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English Premier League

20:00 - Everton v Southampton - 2.15 Everton

Everton - 7th

  • A recent run of 3 without a win ended with a win v Liverpool.
  • 4 losses and a draw at home last 5.
  • Conceded last 6 at home.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home, none at fulltime.
  • 2-0 loss last head to head.
  • 65% goals scored 1st half, conceded 2nd half.

Southampton

  • 7 defeats and a 1-1 latest.
  • 2 draws and 4 defeats away.
  • Conceded last 8 matches.

Conclusions

  • Not liking this. A side in poor form at home playing a side in poor form overall and especially away.
  • Welcome to a typically unappealing Monday coupon.

Spanish La Liga Primera

20:00 - Real Madrid v Real Sociedad - 2.00 Real Madrid

Real Madrid - 3rd

  • Still tight at the top.
  • 4 consecutive wins scoring 2+ goals.
  • 3 consecutive clean sheets.
  • Scored last 9 at home.
  • Not played 2nd-7th at home. 0-0 last head to head.

Real Sociedad - 5th

  • 2 draws and 3 wins last 5 matches.
  • Win, Loss, Draw, Win away recently.
  • Scored last 8 and last 6 away.
  • Lost away to 2nd and 4th.
  • 7/10 goals conceded away came 1st half.

Conclusions

  • Top 5 clash but Sociedad are 2/2 away v the top 4.
  • They do concede first half so perhaps lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market as Real Madrid have scored last 9 at home.

Portuguese Primeira Liga

19:00 - Benfica v Rio Ave - 1.44 Benfica

Benfica - 4th

  • Slight air of unreliability at the moment. Draw, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw, Draw recently.
  • No defeat 6 at home.
  • Only home loss v 3rd.
  • 0-3 win last head to head.
  • 12 goals in total scored first and last 15 mins of home matches.

Rio Ave - 9th

  • 2 wins and a loss recently.
  • Conceded last 6 away.
  • Not beaten top 5 away 3 losses were to nil.

Conclusions

  • Benfica's recent form is ropey. No consistent wins, more draws. But in Rio Ave they meet a team unable to score more than 1 goal v the top 5 away and indeed losing 3 to nil.
  • Redemption for Benfica or leave alone as they are not at their most reliable to date.

20:15 - Moreirense v Belenenses - 2.70 Moreirense

  • Not researching 2.7 the favourite.

GREEK SUPER LEAGUE

17:30 - Volos v Olympiacos - 1.33 Olympiakos

Volos - 7th

  • After failing to score in 3 matches, they have now scored in 2 and won those, scoring 2 goals in each.
  • Draw, Loss, Loss, Win at home.
  • 6 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches at home.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home, 2 at fulltime.
  • 4-1 loss last head to head.
  • Not beaten the top 6 home or away.
  • 6/8 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Olympiakos - 1st

  • Loss, draw last 2 matches, may be Europa League distracted. Only loss of the season. Still scored.
  • That sole loss came last away match.
  • Scored last 23 and last 11 away.
  • All wins bar a single 1-1 home and away v 6th and lower.
  • 9 goals scored last 15 mins of away matches.

Conclusions

  • Surely Olympiakos, with only 1 defeat, will not tolerate a 2nd consecutive away defeat?
  • That is how I will enter the match and I will remember that Oly have scored in their last 23 matches. Volos are in a good run of 2 wins but have not beaten the top 6 home or away.
  • If 0-0 at halftime, keep the faith in Oly scoring, even if it's late.

DUTCH EERSTE DIVISIE

17:45 - Excelsior v Jong Ajax - 2.15 Excelsior

Excelsior - 10th

  • 2 consecutive defeats ends a 4 match unbeaten run.
  • Win, Draw, Loss at home.
  • All home defeats v the top 9.
  • 10 goals conceded at home last 15 mins.

Jong Ajax - 12th

  • No win in 3.
  • Scored and conceded in 17 of their last 19.
  • Conceded last 20 matches.
  • 3-0 win last head to head.

Conclusions

  • Both teams to score is a very strong pattern for Jong Ajax and the amount of times they concede suggests they are layable if leading. Excelsior tend only to lose to the top 9 at home and in meeting 12th today must be favoured surely?

20:00 - NAC Breda v TOP Oss - 1.50 NAC Breda

NAC Breda - 4th

  • Unbeaten in 10 with 4 consecutive wins.
  • 2+ goals scored last 4 overall and at home.
  • 0-0 last head to head.
  • 2 losses outside the top 2 at home were 0-1 only.

TOP Oss - 14th

  • 6 defeats in 7 matches.
  • 3 consecutive away defeats.
  • No draw in 12 and in 6 away.
  • Not beaten the top 5.

Conclusions

  • The home side look good and if TOP Oss score first, lay them and cover the 0-1 as insurance just incase NAC fall to another 0-1 loss at home.
  • They do score 2 goals, NAC, so that is unlikely.