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I will do a review/preview video at DRT Facebook. I tend to take Fridays and Mondays off from Telegram to prepare for a full frontal assault over the weekend.

SPANISH LA LIGA

20:00 - Athletic Bilbao v Celta Vigo - 2.25 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao - 9th

  • 3 consecutive home wins.
  • But only 4 wins all season.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • 2+ goals scored last 3 home matches.
  • Only 1 match v the bottom 3, a 2-0 home win.
  • 6/8 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Celta Vigo - 18th

  • Only 2 wins came at home.
  • No away win.
  • Only clean sheet 1st match.
  • 2-2-4-2 goals total before halftime last 4 matches.

Conclusions

  • The momentum is with Athletic Bilbao. The away form for Celta is....with Athletic Bilbao.
  • Bilbao are strong 2nd half goal scorers. Do remember that.
  • Celta do not tend to keep clean sheets.

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA

19:30 - Hertha Berlin v Union Berlin - 2.30 Hertha

  • I don't tend to focus on derby matches as there is that x factor which throws the season form out of the window. Watching brief with a view towards the in-play stats.
  • Union Berlin are newly promoted.

FRENCH LIGUE 1

20:00 - Nimes v Marseille - 1.95 Marseille

Nimes - 16th

  • Only 3 wins, 2 were 1-0.
  • 5 losses in 6 matches.
  • 4 losses and a draw last 5 matches at home.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Only 1 home win. 3 losses at home v the top 8.
  • 6 goals conceded at home last 15 minutes of matches.

Marseille - 6th

  • Only 1 loss.
  • 3 1-1 draws and 4 wins last 7 matches.
  • Win, Win, Draw, Win, Win away. 2 consecutive 0-1 wins away.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • Scored 2 goals only once away.

Conclusions

  • Marseille are doing enough away from home with their 0-1 wins. They will have to rely on their defence if this 0-1 winning sequence is set to continue.
  • Note Nimes tend to concede last 15 minutes of matches. Remember that if tight up to then.

DUTCH EREDIVISIE

19:00 - Sparta Rotterdam v Emmen - 1.73 Sparta

Sparta Rotterdam - 10th

  • Only 2 wins all season did come in the last 3 matches.
  • 4-4, 1-1, 1-4, 6-0 at home recently. Can really threaten goals.
  • Only 2 clean sheets came in those wins.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • All defeats came v the top 11 home and away.
  • 11 of 12 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Emmen - 18th

  • No win. 5 consecutive losses.
  • 4 losses and a draw last 5 away matches.
  • No clean sheets.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • 7/11 goals conceded away came 1st half.

Conclusions

  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Remember Emmen have not kept a clean sheet.
  • Sparta can threaten goals. 12 in their last 4 home matches so that could seal a positive result for them, particularly as they have won 2 of their last 3 matches.

TURKISH SUPER LIG

16:30 - Besiktas v Kasimpasa - 1.67 Besiktas

Besiktas - 4th

  • 4 wins in 5 matches.
  • 2 consecutive home wins.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Not played the top 8 at home.

Kasimpasa - 5th

  • All 3 defeats this season came away from home.
  • Scored and conceded last 3 away matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Only played one of the top 9 away, a 1-1 draw v 7th.
  • Only 1 away win.

Conclusions

  • The momentum is with Besiktas with 2 consecutive home wins and 4 wins in 5 matches. Kasimpasa are scoring and conceding away but it may be without winning today.

BELGIAN JULIPER LEAGUE

19:45 - Zulte-Waregem v Anderlecht - 1.91 Anderlecht

Zulte-Waregem - 14th

  • 2 wins in 3 matches came away.
  • 4 losses and a draw last 5 home matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Conceded last 7 at home.
  • Have lost all matches at home v the top 6.
  • 12 of 17 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.
  • 10 goals conceded last 1/2 hour of home matches.

