Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

A very quiet day today and no Telegram from me on a Monday. I will do a review/preview video at DRT Facebook.


SPANISH LA LIGA

20:00 - Betis v Osasuna - 1.95 Betis

Betis - 8th

  • Draw, win, win, draw last 4 matches.
  • Draw, Win, Draw, Win at home.
  • 2+ goals scored last 3 matches.
  • 100% wins home and away v 16th and lower.
  • 4 wins and a loss at home v 10th and lower.
  • 8/12 goals scored at home came 1st half.
  • 8/12 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Osasuna - 17th

  • Only 1 loss in 7 matches.
  • 5 draws in those 7 matches.
  • Draw, Draw, Loss, Draw away recently.
  • No win in 9 away.
  • Conceded in their last 7 away.
  • Score most first half, concede most 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Betis must fancy their chances. Playing a side in that part of the league where they simply keep on winning.

PORTUGUESE PRIMEIRA LIGA

17:00 - Santa Clara v Belenenses - 2.38 Santa Clara

  • 4 wins plays 3 wins. Poor stuff and worthy of a 2.38 the favourite quote.
  • 4 losses and a draw last 5 home matches for Santa Clara.
  • No win in 6 away for Belenenses.
  • Angles? Absolutely nothing to interest me. In-play stats or not at all.

19:00 - Porto v Rio Ave - 1.4 Porto

Porto - 2nd

  • Only 2 losses were 3-2.
  • 8 wins and a 1-1 last 9 matches.
  • 5 wins and a draw last 6 home matches.
  • Scored last 15 matches.
  • No defeat in 6 at home.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 100% wins v 11th and lower.
  • 6/9 goals conceded at home came 1st half.
  • 7 goals scored last 15 minutes first half at home.

Rio Ave - 13th

  • Only 3 wins.
  • 3 losses and a draw last 4 away matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Failed to score in 4/5 matches home and away v the top 6.

Conclusions

  • Rio Ave are likely to max out at one goal and that will give Porto an excellent chance here, having scored in their last 15 matches, that and 100% wins v 11th and lower.

19:45 - Moreirense v Braga - 1.54 Braga

Moreirense - 8th

  • Only Porto have beaten them in their last 7 matches.
  • Draw, Win, Draw, Draw at home. 2 consecutive home 2-2's.
  • Not played the top 4 at home.

Braga - 4th

  • 3 losses in 4 matches away.
  • Conceded in their last 5 away matches.
  • 4/5 losses came v the top 7.
  • 10/14 goals scored away came 1st half.

Conclusions

  • Braga are clearly becoming unreliable away from home. But can we rely on the fact that losses tend to congregate around the top 7?
  • There is further muddying of the water given Moreirense are yet to meet the top 4 at home.

21:15 - Sporting Lisbon v Benfica - 2.68 Benfica

  • I hope you saw over the weekend how these high profile derby matches can be too tough to call and unpredictable. Leave this to the in-play stats.