sheets. We judge them on this recent run.
  • 0-0, 1-0, 0-0 at home is not really the return you want from clean sheets!!
  • 16th v 14th here 7 draws and a win for Brighton v 14th and lower. I would look to lay any late draw here.
  • 2 losses, 2 wins, 2 losses for Palace latest. They failed to score last 2 defeats v Leeds and Burnley.
  • 1-0-0-0-2-0 goals scored away recently.
  • 3 of Newcastle's 4 away wins came v 17th and lower so they could potentially improve v 16th?
  • Angles? Back 0-0 pre match and hope this Brighton defence remains solid. They score 2 goals very rarely so any win may rely on a clean sheet.

Spanish La Liga Primera

20:00 - Osasuna v Sevilla - 2.05 Sevilla

  • The Champions League has been and gone for Sevilla so no distractions, although there may be fatigue.
  • Osasuna, in 13th, are a side they really should be beating.
  • But it is an Osasuna with 3 wins in 4 matches, bearing in mind that they have had only 6 wins all season.
  • 2 draws and 2 consecutive wins at home, Osasuna are putting together a nice unbeaten run.
  • 13th v 4th. The problem with Osasuna is that they are yet to beat the top 8 at home and yet to beat the top 7 home or away.
  • Osasuna have scored 8 goals last 30 mins of home matches.
  • They have conceded 6 goals at home last 15 minutes.
  • 5 consecutive wins for Sevilla. Only 1 loss in 7 matches away came v Atl Madrid.
  • 4 consecutive clean sheets for Sevilla.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away and none at fulltime away.
  • 100% wins away for Sevilla v 12th and lower.
  • Angles? Sevilla really should eye the win if none the worse for their Europa League match. 100% wins v 12th and lower.
  • Osasuna have been in good form but they have not beaten the top 7 home or away.

Italian Serie A

19:45 - Juventus v Crotone - 1.15 Juventus

Juventus - 5th

  • No Champions League til March and in all competitions it is a draw and 2 defeats for Juventus so on that basis, expect a win, regardless of the market suggesting a simple win.
  • Only 3 defeats, 1 when they were red carded, and 2 others came away.
  • 4 consecutive home wins.
  • 2+ goals scored in those matches.
  • 1-1 last head to head.
  • 8 goals scored last 15 mins of home matches.

Crotone - 20th

  • 7 losses and a win last 8 matches.
  • 5 consecutive away defeats.
  • Conceded last 10 and last 5 away.
  • No win 11 away.
  • Not beaten top 14 home or away.

Conclusions

  • You saw with Rangers on Sunday how to turn sub 1.2 odds into a really good payout. 1.2 Rangers was 0-0 at 20 mins, so head to the halftime market and back 1-0, 2-0, any unquoted. 2-0 at halftime. So remember that if Juve is 0-0 at halftime.
  • I expect the win, a draw and 2 losses for Juve in all competitions. Late goals too from Juve so remember that.

Portuguese Primeira Liga

19:00 - Maritimo v Porto - 1.35 Porto

Maritimo - 17th

  • 5 consecutive defeats.
  • A draw and 3 consecutive losses at home.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home, 2 at fulltime.
  • All defeats at home v the top 7.
  • 2-3 win last head to head.

Porto - 2nd

  • Only 2 losses were 2-3 and one was v Maritimo.
  • 3 consecutive draws, 2 consecutive 2-2's.
  • Unbeaten in 13 matches.
  • 3/3 wins away v the bottom 4 this season.

Conclusions

  • I do not expect Maritimo to do the double today. Porto are unbeaten in 13 and have no European Club competitions.
  • 3/3 wins away for Porto v the bottom 4 and they play one of them today.

French Ligue 2

19:45 - Guingamp v Caen - 2.25 Guingamp

  • 1st goal: Guingamp have scored first in 5/10 home matches against middle-third teams while SM Caen have lost 4/5 away matches against bottom-six teams. SM Caen have had L/L double results in 3/5 away matches against bottom-six teams.

