I hope you followed the pattern of the World Cup. 0-0 at halftime Costa Rica match saw a 0-1. Costa Rica's pattern of no draws in 15 matches should have encouraged you too. In Germany, I went 2-1, 2-2, 3-1 but Mexico, despite a faltering Chicarito, held on to the win. Did you follow the research and lay Brazil 'Back 0-0 pre match or a straight lay at 1.43 odds? Better yet lay the Brazilians if they score first.' Ker ching if you laid Brazil at 1-0 up. Clearly European opposition is a thorn in the side of the Brazilians. Maybe the Brazil team were put off by Neymar's 1980's synth band hair?
Over 3.5 goals came in, in the Falkenbergs match. Rarely will you see a team in such good form as 2.74 odds favourites. As to tweeting, I find it hard to stay up for the 19:00 matches given the time difference, hence an inability to remind you to lay Brazil 1-0 up! I may stay up today as Eng-er-land look to stutter their way past Tunisia. Only 1 win since 2010 in the World Cup for England. You have been warned! I hope to see you on Twitter at 13:00 but that opener looks tough to call. I must oppose Asian countries though, and would be more confident had Ibrahimovic not retired from International Duty.
I must mention the tennis. The grass court season warm-up-to-Wimbledon events have been over-shadowed by the World Cup but there are some fine tradable matches today. I will have my list of shorties which I share below and www.flashscore.com/tennis up during these World Cup matches and report back on any trading angles. The big guns are out. Please note my girlfriend's family are with me today so I may have to entertain them at some point but hope to get some tennis in.
13:00 - Sweden v South Korea - 2.1 Sweden
- Ranking - 24.
- Last World Cup - 2006 last world cup appearance. Sweden have lost only 2 matches in the 1994, 2002 and 2006 World Cups.
- Overall form - 6 of the last 8 matches were under 1.5 goals; 1-0 loss and 2 consecutive 0-0's recently includes v Peru who we saw 2 days ago were rock solid, ditto 0-0 v Denmark. These are top 15 sides.
- Recent friendly form - no win in 5. Failed to score in last 3 friendlies, last 2 were 0-0.
- World cup qualifiers overall - only 3 losses in 12 were v France, Bulgaria (3-2) and Netherlands 2-0 loss; 4 clean sheets in 5 matches includes v Italy.
- Ranking - 57.
- Last World Cup - only 2 wins since 2006 v Togo and Greece suggests struggles for the Dog-munchers; had a run of scoring and conceding in 5 of their last 6 World Cup matches, spread over 2010 and 2014. That could be their Achilles Heel if scoring first.
- Overall form - only 1 win in 6 matches was v v Honduras (62nd).
- Recent friendly form - only 4 wins in 14 v Colombia 2-1 (16th); 175th ranked Moldova; 129th ranked Latvia and 62nd ranked Honduras.
- World cup qualifiers overall - wins v teams ranked 65th and higher. 2 consecutive 0-0's v Iran and Uzbekistan.
- The Asian contingent simply don't get stretched. Wins for South Korea in qualifiers came v 65th and higher. Their friendly win v Colombia looks anomolous compared to the other friendly wins v 2 3 figure ranked sides and 62nd ranked Honduras.
- Sweden's recent 0-0's v Denmark and Peru impresses given what we saw from these 2 top 15 sides recently. They both looked polished, particularly Peru.
- Not another 0-0 back pre-match? Given the very recent 0-0's for both sides in friendlies? South Korea are layable if scoring first. Note their scoring and conceding when at the World Cup. South Korea tend to be out of their depth in this competition so expect Sweden not to lose.
16:00 - Belgium v Panama - 1.19 Belgium
- Ranking - 3rd.
- Last World Cup - 3 wins in qualifiers; 2 were 1-0; 0-0 v USA and 1-0 loss to Argentina. Belgium look like they will go far in tight matches.
