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SPANISH LA LIGA

18:00 - Real Valladolid v Leganes - 2.68 Valladolid

  • Match outcome: Valladolid have won 6/9 home matches against bottom-six teams while Leganes have lost 7/11 away matches. Leganes have conceded first in 8/12 away matches.

Real Valladolid - 14th

  • Only 4 wins.
  • 3 draws and a loss last 4 matches.
  • Only 1 home loss was a 0-1 v Sevilla.
  • Failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • 50% 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Unbeaten at home v 4th and lower but only winning v 16th and 17th.

Leganes - 19th

  • Only 3 wins came at home.
  • Failed to score a 2nd goal away.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • No win 8 away, conceding in those 8 away.
  • 50% 0-0 at halftime away.
  • All wins have come at home v 17th and lower.
  • 8 goals conceded 2nd half last 30 minutes of matches.

Conclusions

  • Only 4 wins plays only 3 wins for Leganes which came at home. Interestingly for me, Valladolid have only 1 home loss which came v Sevilla.
  • Both sides have a high % of 0-0 at halftime so you may want to back 0-0 pre match and hope it remains tight. Valladolid did beat 16th and 17th at home.

20:00 - Sevilla v Atl Bilbao - 1.67 Sevilla

  • Match outcome: Sevilla have won 6/8 home matches against top half non-Big Two teams while Ath. Bilbao have lost 6/8 away matches against top-six teams. Sevilla have won by two or more goals in 5/10 home matches against top half non-Big Two teams.

Sevilla - 3rd

  • Only 1 loss in 10 matches came last home match.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • 1-2-1-1-1 scored at home recently. Concerning?
  • Scored in their last 10 and last 6 at home.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home (62%).
  • 2 home losses v 2nd and 10th but only 1 home loss v the top 9.
  • 8 of 10 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • 5 of 7 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Ath Bilbao - 7th

  • 2 consecutive 0-0's.
  • Only 1 loss in 8 matches was a 3-2 away recently.
  • 3 clean sheets in 4 matches.
  • Only 1 away win v 12th.
  • Failed to score in 3 of  4 matches away v the top 10.

Conclusions

  • Sevilla are in good recent form. They have failed to score only twice so I would expect to score at some point.
  • High % of 0-0's at halftime for both sides so no surprise 0-0 at halftime.
  • Sevilla may not be prolific scorers but note Bilbao have failed to score in 3/4 matches v top 10 away. 1-0, 2-0 possibles here?

FRANCE COUPE DE FRANCE

19:55 - Bordeaux v Le Mans - 1.4 Bordeaux

  • Ligue 1 v Ligue 2. I do like gaps in form.
  • Bordeaux have not won a coupe de France match in their last 3, including failing to get past Granville.
  • No other way really to judge this match other than the in-play stats.

SPANISH SEGUNDA DIVISION

18:00 - Extramadura v Alcorcon - 2.4 Extramadura

  • HT/FT: Extremadura have had L/L double results in 5/8 home matches against middle-third teams and they have lost 12/16 such matches. There have been -2.5 goals in 10/14 Alcorcon away matches.

Extramadura - 19th

  • Only 2 home wins.
  • Only 1 home win v 16th and higher.
  • 0-2 win v Alcorcon the last time these 2 met.
  • That was the only time they scored 2 goals v top 16 at home.

Alcorcon - 13th

  • No win in 5 matches.
  • 2 consecutive away 0-0's.
  • 3 0-0's in 4 away.
  • No defeat in 10 away.
  • 6 of 8 goals conceded away came 1st half.

Conclusions

  • 2.4+ the fav suggests a tough to call match. Alcorcon have 3/4 0-0's away so 0-0 may be in play here. With Extramadura winning only once v the top 16 at home, Alcorcon may limp to a draw or away win. They are undefeated away.
  • I tend to lay any 0-0 here when we have 0-0 sequences. They tend to end quickly.

20:00 - Real Zaragoza v Sporting Gijon - 2.02 Zaragoza

  • -2.5 goals: There have been -2.5 goals in 12/20 Real Zaragoza home matches and in 8/10 Gijon away matches. Gijon have drawn the first half in 10/13 away matches.

Real Zaragoza - 5th

  • Only 2 losses in 8 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • Not the best at home. Wins v 6th and 8th, then 3 of the bottom 4. No win v 9th-17th at home.
  • 7 goals scored at home last 15 mins of matches.

Sporting Gijon - 15th

  • 2 wins in 3.
  • 70% 0-0 at halftime away.
  • All defeats away v the top 6.
  • Scored 2 goals only once away.
  • 89% of goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Sporting's away form is such as we should default to the home side not to lose. But Real are a big wobbly v mid-table sides at home.
  • You may want to back 0-0 pre-match just in case this Gijon side put together another 0-0 at halftime away.