Spanish Segunda

18:00 - Fuenlabrada v Oviedo - 2.37 Fuenlabrada

  • -2.5 goals: There have been -2.5 goals in 13/14 Fuenlabrada home matches against bottom-half teams and in 9/12 Real Oviedo away matches. Real Oviedo have drawn the first half in 6/9 away matches against middle-third teams.

20:00 - Zaragoza v Alcorcon - 2.05 Zaragoza

  • Match outcome: Real Zaragoza have won 6/10 home matches against bottom-six teams and they have scored first in 9/13 home matches. There have been -2.5 goals in 8/8 Alcorcon away matches against bottom-half teams.

German Bundesliga 2

19:30 - Greuther Furth v Holstein Kiel - 2.50 Greuther Furth

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 13/20 Greuther Furth home matches and in 6/9 Holstein Kiel away matches against top-six teams. Holstein Kiel have conceded first in 7/12 away matches against top-six teams.

Danish Super League

18:00 - Lyngby v Copenhagen - 1.44 Copenhagen

Lyngby - 12th

  • Only 1 win all season.
  • 2 consecutive defeats.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • No win in 8 at home.
  • Failed to score last 3 at home.
  • 100% defeats v the top 5 home and away. 4-2 loss last head to head.

Copenhagen - 4th

  • 6 wins and a draw last 7 matches.
  • 2+ goals scored last 3 matches.
  • 4 consecutive away wins.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • 100% wins home and away v 10th and lower.

Conclusions

  • I expect an away win today. Solid this season and solid against the bottom 3. Nothing from Lyngby to suggest a shock.
  • 1st goal: Lyngby BK have conceded first in 8/9 home matches against top-half teams while Kobenhavn have scored first in 10/14 away matches. Kobenhavn have won 11/17 away matches against bottom-six teams.

Greek Super League

17:30 - Panetolikos v Panathinaikos - 1.80 Panathanaikos

  • 1st goal: Panetolikos have conceded first in 6/8 home matches against Big Two teams while Panathinaikos have scored first in 7/10 away matches. Panetolikos have had L/L double results in 5/8 home matches against Big Two teams.

Polish Ekstraklasa

17:00 - Piast Gliwice v Warta Poznan - 1.75 Piat Gliwice

  • Match outcome: Piast Gliwice have won 9/12 home matches against bottom-six teams while Warta Poznan have lost 5/9 away matches. Warta Poznan have conceded first in 5/9 away matches.

Turkish Super Lig

16:00 - Ankaragucu v Rizespor - 2.50 Ankaragucu

  • 1st goal: Ankaragucu have conceded first in 9/11 home matches against bottom-half teams while Rizespor have scored first in 7/12 away matches against bottom-six teams. Ankaragucu have lost 7/11 home matches against bottom-half teams.

Belgian 1st Division A

19:45 - Club Brugge v OH Leuven - 1.33 Club Brugge

Club Brugge - 1st

  • 11 wins and a loss last 12 matches.
  • 8 consecutive wins, 4 at home.
  • Scored and conceded last 3 at home.
  • 2+ goals scored last 8 matches.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home, none at fulltime.
  • 2-1 loss last head to head.
  • 3 home defeats were 0-1 only.

OH Leuven - 7th

  • Only 3 wins in 11 matches.
  • Won last match at home.
  • 2 consecutive away 1-1 draws.
  • Scored last 13 away.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 away.
  • Not beaten top 9 away.

Conclusions

  • Revenge in mind for Club Brugge and they may pull it off. They have the momentum, 11 wins in 12 matches.
  • Both teams to score has a chance so do watch that. I would certainly lay Leuven if they score first.
  • Club Brugge have a high % of 0-0 at halftime but not at fulltime.

Bulgarian First League

15:30 - Tsarsko Selo v Botev Plovdiv - 2.25 Tsarsko Selo

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 11/16 Tsarsko Selo home matches and in 6/8 Botev Plovdiv away matches against middle-third teams. Botev Plovdiv have lost 8/9 away matches against middle-third teams.