- Overall form - unbeaten in 19 matches; 5 clean sheets in 7; in 7 of the last 10 matches, they scored 3 goals at least.
- Recent friendly form - since May 2014 only Spain and Portugal have beaten them. 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- World cup qualifiers overall - 17 wins and 3 1-1 draws last 20 matches.
- Ranking - 55th.
- Last World Cup - debutants, like Iceland. Surprise, like Iceland? Hmm, not so sure.
- Overall form - last 7 matches, 1-1-0-0-1-0-0 goals scored.
- Recent friendly form - as above. Only 1 win in 7 was v Trinidad and Tobago (91st).
- World cup qualifiers overall - only 2 wins in 9 matches v Trinidad and Costa Rica yet still qualified!
- The shortest odds in the World Cup so far, the market expects a flood of goals from Belgium. If these odds are accurate, expect a goal before halftime so if 0-0 after 20 minutes, look to lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market. Win to nil a possible, any other home score (Belgium at home for the purposes of the market) a possible.
- Regarding Belgium, I already have Kevin De Bruyne backed as Golden Ball Player of the Tournament at 27 (illiquid Betfair so Bookies if you fancy a tickle). Lukaku is a lot of tipsters' fancy as the top scorer - better odds at 21 given Ronaldo's hatrick in the opener.
19:00 - Tunisia v England - 1.45 England
- Ranking - 21st.
- Last World Cup - no win in their appearances in 1998, 2002 and 2006.
- Overall form - only 1 loss in 10 was a 0-1 v Spain in a friendly. Take that with a pinch of salt as Spain do not take friendlies seriously. 2-2's recently v Portugal and Turkey.
- Recent friendly form - last 8 matches saw 6 1-0 scorelines (only 2 wins v Iran and Costa Rica) and those 2-2's v Portugal (minus Ronaldo) and Turkey.
- World cup qualifiers overall - 6 wins and 2 draws in last 8 - Scored and conceded in 5 of those 8 matches - tough to quantify the teams they have played as against Eng-er-land.
- Ranking - 12th.
- Last World Cup - 2014 last world cup saw 2-1 losses v Uruguay and Italy and 0-0 v Costa Rica. Dire stuff. Poor in World Cups. Only 1 win, v Slovenia, since 2010.
- Overall form - unbeaten in 10 win 7 wins. 0-0's v Germany and Brazil a hint they can mix it with the top 5? Only scored 2 goals twice in their last 8 matches so limited if they cannot score 2 goals in a match.
- Recent friendly form - 3 wins in last 4 v Netherlands, Nigeria and Costa Rica. Scored 2 goals in their last 2 matches.
- World cup qualifiers overall - only 2 losses since 2001. A pretty weak group to get through.
- England are layable all day long if 2010 and 2014 form is anything to go by in World Cups. The archetypal over-hyped team. Players making a fortune in endorsements with no eye on the football. England met better sides than Tunisia in 2014 and arguably were dealt a bad hand in meeting Uruguay and Italy. This time, Panama and Tunisia should be gettable, Belgium less so.
- History tells us to lay England at 1.45 odds. They could make the typical pig's ear out of a winnable match. Tunisia have never won when they have qualified for the World Cup. No appearances in 2010 and 2014. I do not expect England to lose today. As I say, the value is in the lay at 1.45 but Tunisia look weak.
18:00 - GAIS v Degerfors - 2.42 GAIS
- 2-1 Degerfors and 1-0 GAIS last 2 head to heads.
- Scored and conceded last 4 matches without losing. 2 consecutive score draws, 1-1 and 4-4.
- Only 1 clean sheet.
- Conceded in their last 7 matches.
- All defeats came v top 5.
- All home defeats v the top 2.
- Scored and conceded in all bar 1 match home and away v 6th and lower.
- 7 of 9 goals conceded at home came first half.
- Only 4 defeats, same as GAIS.
- Only 1 loss in 6 matches came last match.
