European competition and post International Break played a big part this weekend in the under-performance of some teams. Chelsea, Arsenal, Juventus, Napoli, (nearly) PSG, Dynamo Kiev, Everton. I do not think the matches today warrant a live chat. This is European Competition week and hopefully we see some Champions League and Europa League trading action.

DANISH SUPERLIGA (stretching it a bit with the word 'super')

18:00 - AGF v Lyngby - 2.12 AGF

• 0-0 and 0-1 Lyngby in the last 2 head to heads.
• This is 9th v 10th after 11 matches played.

AGF

• 2 consecutive home defeats.
• Unreadable form. loss v 2nd at home, beats 3rd, loss v 4th, beats 5th. No rhythm or rhyme to their performances.

Lyngby

• No away win yet. scored and conceded in 4 of 5 matches away v top 8.
• 3 3-1 scorelines in their last 4 matches.
• Only 1 clean sheet.

Conclusions

• On a quiet day I thought I would check out some peripheral leagues and it turns out that Monday is the day for matches deemed unreadable!
• Here we have an AGF team all over the shop. Winning v one top 5 team , losing against another. No form there at all.
• They meet a Lyngby with 3 3-1 scorelines in 4 matches (2 were wins at home), but with no away win yet and conceding regularly.
• On form, we may see both teams score with Lyngby not winning, but then again this is AGF - AGF the Unreadable!

NORWEGIAN ELITESERIEN

18:00 - Sarpsborg v Stabaek - 1.68 Sarpsborg

• 1-2 Sarpsborg and 3-0 Stabaek in the last 2 head to heads.
• This is 3rd v 9th.

Sarpsborg

• A chance to go 2nd with a win, as matches are running out in the season.
• Only 4 defeats, 3 of which came away from home.
• Only 1 home loss was v Rosenborg.
• Only 2 defeats since 7th May 2017.
• 2 goals scored at least in all bar 2 home matches v teams 5th and lower.

Stabaek

• Only 5 clean sheets.
• Only 1 0-0 at halftime in the last 15 matches.
• Conceded in each of their last 8 matches overall and last 9 away.
• 3-1 and 5-0 defeats away to teams on either side of Sarpsborg in the league.
• 12 goals in total scored and conceded in the last 15 minutes of the first half of away matches.

Conclusions

• Steps back in amazement! A readable match on a Monday.
• It does all point to Sarpsborg scoring 2 goals at least in what is likely to be a home win. I say likely because Stabaek have had a couple of 2-2's away recently.
• I would lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market and go in again if still 0-0 at 30 mins mark. An amazing 12 goals scoring and conceded in the last 15 mins of 1st half away matches for Stabaek.
• A motivated home team as well could go 2nd. I am with the home side all the way today in what is likely to be my only match of interest this Messy Monday.

ITALIAN SERIA A

19:45 - Hellas Verona v Benevento - 1.95 Verona

• These 2 teams have only met in Italian Seria B recently. Both newly promoted.

Hellas Verona

• No win this season.
• 3 defeats and a 0-0 at home.
• Failed to score in 5 of their last 7 matches.
• Failed to score in their last 3 at home.
• 11 goals conceded and 1 goal scored at home this season.

Benevento

• All defeats.
• Like Verona, have failed to score in 5 of their last 7 matches.

Conclusions

• I do think I should re-name it 'Messy Monday'.
• 2 newly promoted sides will be eyeing this as a must-win 3 pointers. Neither side has met any newly promoted sides so we cannot gauge how they will fare today.
• Both sides have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches, and against established Italian Seria A teams.
• The market as quoted Verona as 1.95 favourites, but on what basis?
• This is a match to avoid, or at best to trade via the in-play stats available at www.williamhill.com or www.flashscore.com.

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

20:00 - Leicester v West Brom - 2.02 Leicester

• A series of 4 both teams scoring over 2.5 goals matches ended with a 0-1 Leicester last match.

Leicester

• Only 1 win came at home v Brighton.
• Leicester have had a very tough opening set of fixtures against the likes of Arsenal, Man Utd, Chelsea and Liverpool.
• Their win, and 2 draws, came against other sides.
• 2-1-2 scored at home, even against loftier opposition.
• No 0-0 at halftime at home.

West Brom

• Only 2 defeats came in their last 2 away matches.
• 1-1-0 scored away.

Conclusions

• A messy Monday match. For me there are not enough form lines in which to come up with trading angles.
• It must be remembered too that Leicester's form is skewed somewhat by the fact they have played 4 of the big 6 teams already. Still they have scored 2-1-2 goals at home and that may be their saving grace this evening.

SPANISH LA LIGA

20:00 - Las Palmas v Celta Vigo - 2.52 Las Palmas

• We saw a lot of these odds this weekend. i.e. the market cannot split the teams.
• 3-3 and 3-1 Celta in the last 2 head to heads.

Las Palmas

• No draw, sees all defeats bar 2 wins v Malaga and Ath Bilbao.
• Only scored more than 2 goals in a match once.
• Failed to score in their last 3 matches.
• 4 consecutive 0-0's at halftime have not ended 0-0 at fulltime.

Celta Vigo

• Both teams scored in 5 of 7 matches.
• 2 2-1 defeats and a 0-4 win away.
• 4-3 goals scored in their last 2 matches.
• Scored in every match.
• No 0-0 at halftime.

Conclusions

• Another for the messy Monday club.
• Strictly on ability to score, I would have to side with Celta Vigo. Their 7 goals in 2 matches plays Las Palmas failure to score in 3 matches.
• Siding with the team which tends to score has proved fruitful this weekend in matches where the market could not split the teams.
• Contrasting halftime scores. If 0-0 at halftime, it does look like there will be 2nd half goals. Look at Las Palmas last 4 matches.
• If Las Palmas score first, lay them. They have only scored 2 goals a game or more, only once and Celta are used to both teams scoring.