Dutch Eerste Divisie

17:45 - Jong AZ Alkmaar v Go Ahead Eagles - 1.85 Go Ahead Eagles

Jong AZ Alkmaar -18th

  • 2 consecutive home 3-2 wins.
  • But...5-2-2-6-2 goals conceded recently.
  • 2+ goals scored at home last 3 home matches.
  • Conceded last 10 and last 12 at home.
  • Only played 2 of the top 5 at home, a 7-3 win v 2nd and a 2-5 loss v 3rd.
  • 0-1 win last head to head.

Go Ahead Eagles - 5th

  • 7 wins and a loss last 8 matches.
  • 5 consecutive away wins.
  • 2+ goals scored last 5 away.
  • Unbeaten away v 8th and lower.

Conclusions

  • Jong AZ matches are goal fests and their generous defence suggests Go Ahead can go ahead and score 2+ goals. Jong AZ may score too as they have done v the top 5 they have played at home.
  • Both teams to score and Go Ahead at least to score 2 goals.
  • With a potential goal fest in mind, lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market?

20:00 - Jong Utrecht v Cambuur - 1.40 Cambuur

Jong Utrecht - 15th

  • 4 consecutive defeats.
  • Loss, Win, Loss, Win, loss at home.
  • No draw in 11 and in 11 at home.
  • Conceded last 4 and last 6 at home.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 5-2 loss last head to head.
  • Not met top 3 at home but lost to them all away.
  • Conceded last 6 matches at home.

Cambuur - 1st

  • A draw, 3 wins and a draw last 5 matches.
  • Only 3 defeats.
  • No defeat in 11 away.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime away.

Conclusions

  • With only 3 defeats all season it is obvious to side with Cambuur here.
  • Lay any late draw.
  • Jong Utrecht have not met the top 3 at home yet but have emphatic defeats to them away.

Portuguese Liga 2

16:00 - Benfica II v Mafra - 2.60 Benfica II


18:00 - Varzim v Covilha - 2.40 Varzim


21:00 - Feirense v Academica - 2.37 Feirense

  • -2.5 goals: There have been -2.5 goals in 4/6 Feirense home matches against top-six teams and in 7/8 Academica away matches against top-six teams. Academica have drawn the first half in 6/8 away matches against top-six teams.

Romanian Liga 1

15:30 - UTA Arad v Botosani - 1.95 Botosani

  • 1st half outcome: UT Arad have drawn the first half in 7/11 home matches as have Botosani in 5/8 away matches against top-half teams. There have been -2.5 goals in 6/11 UT Arad home matches.

18:30 - Viitorul v Poli Iasi - 1.50 Viitorul

  • Match outcome: Viitorul have won 8/10 home matches against bottom-six teams while CSMS Iasi have lost 7/11 away matches. CSMS Iasi have conceded first in 11/14 away matches.

Ukrainian Premier League

17:00 - Olimpik Donetsk v Dnipro-1 - 2.30 Dnipro


Over 3.5 goals

Club Brugge v OH Leuven, Belgian First Dvision A, Belgium - February 22, 19:45

  • There have been +3.5 goals in 6/11 Club Brugge home matches against top-six teams and in 9/12 OH Leuven away matches. There have been +2.5 goals in 10/12 OH Leuven away matches

Over 2.5 goals

Tsarsko Selo v Botev Plovdiv, First League (Bulgaria), Bulgaria - February 22, 15:30

  • There have been +2.5 goals in 11/16 Tsarsko Selo home matches and in 6/8 Botev Plovdiv away matches against middle-third teams. Botev Plovdiv have lost 8/9 away matches against middle-third teams.

Jong AZ v G.A. Eagles, Eerste Divisie, Netherlands - February 22, 17:45

  • There have been +2.5 goals in 8/9 Jong AZ home matches against top-six teams and +3.5 goals in 8/12 Jong AZ home matches. G.A. Eagles have won 5/8 away matches against bottom-six teams.

Greuther Furth v Holstein Kiel, 2.Bundesliga, Germany - February 22, 19:30

  • There have been +2.5 goals in 13/20 Greuther Furth home matches and in 6/9 Holstein Kiel away matches against top-six teams. Holstein Kiel have conceded first in 7/12 away matches against top-six teams.