Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

I will do a review/preview video at DRT Facebook page. I normally take Monday off and looking at the coupon, you'll understand why. But, if I'm around, I'll telegram.

ENGLISH FA CUP

20:00 - Stockport v West Ham - 1.27 West Ham

  • I think I have persuaded you, via the telegram over the weekend, that the FA cup is best approached via www.drtinplaystats.com. Teams like Leeds just rolled over yesterday. What of West Ham?

ITALIAN SERIA A

19:45 - Spezia v Sampdoria - 2.44 Sampdoria

Spezia - 15th

  • Newly promoted so always a concern of unreadability.
  • Only 3 wins. This unreadability came last match. Down to 10 men, away at big Napoli, they won 1-2!!
  • No home wins.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Conceded in their last 8 and last 4 at home.
  • 2+ goals conceded at home in all bar 2 matches.

Sampdoria - 11th

  • 3 wins and 2 losses last 5 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 5 away matches.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Conceded in their last 12 and last 8 away.
  • Have beaten 5th, 9th, and 12th away.
  • 11/13 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Sampdoria concede away from home, and Spezia have conceded in their last 8 and last 4 at home so this should not end 0-0.
  • Samp do tend to concede 2nd half so remember that.
  • Spezia to concede 2 goals at home so remember that if they lead.
  • I am a little hesitant as you can see given it is 2.44 the favourite and that Spezia are newly promoted.

SPANISH LA LIGA

18:00 - Elche v Getafe - 2.28 Getafe

Elche - 18th

  • Only 3 wins came within the first 5 matches of the season.
  • 4 draws and a loss last 5 home matches.
  • Only 4 over 2.5 goals matches.
  • No win in 10 and in 5 at home.
  • Conceded last 5 and last 6 at home.
  • Unbeaten home and away v 13th and lower.
  • Losses at home came v the top 7.

Getafe - 17th

  • Only 1 win in 11 matches.
  • A draw and 2 losses last 3 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 7 away.
  • 5 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches.
  • Not played any side below them in the league away.
  • 3 goals scored and conceded away in the last 15 mins of matches.

Conclusions

  • Only 3 wins plays only 1 win in 11 matches.
  • Both sides have strong under 2.5 goals patterns which suggests backing 0-0 pre match at its highest point and hope these attacks splutter long enough to allow us to cash out.
  • A match for the in-play stats I'm afraid. A typical Monday match.

20:00 - Huesca v Betis - 2.62 Betis

Huesca - 20th

  • Only 1 win.
  • 3 losses and a draw last 4 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Scored 2 goals only once at home.
  • Unbeaten home and away v 13th and lower albeit 5 draws and a win.
  • Unbeaten at home v 10th and lower, albeit 3 score draws and a win.
  • 4/5 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Real Betis - 12th

  • Only 2 wins in 9 matches.
  • No draw in 9 away matches.
  • 3 wins and a loss away v 13th and lower.
  • 5/6 wins this season came v 13th and lower.
  • 7/10 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Betis, when they win, tend to win v 13th and lower so are advantaged today. Couple with Huesca scoring 2 goals only once and the home side may be vulnerable if leading.
  • As ever, newly promoted + 2.62 the favourite makes for a potential toughie, but if pushed, I would have to favour Betis but the water is muddied given Huesca are unbeaten at home v 10th and lower and unbeaten home and away v 13th and lower (albeit draws mostly).

SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIP

19:45 - Celtic v Hibernian - 1.58 Celtic

Celtic - 2nd

  • Only 2 defeats came v Rangers.
  • That ended a run of 4 consecutive clean sheet wins.
  • Failed to score only v Rangers.
  • 2+ goals scored last 3 at home.
  • 3-0 home and and 2-2 in head to heads in Celtic's favour.

Hibernian - 4th

  • 3 consecutive defeats without scoring.
  • 3/3 defeats away v the top 3.

Conclusions

  • The stats suggest that Hibs lose to the top 3. Win, Draw in head to heads for Celtic so a draw would seem to be best case for Hibs today.
  • If Celtic score 2 goals again, that should seal it. Remember, they have only failed to score v Rangers.

TURKISH SUPER LEAGUE

13:00 - Erzurum BB v Fenerbahce - 1.59 Fenerbahce

Erzurum - 21st

  • Only 3 wins came away from home.
  • Conceded in their last 13 matches and last 6 at home.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home, and only 1 at full time.
  • Scored and conceded at home v the top 11.
  • 8/11 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.
  • 5/7 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Fenerbahce - 3rd

  • 3 consecutive wins.
  • Only 1 loss away.
  • No draw in 13 and in their last 6 away.
  • Scored in their last 6 away.
  • 100% wins away v 14th and lower.

Conclusions

  • I fancy Fenerbahce here, scoring 2+ goals and 100% wins v 14th and lower.
  • Couple that with Erzurum not winning at home. They do concede more 2nd half so remember that.
  • Any 0-0 at halftime is vulnerable 2nd half.

16:00 - Alanyaspor v Kasimpasa - 1.7 Alanyaspor

Alanyaspor - 5th

  • Only 2 wins in 8 matches came at home.
  • Unbeaten at home so this poor recent run is mostly away from home.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Scored last 8 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Scored first at home in 8/8 and led at halftime at home in 7/8.
  • Not conceded that 2nd goal at home.
  • Not conceded a first half goal at home.

Kasimpasa - 16th

  • 3 losses and a draw last 4 matches.
  • Loss, Loss, Loss, draw away.
  • Conceded in their last 6 and their last 8 away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Only 1 win away was a 3-4 v 7th.
  • 5 goals conceded away last 15 mins of first matches.

Conclusions

  • Alanyaspor's poor recent run has come away from home. I think that Alanyaspor worst case today is a draw. They have scored in their last 8 at home.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Unlikely we will see a trade here as Alanyaspor tend to score first and lead by halftime at home.

BELGIAN JULIPER LEAGUE

19:45 - Standard v Waasland-Beveren - 1.49 Standard

Standard - 12th

  • 4 draws and 4 losses last 8 matches.
  • 4 draws and 2 losses last 6 matches at home.
  • Conceded last 5 and last 4 at home.
  • 1-2 win away last head to head.
  • 2 losses at home came v 15th and 18th.
  • 8/12 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • 5 goals scored at home last 15 mins of home matches.

Beveren - 16th

  • 2 losses and a draw last 3 matches.
  • 2 wins and a loss last 3 away matches.
  • Conceded last 4 and last 3 away.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away 3 wins away came v 3rd, 8th and 13th.

Conclusions

  • 1.49 odds for a side with 4 draws and 4 losses last 8 matches. And with 2 losses v the bottom 4 as well.
  • I would have to leave this to the in-play stats or leave the match alone.

GREEK SUPER LEAGUE

17:30 - Lamia v AEK Athens - 1.45 AEK Athens

Lamia - 14th (bottom)

  • Only 1 win came last match at home. 2-0.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Opponents have scored first in 6/8 home matches and at halftime at home.
  • Apart from that 2-0 win at home v 2nd, Lamia have failed to score in 3 matches v the top 4.
  • 3-0 loss v AEK Athens earlier this season.

AEK Athens - 4th

  • Win, Win, Win, Loss away. Loss came v Olympiakos so not a huge shock.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • No draw in 6 away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • 100% wins v 10th and lower home and away.

Conclusions

  • Lamia broke the pattern with that win v 2nd at home last match so if they build on that, then we may see a shock?
  • AEK Athens have 100% wins v 10th and lower home and away.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.