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ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

17:30 - Brighton v Burnley - 1.85 Brighton

  • 2 real strugglers this early season, the surprise being Burnley without a win and priced as outsiders here.
  • Only 1 win for Brighton came v Newcastle. Loss, Loss, Draw at home, both teams scoring in 6/7 matches.
  • Burnley have failed to score in 4/5 matches. If Burnley cannot score, then if they do score, will they really score a 2nd goal?

20:00 - Southampton v Newcastle - 1.8 Southampton

  • Southampton lost their opening 2 matches but have been excellent since, and full of goals. 4 wins and a 3-3 for Saints recently includes 2 consecutive 2-0 home wins, and scoring 2 goals in each of their last 3 home matches.
  • Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Draw, Win is the epitome of an inconsistent side in Newcastle. Both teams have scored in Newcastle's last 5 matches.
  • We may see both teams score today but with the Saints consistently hitting the 2 goal marker, I am with them, although due deference to Newcastle's recent win over a tidy Everton outfit.

SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIP

19:45 - Aberdeen v Hibernian - 2.10 Aberdeen

Aberdeen - 4th

  • Only 2 losses came at home v Rangers and Motherwell.
  • 4-2 and 3-3 last 2 matches.
  • 4 wins and a loss last 5 matches at home.
  • 2+ goals scored in their last 3 home matches.
  • 0-1 win v Hibs earlier this season.

Hibernian - 3rd

  • Only 2 losses.
  • Win, Loss, Draw, Win, away from home latest.
  • 2 consecutive clean sheets.
  • Not beaten a top 4 side in 3 attempts.

Conclusions

  • Any win for Hibs I think would be tight. Like the 0-1's v 5th and 6th.
  • Aberdeen have only lost at home when they have failed to score.
  • You may want to back 0-0 pre match in the hope that this is as tight as the previous encounter.

19:45 - Ross County v Livingston - 2.25 Livingston

Ross County - 8th

  • All 3  wins have been 1-0.
  • 1-0 loss to Livvy earlier this season.
  • Not played the bottom 4 at home.
  • Failed to score in 6 of their last 8 matches.

Livingston - 10th

  • Only 1 away win was a 1-2 v Dundee United.
  • 2 wins and now 3 consecutive defeats.

Conclusions

  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market so says the for but these 2 are poor.
  • Lay Ross County if they score first but cover that 0-1.

19:45 - St Johnstone v Kilmarnock - 2.25 St Johnstone

St Johnstone - 9th

  • Only 1 win at home came v 11th and was a 1-0.
  • Failed to score that 2nd goal at home.
  • 1-2 win v Kilmarnock earlier this season.

Kilmarnock - 6th

  • All defeats away have come v the top 4.

Conclusions

  • I look only at the Challenge Table for this one. And on that basis favour Kilmarnock despite St Johnstone beating them earlier this season.
  • Kilmarnock threaten 2 goals v sides outside the top 5 away.

SPANISH LA LIGA

20:00 - Elche v Celta Vigo - 2.37 Celta

  • I may research this later but will not prioritise 2.37 the favourite matches.

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA

19:30 - Werder Bremen v Koln - 2.30 Werder Bremen

  • Anything would be an improvement over last year for Werder Bremen.
  • They have scored in all matches, only lost their opening match and are on a 3 match 1-1 sequence.
  • Werder have scored only a single goal on 5 occasions but with a win and 3 draws suggests that they are making it work.
  • Both teams have scored in all of Koln's matches without them winning. Dare we assume same today? Like Werder Bremen, Koln have tended to mostly score a single goal.
  • Angles? lay the first team to score and cover the 1-0/0-1 if this failure to score 2 goals pattern continues. Back 1-1 pre match to pre-empt another Werder 1-1? OR look to take on any late 1-1 as it cannot continue for Werder Bremen?