Anderlecht - 7th

  • No win in 3 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 4 away matches.
  • Failed to score only twice.
  • Conceded last 7 away.
  • Only 2 defeats came v the top 3 away.
  • Scored and conceded in all matches v 11th and lower.
  • 6 goals conceded last 15 mins of away matches.

Conclusions

  • Watch out for late goal action, last half hour for Zulte and last 15 mins for Anderlecht so check the scorelines at these times.
  • Anderlecht may score and concede without losing. Anderlecht tend not to lose v 11th and lower. Zulte's record v the top 6 at home is LOSSES! And they meet 7th today.

DUTCH EERSTE DIVISIE

17:45 - MVV Maastricht v De Graafschap - 1.44 De Graafschap

MVV - 18th

  • Only 2 wins.
  • 6 losses in 8 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • 3 losses and a draw last 4 matches at home.
  • Conceded last 9 matches.
  • Not beaten the top 5.
  • 4/4 defeats at home v the top 12.

De Graafschap - 4th

  • 2 consecutive defeats.
  • 4 consecutive away wins ended with a 3-2 defeat.
  • Failed to score only twice.
  • Scored in their last 4 away matches.
  • 3/3 wins v 17th and lower. 2+ goals scored.
  • 7/8 goals scored 2nd half came last 15 mins.

Conclusions

  • Only 2 wins plays only 2 defeats so it looks as obvious as the market suggests.
  • De Graafschap should target at least 2 goals scored here today and a draw is their worst case scenario.
  • Watch out for very late goal action especially if De Graafschap need to score.

17:45 - Telstar v Cambuur - 1.50 Cambuur

Telstar - 7th

  • 2 losses and 2 wins last 4 matches.
  • Win, Loss, Win at home recently.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Scored in their last 7 home matches.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Scored first in 6/7 matches at home.
  • Not played the top 2 yet or top 5 at home yet.
  • 9 goals scored at home in the first 30 minutes of the 2nd half.

Cambuur - 1st

  • 9 wins and a loss last 10 matches.
  • 4 consecutive away wins.
  • Failed to score in only one match.
  • Scored last 11 matches.
  • 3 consecutive away clean sheets.
  • 4/4 wins v the top 5.

Conclusions

  • If Cambuur are beating the top 5, home and away, then the inference is that they can beat 7th, right?
  • Telstar have scored first in 6/7 matches at home but not met the top 5 yet at home. If they do score first at home, there is a chance here that they won't hold on to the lead.

20:00 - Almere v Jong Utrecht - 1.40 Almere

Almere - 2nd

  • Only 1 loss came away.
  • Failed to score 2 goals only 3 times.
  • Failed to score only first match.
  • 2+ goals scored last 7 and last 6 at home. 6 consecutive home wins.
  • Only conceded 1 goal at home.

Jong Utrecht - 13th

  • 3 wins, a draw and a loss last 5 matches.
  • Scored in last 9 and last 6 away.
  • 3/3 losses v the top 5.
  • 83% goals scored, 82% goals conceded away, came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0.
  • If Jong Utrecht are losing to the top 5 at home, then it does not augur well away from home.
  • Almere have 2 goals in them and that should seal things.

20:00 - Helmond v Go Ahead Eagles - 1.85 Go Ahead Eagles

Helmond - 15th

  • A draw and 2 consecutive wins at home.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Scored in their last 5 at home.
  • Have only 1 win home and away v the top 13.
  • 10/12 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Go Ahead Eagles - 12th

  • 2 consecutive defeats without scoring.
  • Win, Loss, Win, Loss away recently.
  • Not played 8th-17th away.
  • Lost to 11th, 13th and 16th at home.

Conclusions

  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0 as we did in Go Ahead Eagles last match.
  • Gap in form clouds things. Go Ahead have not played 8th-17th away from home yet are losing to 11th, 13th and 16th at home.
  • Form lines don't necessarily tie in with a 1.85 favourite.