- 2 consecutive 4-1 scorelines, a win and a loss.
- Scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches.
- Scored in their last 6 matches and last 4 away.
- All defeats have come v the top 5.
- 2-2 scorelines v 6th at home, 8th away and 10th away.
- 9 of 12 goals conceded away came 2nd half.
- With both sides exclusively losing to top 5 sides this season, this makes this match as tough to call as the 2.42 quote for the favourite might suggest.
- What chance another score draw GAIS? 2 already is a long enough sequence but look at Degerfors 3 2-2's v 6th-10th inclusive.
- I will back 2-2 and 3-3 as trading angles here and hope for goals. Both teams will be looking to win given their superb performances outside of the top 5.
I will list matches with potential trading angles today and not necessarily research each one. Put these up at www.flashscore.com/tennis and look for surprises. Some World Class players out in force in the Warm-up grass court tournaments which precede Wimbledon. I have picked the matches which interest.
Johanna Larsson v Maryna Zanevska - 1.42 Larsson
Samantha Stosur v Marketa Vondrousova - 1.55 Marketa
- Stosur a well-known battler so I would be keen to lay Marketa if Marketa wins the first set.
Anett Kontaveit v Tatjana Maria - 1.24 Anett
Alison Riske v Magdalena Frech - 1.19 Riske
Jan-Lennard Struff v Roberto Bautista Agut - 1.5 Agut
- Struff is a good player and a German in Germany so I am hoping he gives Agut something to think about. Agut the better ranked player. Laying the first set winner.
Robin Haase v Joao Sousa - 1.53 Haase
Kei Nishikori v Matthias Bachinger - 1.23 Kei
- The Darren Anderton of men's tennis. Old Sick-note Kei I hope is well and if well, he will win. Again he plays a German in Germany hence my interest. Home-town players can play above their ranking.
Maximilian Marterer v Yuichi Sugita - 1.66 Marterer
- Marterer a German in Germany so expect a fight back if Sugita leads.
Dominic Thiem v Mikhail Youzhny - 1.3 Thiem
- Thiem - class act on clay. How about grass?
Katerina Siniakova v Kristina Mladenovic - 1.96 Sini
- Usually in a market such as this, we lay the first set winner.
Dominika Cibulkova v Daria Gavrilova - 1.53 Dom
- Pocket rocket Dominika is a fighter so expect a fight back if behind.
Kristyna Pliskova v Conny Perrin - 1.27 Plis
- The lower ranked of the Pliskova sisters should oblige.
Oceane Dodin v Katy Dunne - 1.51 Oceane
- Katy Dunne a wild card but note she is a Brit in Birmingham and may fight.
Katie Boulter v Naomi Osaka - 1.2 Osaka
- Wild card Boulter is a home player, hence my interest. Osaka better ranked.
- Osaka may be distracted by the earthquake in Osaka... potential to lay Osaka low odds off the bat at 1.2, better if she wins first set at even shorter odds.
Denis Shapovalov v Gilles Muller - 1.81 Denis
- Shap was a player to follow. Muller last year was a grass master. IF Muller captures that form, Shap is layable if winning first set.
Stan Wawrinka v Cameron Norrie - 1.76 Stan
- I get the feeling Stan is waiting for retirement. Talented but his attitude stinks. Layable if winning first set.
Jared Donaldson v Frances Tiafoe - 1.91 Jared
- As with the ladies earlier, lay first set winner is normally the call in this match odds match.
Marin Cilic v Fernando Verdasco - 1.26 Cilic
- Might see a Verdasco fight here. I would be keen to lay Cilic 1.26, and as with Osaka, better yet if he wins first set.
Jay Clarke v Sam Querrey - 1.12 Sam
- Surely no surprises here - Jay a Brit in London may play above himself.
- This is 220th v 13th.
Jack Sock v Daniil Medvedev - 1.84 Med
- I'd expect a 3 setter here so lay the first set winner.