ITALIAN SERIA A

19:45 - Sassuolo v Udinese - 1.83 Sassuolo

  • Sassuolo are unbeaten this season. 4 wins and 2 draws. They have scored in every match but only failed to score in one match. 4-4-4-3-2 goals scored and a 0-2 win away v Napoli. With this goalscoring form, Udinese should be up against it.
  • 5 losses and a 3-2 win v Parma for Udinese. No clean sheets for them.
  • 1.83 could look like value if this Sassuolo scoring continues.

DUTCH EREDIVISIE

19:00 - Fortuna Sittard v Zwolle - 2.45 Zwolle

  • Sittard do not have the win this season. They have scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime for Sittard.
  • Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, for Zwolle. Draw, Draw, Loss away with both teams scoring.
  • 2.45 the favourite suggests it's too tough to call.
  • Both teams to score has a real chance.
  • Will we see Sittard score and concede and not win, yet again?

RUSSIAN PREMIER LEAGUE

16:00 - Sochi v Ufa - 1.65 Sochi

  • Sochi's 3 losses this season came away. They have failed to score only once.
  • 7 Sochi matches without a 0-0 at halftime.
  • Both teams have scored in Sochi's last 6 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime for Sochi at home.
  • Sochi are unbeaten at home and play bottom of the league today.
  • Only 1 win for Ufa.8 losses and 2 draws last 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of their last 10 matches.
  • Angles? Ufa have trouble scoring away from home and that should seal their fate. Sochi do score and concede but if conceding I am still with them. An argument to lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market, albeit we would have to be more reliant on Sochi.

TURKISH SUPER LIG

17:00 - Gazisehir v Besiktas - 2.25 Besiktas

Gaziantep - 9th

  • Only 1 win, a 1-0 came last home match.
  • 5 score draws in 6 matches.
  • Scored in every match.
  • All 4 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Besiktas - 8th

  • 2 losses and 2 wins latest.
  • Only clean sheet came last home match.
  • Failed to score only at home.
  • 4-1 and 2-3 last 2 away matches sees a worrying goal conceding trend of 6 goals in 2 aways.
  • Not played the top 10 home or away.

Conclusions

  • And my research stops there. Besiktas have not played the top 10 home or away so we have nothing to gauge their playing 9th against.
  • Do bear in mind some of the patterns such as score draws for the home side and Bes with only 1 clean sheet.

DUTCH EERSTE DIVISIE

17:45 - Den Bosch v Jong PSV Eindhoven - 1.75 Den Bosch

Den Bosch

  • Only 2 wins came at home.
  • 4 losses and 2 draws last 6 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score last 3 matches.
  • Wins came v 15th and 20th at home.

Conclusions

  • Sorry, another match suffering from gaps in form.
  • Jong PSV play 17th and have only played 1 match v 9th and lower away. Notable wins v 8th and 19th away. Both teams have scored in Jong PSV matches.

17:45 - MVV Maastricht v NAC Breda - 1.70 NAC Breda

MVV Maastricht - 15th

  • Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw last 5 matches.
  • Loss, Win, Loss, Loss at home.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 3/3 losses v the top 11 at home.

NAC Breda - 6th

  • 6 consecutive wins ended with 3 consecutive defeats, where they failed to score.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • All defeats came v the top 4.

Conclusions

  • Put into context, Breda's 3 consecutive defeats without scoring is not so bad, coming v the top 4 and playing 15th today. I could see a return to winning ways.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market but is the sample size too small?

20:00 - NEC Nijmegen v Helmond - 1.33 NEC

NEC - 4th

  • 4 wins and a draw last 5 matches.
  • Win, Loss, Win, Win at home.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Only losses have come v the top 3.
  • Not played 15th or lower.

Helmond - 18th

  • Only 2 wins came away.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Conceded last 7 matches.
  • All losses have come v top 7 sides.
  • All 6 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • It looks clear cut. Helmond lose v the top 7. Do note their goals conceded away all come 2nd half so do not be concerned with a 0-0 at halftime.