Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

I will do a DRT Facebook review/preview video. I have not researched the Belarussian reserve league, Swedish Superettan and Irish First Division. That does not mean that these leagues are not tradable. I would recommend you use in-play stats on these lesser leagues as they have a tendency for unreliability.

UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

20:00 - Man City v Real Madrid - 1.77 Man City

  • 1-2 Man City from the first leg. Real Madrid scored first. Man City equalised and won via a penalty. Ramos was red carded 86th minute but that had no great impact on the result
  • So...2 away goals for Man City means that Real Madrid must score 2 goals today. A 0-1 (and 2-2 on aggregate) is not good enough for Real Madrid.
  • In-play stats for me I'm afraid. A one-off match with Real Madrid knowing they must score first....and second.
  • Real Madrid at the end of the Spanish La Liga season did struggle for goals. A number of 1-0 wins, including penalty wins, may be a concern today.
  • 6 consecutive home wins for Man City ended with a 1-1 last match v Shakhtar.
  • Real Madrid have scored in 5 of their last 6 away matches, winning when scoring.

20:00 - Juventus v Lyon - 1.54 Juventus

  • 1-0 Lyon from the first leg. The perfect result, keeping Juventus from scoring an away goal.
  • The onus is on Juventus to score first and indeed score a 2nd goal. That will still not be good enough if Lyon score an away goal. If Lyon do so, Juventus will have to score 3 goals in order to qualify.
  • Historic Champions League head  to heads have been tight, albeit we can't really gauge these as they were from 2014 and 2016.
  • On 3 occasions at home, Juventus have won 3-0 in the Champions League v Young Boys, Atl Madrid, and Bayer Leverkusen.
  • 3 losses in 4 away for Lyon, and they did score in 8 of their last 9 away CL matches.

BELARUSSIAN PREMIER LEAGUE

16:00 - Vitebsk v Isloch - 2.5 Vitebsk

Vitebsk - 9th

  • Only 2 losses in 13 matches were 1-0 away losses.
  • 3 wins in 4 at home.
  • 3 clean sheets in 4 matches.
  • No defeat in 7 at home.
  • 4 consecutive home clean sheets.
  • 2-0 loss v Isloch earlier this season.
  • All wins bar 1 this season were 1-0.

Isloch - 8th

  • 3 losses and 2 wins last 5 matches.
  • 3 losses and a win last 4 away matches.
  • No draw in 10 away.
  • Scored and conceded last 3 away.
  • All defeats away v top 7.

Conclusions

  • Lay any late draw based on Isloch?
  • The market cannot split these 2 sides.
  • Vitebsk, if they win, tend to win 1-0. They have scored 2 goals 3 times at home, winning only 1. They lost v Isloch earlier this season but are undefeated at home in 7, hence the odds I suppose.

18:00 - Dinamo Minsk v FC Smolevichi

Dinamo Minsk - 5th

  • 3 wins in 4 at home.
  • 7 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 8 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches, 6 at home.
  • Have beaten the bottom 2 away 0-4 and 1-3 and meet bottom side today.
  • All home wins were to nil, a large number were 1-0.

Smolevichi - 16th

  • 3 consecutive defeats, all without scoring.
  • 5 consecutive away defeats.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Conceded last 10 and last 5 away.
  • No win in 9 away.

Conclusions

  • If Dinamo Minsk, without home advantage have scored 7 goals in 2 matches away v the bottom 2, that's what we should expect today with home advantage.
  • But do remember, Dinamo Minsk at these odds have only just scraped by with a 1-0 win, a scoreline appearing 4 times at home. Dinamo Minsk's home wins have all been to nil. You might want to do a correct score play, 1-0, 2-0, 3-0?

IRISH PREMIER DIVISION

17:45 - Bohemians v Dundalk - 2.06 Dundalk

  • Bohemians won 2-1 in the last head to head. That ended a run of 4 Dundalk wins.
  • Bohemians look renewed in this league and look the main contenders to the Dundalk title.
  • 4 wins in 6 matches for Bohs, 2 losses v Shamrock Rovers and Derry City.
  • All Bohemians wins were to nil, 3 of them were 2-0.
  • Dundalk have only 1 loss which came away v Shamrock Rovers, a team also beating Bohs. 4 wins for Dundalk were to nil as well.
  • Dundalk have scored in every match.
  • This looks well-matched. I will follow the in-play stats at drtinplaystats.com.

19:45 - St Patricks v Finn Harps - 1.57 St Patricks

  • In 2019 head to heads, 0-0, 0-2 St Pats, 1-0 St Pats, 1-2 St Pats.
  • St Pats have scored 2 goals only once this season. All under 2.5 goals matches.
  • 0-1 loss, 1-0 win, 0-2 loss at home.
  • Finn Harps won their opening match, drew the next match and lost the next 4 matches.
  • 1-1, 1-0 loss, 3-1 loss away from home.
  • Angles? St Pats are pants but the market suggests Finn Harps are pantser! I have seen far stronger 1.57 shots than St Patricks but head to heads do see a consistent St Pats winning run.